Wikipedia

2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

(Redirected from United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire, 2016)

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on September 13.

2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
← 2014 November 8, 2016 2018 →
All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 1 1
Seats won 2 0
Seat change Increase1 Decrease1
Popular vote 336,575 316,149
Percentage 46.96% 44.11%
Swing Decrease4.50% Decrease4.27%
     Democratic gain
     Democratic hold

Overview

edit

Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 162,080 44.29% 157,176 42.95% 46,728 12.77% 365,984 100.0% Democratic gain
District 2 174,495 49.74% 158,973 45.32% 17,324 4.94% 350,792 100.0% Democratic hold
Total 336,575 46.96% 316,149 44.11% 64,052 8.94% 716,776 100.0%

District 1

edit
2016 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2014
2018 →
       
Nominee Carol Shea-Porter Frank Guinta Shawn O' Connor
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Popular vote 162,080 157,176 34,735
Percentage 44.3% 43.0% 9.5%
U.S. Representative before election

Frank Guinta
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Carol Shea-Porter
Democratic

See also: New Hampshire's 1st congressional district

The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. Incumbent Republican Frank Guinta, who had represented the district since 2015 and previously from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2014, defeating Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter, and the district had a PVI of R+1.

Republican primary

edit

In May 2015, Guinta settled a case with the Federal Election Commission involving $355,000 that had been donated to him by his parents during his first House campaign in 2010. The settlement required him to return the donation and pay a $15,000 fine to the FEC.[1] New Hampshire politicians including Republican U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte called on Guinta to resign his House seat, but he refused.[2]

Candidates

edit
Nominee
edit
Eliminated in primary
edit
  • Richard Ashooh, businessman
  • Michael Callis
  • Jamieson Gradert
  • Robert Risley
Withdrawn
edit
Endorsements
edit
Richard Ashooh

U.S. Senators

Newspapers

Debate

edit
2016 New Hampshire 1st congressional district republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Richard Ashooh Frank Guinta
1 Sep. 13, 2016 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
New Hampshire Union Leader
WMUR-TV 		Josh McElveen [8] P P

Results

edit
Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank Guinta (incumbent) 26,400 46.5
Republican Richard Ashooh 25,678 45.2
Republican Michael Callis 2,243 4.0
Republican Robert Risley 1,347 2.4
Republican Jamieson Gradert 1,031 1.8
Write-in 111 0.1
Total votes 56,810 100.0

Democratic primary

edit

Candidates

edit
Nominee
edit
  • Carol Shea-Porter, former U.S. Representative who held the seat from 2007 to 2011, and again from 2013 to 2015[10]
Withdrawn
edit
  • Shawn O'Connor, businessman (running as an Independent)[11][12]
Declined
edit

Results

edit
Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carol Shea-Porter 32,409 98.8
Write-in 386 1.2
Total votes 32,795 100.0

General election

edit

Endorsements

edit
Frank Guinta (R)

Organizations

Carol Shea-Porter (D)

State legislators

Organizations

Debates

edit
2016 New Hampshire 1st congressional district debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Independent
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Frank Guinta Carol Shea-Porter Shawn O'Conner
1 Oct. 24, 2016 NH1-TV Paul Steinhauser
Keke Vencill 		[20] P P P
2 Nov. 3, 2016 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
New Hampshire Union Leader
WMUR-TV 		Josh McElveen [21] P P P

Polling

edit
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Frank
Guinta (R) 		Carol
Shea-Porter (D) 		Robert
Lombardo (L) 		Shawn
O' Connor (I) 		Other Undecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov[22] October 17–21, 2016 380 ± ?% 37% 41% 9% − 3% 10%
Normington Petts (D-House Majority PAC)[23] September 18–21, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 34% 44% 4% 4% 4% 10%
North Star Opinion Research (R-NRCC)[24] September 14–18, 2016 427 ± ?% 41% 38% 4% 8% − 9%
University of New Hampshire[25] August 20–28, 2016 211 ± 6.7% 29% 48% − − 5% 19%
University of New Hampshire[26] July 9–18, 2016 215 ± 6.7% 37% 43% − − 7% 10%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rich
Ashooh (R) 		Carol
Shea-Porter (D) 		Other Undecided
WMUR/UNH[27] August 20–28, 2016 211 ± 6.7% 27% 50% 4% 19%
WMUR/UNH[28] July 9–18, 2016 215 ± 6.7% 29% 46% 6% 18%

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[29] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[30] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2016
Rothenberg[31] Tilt D (flip) November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2016
RCP[33] Lean D (flip) October 31, 2016

Results

edit

Shea-Porter narrowly flipped the seat Democratic. This, along with the narrow victory by Democrat Maggie Hassan in the concurrent Senate election, made it the first time since 1854 that New Hampshire's congressional delegation was fully represented by Democrats.

New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2016 [34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carol Shea-Porter 162,080 44.3
Republican Frank Guinta (incumbent) 157,176 42.9
Independent Shawn O' Connor 34,735 9.5
Independent Brendan Kelly 6,074 1.7
Libertarian Robert Lombardo 5,507 1.5
Write-in 412 0.1
Total votes 365,984 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 2

edit
2016 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2014
2018 →
     
Nominee Ann McLane Kuster Jim Lawrence
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 174,495 158,973
Percentage 49.7% 45.3%
U.S. Representative before election

Ann McLane Kuster
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ann McLane Kuster
Democratic

See also: New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. Incumbent Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2014, and the district had a PVI of D+3.

Democratic primary

edit

Candidates

edit
Nominee
edit
Declined
edit

Results

edit
Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) 36,683 99.3
Write-in 249 0.7
Total votes 36,932 100

Republican primary

edit

Candidates

edit
Nominee
edit
Eliminated in primary
edit
Declined
edit
Endorsements
edit
Jim Lawrence

Newspapers

Debate

edit
2016 New Hampshire 2nd congressional district republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Jack Flanagan Jim Lawrence
1 Sep. 8, 2016 New Hampshire Union Leader
Saint Anselm College
WMUR 		Josh McElveen [37] P P

Results

edit
Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Lawrence 17,180 39.7
Republican Jack B. Flanagan 12,046 27.8
Republican Walter W. Kelly 4,287 9.9
Republican Andy Martin 3,145 7.3
Republican Eric Estevez 2,443 5.6
Republican Jay Mercer 2,113 4.9
Republican Casey Newell 1,839 4.3
Write-in 232 0.5
Total votes 43,285 100.0

General election

edit

Endorsements

edit
Ann McLane Kuster (D)

Organizations

Debate

edit
2016 New Hampshire 2nd congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Annie McLane Kuster Jim Lawrence
1 Nov. 4, 2016 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
New Hampshire Union Leader
WMUR-TV 		Josh McElveen [39] P P

Polling

edit
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ann McLane
Kuster (D) 		Jim
Lawrence (R) 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[25] August 20–28, 2016 222 ± 6.6% 40% 34% 3% 22%
University of New Hampshire[26] July 9–18, 2016 254 ± 6.1% 38% 32% 4% 26%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ann McLane
Kuster (D) 		Jack
Flanagan (R) 		Other Undecided
WMUR/UNH[27] August 20–28, 2016 222 ± 6.6% 40% 35% 3% 22%
WMUR/UNH[28] July 9–18, 2016 254 ± 6.1% 38% 32% 4% 26%

Results

edit
New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2016 [34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) 174,495 49.7
Republican Jim Lawrence 158,973 45.3
Independent John Babiarz 17,088 4.9
Write-in 236 0.1
Total votes 350,792 100.0
Democratic hold

See also

edit

References

edit
  1. ^ "Kelly Ayotte to Frank Guinta: Resignation is 'the right step'". Politico.com. Politico. May 18, 2015. Archived from the original on May 20, 2015. Retrieved May 19, 2015.
  2. ^ "New Hampshire Rep. Frank Guinta says he won't resign, despite calls from fellow Republicans". boston.com. The Boston Globe. Archived from the original on May 20, 2015. Retrieved May 19, 2015.
  3. ^ DiStaso, John (March 25, 2016). "Innis suspends congressional campaign, says family, business interests come first". WMUR. Retrieved March 25, 2016.
  4. ^ "NH INSIDER- Your Source for NH Politics - Press Releases - Pam Tucker Announces Run for NH-01". Archived from the original on March 9, 2016. Retrieved February 25, 2016.
  5. ^ Dan Tuohy (May 2, 2016). "Rep. Pam Tucker suspends 1st CD campaign". unionleader.com. New Hampshire Union Leader. Archived from the original on May 4, 2016. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  6. ^ "BRADLEY ENDORSES GATSAS; JOHN E. SUNUNU SUPPORTS ASHOOH". The Conway Daily Sun. September 6, 2016.
  7. ^ "Ashooh for Congress: Raising the bar in District 1". New Hampshire Union Leader. August 31, 2016.
  8. ^ YouTube
  9. ^ a b c d "2016 Primary Election Official Results". New Hampshire Secretary of State. September 13, 2016. Archived from the original on September 19, 2016. Retrieved November 30, 2016.
  10. ^ DiStaso, John (September 20, 2015). "Shea-Porter announces she's running for US House again in 2016". WMUR.com. Manchester Hearst Properties Inc. Retrieved September 20, 2015.
  11. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q John DiStaso (November 14, 2014). "Analysis: NH Democrats already have deep bench for top races in 2016". New Hampshire Journal. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  12. ^ DiStaso, John (February 10, 2015). "Democratic political newcomer O'Connor files candidacy for 1st District U.S. House seat". NH Journal. Retrieved April 9, 2015.
  13. ^ a b Alexis Levinson (December 30, 2014). "10 Races to Watch in 2016: New Hampshire's 1st District". Roll Call. Archived from the original on December 31, 2014. Retrieved December 30, 2014.
  14. ^ a b John DiStaso (September 22, 2014). "Executive Councilor Chris Pappas won't run for US House, backs Carol Shea-Porter". wmur.com. WMUR Manchester. Archived from the original on September 23, 2015. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  15. ^ "Candidates". electgoppatriots.org/. National Republican Congressional Committee. Archived from the original on October 1, 2016. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
  16. ^ John DiStaso (July 28, 2016). "New Hampshire Primary Source: Hassan hits Ayotte (again) on for-profit university issue". wmur.com. WMUR Manchester. Archived from the original on July 29, 2016. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  17. ^ "DCCC 2016 Red to Blue Races". actblue.com. DCCC. Archived from the original on October 8, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
  18. ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Carol Shea-Porter for Congress in New Hampshire's First Congressional District". emilyslist.org. EMILY’s List. January 27, 2014. Archived from the original on February 3, 2016. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  19. ^ a b "U.S. HOUSE CANDIDATES". emilyslist.org/. Archived from the original on October 12, 2016. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
  20. ^ C-SPAN
  21. ^ YouTube
  22. ^ UMass Amherst/YouGov
  23. ^ Normington Petts (D-House Majority PAC)
  24. ^ North Star Opinion Research (R-NRCC)
  25. ^ a b University of New Hampshire
  26. ^ a b University of New Hampshire
  27. ^ a b WMUR/UNH
  28. ^ a b WMUR/UNH
  29. ^ "2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016". House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 12, 2016.
  30. ^ "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  31. ^ "2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016)". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  32. ^ "2016 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  33. ^ "Battle for the House 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 31, 2016.
  34. ^ a b "2016 General Election Information and Results". New Hampshire Secretary of State Elections Division. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 30, 2016.
  35. ^ Landrigan, Kevin (October 22, 2015). "Landrigan: Top NH House Republican explores bid for 2nd District Congressman". Archived from the original on October 24, 2015. Retrieved October 23, 2015.
  36. ^ "Lawrence for Congress: Best choice to challenge Kuster". New Hampshire Union Leader. August 31, 2016. Archived from the original on September 1, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  37. ^ YouTube
  38. ^ Ben Ray Lujan (February 12, 2015). "FRONTLINE DEMOCRATS 2015-2016". dccc.org/. DCCC. Archived from the original on October 24, 2016. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
  39. ^ YouTube
edit
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2016_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Hampshire&oldid=1257611960"