2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming
(Redirected from United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2014)
The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era.[1]
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 County results Enzi: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
editNo incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.[2]
Candidates
editDeclared
edit- Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[3][4]
- Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker[5][6]
- Mike Enzi, incumbent senator[7]
- James "Coaltrain" Gregory[5]
- Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant[5]
Withdrew
edit- Liz Cheney, attorney, political commentator and daughter of Dick Cheney[8]
Endorsements
editMike Enzi
- John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (R-WY)[9]
- Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator (R-MO)[10]
- Richard Burr, U.S. Senator (R-NC)[10]
- John Cornyn, U.S. Senator (R-TX)[10]
- Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator (R-UT)[10]
- Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Representative (R-WY)[11]
- John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ) and nominee for President in 2008[11]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator (R-KY) and Senate Minority Leader[9]
- Jerry Moran, U.S. Senator (R-KS) and Chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee[9]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (R-KY)[12]
- Richard Shelby, U.S. Senator (R-AL)[10]
- Olympia Snowe, former U.S. Senator (R-ME)[13]
Liz Cheney (withdrawn)
U.S. Ambassadors
- Mel Sembler, former Finance Chairman of the Republican National Committee, former Ambassador to Australia, former Ambassador to Italy[14]
Individuals
- Tammy Bruce, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[15]
- Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host, conservative political commentator[16]
- Mark Levin, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[17]
- Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[18]
Polling
editHypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi |
Liz Cheney |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[19] | July 17–18, 2013 | 422 | ± 4.77% | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 780 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 26% | 19% |
| Wickers Group ^[21] | August 22–28, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.5% | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Wickers Group ^[21] | October 25–28, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.5% | 69% | 17% | 14% |
- ^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney |
Cynthia Lummis |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 780 | ± 3.5% | 34% | 41% | 25% |
Results
edit
Enzi
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Enzi (incumbent) | 77,965 | 78.51% | |
| Republican | Bryan E. Miller | 9,330 | 9.39% | |
| Republican | James "Coaltrain" Gregory | 3,740 | 3.77% | |
| Republican | Thomas Bleming | 2,504 | 2.52% | |
| Republican | Arthur Bruce Clifton | 1,403 | 1.41% | |
| Republican | Write-in | 346 | 0.35% | |
| Republican | Over Votes | 51 | 0.05% | |
| Republican | Under Votes | 3,973 | 4.00% | |
| Total votes | 99,312 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate[5]
- Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012[23]
- Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate[5][24][25]
- Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in 2010[26]
Declined
edit- Gary Trauner, businessman and nominee for Wyoming's at-large congressional district in 2006 and 2008[27]
Results
edit
Hardy
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Wilde
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charlie Hardy | 7,200 | 39.33% | |
| Democratic | Rex Wilde | 3,012 | 16.46% | |
| Democratic | Al Hamburg | 2,988 | 16.32% | |
| Democratic | William Bryk | 1,670 | 9.12% | |
| Democratic | Write-in | 216 | 1.18% | |
| Democratic | Over Votes | 31 | 0.17% | |
| Democratic | Under Votes | 3,189 | 17.42% | |
| Total votes | 18,306 | 100.00% | ||
Independents and third parties
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Curt Gottshall (Independent), commercial airline pilot[28]
- Joseph Porambo (Libertarian), cook at an assisted living home[29]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Solid R | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[32] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[33] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi (R) |
Charlie Hardy (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[34] | July 5–24, 2014 | 419 | ± 5.1% | 66% | 23% | 5% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports[35] | August 20–21, 2014 | 700 | ± 4% | 63% | 27% | 4% | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[36] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 350 | ± 8% | 66% | 21% | 4% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[37] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 264 | ± 7% | 75% | 17% | 2% | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[37] | October 16–23, 2014 | 258 | ± 11% | 67% | 27% | 0% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling
With Enzi
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi (R) |
Dave Freudenthal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 54% | 31% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi (R) |
Gary Trauner (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 66% | 19% | — | 14% |
With Cheney
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney (R) |
Dave Freudenthal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 42% | 45% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney (R) |
Gary Trauner (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 49% | 31% | — | 20% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Enzi (incumbent) | 121,554 | 72.19% | −3.44% | |
| Democratic | Charlie Hardy | 29,377 | 17.45% | −6.81% | |
| Independent | Curt Gottshall | 13,311 | 7.90% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Joseph Porambo | 3,677 | 2.18% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 471 | 0.28% | +0.17% | ||
| Total votes | 168,390 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
See also
edit
References
edit- ^ Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
- ^ Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.
- ^ "Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
- ^ "Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs". U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
- ^ a b c d e "2014 Primary Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ "Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
- ^ Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". The New York Times. Retrieved January 6, 2014.
- ^ a b c Zeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
- ^ a b c d e Everett, Burgess (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
- ^ a b "McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
- ^ Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
- ^ Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". Politico. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
- ^ Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
- ^ "Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
- ^ "Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
- ^ Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
- ^ Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
- ^ Harper Polling
- ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b Wickers Group ^
- ^ a b "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
- ^ Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
- ^ Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
- ^ Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
- ^ Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ a b CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2014.
External links
edit- U.S. Senate elections in Wyoming, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets
- Wyoming U.S. Senate debate excerpts, OnTheIssues.org
Official campaign websites (Archived)