Scenario A

edit

2024 Botswana general election
 
← 2019 30 October 2024

61 of the 69 seats in the National Assembly[n 1]
31 seats needed for a majority
Registered1,038,261   12.19%
  First party Second party
 
Leader Mokgweetsi Masisi Duma Boko
Party BDP UDC
Leader's seat None[n 2] Did not stand
Last election 52.65%, 38 seats 35.88%, 15 seats
Seats before 38 8[n 3]
Seats won 27 24
Seat change   11   16
Popular vote 277,270 262,565
Percentage 32.62% 30.89%
Swing   20.03 pp   4.99 pp

  Third party Fourth party
 
BPF
Leader Dumelang Saleshando Mephato Reatile
Party BCP BPF
Leader's seat Maun West Jwaneng-Mabutsane
Last election 11 seats[n 4] 4.41%, 3 seats
Seats before 7[n 5] 4
Seats won 5 4
Seat change   2  
Popular vote 249,985 45,560
Percentage 29.41% 5.36%
Swing n/a   0.95 pp

 

President before election

Mokgweetsi Masisi
BDP

Elected President

TBD

Scenario B

edit

2024 Botswana general election
 
← 2019 30 October 2024

61 of the 69 seats in the National Assembly[n 6]
31 seats needed for a majority
Registered1,038,261   12.19%
  First party Second party
 
Leader Mokgweetsi Masisi Duma Boko
Party BDP UDC
Leader's seat None[n 7] Did not stand
Last election 52.65%, 38 seats 35.88%, 15 seats
Seats before 38 8[n 8]
Seats won 20 19
Seat change   18   11
Popular vote 277,270 262,565
Percentage 32.62% 30.89%
Swing   20.03 pp   4.99 pp

  Third party Fourth party
 
BPF
Leader Dumelang Saleshando Mephato Reatile
Party BCP BPF
Leader's seat Maun West Jwaneng-Mabutsane
Last election 11 seats[n 4] 4.41%, 3 seats
Seats before 7[n 9] 4
Seats won 17 4
Seat change   10  
Popular vote 249,985 45,560
Percentage 29.41% 5.36%
Swing n/a   0.95 pp

 

President before election

Mokgweetsi Masisi
BDP

Elected President

TBD


Cite error: There are <ref group=n> tags on this page, but the references will not show without a {{reflist|group=n}} template (see the help page).

  1. ^ Tlhankane, Mompati (5 June 2023). "UDC accused of destabilising BCP". Mmegi. Retrieved 6 June 2023.
  2. ^ Tlhankane, Mompati (5 June 2023). "UDC accused of destabilising BCP". Mmegi. Retrieved 6 June 2023.
  3. ^ Tlhankane, Mompati (5 June 2023). "UDC accused of destabilising BCP". Mmegi. Retrieved 6 June 2023.
  4. ^ Tlhankane, Mompati (5 June 2023). "UDC accused of destabilising BCP". Mmegi. Retrieved 6 June 2023.