Scenario polls
editMost often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as for the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes.
Regular poll
Scenario poll
- Naftali Bennett forms a new party
Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Likud | Yesh Atid |
Mafdal– RZ |
Otzma Yehudit |
Noam | National Unity |
New Hope |
Cohen | Bennett | Hendel | New Right-Wing Party |
Levin | Galant | Shas | UTJ | Yisrael Beiteinu |
Ra'am | Hadash –Ta'al |
Labor | Meretz | Balad | Gov. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Mar 24 | Lazar | The Jerusalem Post[1] | 18 | 10 | 4 | 9 | – | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | (2.9%) | (1.8%) | 47 | |
16 | 9 | (2.9%) | 9 | – | 28 | (1.8%) | 5 | 9 | 5 | — | — | — | 10 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | (1.8%) | 41 | ||||
3 Mar 24 | Camil Fuchs | Channel 13[2] | 17 | 12 | 5 | 9 | – | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 4 | – | 4 | – | 47 | |
16 | 9 | 5 | 9 | – | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 8 | – | 55 | |||||
11 Feb 24 | Camil Fuchs | Channel 13[3] | 18 | 13 | 6 | 8 | – | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 4 | – | 4 | – | 48 | |
18 | 13 | 6 | 8 | – | 32 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 4 | – | 4 | – | 48 | |||
11 Jan 24 | Midgam | HaHadashot 12[4] | 18 | 14 | 4 | 8 | – | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 5 | (1.6%) | 4 | (2.0%) | 48 | |
15 | 10 | 4 | 7 | – | 25 | 6 | 10 | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 9 | – | 43 | |||||
28 Dec 23 | Camil Fuchs | Channel 13[5] | 16 | 15 | 5 | 8 | – | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 4 | – | 4 | – | 45 | |
15 | 10 | – | – | – | 23 | 6 | 15 | — | — | — | — | – | – | – | – | – | 7 | – | – | |||||
21 Dec 23 | Direct Polls | Channel 14[6][7] | 27 | 14 | 4 | 8 | – | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 5 | (0.5%) | (2.9%) | (1.6%) | 56 | |
22 | 7 | 4 | 6 | – | 17 | 8 | 10 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14 | (1.7%) | 48 | |||||
18 Dec 23 | Midgam | HaHadashot 12[8] | 18 | 15 | (2.4%) | 8 | – | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 5 | (1.8%) | 5 | (1.9%) | 44 | |
15 | 10 | (2.0%) | 7 | – | 23 | 9 | 13 | — | — | — | — | 11 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 9 | (1.8%) | 40 | |||||
7 Dec 23 | Kantar | Attila Somfalvi[9] | – | – | – | – | – | – | — | — | — | — | — | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
17 | 12 | 4 | 6 | – | 29 | 10 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 8 | – | 44 | ||||||
30 Nov 23 | Kantar | Attila Somfalvi[10] | – | – | – | – | – | – | — | — | — | — | — | — | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
18 | 12 | 4 | 7 | – | 28 | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | – | 45 | |||||
16 Nov 23 | Midgam | HaHadashot 12[11] | 17 | 15 | 4 | 7 | – | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 5 | (1.5%) | 5 | (1.7%) | 45 | |
17 | 14 | (2.8%) | 7 | – | 25 | — | 17 | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 5 | – | 5 | – | 41 | ||||
16 | 16 | (2.7%) | 7 | – | 29 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 5 | – | 5 | – | 40 | ||||
14 Nov 23 | Kantar | Attila Somfalvi[12] | – | – | – | – | – | – | — | — | — | — | — | — | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
16 | 12 | 4 | 6 | – | 27 | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | – | 42 | |||||
1–2 Nov 23 | Lazar | Maariv[13] | 18 | 15 | 4 | 5 | – | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 5 | (1.4%) | 6 | (1.0%) | 42 | |
17 | 13 | 4 | 5 | – | 28 | — | 17 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | – | 6 | – | 40 | ||||
20–21 Sep 23 | Lazar | Maariv[14] | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | – | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | (1.4%) | 4 | (1.7%) | 53 | |
26 | 14 | – | – | – | 26 | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | – | – | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 52 | ||||
1 Jun 23 | Midgam | Arutz Sheva[15] | 26 | 18 | 5 | 6 | – | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | – | 4 | – | 54 | |
25 | 15 | 5 | 6 | – | 25 | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | – | 4 | – | 53 | ||||
24 | 17 | 5 | 6 | – | 27 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | – | 4 | – | 52 | ||||
25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | – | 25 | — | 9 | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | – | 4 | – | 52 | |||||
24 May 23 | Camil Fuchs | Channel 13[16] | 25 | 18 | 5 | 4 | – | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 5 | – | 4 | 4 | 50 | |
22 | 18 | 5 | 4 | – | 26 | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 9 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 5 | – | 4 | 4 | 53 | ||||
30 Apr 23 | Camil Fuchs | Channel 13[17] | 22 | 18 | 6 | 5 | – | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | – | 5 | 4 | 49 | |
21 | 17 | 5 | 5 | – | 24 | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | – | 5 | 4 | 46 | ||||
16 Apr 23 | Midgam | HaHadashot 12[18] | 24 | 20 | 11 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | (2.6%) | 5 | (2.8%) | 52 | |||
24 | 18 | 9 | 24 | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | (2.6%) | 5 | (2.8%) | 50 | ||||||
22 | 19 | 11 | 25 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | (2.6%) | 5 | (2.8%) | 50 | ||||||
22–23 Mar 23 | Panels Politics | Maariv[19] | 28 | 26 | 5 | 6 | – | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | (2.6%) | 5 | – | 56 | |
27 | 22 | 5 | 6 | – | 14 | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | – | 55 | ||||
27 | 24 | 5 | 6 | – | 16 | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | – | 4 | – | 55 | ||||
16 Mar 23 | Midgam | HaHadashot 12[20] | 29 | 23 | 12 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | (3.0%) | 5 | (1.0%) | 58 | |||
26 | 21 | 12 | 14 | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | – | 5 | – | 55 |
- ^ Eliav Breuer (7 March 2024). "Bennett, Yossi Cohen vying to head Israel's right-wing after Netanyahu - poll". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 13 March 2024.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
Ch13Mar3
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Ch12Jan11
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
C28dec23
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
14Dec21
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "סקר מיוחד: מפלגות חדשות של בנט ויוסי כהן מרסקות את יש עתיד". Now 14 (in Hebrew). 21 December 2023. Retrieved 22 December 2023.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
midgam18dec23
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Attila Somfalvi [@attilus] (7 December 2023). "בסדר בסדר, הנה גם מנדטים" (Tweet) (in Hebrew). Retrieved 9 December 2023 – via Twitter.
- ^ Attila Somfalvi [@attilus] (30 November 2023). "יום חמישי היום, חברים, ויש לי סקר טרי טרי בשבילכם שהגיע אלי ממש עכשיו. עורך הסקר: מכון KANTAR. היידה, מתחילים" (Tweet) (in Hebrew). Retrieved 30 November 2023 – via Twitter.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
HaHadashot16Nov
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Attila Somfalvi [@attilus] (14 November 2023). "הסקר שהגיע אליי נערך על ידי דודי חסיד, מכון קנטאר. מדובר בסקר נרחב, בקרב 1204 איש, והוא טרי" (Tweet) (in Hebrew). Retrieved 16 November 2023 – via Twitter.
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Maariv3Nov
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7June1
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13May24
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13May07
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12Apr16
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Nitzan Keidar (24 March 2023). "סקר: מפלגה בראשות יועז הנדל תשיג 6 מנדטים". Arutz Sheva (in Hebrew). Retrieved 27 March 2023.
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