Juan de Dios Ortúzar | |
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Alma mater | University of Leeds (M.Sc., Ph.D.) Pontifical Catholic University of Chile (B.Sc., C. Eng) |
Scientific career | |
Fields | Discrete Choice Externalities Travel surveys |
Institutions | Pontifical Catholic University of Chile |
Doctoral students | Rosa Marina González Marcela A. Munizaga Elisabetta Cherchi Luis Ignacio Rizzi Raquel Espino Victor Cantillo |
Juan de Dios Ortúzar (born January 24, 1949) is Emeritus Professor at the Pontifical Catholic University of Chile (PUC), Santiago, Chile. He specializes in discrete choice models, valuation of externalities, design and collection of mobility and preference surveys and transportation forecasting. He received a B.Sc. in Mathematics and a Civil Engineering degree at PUC, and a M.Sc. and a Ph.D. from Leeds University.
Juan de Dios Ortúzar pioneered the development of discrete choice modelling techniques and their application to determine willingness-to-pay for reducing externalities (accidents, noise and pollution). His research work has ventured into the interdisciplinary realm, with contributions in social housing, residential location, citizen security, work shifts and wine choice. In particular, the methodological advancements on valuation of externalities developed with his research team, have been applied in practice in Australia, Colombia, Germany, Norway and Spain. Founding member of the Institute in Complex Engineering Systems (2007); of the Chilean team leading the Centre of Excellence BRT+ (funded by the Volvo Research & Educational Foundations), with MIT, Sydney University, University of Pretoria and EMBARQ (2010), and of the Centre for Sustainable Urban Development (CEDEUS) at PUC (2012), he also led the interdisciplinary project Understanding Wine Preferences with the Centre for Aromas and Flavours at PUC and the participation of the Beijing Agricultural University.
Recipient of a Doctor Honoris Causa (University of Cantabria, Spain) in 2018, the Life Achievement Award (International Association for Travel Behaviour Research) in 2012 and the Humboldt Research Award (Alexander von Humboldt Foundation) in 2010, Prof. Ortúzar has formed several generations of professionals and specialists with a profound service vocation (including 13 Ph.D. and 45 M.Sc.), who work in academia, government and professional practice in Chile, Latin America and Europe.
He has published over 180 papers in archival journals and book chapters. Co-author of Modelling Transport, a book published by Wiley reflecting the state-of-practice in this discipline, which has sold over 20,000 copies and is now in its fourth edition; the book has been translated into Italian (2004) and Spanish (2008). He also edited four international books and has two further books in Spanish dealing with travel demand models and econometrics of discrete choice. Prof. Ortúzar is co-author of Micro-GUTS, a simulation game to train urban planners, which is used by more than 50 academic institutions around the world. Finally, he is currently Co-Editor in Chief of Transportation Research A and member of the editorial board of another nine international journals.
Juan de Dios Ortúzar has managed or advised large transport studies in Latin America and Europe, involving the application of advanced travel demand modelling techniques, and the use of revealed and stated preference data. In particular, he directed the design and implementation work of large scale mobility surveys in Chile, such as those for Santiago in 1991 (33,000 households) and the Santiago on-going survey, that started in 2001-2002 with 15,000 households and interviewed another 5,000 households per year between 2004 and 2007. He also directed the Bogotá 2011 mobility survey, where more than 15,000 households were interviewed.
Books
edit- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2015) Modelos de Demanda de Transporte. Second Enlarged Edition, Alfaomega, Bogota; Second Edition, 2000, First, 1994, Ediciones Universidad Católica, Santiago (in Spanish).
- Ortúzar, J. de D. and Willumsen, L.G. (2011) Modelling Transport. Fourth Edition, John Wiley and Sons, Chichester (Third Edition 2001, Second 1994, First 1990).
- Ortúzar, J. de D. and Willumsen, L.G. (2008) Modelos de Transporte. PUbliCan, Santander (translated to Spanish by A. Ibeas and L. Dell’Olio).
- Ortúzar, J. de D. and Willumsen, L.G. (2004) Pianificazione dei Sistema di Transporto. Editore Ulrico Hoepli, Milán (translated to Italian by E. Cherchi and I. Meloni).
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2000) Modelos Econométricos de Elección Discreta. Ediciones Universidad Católica, Santiago (in Spanish).
Edited Books
edit- Greene, M. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (eds.) (2018) El Camino de Lationoamérica y el Caribe hacia la Sustentabilidad. Ediciones ARQ, Santiago (in Spanish).
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (ed.) (2000) Stated Preference Modelling Techniques. Perspectives 4, PTRC Education and Research Services Ltd., London.
- Ortúzar, J. de D., Hensher, D.A. and Jara-Díaz, S.R. (eds.) (1998) Travel Behaviour Research: Updating the State of Play. Pergamon, Oxford.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (ed.) (1992) Simplified Transport Demand Modelling. Perspectives 2, PTRC Education and Research Services Ltd., London.
More Cited Publications
edit- Ortúzar, J. de D. and Willumsen, L.G. (2011) Modelling Transport. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester.
- Caussade, S., Ortúzar, J. de D., Rizzi, L.I. and Hensher, D.A. (2005) Assessing the influence of design dimensions on stated choice experiment estimates. Transportation Research 39B, 621-640.
- Williams, H.C.W.L. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (1982) Behavioural theories of dispersion and the mis-specification of travel demand models. Transportation Research 16B, 167-219.
- Sillano, M. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2005) Willingness-to-pay estimation with mixed logit models: some new evidence. Environment and Planning 37A, 525-550.
- Ortúzar, J. de D., Iacobelli, A. and Valeze, C. (2000) Estimating demand for a cycle-way network. Transportation Research 34A, 353-373.
- Rizzi, L.I. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2003) Stated preference in the valuation of interurban road safety. Accident Analysis and Prevention 35, 9-22.
- Gaudry, M.J.I., Jara-Díaz, S.R. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (1989) Value of time sensitivity to model specification. Transportation Research 23B, 151-158.
- Cantillo, V. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2005) A semi-compensatory discrete choice model with explicit attribute thresholds of perception. Transportation Research 39B, 641-657.
- Iragüen, P. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2004) Willingness-to-pay for reducing fatal accidents risk in urban areas: an internet-based web page stated preference survey. Accident Analysis and Prevention 36, 513-524.
- Armstrong, P.M., Garrido, R.A. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2001) Confidence intervals to bound the value of time. Transportation Research 37E, 143-161.
Recent Papers
edit- Allen, J., Muñoz, J.C. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2018) Modelling service-specific and global transit satisfaction under travel and user heterogeneity. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 113, 509-528.
- González-Valdés, F. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2018) The stochastic satisficing model: a bounded rationality discrete choice model. Journal of Choice Modelling 27, 74-87.
- González, R.M., Román, C., Amador, F.J., Rizzi, L.I., Ortúzar, J. de D., Espino, R., Martin, J.C. and Cherchi, E. (2016) Estimating the value of risk reductions for car drivers when pedestrians are involved: a case study in Spain. Transportation 45(2), 499-521.
- Palma, D.E., Ortúzar, J. de D., Rizzi, L.I. and Casaubon, G. (2017) Modelling consumers’ heterogeneous preferences: a case study with Chilean wine consumers. Australian Journal of Grape and Wine Research 24(1), 51-61.
- Greene, M., Mora, R., Figueroa, C., Waintrub, N. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2017) Towards a sustainable city: applying urban renewal incentives according to the social and urban characteristics of the area. Habitat International 68, 15-23.
- Bahamonde-Birke, F.J. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2017) Analysing the continuity of attitudinal and perceptual indicators in hybrid choice models. Journal of Choice Modelling 25, 28-39.
- Cherchi, E., Cirillo, C. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2017) Modelling correlation patterns in mode choice models estimated on multiday travel data. Transportation Research 96A, 146-153.
- Bahamonde-Birke, F.J., Kunert, U., Link, H. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2017) About attitudes and perceptions – finding the proper way to consider latent variables in discrete choice models. Transportation 44, 475-493.
- Bahamonde-Birke, F.J., Navarro. I. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2017) If you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice. Journal of Choice Modelling 22, 13-23.
- Jensen, A.F., Cherchi, E., Mabit, S.L. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2016) Predicting the potential market for electric vehicles. Transportation Science 51(2), 427-444.
- Batarce, M., Muñoz, J.C and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2016) Value crowding in public transport: implications for cost-benefit analysis. Transportation Research 91A, 358-378.
- Guarda, P., Galilea, P., Paget-Seekins, L. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2016) What is behind fare evasion in urban bus systems? An econometric approach. Transportation Research 84A, 55-71.
- Palma, D.E., Ortúzar, J. de D., Rizzi, L.I., Guevara, C.A., Casaubon , G. and Ma, H. (2016) Modelling choice when price is a cue for quality: a case study with Chinese consumers. Journal of Choice Modelling 19, 24-39.
- Waintrub, N., Greene, M. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2016) Designing incentive packages for increased density and social inclusion in the neighbourhood of mass transit stations. Habitat International 55, 133-147.
- Batarce, M., Muñoz, J.C., Ortúzar, J. de D., Raveau, S., Mojica, C. and Ríos A. (2015) Valuing crowding in public transport systems using mixed SP/RP data: the case of Santiago. Transportation Research Record 2535, 73-78.
- Balbontín, C., Ortúzar, J. de D. and Swait, J.D. (2015) A joint best-worst scaling and stated choice model considering observed and unobserved heterogeneity: an application to residential location choice. Journal of Choice Modelling 16, 1-14.
- Flügel, S., Elvik , R., Veisten, K., Rizzi , L.I, Meyer , S.F., Ramjerdi, F. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2015) Asymmetric preferences for road safety: evidence from a stated choice experiment among car drivers. Transportation Research 31F, 112-123.
- Flügel, S., Halse, A.H., Ortúzar, J. de D and Rizzi, L.I. (2015) Methodological challenges in modelling the choice of mode for a new travel alternative using binary stated choice data - the case of high speed rail in Norway. Transportation Research 78A, 438-451.
- Díaz F., Cantillo V., Arellana J. and Ortúzar J. de D. (2015) Accounting for stochastic variables in discrete choice models. Transportation Research 78B, 222-237.
- Flügel, S., Rizzi, L.I., Veisten, K., Elvik, R. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2015) Car drivers’ valuation of landslide risk reductions. Safety Science 77, 1-9.
- Grisolía, J.M., López, F. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2015) Increasing the acceptability of a congestion charging scheme. Transport Policy 39, 37-47.
- De Grange, L., Fariña, P. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2015) Dealing with collinearity in travel time valuation. Transportmetrica 11A, 317-332.
- Ibeas, A., dell’Olio, L., Bordagaray, M. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2014) Modelling parking choices considering user heterogeneity. Transportation Research 70A, 41-49.
- Román, C., Martín, J.C., Espino, R., Cherchi, E., Ortúzar, J. de D., Rizzi, L.I., González, R.M. and Amador, F.J. (2014) Valuation of travel time savings for intercity travel: the Madrid-Barcelona corridor. Transport Policy 36, 105-117.
- Di Ciommo, F., Comendador, J., López-Lambas, M.E., Cherchi, E. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2014) Exploring the role of social capital influence variables on travel behaviour. Transportation Research 68A, 46-55.
- Bahamonde-Birke, F.J. and Ortúzar J. de D. (2014) Is sequential estimation a suitable second best for estimation of hybrid choice models? Transportation Research Record 2429, 51-58.
- Grisolía, J.M., López, F. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2014) Burying the highway: the social valuation of community severance and amenity. International Journal of Sustainable Transportation 9(4), 298-309.
- Jensen, A.F., Cherchi, E. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2014) A long panel survey to elicit variations in preferences and attitudes in the choice of electric vehicles. Transportation 41(5), 973-993.
- Bahamonde-Birke, F.J. and Ortúzar, J. de D. (2014) On the variability of hybrid discrete choice models. Transportmetrica 10A(1), 74-88.
Directories
editJuan de Dios Ortúzar is active in several national and international boards and committees.
- Advisory Committee, Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies: Australian Key Center in Transport Management (Board member since its establishment in 1996).
- Academia de Ingeniería de Chile (Number Member, since its creation in 2010).
- International Association for Travel Behaviour Research (Board Member 1985-1999 and from 2005 onwards, Co-Vice-Chairman 2010-2012, Co-Chairman 2012-2014).
- Chilean Society of Transport Engineering (Founding Partner and Past President).
He has also participated in the following Directories:
- Scientific Advisory Board, HIGH-TOOL Project, Karlsruhe Institut für Technologie (2014-2017).
- Scientific and Business Directorate, Aromas and Flavours Centre, DICTUC S.A. (2013-2016).
- Executive Board, BRT+ (2010-2017).
- Head, Department of Transport Engineering, PUC, (1990-1992), (1994-1998) and (2005-2009).
- International Steering Committee for Travel Survey Conferences, ISCTSC (since its inception in 1998).
- International Board Member, Association for European Transport (1999-2009).
- Director of Research and Postgraduate Studies, School of Engineering, PUC, (1992-1994).
- International Board member, PTRC Education and Research Services Ltd. (1982-1998).
Major Honours and Awards
edit- 2018 Doctor Honoris Causa, University of Cantabria, Spain.
- 2017 Medal of Honour of Academic, Scientific and Business Merit, North University, Colombia, which recognizes the academic and scientific work of the winner.
- 2016 Professor Emeritus, Pontifical Catholic University of Chile.
- 2013 Distinguished Transport Lecturer, University of Hong Kong.
- 2012 IATBR Life Achievement Award, granted every three years by the International Association for Travel Behaviour Research, to honour the trajectory of the recipient (first non-English speaker to receive it).
- 2012 FONDECYT Award 30 years, awarded by the National Commission of Science and Technology of Chile, for having been awarded 13 successive research projects since the beginning of the contest.
- 2010 Humboldt Research Award, granted by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation of Germany, in recognition of the trajectory and importance of the award-winning researcher (third Chilean to receive it).
- 2010 UC Engineering Award, awarded biannually by the School of Engineering UC , for the outstanding academic career of the winner (first to receive it).
Keynote Conferences
editHe has presented over 150 papers at International Conferences and more than 100 at Regional Conferences. He has also been a Guest Speaker (Keynote Speaker) at the following:
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2017) Transportation planning: historical development and future challenges. XII Colombian Congress of Transportation and Traffic Engineering, Bogotá, 23-25 October.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2016) Valuation of intangibles: how to measure the unmeasurable. European Transport Conference 2016, Barcelona, 5-7 October.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2016) Road pricing: an impeccable policy - how can we sell it? International Workshop on Urban Traffic Congestion Mitigation: Advanced Models, Solutions and Challenges, Zhejian University, 10-11 July.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2016) State of practice and future challenges in strategic transport planning. 16th Chinese Overseas Transport Association (COTA) International Conference of Transportation Professionals (CICTP2016), Shanghai, 5-9 July.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2015) Recent advancements in discrete choice modelling techniques for public policy design. 8th International Forum on Shipping, Ports and Airports (IFSPA) 2015, Hong Kong, November 29-December 2.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2014) Reflections on the state of the art and future challenges in transport research. XVIII Pan-American Congress of Traffic, Transport and Logistics Engineering, Santander, 11-13 June.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2009) Discrete choice modeling with panel data. European Regional Meeting of the International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics,Cagliary, May 30-June 3.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2008) Estimating individual preferences with flexible discrete choice models. 9th Sensometrics Conference, Brock University, July 19-24.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2007) Valuation of intangible with stated preference methods: a view from the fringe of the empire. Oslo Workshop on Valuation Methods in Transport Planning, Oslo, 19-20 March.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2006) Defining the state of the art in discrete choice modeling. Double Workshop on Transportation and Sustainable Cities, University of Chile, 7-11 August.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2005) Metropolitan mobility surveys: the state of practice. 24th Annual Southern Africa Transport Conference (SATC 2005), Pretoria, 11-13 July.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (2004) Travel survey methods in Latin America. Seventh International Conference on Survey Methods in Transport, Los Suenos, Costa Rica, 1-6 August.
- Ortúzar, J. de D. (1993) Modeling of transport demand: perspectives on the future. I Symposium on Transport Engineering, University of Seville, 24-26 March.
External Links
edit- Personal homepage on Pontifical Catholic University website
- Pontifical Catholic University of Chile
- UC Department of Transportation and Logistics Engineering
- Centre of Excellence Bus Rapid Transit
- Centre for Sustainable Urban Development
- Institute in Complex Engineering Systems
- Scientific and Technological Research of the Pontifical Catholic University of Chile
- Chilean Society of Transport Engineering
- Google Scholar