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Table

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Predicting earthquakes M>6 ( estimates are not real / true )
Precursor Accuracy Necessary

conditions

Other
precursors
as prequisites
Active
evaluation
systems
Place Time Magnitude Probability
Animal behavior locally a few hours - Any
Dilatancy–diffusion
Changes in Vp/Vs
Radon emissions
SES Selectivity areas

i.e. XXX x XXX km2

90% 50% yes
Seismic analysis
in natural time
XXX/3 a few days 70% SES yes
Corralitos anomaly
Ionospheric
disturbance
wide regions
i.e. "Central Italy"
a few days yes
Ground
"temperature"
500 x 500 km2 a few days Not under sea
Surface
disformation
20 km ? Not under sea
(yet)
no
MHz EM ? a few days 75% Shallow
Not under sea
no
kHz EM ? a few hours 100% Shallow
Not under sea
MHz no


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