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Coale's 3 pre-conditions Coale's 3 pre-conditions are determinants of whether or not people will

The Demographic Transition -as stated by Coale- occurs when a country develops a strong economy and within the society, low fertility and mortality will start to reflect based upon the economic standpoint. [2]

The European Project's goal was to correlate the fertility rates within married couples, and the rate of infant mortality. [3] Coale established three pre-conditions to fertility decline. Ansley Coale, "Factors associated with the development of low fertility: An historic summary," Proceedings of the World PoptulationConference, Belgrade 1965 (New York: United Nations, 1967), pp. 205-209. [4] The European Project lead to a better understanding that infant mortality and fertility decline do not necessarily follow each other.

Coale established three pre-conditions to fertility decline. The first one is "within the conscious of choice". In other words, it is up to the individual and within their own decision to have children. The second one would be if a society sees not having children as advantageous, then fertility will decline. The third pre-condition is to have contraception methods ready. It is important to emphasize that a society will start to shows signs of fertility decline if these three pre-conditions are met. [5]


All of this was added to the Ansley J Coale Wiki Article. Emily, please let me know if there is any errors within these sources/information.


Wiki Assignment Part lll -Copyediting an article Article that will be copyedited: Ansley J Coale Article needs citations to reliable sources Coale joined the faculty at Princeton in 1947, the same year he received his Ph.D. there. He spent his entire academic career at the University's Office of Population Research, serving as director from 1959 to 1975. He was president of the Population Association of America in 1967-68 and president of the International Union for the Scientific Study of Population (IUSSP) from 1977 to 1981.[6]

His "Growth and Structure of Human Populations" (1972) is considered an essential textbook for those interested in formal demography. He also trained and served as a mentor to many students who became leaders in the field. [7]


NEEDS MORE INFO: Toward the end of his career, Coale became interested in the population changes in China and understanding the fertility transition there as well as factors affecting the sex ratio at birth. In a study conducted by Ansley J. Coale, India and China are being compared in both their population size and fertility trends. Published in a Journal article called Population trends in China and India, Coale introduces the possible causes of differences in fertility trends in such high populated countries. These reasons are based on policies put in place to reduce birth rates and some cultural differences that come into play. Finally, Coale presents the future of both countries and states that despite the efforts to reduce birth rates, the countries will remain to be most populated. [8]


  A survey named the 1/1000 Fertility Survey, reached out to women living in various provinces of China and asked them to relate a brief history of their marital status and a family planning discussion. The survey then served as an understanding of the population and fertility changes that would occur in China shortly after. [9]
  1. ^ Coale, AJ (1984). "The Demographic Transition -as stated by Coale- occurs when a country develops a strong economy and within the society, low fertility and mortality will start to reflect based upon the economic standpoint". Pakistan development review. 23 (4): 531–52. PMID 12280194.
  2. ^ Coale, AJ (1984). "The Demographic Transition -as stated by Coale- occurs when a country develops a strong economy and within the society, low fertility and mortality will start to reflect based upon the economic standpoint". Pakistan development review. 23 (4): 531–52. PMID 12280194.
  3. ^ F, Van de Walle. "Infant mortality and the European demographic transition". K4Health. Retrieved 28 March 2017.
  4. ^ . ISSN 0032-4728. {{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires |journal= (help); Missing or empty |title= (help)
  5. ^ Haines, Michael R. (1 January 1989). "Social Class Differentials during Fertility Decline: England and Wales Revisited". Population Studies. pp. 305–323. Retrieved 29 March 2017.
  6. ^ "Ansley J. Coale on Increases in Expectation of Life and Population Growth". Population and Development Review. 29 (1): 113–120. March 2003. doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2003.00113.x.
  7. ^ "Ansley J. Coale on Increases in Expectation of Life and Population Growth". Population and Development Review. 29 (1): 113–120. March 2003. doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2003.00113.x.
  8. ^ Coale, Ansley J (December 1982). "Population trends in China and India (A Review)" (PDF). Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA. 80: 1757-1763. Retrieved 5 April 2017.
  9. ^ Coale, Ansley J., and Ronald Freedman. “Demography of China.” Science, vol. 231, no. 4739, 1986, pp. 659–660., www.jstor.org/stable/1696284.