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This article lists a chronological time line of major non-fictional and documented predictions by scientists and field experts, concerning human evolution, technology, biotechnology and related fields.
Inclusion criteria for list entries:
- The prediction must be a major milestone or otherwise have a significant impact
- The prediction must directly apply to the future of human kind
- The prediction must be made by a field expert
- The prediction must have a well-grounded scientific explanation for its plausibility
Improper entries are:
- Predictions which are highly disputed predictions by a vast majority of experts
- Estimates (e.g. "By 2030, 10% of deaths in the worlds are caused by AIDS")
- Predictions which have a very remote relation to human kind, however major they might be (e.g. extinction of unrelated species, with the possible exception of an extinction level event)
- Predictions which may widely vary in prediction date (e.g. "In about 5 billion years, the sun will enter a red giant phase")
| By | Date | Event | Decription | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Huston, APNIC | September 2011 | IPv4 address exhaustion for the IANA pool | The IANA pool of Internet Protocol version 4 addresses will be depleted. From this day on, IPv6 is mandatory for new internet connections. | [1] |
| Alain F. Carpentier, leading heart transplant specialist at AATS | 2013 | A total artificial heart will be ready as an alternative transplant. | On October 27, 2008, French professor and leading heart transplant specialist Alain F. Carpentier announced that a fully implantable artificial heart will be ready for clinical trial by 2011 and for alternative transplant in 2013. It was developed and will be manufactured by him, Biomedical firm Carmat, and venture capital firm Truffle. The prototype uses electronic sensors and is made from chemically treated animal tissues, called "biomaterials", or a "pseudo-skin" of biosynthetic, microporous materials. Another US team with a prototype called 2005 MagScrew Total Artificial Heart, including Japan and South Korea researchers are racing to produce similar projects. | [2][3][4] |
| Michael J. Laine, LiftPort Group | 2014 | First operational space elevator | A literal elevator into space, most likely constructed using nanotubes and connected to a mobile seagoing platform and a counterweight orbiting in space. With a space elevator materials might be sent into orbit at a fraction of the current cost. | [5][6] |
| Michael Griffin, NASA | 2037 | Estimated launch of the first manned mission to Mars | In 2007, the then NASA Administrator, hinted that NASA may be able to launch a human mission to Mars. | [7] |
References
edit- ^ Huston, Geoff. "IPv4 Address Report, daily generated". Retrieved 2009-09-25.
- ^ news.yahoo.com, Total artificial heart to be ready by 2011: research team
- ^ timesonline.co.uk, Scientists develop artificial heart that beats like the real thing
- ^ afp.google.com, Total artificial heart to be ready by 2011: research team
- ^ David, Leonard (2002). "The Space Elevator Comes Closer to Reality".
{{cite web}}: Unknown parameter|accessdtate=ignored (help) '(Bradley Edwards said) In 12 years, we could be launching tons of payload every three days' - ^ "The Space Elevator". Institute for Scientific Research, Inc. Retrieved 2006-03-05.
- ^ AFP: NASA aims to put man on Mars by 2037