History

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The 2010 guidewriters who predicted successful candidates at a higher rate than the average guidewriter (10.75 of the 19 candidates) were (see Lar's summary of last year's guides at User:SandyGeorgia/ArbVotes2010/Guides):

  1. SandyGeorgia (13)
  2. NuclearWarfare and Ealdgyth (12)
  3. Wizardman, Lar and MastCell (11)

A summary table of the 2011 guidewriters who provided the best predictions for 2010 is at:

2011 environment

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There are eight seats to be filled this year to complete a committee of 15 (reduced from last year's 18), with a community-wide RFC endorsing a low support percentage for election-- in no previous election have arbs been selected with a 50% support percentage. The backdrop for this year's election is one of disappointment in the current committee because of leaked correspondence, making it potentially harder for incumbents to retain their seats, even with a disappointing pool of new candidates.

I do not see even seven candidates on the list that I am comfortable with, and shortly before voting was to start, the election coordinators decided that eight new arbs would be elected, to account for a last-minute resignation. Considering the unfortunate new low (50% support) set for election, it appears likely that we will end up with a committee made up of mostly of members elected with record-low support percentages. The dearth of qualified candidates this year is worse than it's ever been, and it's the first time I'm unable to come up with as many candidates to support as there are openings on the committee.

Considering the above factors, the only way I see to avoid a committee made up of marginal 50% vote-getters is to make ample use of the oppose button this year, cross our fingers, and hope for the best possible outcome. There are not eight candidates I can support, but I will add my support to the best of the bunch.

Candidate list and SandyGeorgia votes

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User Statement & Questions Rights Edits Since My thoughts Vote
AGK
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Statement

Questions
Discussion

A,CU,OS 30,521 2006-02-27 No reason to oppose, don't know well enough to support.  
Abstain


Coren
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Statement

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A,CU,OS,Arb 16,556 2003-05-27 I endorsed Coren when he was elected, but even though he quickly removed this post, that he typed these thoughts is not acceptable for an arb. He was also the arb who, IMO, was most frequently found making inappropriate commentary in the leaked correspondence. Considering the dearth of good candidates this year, it is unfortunate if we lose an incumbent, but sneering at an experienced content contributor in these terms is wrong, wrong, wrong.  
Oppose


Courcelles
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Statement

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A,CU,OS 206,036 2006-09-17 Have always liked him.  
Support


DeltaQuad
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Statement

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A,OTRS 16,811 2007-11-07 Per NW, and with the high turnover on the committee, declining editorship, and denigration of content contributors, we need demonstrated content contributors.  
Oppose


Eluchil404
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Statement

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A 10,768 2006-03-02 Never heard of this user, which is strange, and a look at this editor's contribs and responses to the questions doesn't indicate a user who is engaged enough with content, dispute resolution, and the serious issues the arbs encounter. We'll have a difficult enough time coming up with a good committee this time: we can't afford to gamble on an unknown.  
Oppose


Geni
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Statement

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A,OTRS 28,766 2004-03-30 Concerns this editor will be soft on admin abuse, which is one of the main remits of ArbCom.[1][2] [3] Not entirely logical, obfuscates when confronted with obvious. [4] [5] Also per NW links.  
Oppose


Hersfold
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Statement

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A,CU,OS,ex-Arb 33,277 2006-12-21 Don't know well enough to oppose or support.  
Abstain


Hot_Stop
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Statement

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None 831 2011-04-11 Inexperienced, non-starter.  
Oppose


Jclemens
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A,CU,OS,Arb 32,210 2006-08-24 Supported last year, but haven't reviewed this year's work.  
Abstain


Kirill_Lokshin
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Statement

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A,CU,OS,Arb 70,451 2005-06-08 Was not as alarmed as some others by his comments on the leaked correspondence, and have always thought him to be a great arb.  
Support


Kww
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Statement

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A,OTRS(?) 55,932 2007-01-09 Soft on BLPs, see candidate statement. In past elections and discussions, I've made my disappointment known about what I consider to be our most embarrassing mainpage TFA: the Natalee Holloway article, and the trampling on consensus that occurred on the talk page there, which to me reflects the regard KWW holds for the "disappeared" (featuring an article on our main page which goes out of its way to unnecessarily dis the mother of a dead girl on her birthday was unsavory, but plays well to the POV of the Aruban people). The trend here, where a sanctioned editor endorses KWW also concerns me, considering this guide is written by a user who may be looking for those more likely to be "soft" on abuse-- not what we need.  
Oppose


NWA.Rep
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Statement

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None 4,289 2006-02-12 Per everyone. Just No.  
Oppose


Panyd
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Statement

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A,OTRS 9,044 2007-10-13 See Black Eyed Kids (a non-notable, non-reliably sourced DYK that ran on the mainpage in spite of me alerting them in advance, subsequently deleted) at this page. Doesn't have a good grasp of content creation, long-time contributor to DYK, a breeding ground for copyvio, plagiarism, and cut-and-paste editing, where most regulars have failed to acknowledge and address the issue for years. These are BIG issues facing the project, and we shouldn't elect arbs who don't understand the seriousness of the copyright crisis.  
Oppose


Risker
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Statement

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A,CU,OS,Arb 18,805 2005-12-27 Supported before, still do.  
Support


Roger_Davies
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A,CU,OS,Arb 29,341 2005-09-17 Supported before, still do.  
Support


SilkTork
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A 51,864 2006-01-12 I liked his answer on the Mattisse issue-- deserves a shot.  
Support


Worm_That_Turned
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Statement

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A,OTRS 8,905 2008-07-13 Too new to adminship, not enough content work, not enough evidence for me to feel comfortable just yet.  
Oppose