Wikipedia

Uva Paranagama Polling Division

The Uva Paranagama Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Badulla Electoral District, in the Uva Province, Sri Lanka.

Uva Paranagama
Polling Division
Location of Uva Paranagama
Coordinates: 6°58′14″N 80°55′09″E / 6.970683°N 80.919063°E / 6.970683; 80.919063
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceUva Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictBadulla Electoral District
Area
 • Total127.49 km2 (49.22 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total77,998
 • Density612/km2 (1,590/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-19F

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Uva Paranagama has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Uva Paranagama is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.74% SLPP 1.07%
2015 UPFA NDF 2.48% NDF 4.30%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.51% UPFA 1.94%
2005 UNP UNP 3.07% UPFA 1.75%
1999 UNP UNP 0.25% PA 4.56%
1994 PA PA 0.71% PA 7.31%
1988 UNP UNP 15.39% UNP 23.35%
1982 UNP UNP 3.02% UNP 7.00%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 6/8 3.65% 8/8 6.41%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[4] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 27,028 51.23% 276,211 49.29% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 22,787 43.19% 251,706 44.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,735 3.29% 17,622 3.14% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,207 2.29% 14,806 2.64% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 52,757 99.05% 560,345 98.77% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 506 0.95% 6,978 1.23% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 53,263 86.41% 567,323 86.25% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 61,637 657,766 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[5] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,337 51.74% 249,243 49.15% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 22,894 46.75% 249,524 49.21% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 735 1.50% 8,303 1.64% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 48,966 98.75% 507,070 98.47% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 621 1.25% 7,871 1.53% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 49,587 79.10% 514,941 79.51% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 62,689 647,628 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[6] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,831 55.85% 237,579 53.23% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 18,696 42.05% 198,835 44.55% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 932 2.10% 9,880 2.21% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 44,459 99.05% 446,294 98.66% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 425 0.95% 6,083 1.34% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 44,884 75.47% 452,377 75.62% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 59,472 598,190 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[7] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,127 50.04% 226,582 53.11% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 21,387 48.37% 192,734 45.18% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 704 1.59% 7,283 1.71% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 44,218 98.69% 426,599 98.43% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 588 1.31% 6,825 1.57% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 44,806 80.51% 433,424 78.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 55,655 550,926 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[8] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,969 48.08% 172,884 47.97% 3,602,748 42.71%
PA 18,433 46.72% 167,000 46.33% 4,312,157 51.12%
JVP 1,401 3.55% 12,025 3.34% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 647 1.64% 8,512 2.36% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 39,450 97.62% 360,421 97.04% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 960 2.38% 10,979 2.96% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 40,410 81.54% 371,400 78.25% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 49,560 474,610 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[9] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 20,307 54.77% 182,810 55.27% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 16,031 43.24% 139,611 42.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 739 1.99% 8,351 2.52% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 37,077 96.70% 330,772 95.91% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,267 3.30% 14,093 4.09% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 38,344 81.36% 344,865 77.47% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 47,127 445,146 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[10] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 3,255 76.35% 80,779 60.09% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 956 22.43% 50,223 37.36% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 52 1.22% 3,422 2.55% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 4,263 97.04% 134,424 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 130 2.96% 3,276 2.38% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 4,393 11.40% 137,700 44.21% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 38,520 311,473 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[11] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,564 60.58% 141,062 58.67% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 9,251 31.91% 88,462 36.79% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,851 6.38% 7,713 3.21% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 327 1.13% 3,203 1.33% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 28,993 98.86% 240,440 98.77% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 335 1.14% 2,982 1.23% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 29,328 87.10% 243,422 85.47% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 33,670 284,801 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Uva Paranagama has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Uva Paranagama is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 0.47% UNP 5.58%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.68% UPFA 0.94%
2004 UPFA UNP 2.83% UPFA 6.32%
2001 UNP UNP 2.71% UNP 4.28%
2000 PA UNP 2.33% PA 3.02%
1994 UNP UNP 1.86% PA 5.34%
1989 UNP UNP 1.17% UNP 6.31%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 4/7 1.86% 7/7 4.54%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[14] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,636 54.65% 258,844 54.82% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 17,564 38.96% 179,459 38.01% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,048 4.54% 21,445 4.54% 544,154 4.88%
CWC 653 1.45% 10,259 2.17% 17,107 0.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 177 0.39% 2,159 0.46% 76,945 0.69%
Valid Votes 45,078 95.19% 472,166 95.03% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,234 4.72% 24,167 4.86% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 47,357 75.54% 496,849 80.07% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 62,689 620,486 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[15] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 21,537 60.71% 203,689 58.25% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 11,253 31.72% 112,886 32.28% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,696 4.78% 15,768 4.51% 441,251 5.50%
UPF 625 1.76% 11,481 3.28% 24,670 0.31%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 363 1.02% 5,854 1.67% 28,670 0.36%
Valid Votes 35,474 93.47% 349,678 93.54% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,478 6.53% 24,169 6.46% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 37,952 63.81% 373,847 62.46% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 59,472 598,521 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[16] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 19,946 51.54% 178,634 48.26% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 18,030 46.59% 181,705 49.09% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 723 1.87% 9,839 2.66% 610,312 6.60%
Valid Votes 38,699 92.20% 370,178 92.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,275 7.80% 30,159 7.53% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 41,974 78.18% 400,337 78.33% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 53,690 511,115 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[17] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,496 51.52% 201,173 53.81% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 16,287 40.94% 138,443 37.03% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 2,772 6.97% 26,820 7.17% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 226 0.57% 7,401 1.98% 79,391 0.89%
Valid Votes 39,781 93.69% 373,837 93.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,681 6.31% 26,626 6.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 42,462 82.03% 400,463 81.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 51,763 491,288 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[18] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,162 46.96% 154,172 42.71% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 17,582 45.46% 167,351 46.36% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,815 4.69% 16,414 4.55% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 720 1.86% 10,987 3.04% 431,432 5.02%
CWC 394 1.02% 12,092 3.35% 22,985 0.27%
Valid Votes 38,673 N/A 361,016 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[19] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,310 52.05% 182,131 54.04% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 16,792 45.26% 146,546 43.48% 3,887,805 48.94%
SLPF 520 1.40% 3,555 1.05% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 480 1.29% 4,827 1.43% 133,427 1.68%
Valid Votes 37,102 92.30% 337,059 92.19% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,095 7.70% 28,540 7.81% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 40,197 85.30% 365,599 82.23% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 47,127 444,632 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Uva Paranagama[20] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,835 59.92% 135,089 58.97% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 9,739 36.85% 81,011 35.36% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 344 1.30% 5,589 2.44% 67,723 1.21%
MEP 337 1.28% 1,693 0.74% 90,480 1.62%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 171 0.65% 5,712 2.49% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 26,426 88.51% 229,094 92.08% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 3,429 11.49% 19,704 7.92% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 29,855 78.02% 248,798 75.55% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 38,268 329,321 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Uva Paranagama Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (83.8%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (11.2%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Uva Paranagama Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (73.0%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (18.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Uva Paranagama[1]

  Sinhalese (83.8%)
  Indian Tamil (11.2%)
  Moor (2.9%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (2.1%)
  Other (0.1%)

Religion

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The Uva Paranagama Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (83.8%) and a significant Hindu population (12.3%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Uva Paranagama Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (72.6%) and a significant Hindu population (19.3%) [1]

Religion in Uva Paranagama[1]

  Buddhist (83.8%)
  Hindu (12.3%)
  Muslim (2.9%)
  Other (1.0%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Uva Paranagama and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Uva Paranagama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Uva Paranagama and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Uva Paranagama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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