Wikipedia

Wellawaya Polling Division

The Wellawaya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Monaragala Electoral District, in the Uva Province, Sri Lanka.

Wellawaya
Polling Division
Map
Coordinates: 6°33′55″N 81°10′53″E / 6.565220°N 81.181471°E / 6.565220; 81.181471
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceUva Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictMonaragala Electoral District
Area
 • Total
2,557.25 km2 (987.36 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
199,947
 • Density78/km2 (200/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-20C

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Wellawaya has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Wellawaya is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Wellawaya Monaragala Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 2.34% SLPP 14.68%
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.38% NDF 15.06%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.06% UPFA 11.93%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.28% UPFA 6.90%
1999 PA PA 0.93% PA 1.41%
1994 PA PA 0.54% PA 0.71%
1988 UNP UNP 7.63% UNP 18.85%
1982 UNP UNP 2.30% UNP 5.71%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 2.06% 8/8 9.41%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Wellawaya[4] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 91,349 67.76% 208,814 65.34% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 35,557 26.37% 92,539 28.95% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 5,094 3.78% 11,235 3.52% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,818 2.09% 7,016 2.20% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 134,818 99.24% 319,604 99.07% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,034 0.76% 3,000 0.93% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 135,852 87.96% 322,604 88.02% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 154,442 366,524 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Wellawaya[5] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 76,069 62.87% 172,745 61.45% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 43,678 36.10% 105,276 37.45% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,241 1.03% 3,095 1.10% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 120,988 98.90% 281,116 98.79% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,349 1.10% 3,449 1.21% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 122,337 82.04% 284,565 79.90% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 149,116 356,146 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Wellawaya[6] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 68,310 70.12% 158,435 69.01% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 27,369 28.10% 66,803 29.10% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,735 1.78% 4,346 1.89% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 97,414 99.20% 229,584 99.02% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 790 0.80% 2,272 0.98% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 98,204 75.80% 231,856 73.94% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 129,564 313,554 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Wellawaya[7] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 54,066 57.26% 126,094 56.94% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 39,117 41.43% 92,244 41.65% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,236 1.31% 3,112 1.41% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 94,419 98.89% 221,450 98.82% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 1,055 1.11% 2,636 1.18% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 95,474 79.89% 224,086 78.54% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 119,506 285,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Wellawaya[8] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 37,950 49.74% 92,049 51.07% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 31,534 41.33% 73,695 40.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 5,279 6.92% 10,456 5.80% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,538 2.02% 4,045 2.24% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 76,301 98.07% 180,245 97.74% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,503 1.93% 4,161 2.26% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 77,804 79.04% 184,406 78.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 98,437 235,252 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Wellawaya[9] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 38,050 62.76% 96,620 63.20% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 21,090 34.79% 52,026 34.03% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,483 2.45% 4,223 2.76% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 60,623 97.50% 152,869 97.46% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,553 2.50% 3,977 2.54% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 62,176 73.75% 156,846 77.23% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 84,310 203,102 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Wellawaya[10] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 5,895 71.07% 16,872 63.21% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 2,188 26.38% 9,123 34.18% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 212 2.56% 697 2.61% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 8,295 97.75% 26,692 96.91% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 191 2.25% 851 3.09% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 8,486 12.66% 27,543 16.99% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 67,011 162,135 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Wellawaya[11] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,874 45.36% 51,264 49.38% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 15,797 42.47% 44,115 42.49% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 4,225 11.36% 7,171 6.91% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 304 0.82% 1,271 1.22% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 37,200 98.51% 103,821 98.53% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 563 1.49% 1,553 1.47% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 37,763 77.09% 105,374 82.45% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 48,988 127,799 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Wellawaya has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Wellawaya is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Wellawaya Monaragala Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.55% UNP 8.44%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.86% UPFA 11.94%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.25% UPFA 8.66%
2001 UNP PA 1.21% UNP 3.24%
2000 PA PA 2.04% PA 2.04%
1994 PA PA 1.48% PA 0.73%
1989 UNP UNP 4.73% UNP 6.21%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 2.02% 7/7 5.89%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Wellawaya[14] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 61,527 54.99% 138,136 52.53% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 43,677 39.03% 110,372 41.97% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 6,378 5.70% 13,626 5.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 312 0.28% 854 0.32% 59,382 0.53%
Valid Votes 111,894 97.05% 262,988 96.59% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,405 2.95% 9,291 3.41% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 115,299 77.32% 272,279 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 149,116 339,797 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Wellawaya[15] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 50,073 74.59% 120,634 75.64% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 12,199 18.17% 28,892 18.12% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 4,507 6.71% 9,018 5.65% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 348 0.52% 947 0.59% 34,793 0.43%
Valid Votes 67,127 94.78% 159,491 94.02% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,694 5.22% 10,149 5.98% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 70,821 54.66% 169,640 54.04% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 129,564 313,931 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Wellawaya[16] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,137 62.21% 117,456 61.14% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 29,102 35.40% 71,067 36.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,618 1.97% 2,675 1.39% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 348 0.42% 915 0.48% 58,082 0.63%
Valid Votes 82,205 93.95% 192,113 93.75% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 5,296 6.05% 12,816 6.25% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 87,501 77.02% 204,929 78.00% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 113,614 262,742 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Wellawaya[17] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 34,428 43.08% 80,549 43.00% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 33,230 41.58% 81,805 43.67% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 11,148 13.95% 21,987 11.74% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,114 1.39% 2,992 1.60% 124,592 1.39%
Valid Votes 79,920 92.91% 187,333 92.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 6,103 7.09% 15,638 7.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 86,023 80.82% 202,971 82.08% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 106,437 247,280 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Wellawaya[18] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 36,697 47.07% 91,404 49.69% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 33,390 42.83% 75,900 41.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 6,581 8.44% 13,159 7.15% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,299 1.67% 3,468 1.89% 263,775 3.07%
Valid Votes 77,967 N/A 183,931 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Wellawaya[19] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,989 47.75% 77,955 50.40% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 27,463 43.73% 67,753 43.81% 3,498,370 44.04%
IND4 4,220 6.72% 6,592 4.26% 6,592 0.08%
SLPF 1,000 1.59% 1,896 1.23% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 129 0.21% 467 0.30% 65,439 0.82%
Valid Votes 62,801 90.27% 154,663 90.46% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 6,766 9.73% 16,305 9.54% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 69,567 82.51% 170,968 84.15% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 84,310 203,178 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Wellawaya[20] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,136 57.84% 46,313 52.42% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 11,018 39.50% 38,640 43.73% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 417 1.49% 1,250 1.41% 304,781 5.45%
USA 325 1.17% 2,149 2.43% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 27,896 87.75% 88,352 87.76% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 3,896 12.25% 12,317 12.24% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 31,792 47.70% 100,669 62.17% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 66,645 161,927 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Wellawaya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (98.3%) . In comparison, the Monaragala Electoral District (which contains the Wellawaya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.9%) [1]

Ethnicity in Wellawaya[1]

  Sinhalese (98.3%)
  Other (1.7%)

Religion

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The Wellawaya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (98.0%) . In comparison, the Monaragala Electoral District (which contains the Wellawaya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (94.6%) [1]

Religion in Wellawaya[1]

  Buddhist (98.0%)
  Other (2.0%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Wellawaya and the Monaragala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Wellawaya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Wellawaya and the Monaragala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Wellawaya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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