2010 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

An election was held on November 2, 2010, to determine the U.S. representative for Alaska's at-large congressional district, which includes the entire state of Alaska. Don Young, the incumbent and a member of the Republican Party, was re-elected to a twentieth term to serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.[1] A primary election was held on August 24, 2010.[2]

2010 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

← 2008 November 2, 2010 2012 →
 
Nominee Don Young Harry Crawford
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 175,384 77,606
Percentage 69.0% 30.5%

Results by state house district
Young:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Crawford:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Don Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Young
Republican

Alaska's population was 66 percent white, 13 percent Native American, 6 percent Hispanic and 4 percent Asian (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 91 percent were high school graduates and 27 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $66,293.[3] In the 2008 presidential election, Alaska gave 59 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 38 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[4] Republican Don Young was the incumbent. Young was re-elected with 50 percent of the vote in 2008.[4]

Republican primary

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Alaska's at-large district Republican primary, August 24, 2010[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Young (incumbent) 74,310 70.35
Republican Sheldon Fisher 24,709 23.39
Republican John R. Cox 6,605 6.25
Total votes 105,624 100.00

Campaign

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In 2010 Young's opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee Harry Crawford, a member of the Alaska House of Representatives and former ironworker.[5] John R. Cox and Sheldon Fisher, a former telecommunications executive, also sought the Republican nomination.[6] Andrew Halcro, a former member of the state House of Representatives who unsuccessfully tan for Governor of Alaska in 2006, said in September 2009 that he would challenge Young in the 2010 Republican primary,[7] but in February 2010 said he was reconsidering his decision.[8] Gabrielle LeDoux, a former member of the state House of Representatives who sought the Republican nomination in the district in 2008, said in July 2009 that she would not run in 2010 if Young sought re-election.[9] Crawford was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.[10] Ethan Berkowitz, the former minority leader of the state House of Representatives who unsuccessfully challenged Young as the Democratic nominee in 2008, said in December of that year that he was considering running again,[11] but said in July 2009 that he would not run.[9]

Young raised $1,001,015 and spent $887,310. Crawford raised $240,439 and spent $235,571.[12] Fisher raised $177,981 and spent the same amount.[13]

In a poll of 710 voters, conducted by Public Policy Polling (PPP) on January 27 and 28, 2010, Young led with 49 percent to Crawford's 34 percent, while 17 percent were undecided.[14] A PPP poll of 1,306 likely voters, conducted on August 27 and 28, 2010, found that Young had the support of 55 percent while 36 percent favored Crawford and 8 percent were undecided.[15] In a poll of 573 registered and likely voters, conducted between September 23 and 27, 2010, by Ivan Moore Research, Young led with 65 percent to Crawford's 32 percent, while 4 percent were undecided.[16] A poll of 1,678 likely voters, conducted by PPP on October 9 and 10, 2010, found Young leading Crawford by 58 percent to 36 percent, while 6 percent were undecided.[17]

Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Young a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 65 percent of the vote to Crawford's 35 percent.[18] On election day Young was re-elected with 69 percent to Crawford's 31 percent.[19] Young was again re-elected in 2012,[20] 2014,[21] 2016,[22] and 2018.[23]

Results

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Alaska's at-large district general election, November 2, 2010[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Young (incumbent) 175,384 68.96
Democratic Harry Crawford 77,606 30.51
Write-In Write-in candidates 1,345 0.53
Total votes 254,335 100.00
Republican hold

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Thiessen, Mark (November 2, 2010). "Young's 20th win for House overshadowed by Senate race". Anchorage Daily News. Archived from the original on May 27, 2014. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
  2. ^ a b "State of Alaska 2010 Primary Election". State of Alaska Division of Elections. September 13, 2010. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
  3. ^ "Alaska At-Large District Profile". The New York Times. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
  4. ^ a b "Alaska – At Large". Roll Call. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
  5. ^ Forgey, Pat (September 10, 2010). "Crawford hoping to unseat Young". Juneau Empire. Archived from the original on May 28, 2014. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  6. ^ Joling, Dan (August 21, 2010). "Long-shot Fisher challenges Young in primary". Anchorage Daily News. Archived from the original on May 27, 2014. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  7. ^ Thiessen, Mark (September 11, 2009). "Halcro says he will challenge Rep. Don Young in 2010 race". Juneau Empire. Archived from the original on October 25, 2015. Retrieved December 7, 2018.
  8. ^ Cockerham, Sean (February 23, 2010). "Halcro unsure of race against Don Young". Anchorage Daily News. Archived from the original on February 25, 2010. Retrieved December 7, 2018.
  9. ^ a b Toeplitz, Shira (June 16, 2009). "Young May Avoid Hard Race in 2010". Roll Call. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  10. ^ Land, Ted; Lamb, Jason (August 25, 2010). "Young, Crawford to vie for U.S. House". KTUU. Archived from the original on May 28, 2014. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  11. ^ Toeplitz, Shira (December 3, 2008). "Berkowitz Ponders Rematch With Young in Alaska". Roll Call. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  12. ^ "Alaska District 01 Race". OpenSecrets. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  13. ^ "Sheldon Fisher (R)". OpenSecrets. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  14. ^ "Republicans looking strong in Alaska" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. February 1, 2010. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  15. ^ "Parnell, Young Safe in Alaska" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 2, 2010. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  16. ^ "September Alaska survey results" (PDF). Ivan Moore Research. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 3, 2011. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  17. ^ "Daily Kos AK Poll". Daily Kos. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  18. ^ "Alaska At-Large District". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  19. ^ a b "State of Alaska 2010 General Election: November 2, 2010". State of Alaska Division of Elections. November 30, 2010. Archived from the original on November 21, 2019. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  20. ^ Thiessen, Mark (November 7, 2012). "Romney takes Alaska; U.S. Rep. Don Young wins 21st term". USA Today. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  21. ^ Cole, Dermot (November 4, 2014). "Despite recent missteps, Young sweeps back into office over Dunbar". Alaska Dispatch News. Retrieved November 23, 2014.
  22. ^ "Alaska U.S. House At-Large Results: Don Young Wins". The New York Times. August 1, 2017. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
  23. ^ Thebault, Reis (November 7, 2018). "Alaska Republican Rep. Young holds off challenge". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
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