2011 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election

The Fourteenth Legislative Assembly Election was held on 13 April 2011 to elect members from 234 constituencies in the Indian state of Tamil Nadu. Results were released on 13 May 2011. Two major parties Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) and All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) faced the election as coalitions of multiple political parties: DMK front consisted of 8 parties and the AIADMK of 11 parties. Vijayakanth's Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK), which had contested the previous elections independently, allied with the AIADMK coalition. Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam boycotted the election following a disagreement with Jayalalithaa over seat-sharing. The outgoing Karunanidhi government was noted for the construction of new assembly building in Chennai, execution of various developmental projects, and implementation of programmes including free health care for the poor and issuance of a range of freebies such as color television to all. However, these were heavily overshadowed by other major issues such as incessant power cuts in households and industries, excessive sand mining, increasing prices of essential items, 2G spectrum case and undue influence of Karunanidhi's extended family in various aspects of Tamil politics and business and even media.

2011 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election

← 2006 13 April 2011[1] 2016 →

All 234 seats in the Legislature of Tamil Nadu
118 seats needed for a majority
Turnout78.29% (Increase7.73%)
  First party Second party
 
J Jayalalithaa.jpg
M._Karunanidhi_.jpg
Leader J. Jayalalithaa M. Karunanidhi
Party AIADMK DMK
Alliance AIADMK Alliance+LF UPA+DPA
Leader since 1989 1969
Leader's seat Srirangam Thiruvarur
Last election 69 seats 163 seats
Seats before 73 160
Seats won 203 31
Seat change Increase130 Decrease129
Popular vote 19,085,762 14,530,215
Percentage 51.93% 39.50%
Swing Increase12.02pp Decrease5.30pp

2011 election map results Alliance wise (by constituencies)

Election map of results based on parties


Chief Minister before election

M. Karunanidhi
DMK

Chief Minister

J. Jayalalithaa
AIADMK

The election commission enforced stringent measures to curb the widespread abuse of power to bribe voters that were common in previous elections; it also imposed strict campaign discipline by imposing the 10 PM curfew. The commission headed by the chief election officer Praveen Kumar was commended for conducting the election strictly and fairly. The election recorded the highest polling ever in the state - 77.8% of the total electorate voted in the election surpassing 76.57% polled in 1967 election.

AIADMK front won the election-winning in 203 constituencies; the AIADMK party alone secured a massive majority in a landslide by carrying 150 seats and became eligible to form the government without requiring the support of its coalition partners. DMDK won 29 seats, more than the 23 seats won by DMK, and opted to serve as the official opposition party. Political analysts concluded that the election was a referendum on the outgoing DMK government and the powerful anti-incumbency sentiment helped the AIADMK coalition. J. Jayalalithaa along with 33 ministers was sworn in as the Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu for the fourth time on 16 May 2011 by the governor Surjit Singh Barnala.

Background

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Rising food prices was an important issue in this election, especially for the poor who make up a large portion of the ruling parties' electorate

The Karunanidhi administration was noted for various developmental projects and generous spending of the tax money for the implementation of various free schemes and issuance of freebies: The government provided 1 kg rice for 1 rupee, free health insurance for poor, free colour television and gas stove for all. It also provided job for over 500,000 people in various departments of the government and introduced free concrete house scheme for the poor. It also implemented various road, bridge and drinking water projects in Chennai and all over Tamil Nadu. However, the election was dominated by four major issues, increase in price of essential commodities, 2G spectrum case, Power outage and nepotism. Inflation was high during late 2010 to early 2011; The price of food and other essential commodities had increased exponentially affecting middle class and poor people: Onions were sold for Rs. 100, tomatoes for Rs. 80 and Jasmine flower for Rs. 1200 per kilo gram. This historical rise in price of essential food items was believed to be due to increased rainfall in North Indian states.[2][3] The key issue that affected the people was electricity shortage in the State.[4][5][6] The 2G spectrum case involved the issue of 122 licenses of the 2G spectrum to 85 companies including many new telecom companies with little or no experience in the telecom sector at a price set in the year 2001. The case was alleged to have costed 677.19 billion (US$15.03 billion) to the Indian exchequer. A. Raja, Union telecommunications minister from Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam was arrested by Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) in relation to the case. Kanimozhi, Rajya Sabha member from DMK and Chief minister's daughter and Sharad Kumar of Kalaignar TV were also included in the chargesheet filed by CBI. The five years of Karunanidhi's rule also saw an undue influence of his extended family members in various aspects of Tamil business and politics[7] In late 2010, Jayalalithaa as an opposition leader held three big rallies to protest against the price rise and policies of UPA Government at the Centre and DMK Government in the State. The public meetings took place at Coimbatore on July 13, Trichy on August 14 and Madurai on October 18. These rallies drew lakhs of people, were seen as the shows of strength by the AIADMK ahead of the 2011 Assembly Election.[8][9][10][11]

Parties and coalitions

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All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam coalition

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Electoral alliances began to take shape in late 2010. J. Jayalalithaa, the leader of All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) characterised the election as a turning point in Tamil Nadu history similar to 1967 election. She was alluding to the major political changes that took place in Tamil Nadu after 1967 election in which Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam defeated Indian National Congress for the first time and subsequently, Congress has then never won an election in the state until date.[12]

Manithaneya Makkal Katchi, political wing of Tamil Nadu Muslim Munnetra Kazhagam (TMMK) constituted a five-member committee to hold consultations with All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) for seat sharing. The party had decided to support AIADMK in a resolution adopted at a high-level meeting citing deteriorating law and order and corruption.[13] Naam Tamilar Iyakkam coordinator Seeman also expressed his support for AIADMK on 10 January and said his decision is based on his opposition to INC which he claimed works against the interests of Sri Lankan Tamils.[14] Cho Ramaswamy, founder of Thuglak magazine, was actively involved in the formation of alliances. He supported AIADMK and encouraged other parties to do so as well. On the 41st anniversary of the founding of Thuglak on 14 January, he delivered an address that strongly opposed ruling DMK party. He encouraged Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) to forge an alliance with AIADMK.[15] Communist Party of India Tamil Nadu state secretary D. Pandian also called for DMDK to join the AIADMK coalition to defeat DMK[16] and officially announced the continuation of CPI's coalition with AIADMK on 29 January.[17] Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPM) announced its decision to contest the election with AIADMK on 25 January.[18]

Despite the strained relationship between Indian National Congress (INC) and Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK),[19] AIADMK general secretary Jayalalithaa ruled out coalition with INC on 19 January.[20] Tamil actor Karthik announced his party's (Ahila India Naadalum Makkal Katchi) support to AIADMK after meeting Jayalalithaa on 19 January.[21] Hindu Munnani leader Rama Gopalan ruled out support to AIADMK coalition on 20 January citing the participation of anti-Hindu forces in the fold.[22] DMDK officially announced their alliance with AIADMK and started their negotiations. This brought to an end the possibilities of third front and DMDK contesting the elections on their own.[23]

Vijay's Makkal Iyakkam supported AIADMK Front. He delivered a speech in a rally attended by an estimated 20,000 to 30,000 people in Nagapattinam on 22 February condemning the actions of Sri Lankan military against Tamil Nadu fishermen.[24][25] S. A. Chandrasekhar, noted film director and father of actor Vijay met with Jayalalithaa three times during the run-up to the election and announced Makkal Iyakkam's decision to support the AIADMK front in Tiruchirappalli on 27 March.[26][27]

Seat allotment

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In the middle of March, amidst discussion to finalise the allocation of constituencies, AIADMK surprised its allies by unilaterally deciding the 160 constituencies in which it will field candidates. The list included constituencies won by the CPI, CPM, Forward Bloc and Pudhiya Thamizhagam in the previous election. Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (MDMK) was not allotted any constituency.[28] After the coalition partners threatened to form a third front under DMDK, AIADMK gave in to their demands. Most of the seats AIADMK took from its alliance partners were given back bringing the standoff to an end.[29] However MDMK was not given the number of seats it asked for and hence Vaiko left AIADMK led alliance and boycotted the elections.[30]

The final seat allotment was:

 
Election map based on parties contesting under the AIADMK alliance. Colours are based on the AIADMK front table on the left
S.No Party Election Symbol Leader Seats Ref.
1. All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam   J. Jayalalithaa 160 [31]
2. Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam   Vijayakant 41 [32]
3. Communist Party of India   Tha Pandian 10 [33]
4. Communist Party of India (Marxist)   G. Ramakrishnan 12 [33]
5. Manithaneya Makkal Katchi   M. H. Jawahirullah 3 [34]
6. Puthiya Tamilagam Dr. Krishnaswamy 2 [35]
7. All India Forward Bloc   P. V. Kathiravan 1 [36]
Unregistered parties, whose candidates ran under the AIADMK ticket
8. All India Samathuva Makkal Katchi

 

R. Sarathkumar 2 [37]
9. Republican Party of India   C. K. Thamizharasan 1 [35]
10. All India Moovendar Munnani Kazhagam

 

N. Sedhuraman 1 [35]
11. Tamil Nadu Kongu Ilaignar Peravai

 

U.Thaniyarasu 1 [38]

Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam coalition

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PMK poster in Chennai
DMK was hoping to gain votes among the Vanniyar community with the addition of PMK, but that failed to materialise since they could only win 3 seats from 18 seats it won in 2006. With a disappointing performance in this election and losing all of the seats contested in 2009 Lok Sabha election when it allied with AIADMK, PMK is proving to no longer be an important player in Tamil Nadu politics

Tamil Nadu Congress Committee president K. V. Thankabalu confirmed the continuation of his party's alliance with DMK on 21 January.[39] DMK pulled out of the ruling coalition at the centre on 5 March amid disagreements with Congress over seat sharing.[40] After three days, the parties struck a deal in which DMK gave in to the demand and allowed Congress to contest in 63 seats.[41] Abdul Rahman, Member of Parliament from Vellore constituency announced the continuation of Indian Union Muslim League's coalition with DMK on 24 January 2011.[42] After meeting Karunanidhi at his home on 16 January, Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi leader Thol. Thirumavalavan said his party will work for the victory of DMK coalition.[43] In a speech given during the wedding of Hindu Religious and Charitable Endowments Minister Periyakaruppan's son in Chennai, Karunanidhi expressed his desire to step down from Chiefministership and continue as the leader of the party.[44] Karunanidhi, during his trip to New Delhi for attending Chief Ministers meeting on 30 January, said that Indian National Congress, Viduthalai Chiruthaigal, Muslim League and Pattali Makkal Katchi are in the DMK coalition.[45] But Ramadoss, the leader of PMK denied that and said no final decision has been taken on coalition.[46] However PMK later joined the DMK alliance and was allotted 31 seats. It was later reduced to 30 to accommodate Congress which was firm on contesting 63 seats. Mylapore MLA and actor-turned politician S. V. Shekhar, joined Congress on 6 February 2011 after being expelled from AIADMK in 2009.[47] Although Mylapore constituency was allotted to congress party, it did not give the chance to S.V. Shekhar. Instead the party allotted it to Jayanthi Thangabalu, the wife of TN Congress president K.V. Thangabalu. However her nomination was rejected by election commission citing incomplete submission of relevant documents. The nomination of K.V. Thangabalu, who was the replacement candidate was accepted making him the official congress candidate.[48]

Seat allotment

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Upset over the tough posture adopted by the Congress during the seat-sharing negotiations, Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam on 5 March decided to pull out its Ministers from the Union government and provide only issue-based support. A resolution to this effect was adopted at a meeting of the high-level committee of the party at Anna Arivalayam, the party headquarters.[49] But after days of intense bargaining, Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) and the Congress on 9 March struck a deal, under which the Congress would contest 63 seats.[50]

The final seat allotment was:

 
Election map based on parties contesting under the DMK alliance. Colours are based on the DMK front table on the left
No. Party Election Symbol Leader Seats Ref.
1. Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam   Kalaignar M. Karunanidhi 119 [51]
2. Indian National Congress   K. V. Thangkabalu 63 [51]
3. Pattali Makkal Katchi   Dr. Ramdoss 30 [51]
4. Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi

 

Thol. Thirumavalavan 10 [51]
5. Kongunadu Munnetra Kazhagam   'Best' S.Ramasamy 7 [51]
Unregistered parties, whose candidates ran under the DMK ticket
6. Indian Union Muslim League   K.M. Khader Mohideen 3 [51]
7. Moovendar Munnetra Kazhagam   G.M. Sreedhar Vandaiyar 1 [51]
8. Perunthalaivar Makkal Katchi   N.R. Dhanabalan 1 [51]

Notes: Vithudalai Chiruthaigal Katchi Used Both Candles and Television symbol.

BJP Seat Allotment

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Party Election symbol Leader Seats Contested
Bharatiya Janata Party   Pon. Radhakrishnan 204
Janata Party Subramanian Swamy 10
Janata Dal (Secular)   N. S. M. Gowda 5

Other parties and associations

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Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (MDMK) boycotted the election following its withdrawal from the AIADMK alliance as AIADMK did not award the party any coalition constituency.[52] Makkal Sakthi Katchi, the party founded by Jayaprakash Narayan contested in 35 constituencies in 18 districts. Some of the candidates of the party were members/coordinators from the non-government organisation 5th Pillar who were famous for issuing zero rupees notes to fight corruption. The party was headed in Tamil Nadu by a steering committee composed of six people including Vijay Anand of 5th Pilar.[53] [54]

Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) although a major force in North India had struggled to make a foothold in Tamil Nadu . BJP leader L.Ganesan declared on 13 January that BJP will go alone in the elections .[55] BJP announced its Candidate list on 18 March.[56] Subramanian swamy leader of Janata Party announced JP will face the elections in alliance with BJP and will contest in 10 seats.[57] JD(U) has announced it will contest 8 seats in alliance with BJP.[58]

Tamil film actor Karthik's Ahila India Naadalum Makkal Katchi entered the election as a member of AIADMK coalition. When no seat was allocated to his party by AIADMK, he decided to contest the election alone in 25 to 40 seats.[59] His party with sizeable Thevar votes in southern Tamil Nadu is believed to eat into the AIADMK votebank. In 2006, former AIADMK minister Nainar Nagendran lost by 2,000 votes in Tirunelveli, where Karthik's party polled more than the margin.[58] Two weeks later his split from AIADMK, he announced his party will contest independently in 19 constituencies and support DMK in 213 constituencies.[60]

Educationist-turned-politician T. R.Pachamuthu's Indiya Jananayaka Katchi (IJK) leads the third front. It comprises Tamizhaga Munnetra Kazhagam of John Pandian, Samooka Samathuva Padai of retired IAS officer, P Sivakami, Tamil Nadu Vanigar Peravai and VOC Peravai. The front is fielding candidates in more than 150 constituencies . [58] Political observers feel that the IJK could poll 3,000 to 5,000 votes in many constituencies in Cuddalore, Villupuram, Perambalur, Ariyalur and Salem districts where Pachamuthu's Udayar community has sizeable presence. The Samooka Samathuva Padai will mobilise significant dalit votes in constituencies like Tindivanam, Krishnarayapuram, Haroor and Gangavalli. Sivakami herself is contesting from Gangavalli .[58] John Pandian has some influence in Virudhunagar, Ramanathapuram, Thoothukudi, Dindigul and Tirunelveli districts.[58]

Bahujan Samaj Party which is ruling in Uttar Pradesh has decided to field candidates for all 234 seats and will be contesting alone . The party announced its candidate list on 18 March.[61] Puratchi Bharatham led by MLA JeganMurthy which was part of DMK alliance from 2004 left the alliance due to seat sharing issue. It contested 40 seats on its own.[62] Social Democratic Party of India has also plunged into the Tamil Nadu election fray with a view to garnering Muslim votes. They are concentrating on Coimbatore, Ramanathapuram and some parts of Chennai. Ahila Indiya Parampariya Meenavar Sangam decided to contest in 27 constituencies that constitute a major population of fishermen. The decision was made in a meeting of fishermen's unions from across Tamil Nadu held in Pattinapakkam headed by its general secretary Rubeshkumar.[63] Arundhathiar (a section of dalits) outfit headed by R Adhiyaman has fielded candidates in 20 segments in western Tamil Nadu .

Campaign

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AIADMK front

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AIADMK supporters in Chennai before polling.

DMDK launched a vigorous campaign to defeat DMK; It made a resolution to call all parties to come together to defeat the ruling DMK in a conference held in Salem on 8 January presided over by its leader Vijayakanth.[64] AIADMK general secretary Jayalalithaa campaigned supporting the candidates of her alliance across the entire state from 24 March until on 11 April.[65] She promised to provide the people of Tamil Nadu with golden reign, if they voted out the ruling party.[66] From the Tamil film industry, film directors R. V. Udayakumar and S. A. Chandrasekhar and actors Vijay,[67] Senthil, Gundu Kalyanam, Ponnambalam, C. R. Saraswathi, Radha Ravi and Anandaraj campaigned for the AIADMK front.[68] Communist Party of India (Marxist) general secretary Prakash Karat characterised the DMK's rule as a dark chapter in the history of Tamil Nadu and the 2G spectrum case had shamed its people. Communist Party of India general secretary A. B. Bardhan exhorted Jayalalithaa to lead the battle to unseat the corrupt regime at the centre after its victory in Tamil Nadu.[66]

DMK front

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DMK posters in Chennai before polling.

S. Ramadoss, leader of Pattali Makkal Katchi expressed his dissatisfaction with people from film industry ruling Tamil Nadu since 1967. He also urged voters not to vote for Vijayakanth with long career as a Tamil actor.[69] Expressing dissatisfaction that he could not be elected to Chief Ministership, Ramadoss complained – in a meeting held in Mayilam – that Vanniars with a total population of 25 million in Tamil Nadu never elected one of their own for Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu.[70] Kongunadu Munnetra Kazhagam (KMK), a political party in the western districts of Tamil Nadu, complained about the neglect of Kongu region by the successive governments in a conference held at Karur. Er. Eswaran, general secretary of KMK, urged the government to focus more on infrastructure development in the Kongu region.[71] Comedy actor Vadivelu campaigned for the DMK Front.[72] Telugu actor and politician Chiranjeevi who had recently merged his party Praja Rajyam with Congress in Andhra Pradesh also campaigned for the DMK front.[68] Actor turned Union Minister Napoleon, director K. Bhagyaraj, and actors Khushbu and Vaagai Chadrasekar campaigned for DMK .[73][74] Congress President Sonia Gandhi shared the stage with Tamil Nadu Chief Minister M Karunanidhi in an election rally highlighting the strides made by the state under the latter's leadership. Addressing a rally near Marina beach in Chennai, Gandhi said Tamil Nadu had become a front-ranking state whose ideas of development and welfare were copied by the rest.[75] All India Congress Committee general secretary Rahul Gandhi appealed to the people of Tamil Nadu to support the Democratic Progressive Alliance to further the development and socialistic agenda of the State for the next five years. Addressing an election rally which was presided over by Union Home Minister P. Chidambaram, he said that Tamil Nadu was one of the most progressive States in the country. It had achieved an important place in industrial, textile, automobile sectors and information technology; A number of social welfare schemes were being implemented. It was leading in health care and higher education in the country.[76]

Manifestoes

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The manifestoes of the two largest in the legislative assembly were:

AIADMK

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AIADMK general secretary J. Jayalalithaa released election manifesto for the election that mentioned it would give:[77]

  • 20 kg of free rice for ration-card holders.
  • Laptops for students from classes XI.
  • Free fans, mixers and grinders.
  • Free mineral water to BPL families.
  • Monorail for Chennai.
  • Promised new power generation projects and IT Industries in Coimbatore West and development of Small Scale Industries in Madurai South.

DMK president M. Karunanidhi released election manifesto for the election that mentioned it would give:[78]

Election Commission actions

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The Chief Election Commissioner of India, S. Y. Quraishi addressing at the Observer’s briefing meeting in New Delhi on March 10, 2011, for Legislative Assembly election of Tamil Nadu along with those of Assam, Kerala, West Bengal, and Puducherry

The election commission was commended for conducting the election in a strict and fair manner.[79][80] It enforced stringent measures to curb use of money power to bribe voters by paying them cash. It also strictly enforced 10 PM curfew on campaigning. DMK chief M Karunanidhi and his ally PMK founder S Ramadoss accused the EC of bringing about an emergency like situation in the State while such a situation was not prevalent in the other poll-bound States. CEC has said the people were happy about the conduct of elections, the CEC displayed an SMS from Chennai which read "earlier EC just announced elections. Only now they are conducting them. This is just one sample of people’s response".[81] Some of the actions taken by Returning officers in the State

  • The EC appointed flying squads and I–T teams recently seized more than Rs 50 million, largest ever in the state, from the roof of an empty bus in Trichy.[82]
  • The Election Commission is probing alleged purchase of nine lakh T-shirts costing more than Rs 110 million by ruling DMK from a single shop in Tirupur district of poll bound Tamil Nadu.[82]
  • Election Officials have seized unauthorised cash of over Rs 530 million in cash out of which Rs 420 million are from Tamil Nadu alone[81]
  • The biggest seizure of cash has come from Madurai district at Rs. 39.1 million. Madurai district collector U. Sahayam has said only Rs. 371,000 of the cash seized in the district has been reclaimed with documented proof. The EC had earlier transferred the collector and appointed Sahayam as the collector .EC also transferred the superintendent of police in Madurai district, key officials in the administration; it is also supervising the use of wedding halls to ensure that the premises are not misused.[83]

Cases registered

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  • Tiruvarur town police have registered a case against film actor Vadivelu for his denigrating speech against founder of Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) Vijayakant on 23 March.[84]
  • Actress and DMK star speaker Khushboo has been booked under two cases for allegedly violating the Model Code of Conduct. The first case pertained to the actress allegedly blocking the road and interrupting traffic while campaigning for her party at Palanichetti area in the district, police said. The second case was booked when a combined eight cars were found to be following the vehicle of the actress without prior permission at two places in the district, police said. All the eight vehicles had been seized, they said.[85]
  • Melur Assistant Returning Officer, P. Kalimuthu had stated that DMK workers, accompanied by Mr. Alagiri, had been to the temple, where a large number of local elders were present. The flying squad had received information that the political party functionaries might distribute cash. They rushed to the spot and videographed the visit. This resulted in a scuffle. In the melee, the videographer [appointed by ECI] was roughed up. On the basis of Mr. Kalimuthu's complaint with Keelavalavu police, a case was registered against Mr. Alagiri, Deputy Mayor P.M. Mannan, two local DMK functionaries Regupathi and Thirugnanam and 50 others for waylaying and obstructing officials from discharging their duty.[86]
  • DMK Member of Parliament J.K. Ritheesh and seven others were arrested for allegedly assaulting a man and others when a clash broke out on Monday night between his supporters and a group over an issue of relaying a road near Ramanathapuram .[87]
  • Election Commission of India has sent notices, based on the complaint of the DMK to AIADMK general secretary Jayalalithaa and her ally DMDK general secretary Vijayakant for their alleged personal attacks against chief minister M. Karunanidhi and his family during electioneering.[88]

Opinion polls

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Pre-poll surveys

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Most non-partisan pre-polls found AIADMK+ winning comfortably in this election. The pre-polls indicated a great deal of anger towards the incumbent government, due to corruption allegations and recent food price rises. Also AIADMK was aided by including DMDK and its leader Vijaykanth, which has had on average a 10% vote share in recent elections in Tamil Nadu.[89]

Agency Dates DMK+ AIADMK+ Ref.
Headlines Today–ORG Poll 1 April 2011 68 seats 45% 164 seats 50% [89]
"People studies" - Loyola College, Chennai 21–29 March 2011 70 seats 42% 105 seats 49% [90]
[91]

Post-poll surveys

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The above bar graph shows the differences in margin of victory (seats) between opinion polling and final results. Green represents the polling agency made the correct prediction (AIADMK+ victory/lead)
Red represents the polling agency made the wrong prediction (DMK+ victory/lead)

Since exit polls are banned by ECI, Headlines Today-ORG Poll, conducted a post-poll survey, where they polled voters after they voted in their houses.[92] Post polls conducted by Headlines Today-ORG Poll, found this election to be a toss-up, with DMK gaining a lot of ground in the last few weeks before the election. The exit poll particularly noted a late swing towards the incumbent in the rural communities of Tamil Nadu, which allowed the DMK and its alliance to increase its overall vote share percentage from 45% in the pre-poll survey to 50% post-poll. A couple of weeks after the Headlines today post poll, a few post polls showed the exact opposite result, with CNN-IBN and Asianet post poll giving AIADMK+, the majority of the same margin.

Agency Date reported DMK+ AIADMK+ Ref.
Headlines Today–ORG Poll 28 April 2011 115-130 seats 50% 105-120 seats 48% [93]
CNN-IBN-The Week post-poll survey 10 May 2011 102-114 seats 44% 120-132 seats 46% [94]
Asianet-C Fore Poll 10 May 2011 117 seats 132 seats [95]
STAR News 10 May 2011 124 seats 110 seats
CVB - NewsX-CVoter 10 May 2011 54-62 seats 176 seats

Polling

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Source: Tamil Nadu Election Website[96]

Poll notification was issued on 19 March. The last date of filing nominations was 26 March and candidates were allowed to withdraw their nominations until 30 March. The state election commission scrutinised the nominations on 28 March. Election was held in a single phase on 13 April 2011.[97] 77.8% of the electorate voted in the election, the highest ever in the history of all elections conducted in Tamil Nadu surpassing 76.57% polled in 1967 election. Karur district registered highest turnout of 86.4% followed by Ariyalur district of 84.1%. Chennai district and Kanyakumari district polled the lowest number of votes, 68.2% and 69% respectively.[98][99]

Category Polled Turnout %
Men 18,381,236 77.71%
Women 18,371,744 78.54%
Total 36,753,114 78.12%

Result

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Results by pre-poll alliance

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Election map of results based on parties
 
Election map based on % seats won by district
Summary of the 2011 April/May Assembly election result in Tamil Nadu
Alliance/Party Seats won Change Popular vote Vote % Adj. %
AIADMK+ alliance 203 +130 19,085,762 51.9%
AIADMK 150 +93 14,150,289 38.4% 53.9%
DMDK 29 +28 2,903,828 7.9% 44.8%
CPI(M) 10 +1 888,364 2.4% 50.3%
CPI 9 +3 727,394 2.0% 48.6%
MNMK 2 +2 181,180 0.5% 42.4%
PT 2 +2 146,454 0.4% 54.3%
AIFB 1 +1 88,253 0.2% 51.2%
DMK+ alliance 31 -126 14,530,215 39.5%
DMK 23 -77 8,249,991 22.4% 42.1%
INC 5 -32 3,426,432 9.3% 35.6%
PMK 3 -15 1,927,783 5.2% 39.6%
VCK 0 -2 555,965 1.5% 34.0%
KMK 0 370,044 1.0% 32.5%
Others 0 -4 3,137,137 8.5%
BJP 0 819,577 2.2% 2.6%
MDMK -3
IND and others 0 -1 2,120,476 5.8% N/A
Total 234 36,845,373 100%
Valid votes 36,845,373 99.89
Invalid votes 40,853 0.11
Votes cast / turnout 36,886,226 78.29
Abstentions 10,229,620 21.71
Registered voters 47,115,846

: MDMK left the AIADMK alliance due to failed seat sharing talks and boycotted this election.
: Vote % reflects the percentage of votes the party received compared to the entire electorate that voted in this election. Adjusted (Adj.) Vote %, reflects the average % of votes the party received per constituency that they contested.
Sources: Election Commission of India and Hindu Newspaper[100][101][102]

By constituency

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Winner, runner-up, voter turnout, and victory margin in every constituency
Assembly Constituency Winner Runner Up Margin
#k Name Candidate Party Votes % Candidate Party Votes %
1 Gummidipoondi C. H. Sekar DMDK 97,708 54.4 Sekar  K  N PMK 68,452 38.11 29,256
2 Ponneri Pon. Raja AIADMK 93,624 57.5 Manimekalai. A. DMK 62,354 38.29 31,270
3 Tiruttani M. Arun Subramanian DMDK 95,918 50.16 Raman. E. S. S. INC 71,988 37.64 23,930
4 Thiruvallur B. V. Ramanaa AIADMK 91,337 53.69 Shiaji E. A. P DMK 67,689 39.79 23,648
5 Poonamallee R. Manimaran AIADMK 99,097 54.59 Kanchi Gv Mathiazhagan INC 57,678 31.77 41,419
6 Avadi S. Abdul Rahim AIADMK 110,102 55.18 Dhamotharan. R INC 66,864 33.51 43,238
7 Maduravoyal G. Beem Rao CPI(M) 96,844 52.09 Selvam K PMK 72,833 39.17 24,011
8 Ambattur S. Vedachalam AIADMK 99,330 53.3 Ranaganathan. B DMK 76,613 41.11 22,717
9 Madavaram V. Moorthy AIADMK 115,468 55.69 Kanimozhi N S DMK 80,703 38.93 34,765
10 Thiruvottiyur K. Kuppan AIADMK 93,944 57.03 Samy. K. P. P. DMK 66,653 40.47 27,291
11 Dr. Radhakrishnan Nagar P. Vetrivel AIADMK 83,777 59.04 P. K. Sekar Babu DMK 52,522 37.01 31,255
12 Perambur A. Soundararajan CPI(M) 84,668 52.26 N. R. Dhanapalan DMK 67,245 41.5 17,423
13 Kolathur M. K. Stalin DMK 68,677 48.35 Sadai. Sa. Duraisamy AIADMK 65,943 46.43 2,734
14 Villivakkam J. C. D. Prabhakar AIADMK 68,612 52.44 K. Anbazhagan DMK 57,830 44.2 10,782
15 Thiru. Vi. Ka. Nagar V. Neelakandan AIADMK 72,887 58.87 Dr. C. Natesan INC 43,546 35.17 29,341
16 Egmore K. Nalla Thambi DMDK 51,772 46.23 Parithi Ellamvzuthi DMK 51,570 46.05 202
17 Royapuram D. Jayakumar AIADMK 65,099 57.89 Manohar. R INC 43,727 38.88 21,372
18 Harbour Pala. Karuppiah AIADMK 53,920 55.89 Altaf Hussain DMK 33,603 34.83 20,317
19 Chepauk-Thiruvallikeni J. Anbazhagan DMK 64,191 49.44 Thameemun Ansari. M MNMK 54,988 42.35 9,203
20 Thousand Lights B. Valarmathi AIADMK 67,522 50.55 Hasan Mohamed Jinnah DMK 59,930 44.87 7,592
21 Anna Nagar S. Gokula Indira AIADMK 88,954 58.67 Arivazhagan V. K. INC 52,364 34.54 36,590
22 Virugambakkam B. Parthasarathy DMDK 71,524 49.65 Thanasekaran K DMK 57,430 39.86 14,094
23 Saidapet G. Senthamizhan AIADMK 79,856 51.78 Msh Kumaar. M DMK 67,785 43.95 12,071
24 Thiyagarayanagar V. P. Kalairajan AIADMK 75,883 58.48 Chellakumar A INC 43,421 33.46 32,462
25 Mylapore R. Rajalakshmi (politician) AIADMK 80,063 56.03 Thangkabalu K V INC 50,859 35.6 29,204
26 Velachery M. K. Ashok AIADMK 82,145 53.91 Jayaraman M PMK 50,425 33.1 31,720
27 Shozhinganallur K. P. Kandan AIADMK 145,385 60.43 S. S. Balaji VCK 78,413 32.59 66,972
28 Alandur Panruti S. Ramachandran DMDK 76,537 45.52 Dr. K. Ghayathri Devi INC 70,783 42.1 5,754
29 Sriperumbudur R. Perumal AIADMK 101,751 59.07 D. Yasodha INC 60,819 35.31 40,392
30 Pallavaram P. Dhansingh AIADMK 105,631 52.7 T. M. Anbarasan DMK 88,257 44.03 17,374
31 Tambaram T. K. M. Chinnayya AIADMK 91,702 51.45 S. R. Raja DMK 77,718 43.61 13,984
32 Chengalpattu D. Murugesan DMDK 83,297 44.58 V. G. Rangasamy PMK 83,006 44.42 291
33 Thiruporur K. Manoharan AIADMK 84,169 53.06 K. Arumugam PMK 65,881 41.53 18,288
34 Cheyyur V. S. Raji AIADMK 78,307 55.59 D. Parventhan VCK 51,723 36.72 26,584
35 Maduranthakam S. Kanitha Sampath AIADMK 79,256 53.64 Dr. K. Jayakumar INC 60,762 41.13 18,494
36 Uthiramerur P. Ganesan AIADMK 86,912 51.75 Ponkumar DMK 73,146 43.55 13,766
37 Kancheepuram V. Somasundaram AIADMK 102,710 53.43 P. S. Ulagarakshagan PMK 76,993 40.05 25,717
38 Arakkonam S. Ravi (politician) AIADMK 79,409 55.94 S. Sellapandian VCK 53,172 37.46 26,237
39 Sholingur P. R. Manogar DMDK 69,963 38.98 A. M. Munirathinam Independent 60,925 33.94 9,038
40 Katpadi Durai Murugan DMK 75,064 49.55 Appu S. R. K. (A) Radhakrishnan. S. AIADMK 72,091 47.59 2,973
41 Ranipet A. Mohammed John AIADMK 83,834 53.14 R. Gandhi DMK 69,633 44.14 14,201
42 Arcot R. Srinivasan AIADMK 93,258 53.11 K. L. Elavazagan PMK 74,005 42.14 19,253
43 Vellore V. S. Vijay AIADMK 71,522 50.82 Gnanasekaran. C. INC 56,346 40.04 15,176
44 Anaikattu M. Kalai Arasu PMK 80,233 54.51 Velu. V. B. DMDK 52,330 35.55 27,903
45 Kilvaithinankuppam C. K. Thamizharasan AIADMK 72,002 51.12 Seetharaman. K DMK 62,242 44.19 9,760
46 Gudiyattam K. Lingamuthu CPI 79,416 49.07 K. Rajamarthandan. DMK 73,574 45.46 5,842
47 Vaniyambadi Govi. Sampath Kumar AIADMK 80,563 54.65 Abdul Basith . H DMK 62,338 42.29 18,225
48 Ambur A. Aslam Basha MNMK 60,361 44.01 Vijay Elanchezian. J INC 55,270 40.3 5,091
49 Jolarpet K.C. Veeramani AIADMK 86,273 55.13 Ponnusamy. G. PMK 63,337 40.47 22,936
50 Tirupattur K. G. Ramesh AIADMK 82,895 55.31 S. Rajendran DMK 61,103 40.77 21,792
51 Uthangarai Manoranjitham Nagaraj AIADMK 90,381 58.92 Muniyammal VCK 51,223 33.39 39,158
52 Bargur K. E. Krishnamoorthi AIADMK 88,711 56.02 T. K. Raja PMK 59,271 37.43 29,440
53 Krishnagiri K. P. Munusamy AIADMK 89,776 55.98 Syed Ghiyas Ul Haq INC 60,679 37.83 29,097
54 Veppanahalli T. Senguttuvan DMK 71,471 45.09 Kandan @ Murugesan. S. M DMDK 63,867 40.29 7,604
55 Hosur K. Gopinath INC 65,034 37.79 S. John Timothy DMDK 50,882 29.56 14,152
56 Thalli T. Ramachandran CPI 74,353 47.9 Prakaash. Y. DMK 67,918 43.75 6,435
57 Palacode K. P. Anbalagan AIADMK 94,877 60.72 Selvam V PMK 51,664 33.06 43,213
58 Pennagaram Nanjappan N CPI 80,028 49.31 Inbasekaran P N P DMK 68,485 42.2 11,543
59 Dharmapuri Baskar A DMDK 76,943 45.73 Santhamoorthy P PMK 72,900 43.33 4,043
60 Pappireddippatti Palaniappan P AIADMK 76,582 45.39 Mullaiventhan V DMK 66,093 39.17 10,489
61 Harur Dillibabu P CPI(M) 77,703 51.71 Nandhan B M VCK 51,200 34.07 26,503
62 Chengam Sureshkumar T DMDK 83,722 46.95 Selvaperunthagai. K INC 72,225 40.5 11,497
63 Tiruvannamalai E. V. Velu DMK 84,802 49.4 Ramachandran. S AIADMK 79,676 46.41 5,126
64 Kilpennathur A. K. Aranganathan AIADMK 83,663 48.2 Pitchandi. K DMK 79,582 45.85 4,081
65 Kalasapakkam S. S. Krishnamoorthy AIADMK 91,833 58.95 Vijayakumar. P. S INC 53,599 34.4 38,234
66 Polur L. Jaya Sudha AIADMK 92,391 55.42 Edirolimanian. G PMK 63,846 38.3 28,545
67 Arani R. M. Babu Murugavel DMDK 88,967 50.06 Sivanandham. R DMK 81,001 45.58 7,966
68 Cheyyar Mukkur N. Subramanian AIADMK 96,180 53.67 Vishnu Prasad. M. K. INC 70,717 39.46 25,463
69 Vandavasi V. Gunaseelan AIADMK 84,529 52.05 Kamalakkannan. J DMK 72,233 44.48 12,296
70 Gingee Ganesh Kumar.A PMK 77,026 44.15 Sivalingam. R DMDK 75,215 43.12 1,811
71 Mailam P. Nagarajan AIADMK 81,656 53.92 Prakash. R PMK 61,575 40.66 20,081
72 Tindivanam D. Haridoss AIADMK 80,553 52.59 Sankar M. P PMK 65,016 42.45 15,537
73 Vanur I. Janagiraman AIADMK 88,834 55.99 Pushparaj. S DMK 63,696 40.14 25,138
74 Villupuram C. V. Shanmugam AIADMK 90,304 52.18 K. Ponmudy DMK 78,207 45.19 12,097
75 Vikravandi R. Ramamurthy CPI(M) 78,656 51.72 Rathamani. K DMK 63,759 41.93 14,897
76 Tirukkoyilur Venkatesan.L DMDK 78,229 49.18 Thangam. M DMK 69,438 43.65 8,791
77 Ulundurpettai Kumaraguru.R AIADMK 114,794 60.09 Mohamedyousuf. M VCK 61,286 32.08 53,508
78 Rishivandiyam Vijaykanth DMDK 91,164 53.19 Sivaraj. S INC 60,369 35.22 30,795
79 Sankarapuram Mohan.P AIADMK 87,522 51.24 T. Udhayasuriyan DMK 75,324 44.09 12,198
80 Kallakurichi K. Alaguvelu AIADMK 111,249 62.18 A. C. Pavarasu VCK 51,251 28.65 59,998
81 Gangavalli Subha.R DMDK 72,922 48.6 Chinnadurai. K DMK 59,457 39.63 13,465
82 Attur Madheswaran.S AIADMK 88,036 55.53 Arthanari. S. K. INC 58,180 36.7 29,856
83 Yercaud Perumal.C AIADMK 104,221 58.06 Tamilselvan. C. DMK 66,639 37.13 37,582
84 Omalur Krishnan.C AIADMK 112,102 59.7 Tamizharasu. A PMK 65,558 34.91 46,544
85 Mettur Parthiban.S.R. DMDK 75,672 44.62 Mani. G. K. PMK 73,078 43.09 2,594
86 Edappadi Edappadi K. Palaniswami AIADMK 104,586 56.38 Karthe. M PMK 69,848 37.66 34,738
87 Sankari P. Vijayalakshmi AIADMK 105,502 57.07 Veerapandy S. Arumugam DMK 70,423 38.1 35,079
88 Salem (West) Venkatachalam.G AIADMK 95,935 56.5 Rajendran. R DMK 68,274 40.21 27,661
89 Salem (North) Alagapuram R Mohanraj DMDK 88,956 54.46 Jayaprakash G INC 59,591 36.48 29,365
90 Salem (South) Selvaraju.M.K. AIADMK 112,691 64.97 Sivalingam. S. R. DMK 52,476 30.25 60,215
91 Veerapandi Selvam.S.K AIADMK 100,155 55.73 Rajendran. A. DMK 73,657 40.98 26,498
92 Rasipuram Dhanapal.P AIADMK 90,186 55.6 Duraisamy. V. P DMK 65,469 40.36 24,717
93 Senthamangalam Santhi.R DMDK 76,637 47.51 Ponnusamy. K DMK 68,132 42.24 8,505
94 Namakkal Baskar.K.P.P AIADMK 95,579 56.34 Devarasan. R. KNMK 59,724 35.2 35,855
95 Paramathi Velur Thaniyarasu.U AIADMK 82,682 54.5 Selvam V PMK 51,664 34.06 31,018
96 Tiruchengodu Sampathkumar. P DMDK 78,103 52.12 Sundaram. M. R. INC 54,158 36.14 23,945
97 Kumarapalayam Thangamani.P AIADMK 91,077 56.59 Selvaraju. G DMK 64,190 39.88 26,887
98 Erode (East) Chandhirakumar V.C DMDK 69,166 50.83 S. Muthusamy DMK 58,522 43.01 10,644
99 Erode (West) Ramalingam K.V AIADMK 90,789 59.29 Yuvaraja M INC 52,921 34.56 37,868
100 Modakkurichi Kittusamy R.N AIADMK 87,705 57.29 Palanisami R. M INC 47,543 31.06 40,162
101 Dharapuram Ponnusamy.K AIADMK 83,856 51.68 Jayanthi. R DMK 68,831 42.42 15,025
102 Kangayam Nataraj.Nsn AIADMK 96,005 60.63 Videyal Sekar. S. INC 54,240 34.26 41,765
103 Perundurai Venkatachalam.N.D AIADMK 89,960 60.15 Kkc Balu KNMK 47,793 31.96 42,167
104 Bhavani Narayanan.P.G AIADMK 87,121 54.28 Mahendran. K. S PMK 59,080 36.81 28,041
105 Anthiyur Ramanitharan.S.S AIADMK 78,496 54.92 Raaja. N. K. K. P DMK 53,242 37.25 25,254
106 Gobichettipalayam Sengottaiyan K.A AIADMK 94,872 54.47 Sivaraj. N. S KNMK 52,960 30.4 41,912
107 Bhavanisagar Sundaram P.L CPI 82,890 50.69 Logeswari R DMK 63,487 38.83 19,403
108 Udhagamandalam Budhichandhiran AIADMK 61,605 50.22 Ganesh. R INC 54,060 44.07 7,545
109 Gudalur Thiravidamani.M DMK 66,871 58.67 Selvaraj. S DMDK 39,497 34.65 27,374
110 Coonoor Ramachandran.K DMK 61,302 50.66 Bellie. A CPI 52,010 42.98 9,292
111 Mettupalayam Chinnaraj O K AIADMK 93,700 54.53 B. Arunkumar DMK 67,925 39.53 25,775
112 Avanashi Karuppasamy.M. A. AIADMK 103,002 66.6 Natarajan. A. R. INC 41,591 26.89 61,411
113 Tiruppur (North) M. S. M. Anandan AIADMK 113,640 70.62 Govindasamy. C DMK 40,369 25.09 73,271
114 Tiruppur (South) Thangavel.K CPI(M) 75,424 61.63 Senthilkumar K INC 37,121 30.33 38,303
115 Palladam Paramasivam.K.P AIADMK 118,140 66.78 Balasubramanian. K KNMK 48,364 27.34 69,776
116 Sulur Thinakaran K DMDK 88,680 52.29 E. R. Eswaran KNMK 59,148 34.88 29,532
117 Kavundampalayam Arukutty V C AIADMK 137,058 63.22 Subramanian T P DMK 67,798 31.27 69,260
118 Coimbatore North Malaravan T. AIADMK 93,276 60.07 Veeragopal M. DMK 53,178 34.25 40,098
119 Thondamuthur S. P. Velumani AIADMK 99,886 62.4 Kandaswamy M N INC 46,683 29.16 53,203
120 Coimbatore (South) Doraiswamy R AIADMK 80,637 56.27 Challenger Dorai Pongalur Palanisamy N DMK 52,841 36.88 27,796
121 Singanallur Chinnasamy R AIADMK 89,487 56.32 Mayura S Jayakumar INC 55,161 34.71 34,326
122 Kinathukadavu Damodaran S AIADMK 94,123 56.17 M. Kannappan DMK 63,857 38.11 30,266
123 Pollachi Muthukaruppannasamy M. K. AIADMK 81,446 57.46 K Nithyanandhan. K KNMK 51,138 36.08 30,308
124 Valparai Arumugham M CPI 61,171 49.16 N. Kovaithangam INC 57,750 46.41 3,421
125 Udumalaipettai Pollachi Jayaraman. V AIADMK 95,477 60.87 Ilamparrithi. T KNMK 50,917 32.46 44,560
126 Madathukulam C.Shanmugavelu AIADMK 78,622 54.71 M. P. Saminathan DMK 58,953 41.02 19,669
127 Palani Venugopalu. K.S.N AIADMK 82,051 48.3 I. P. Senthil Kumar DMK 80,297 47.27 1,754
128 Oddanchatram Sakkarapani.R DMK 87,743 51.99 Baalasubramani. P AIADMK 72,810 43.14 14,933
129 Athoor I. Periyasamy DMK 112,751 59.58 Balasubramani. S DMDK 58,819 31.08 53,932
130 Nilakottai Ramasamy.A PT 75,124 52.45 Rajangam. K. INC 50,410 35.19 24,714
131 Natham Viswanathan.R. AIADMK 94,947 53.87 Vijayan. K DMK 41,858 23.75 53,089
132 Dindigul Balabharathi.K. CPI(M) 86,932 58.82 Paul Baskar . J PMK 47,817 32.35 39,115
133 Vedasandur Palanichamy. S AIADMK 104,511 61.92 M. Dhandapani INC 53,799 31.88 50,712
134 Aravakurichi Pallanishamy.K.C DMK 72,831 49.71 Senthilnathan. V AIADMK 68,290 46.61 4,541
135 Karur Senthil Balaji, V AIADMK 99,738 61.18 Jothi Mani. S. INC 55,593 34.1 44,145
136 Krishnarayapuram Kamaraj.S AIADMK 83,145 54.81 Kamaraj. P DMK 60,636 39.97 22,509
137 Kulithalai Pappasundaram.A AIADMK 87,459 54.78 R. Manickam DMK 64,986 40.7 22,473
138 Manapaarai Chandra Sekar R AIADMK 81,020 46.77 Ponnusamy K Independent 52,721 30.43 28,299
139 Srirangam J. Jayalalithaa AIADMK 105,328 58.99 N Anand DMK 63,480 35.55 41,848
140 Tiruchirappalli (West) N. Mariam Pitchai AIADMK 77,492 50.21 K. N. Nehru DMK 70,313 45.56 7,179
141 Tiruchirappalli (East) R. Manoharan AIADMK 83,046 54.84 Anbil Periyasamy DMK 62,420 41.22 20,626
142 Thiruverumbur S. Senthilkumar DMDK 71,356 47.4 K. N. Seharan DMK 67,151 44.61 4,205
143 Lalgudi Soundarapandian .A DMK 65,363 44.71 Sendhureswaran. A. D DMDK 58,208 39.81 7,155
144 Manachanallur Poonachi. T. P. AIADMK 83,105 53.12 Selvaraj. N DMK 63,915 40.86 19,190
145 Musiri N. R. Sivapathy AIADMK 82,631 54.79 M. Rajasekharan INC 38,840 25.75 43,791
146 Thuraiyur Indraganthi T AIADMK 75,228 50.67 Parimala Devi S DMK 64,293 43.31 10,935
147 Perambalur Tamizhselvan.R AIADMK 98,497 52.19 M. Prabhakaran DMK 79,418 42.08 19,079
148 Kunnam S. S. Sivasankar DMK 81,723 46.89 Durai. Kamaraj DMDK 58,766 33.72 22,957
149 Ariyalur Manivel, Durai. AIADMK 88,726 47.77 D. Amaramoorthy INC 70,906 38.17 17,820
150 Jayankondam Guru @ Gurunathan J PMK 92,739 51.53 Elavazhagan P AIADMK 77,601 43.12 15,138
151 Tittakudi K.Tamil Azhagan DMDK 61,897 44.45 M. Sinthanaiselvan VCK 49,255 35.37 12,642
152 Virudhachalam V. Muthukumar DMDK 72,902 46.06 T. Neethirajan INC 59,261 37.44 13,641
153 Neyveli M. P. S. Sivasubramaniyan AIADMK 69,549 50.63 T. Velmurugan PMK 61,431 44.72 8,118
154 Panruti P. Sivakolunthu DMDK 82,187 50.91 T. Senguttuvan DMK 71,471 44.27 10,716
155 Cuddalore M.C. Sampath AIADMK 85,953 60.56 E. Pugazhendi DMK 52,275 36.83 33,678
156 Kurinjipadi R.Rajendran AIADMK 88,345 56.38 M. R. K. Panneerselvam DMK 64,497 41.16 23,848
157 Bhuvanagiri Selvi.R AIADMK 87,413 51.34 T. Arivuselvan PMK 74,296 43.64 13,117
158 Chidambaram K.Balakrishnan CPI(M) 72,054 48.3 Sridhar Vandaiyar DMK 69,175 46.37 2,879
159 Kattumannarkoil N. Murugumaran AIADMK 83,665 57.79 Ravikumar. D VCK 51,940 35.88 31,725
160 Sirkazhi Sakthi . M AIADMK 83,881 54.62 Durairajan . P VCK 56,502 36.79 27,379
161 Mayiladuthurai R.Arulselvan DMDK 63,326 44.64 S. Rajakumar INC 60,309 42.52 3,017
162 Poompuhar Pavunraj.S AIADMK 85,839 50.66 Agoram. K PMK 74,466 43.94 11,373
163 Nagapattinam K. A. Jayapal AIADMK 61,870 51.26 Mohamed Sheik Dawood DMK 56,127 46.51 5,743
164 Kilvelur Mahalingam P CPI(M) 59,402 48.99 Mathivanan U DMK 58,678 48.39 724
165 Vedaranyam N.V.Kamaraj AIADMK 53,799 41.16 S. K. Vedarathinam Independent 42,871 32.8 10,928
166 Thiruthuraipoondi K. Ulaganathan CPI 83,399 53.36 P. Selvadurai INC 61,112 39.1 22,287
167 Mannargudi T. R. B. Rajaa DMK 81,320 48.93 Rajamanickam. Siva. AIADMK 77,338 46.54 3,928
168 Thiruvarur M. Karunanidhi DMK 109,014 62.96 Rajendran. M AIADMK 58,765 33.94 50,249
169 Nannilam R. Kamaraj AIADMK 92,071 50.96 Elangovan. R DMK 81,667 45.2 10,404
170 Thiruvidaimarudur Chezhiaan.Govi DMK 77,175 48.12 Pandiyarajan. T AIADMK 76,781 47.87 394
171 Kumbakonam G. Anbalagan DMK 78,642 48.72 Rama Ramanathan AIADMK 77,370 47.93 1,272
172 Papanasam R. Doraikkannu AIADMK 85,635 53.47 M. Ramkumar INC 67,628 42.22 18,007
173 Thiruvaiyaru M. Rethinasami AIADMK 88,784 51.11 S. Aranganathan DMK 75,822 43.65 12,962
174 Thanjavur M.Rengasamy AIADMK 75,415 50.57 S. N. M. Ubayadullah DMK 68,086 45.66 7,329
175 Orathanadu R.Vaithilingam AIADMK 91,724 57.8 Mahendran. K. S PMK 59,080 37.23 32,644
176 Pattukkottai N.R.Rengarajan INC 55,482 37.91 N. Senthilkumar. DMDK 46,703 31.91 8,779
177 Peravurani C. Arunpandian DMDK 51,010 36.42 K. Mahendran INC 43,816 31.29 7,194
178 Gandharvakottai Subramanian. N AIADMK 67,128 54.85 Kavithaipithan. S DMK 47,429 38.76 19,699
179 Viralimalai Vijaya Basker. C AIADMK 77,285 55.99 S. Regupathy DMK 37,976 27.51 39,309
180 Pudukkottai Muthukumaran.P CPI 65,466 46.78 Periyannan Arassu DMK 62,365 44.56 3,101
181 Thirumayam Vairamuthu. P.K AIADMK 78,913 58.27 Subburam. Rm. INC 47,778 35.28 31,135
182 Alangudi Krishnan.Kupa AIADMK 57,250 41.42 Arulmani. S PMK 52,123 37.71 5,127
183 Aranthangi Raja Nayagam M AIADMK 67,559 52.77 Thirunavukkarasar Su INC 50,903 39.76 16,656
184 Karaikudi Palanichamy.Cholan.Ct AIADMK 86,104 51.01 Ramasamy. Kr INC 67,204 39.81 18,900
185 Tiruppattur Periyakaruppan.Kr DMK 83,485 48.25 Raja Kannappan AIADMK 81,901 47.34 1,584
186 Sivaganga Gunasekaran.S CPI 75,176 47.82 Rajasekaran. V INC 70,794 45.03 4,382
187 Manamadurai Gunasekaran.M AIADMK 83,535 51.68 A. Tamilarasi DMK 69,515 43.01 14,020
188 Melur Samy R AIADMK 85,869 55.74 Rani R DMK 61,407 39.86 24,462
189 Madurai East Tamilarasan K AIADMK 99,447 55.29 P. Moorthy DMK 70,692 39.3 28,755
190 Sholavandan Karuppiah M V AIADMK 86,376 59.84 Ilanseliyan M PMK 49,768 34.48 36,608
191 Madurai North Bose.A.K AIADMK 90,706 63.62 Rajendran. K. S. K INC 44,306 31.08 46,400
192 Madurai South Annadurai R CPI(M) 83,441 61.59 Varadharajan S P INC 37,990 28.04 45,451
193 Madurai Central Sundarrajan R DMDK 76,063 52.77 Syed Ghouse Basha DMK 56,503 39.2 19,560
194 Madurai West Raju K AIADMK 94,798 59.64 G. Thalapathi DMK 56,037 35.25 38,761
195 Thiruparankundram Raja A.K.T DMDK 95,469 58.7 Sundararajan C R INC 46,967 28.88 48,502
196 Tirumangalam Muthuramalingam M AIADMK 101,494 55.55 Manimaran M DMK 75,127 41.12 26,367
197 Usilampatti Kathiravan P V AIFB 88,253 51.22 Ramasamy S O DMK 72,933 42.33 15,320
198 Andipatti Thangatamilselvan AIADMK 91,721 53.75 L. Mookiah DMK 70,690 41.42 21,031
199 Periyakulam Laser.A CPI(M) 76,687 47.86 Anbazhagan. V DMK 71,046 44.34 5,641
200 Bodinayakanur Panneerselvam O AIADMK 95,235 56.69 S. Lakshmanan DMK 65,329 38.89 29,906
201 Cumbum Eramakrishnan.N DMK 80,307 48.58 Murugesan. P DMDK 68,139 41.22 12,168
202 Rajapalayam K.Gopalsamy AIADMK 80,125 53.8 S. Thangappandian DMK 58,693 39.41 21,432
203 Srivilliputhur V. Ponnupandi CPI 73,485 47.79 R. V. K. Durai DMK 67,257 43.74 6,228
204 Sattur R.B.Uthayakumar AIADMK 88,918 58.32 A. Kadarkarairaj DMK 59,573 39.07 29,345
205 Sivakasi Rajenthra Bhalaji.K.T AIADMK 87,333 59.17 Vanaraja . T DMK 51,679 35.01 35,654
206 Virudhunagar Pandiarajan.K DMDK 70,441 52.36 Armstrongnaveen. T. INC 49,003 36.42 21,438
207 Aruppukkottai Vaigaichelvan AIADMK 76,546 51.15 K. K. S. S. R. Ramachandran DMK 65,908 44.05 10,638
208 Tiruchuli Thangam Thenarasu DMK 81,613 54.36 Esakki Muthu AIADMK 61,661 41.07 19,952
209 Paramakudi Sundararaj.S AIADMK 86,150 57.88 R. Ramprabhu INC 51,544 34.63 34,606
210 Tiruvadanai Sundararaj.S DMK 64,165 41.11 Mujupur Rahman S DMDK 63,238 40.52 927
211 Ramanathapuram Jawahirulla MNMK 65,831 40.96 K. Hussan Ali INC 50,074 31.16 15,757
212 Mudhukulathur Murugan M AIADMK 83,225 46.87 Sathiamoorthy V DMK 63,136 35.56 20,089
213 Vilathikulam Markandayan. V AIADMK 72,753 54.58 Perumalsamy. K INC 50,156 37.63 22,597
214 Thoothukudi Chellapandian S.T AIADMK 89,010 56.78 P. Geetha Jeevan DMK 62,817 40.07 26,193
215 Tiruchendur Anitha R. Radhakrishnan DMK 68,741 47.04 Manoharan. Pr AIADMK 68,101 46.6 640
216 Tiruvaikuntam Shunmuganathan.S.P AIADMK 69,708 52.86 Sudalaiyandi. M. B INC 48,586 36.84 21122
217 Ottapidaram Dr.K.Krishnasamy PT 71,330 56.41 S. Raja DMK 46,204 36.54 25126
218 Kovilpatti Kadambur Raju C AIADMK 73,007 55.85 Ramachandran G PMK 46,527 35.59 26480
219 Sankarankovil Karuppasamy.C AIADMK 72,297 49.99 Umamaheswari. M DMK 61,902 42.8 10395
220 Vasudevanallur Dr.Duraiappa.S., M.B.B.S AIADMK 80,633 56.77 Ganesan. S INC 52,543 37 28090
221 Kadayanallur Chendur Pandian .P AIADMK 80,794 49.83 S. Peter Alphonse INC 64,708 39.91 16086
222 Tenkasi Sarath Kumar.R AIADMK 92,253 54.3 V. Karuppasamy Pandian DMK 69,286 40.78 22967
223 Alangulam P. G. Rajendran AIADMK 78,098 47.29 Dr. Poongothai Aladi Aruna DMK 77,799 47.11 299
224 Tirunelveli Nainar Nagendran AIADMK 86,220 54.81 A. L. S. Lakshmanan DMK 47,729 30.34 38491
225 Ambasamudram E Subaya AIADMK 80,156 55.11 R Avudaiappan DMK 55,547 38.19 24609
226 Palayamkottai T.P.M.Mohideen Khan DMK 58,049 42.76 V. Palani CPI(M) 57,444 42.31 605
227 Nanguneri A.Narayanan AIADMK 65,510 45.91 H. Vasanthakumar INC 53,230 37.31 12280
228 Radhapuram S.Michael Rayappan DMDK 67,072 48.36 P. Veldurai. INC 45,597 32.88 21475
229 Kanniyakumari Patchaimal.K.T AIADMK 86,903 48.22 N. Suresh Rajan DMK 69,099 38.34 17,804
230 Nagercoil Nanjil Murugesan.A AIADMK 58,819 40.01 Mahesh. R DMK 52,092 35.43 6,727
231 Colachal J. G. Prince INC 58,428 40.16 Larence. P AIADMK 46,607 32.03 11,821
232 Padmanabhapuram Dr.Pushpa Leela Alban DMK 59,882 41.48 S. Austin DMDK 40,561 28.1 19,321
233 Vilavancode S. Vijayadharani INC 62,898 43.69 Leemarose. R CPI(M) 39,109 27.17 23,789
234 Killiyoor John Jacob.S INC 56,932 41.69 Chandra Kumar. T BJP 32,446 23.76 24,486

Reactions

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M. Karunanidhi submitted his resignation to Governor Surjit Singh Barnala, thus paving way for Jayalalithaa to swear-in on 16 May. After the election, Jayalalithaa thanked her supporters and said "this is not a victory for me, but a victory for the state and the country". She further stated that she wants to "rebuild the state, from the havoc created by the previous government" and insisted that she does not plan to share power with her allies.[103] DMDK leader, Vijaykanth, after being the second largest party in the new assembly and an important ally of AIADMK, stated that this is a "victory for the people and an end to family rule".[104] TDP leader and former Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh, Chandrababu Naidu, called and congratulated Jayalalithaa on her "victory over corruption".[105] After the loss, Congress leader Jayanthi Natarajan, conceded defeat and wished the best for incoming CM, Jayalalithaa. While she admitted that 2G spectrum case played a huge role in their defeat, she further re-iterated that they have done everything they can to be transparent and that action has been taken against individuals responsible for the corruption. Union Minister, P. Chidambaram admitted that this was a huge loss for Congress in Tamil Nadu but does not believe this will affect the UPA government at the center, because this was a loss of an alliance led by DMK and not INC. M. Karunanidhi after the loss stated, "People have given me proper rest" and went on to congratulate the people of the state (on the election outcome).[106]

Analysis

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Election map based on Vote % margin difference between AIADMK+ candidates and DMK+ candidates by district. The % margin for each color are as follows:
30%-25%
25%-20%
20%-15%
15%-10%
10%-5%
5%-0%

Pre-polls and post-polls released before the counting showed a mixed picture and a close race and failed to predict the landslide victory for the AIADMK alliance. Including this election, no incumbent party has ever won a re-election in Tamil Nadu since M.G.R's victory in 1984 election. The results were consistent with the anti-incumbency factor that is common in Tamil Nadu politics. Closer look at the results show that AIADMK swept through the state winning by big margins. AIADMK and its allies won all the seats in 12 out of the 32 districts, with margins greater than 10% over its rival DMK and its allies. Out of those 12 districts, AIADMK+ won by margins greater than 15% in seven of them. In Chennai District, which once used to be a DMK bastion, AIADMK+ won 14 out of 16 constituencies with a margin of 13.1% over DMK+. In northern Tamil Nadu which is considered to be DMK's traditional bastion, DMK and its allies just won 4 out of 62 constituencies.[107] DMK members blamed that the alliance with caste based Pattali Makkal Katchi and Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi didn't go well with other castes and caused their downfall.[108] Analysts felt that the strife between Vanniyars and Dalits could have played a role in DMK+ debacle in northern region.[109] AIADMK's best district was the newly created Tiruppur, where they beat the DMK and its allies by a margin of 29.4%. This is consistent with the continued support for AIADMK in this region, since the former Coimbatore district was AIADMK's best performance in 2006 election. AIADMK+, did extremely well in its traditional stronghold in western Tamil Nadu. DMK, weak in this region, relied on its ally, Kongunadu Munnetra Kazhagam, who had a disappointing performance in this region losing by margins greater than 20% to AIADMK+. The western region was already affected with major issues like power cuts, agricultural crisis and industrial pollution and the DMK members after the election admitted that family rule could be one of the reasons for their downfall. DMK leaders after the election blamed the alienation of Dalits and other castes by KNMK due to the fact it is viewed as a party of Gounders.[110] DMK+, on the hand, only did better than its opponent in four districts: Nilgiris, Kanniyakumari, Thiruvarur and Perambalur, all traditional DMK strongholds. The only region, DMK+ was able to be competitive is in the Cauvery delta region, which has long been a DMK stronghold. DMK's best district was Nilgiris, which includes A. Raja's former MP constituency. DMK+ did poorly in the Madurai district, where they found a lot of success in recent years (2006 by-election & 2009 LS election), due to Azhagiri's vigorous campaigning. They were not able to win a single seat in this district, and lost by a margin of 20.9% to AIADMK-CPI(M)-DMDK combine.

Post-poll data released by CNN-IBN, showed that DMK+ did the worst amongst the poor, especially in rural areas. Major issue cited by them as a reason for voting against the DMK is supply of electricity.[111] Before the election, DMK was hoping that freebies and welfare schemes implemented by their administration would help them gain support from rural voters, who were an important electorate for the DMK to grab power in the previous election. This failed to take place, since many rural voters were unhappy with the distribution of these freebies in a disproportionate manner and lack of policies targeting towards income generation schemes in rural areas. This coupled with the recent food price rises resulted in a decline in rural support for the DMK.[112] While spiraling prices, power cut, and DMK's family politics were important factors, many analysts agree that it was the corruption charges (2G spectrum scandal), that eventually led them to their ultimate defeat. This election saw one of the worst performance of Congress in Tamil Nadu, winning only 5 seats out of 63 seats it contested. During the campaign, they were marred with in-fighting between state Congress leader K.V. Thangkabalu and other Congress members, which added to their declining support in the state.[113][114] In both Tamil Nadu and Pondicherry, Congress did poorly reflecting widespread anger and disapproval.

Government formation

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J. Jayalalithaa was sworn in as the chief minister of Tamil Nadu for the fourth time on 16 May 2011. She submitted her unanimous election as the general secretary of the AIADMK legislature party to the governor of Tamil Nadu Surjit Singh Barnala on 15 May 2011.[115] She was sworn in along with 33 other ministers at the Madras University centenary auditorium on 16 May 2011 by the governor, at the same venue where she took the oath in 1991 when she first became chief minister. She and all the other ministers took oaths in Tamil. The ceremony was attended by chief minister of Gujarat Narendra Modi, former chief minister of Andhra Pradesh Nara Chandrababu Naidu, and general secretary of the Communist Party of India A. B. Bardhan, among others.[116]

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