Wikipedia

2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election

See also: 2014 United States gubernatorial elections

The 2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Massachusetts, concurrently with the election of Massachusetts' Class II U.S. Senate seat, and other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
← 2010 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2018 →
Turnout51.62% Decrease 3.19 [1]
 
Nominee Charlie Baker Martha Coakley
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Karyn Polito Steve Kerrigan
Popular vote 1,044,573 1,004,408
Percentage 48.40% 46.54%
Baker:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Coakley:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
Governor before election

Deval Patrick
Democratic

Elected Governor

Charlie Baker
Republican

Incumbent Democratic governor Deval Patrick was eligible to seek a third term but stated in January 2011 that he would not run for re-election.[2][3] The office of lieutenant governor had been vacant since the resignation of Tim Murray in June 2013.

Primary elections for governor and lieutenant governor were conducted separately on September 9, 2014: the Democrats nominated Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley and former CEO of the Democratic National Convention Steve Kerrigan, and the Republicans nominated former state cabinet secretary and 2010 gubernatorial nominee Charlie Baker and former state representative Karyn Polito.

Baker defeated Coakley and three other candidates in the general election. This is the last Massachusetts gubernatorial election where the winning candidate did not win every county.

Democratic primary

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Governor

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Candidates

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Eliminated at convention
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Withdrew
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Declined
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Endorsements

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Joe Avellone

Individuals

  • Joseph Petty, Mayor of Worcester[21]
  • Tom Hoye, Mayor of Taunton[22]
  • Ray Mitchell, Fall River City Councilor
  • Patrick McDermott, Norfolk County Register of Probate
  • John Gilis, Norfolk County Commissioner
  • Douglas S. Gutro, Quincy City Councilor
  • Kevin F. Coughlin, Quincy City Councilor
  • Noel DiBona, Quincy School Committeeman
  • Alice Peisch, state representative[23]
  • Jass Stewart, Brockton City Councilor[24]
  • Morris A. Bergman, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Kathleen M. Toomey, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Anthony J. Economou, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Sarai Rivera, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Tim McCarthy, Boston City Councilor [26]
  • Sherry Costa Hanlon, Taunton City Councilor[27]
  • Christine Fagan, Taunton School Committee member[27]
Don Berwick

Individuals

Organizations

  • Jamaica Plain Progressives[40]
  • Mass-Care[41]
  • Progressive Democrats of Massachusetts[42]
  • Progressive Massachusetts[43]

Newspapers

Martha Coakley

Individuals

Organizations

Labor Unions

  • 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East[55]
  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) 103[56]
  • Massachusetts Coalition of Police[56]
  • Massachusetts Police Association[56]
  • New England Regional Council of Carpenters [57]
  • Painters & Allied Trades District Council #35[56]
  • Sheet Metal Workers Local 63[49]
  • Utility Workers Union of America (UWUA) 369[56]

Newspapers

  • The Rainbow Times[58]
Steve Grossman

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Debate

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2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election democratic primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Joseph Avellone Donald Berwick Martha Coakley Steven Grossman Juliette Kayyem
1 January 29, 2014 Jim Madigan [69] P P P P P

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joseph
Avellone 		Donald
Berwick 		Martha
Coakley 		Steven
Grossman 		Juliette
Kayyem 		Dan
Wolf 		Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC[70] September 2–7, 2014 234 ± 6.4% — 12% 41% 20% — — 1% 27%
Boston Globe[71] September 2–3, 2014 400 ± 4.8% — 13% 47% 25% — — — 14%
UMass Lowell[72] August 25–31, 2014 685 ± 4.55% — 9% 52% 20% — — — 19%
WBUR/MassINC[73] August 24–31, 2014 340 ± 5.3% — 6% 47% 23% — — <1% 24%
Boston Globe[74] August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 361 ± 5.2% — 10% 46% 24% — — — 21%
Suffolk[75] August 21–24, 2014 400 ± 4.9% — 15.75% 42.25% 30% — — — 12%
Boston Globe[76] August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 358 ± 5.2% — 10% 45% 24% — — — 21%
Boston Globe[77] August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014 357 ± 5.2% — 10% 45% 21% — — — 24%
Boston Globe[78] July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014 361 ± 5.2% — 9% 45% 18% — — — 28%
Boston Globe[79] July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014 369 ± 5.1% — 5% 45% 20% — — — 30%
Boston Globe[80] July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014 374 ± 5.1% — 5% 46% 18% — — — 30%
Boston Globe[81] July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014 362 ± 5.1% — 6% 50% 16% — — — 28%
Boston Globe[82] June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014 365 ± 5.1% — 5% 53% 17% — — — 26%
Boston Globe[83] June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014 373 ± ? — 6% 52% 18% — — — 24%
Boston Globe[84] June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014 392 ± ? — 8% 52% 19% — — — 21%
Boston Globe[85] June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014 198 ± ? — 8% 52% 19% — — — 21%
Boston Globe[86] June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 442 ± 4.7% 2% 3% 49% 14% 3% — — 30%
Suffolk University[87] June 4–7, 2014 450 ± 4.6% 1.78% 4% 44% 12% 2.44% — — 35.77%
WBUR/MassINC[88] May 16–18, 2014 262 ± 6.1% 1% 3% 51% 7% 4% — 1% 32%
UMass[89] March 31–April 6, 2014 156 ± ? — 3% 39% 9% 3% — 2% 44%
WBUR/MassINC[90] March 14–16, 2014 237 ± ? 1% 4% 45% 14% 2% — 2% 32%
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 309 ± 4% 0.97% 0.97% 56.31% 10.68% 4.21% — — 26.86%
Public Policy Polling[92] September 20–23, 2013 324 ± 5.4% 4% 6% 57% 10% 2% 3% — 17%
Hypothetical polling

With Capuano and Coakley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joseph
Avellone 		Donald
Berwick 		Mike
Capuano 		Martha
Coakley 		Steven
Grossman 		Juliette
Kayyem 		Dan
Wolf 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[92] September 20–23, 2013 324 ± 5.4% 8% 4% 21% 41% 9% 1% 2% 13%

Without Coakley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joseph
Avellone 		Donald
Berwick 		Mike
Capuano 		Mo
Cowan 		William
Galvin 		Steven
Grossman 		Carmen
Ortiz 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 666 ± 3.9% 5% 4% 17% 4% 13% 6% 5% 44%

With Coakley and Murray

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Suzanne
Bump 		Martha
Coakley 		Steven
Grossman 		Tim
Murray 		Setti
Warren 		Other Undecided
Suffolk University[94] May 20–22, 2012 600 ± 4.1% 3% 35% 11% 13% 6% 10% 23%
Suffolk University[95] February 11–15, 2012 600 ± 4.1% 1% 43% 7% 11% 8% 15% 16%

Results

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Democratic convention vote[96]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Grossman 1,547 35.2
Democratic Martha Coakley 1,024 23.3
Democratic Donald Berwick 972 22.1
Democratic Juliette Kayyem 535 12.1
Democratic Joseph Avellone 311 7.1
Total votes 4,389 100

Bold denotes candidate met the minimum threshold of fifteen percent to appear on the primary ballot.

 
Primary results by municipality
Democratic primary results[97]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Martha Coakley 229,156 42.4
Democratic Steve Grossman 196,594 36.4
Democratic Donald Berwick 113,988 21.1
Democratic Other 995 0.2
Democratic Blank votes 15,359
Total votes 556,092 100.00

Lieutenant governor

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Candidates

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Declared
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Eliminated at convention
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Withdrew
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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		James
Arena-DeRosa 		Leland
Cheung 		Jonathan
Edwards 		Stephen
Kerrigan 		Michael
Lake 		Other Undecided
Boston Globe[71] September 2–3, 2014 400 ± 4.8% — 7% — 23% 9% — 60%
UMass Lowell[72] August 25–31, 2014 685 ± 4.55% — 10% — 24% 10% — 57%
Boston Globe[74] August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 361 ± 5.2% — 5% — 14% 7% — 74%
Suffolk[104] August 21–24, 2014 400 ± 4.9% — 8.75% — 9.5% 9% — 72.75%
Boston Globe[76] August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 358 ± 5.2% — 7% — 12% 5% — 75%
Boston Globe[86] June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 442 ± 4.7% 3% 5% — 5% 3% — 85%
Suffolk[105] June 4–7, 2014 450 ± 4.6% 0.89% 4% — 4% 2.67% — 88.44%
Suffolk[106] January 29–February 3, 2014 309 ± ? 1.94% 4.53% 3.56 5.5% 2.27% — 82.2%

Results

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Democratic convention vote[96]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Kerrigan 1,625 37.6
Democratic Michael Lake 1,529 35.4
Democratic Leland Cheung 695 16.2
Democratic James Arena-DeRosa 460 10.6
Total votes 4,304 100

Bold denotes candidate met the minimum threshold of 15 percent to appear on the primary ballot

 
Democratic primary results[97]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Kerrigan 222,562 50.7
Democratic Leland Cheung 128,645 29.3
Democratic Michael Lake 86,006 19.6
Democratic All Others 1,435 0.3
Democratic Blank Votes 117,444
Total votes 556,092 100

Republican primary

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Governor

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Candidates

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Declined
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Campaign

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At the Republican State Convention on March 22, 2014, Baker received 2,095 votes (82.708%), businessman and Tea Party activist Mark Fisher received 374 votes (14.765%) and there were 64 blank votes (2.527%). The threshold for making the ballot is 15% and the Party announced that Baker had thus received the nomination without the need for a primary election.[115] However, Fisher argued that according to the Convention Rules, blank votes are not counted for the purposes of determining the winner and that he thus received 15.148%, enough to make the ballot. He sued the Massachusetts Republican State Committee and his case was due to be heard in Suffolk Superior Court between May 2 and June 18.[116][117]

The committee's lawyer, Louis M. Ciavarra, said that in negotiations with the committee, Fisher declined their offer of being placed on the ballot, and instead asked for $1 million in return for dropping the suit. Ciavarra said that after it was pointed out to Fisher and his representatives that this would be illegal, they allegedly lowered their request to $650,000. Fisher's lawyer, Thomas M. Harvey, has confirmed that Fisher had asked for $1 million, which he called a "starting point", saying that Fisher should be "compensated" for his efforts, in addition to receiving a place on the ballot. He later said that the request for $650,000 was "still negotiable" and added that "you don't ask for what you expect".[118][119][120] Fisher himself has denied asking for a "payoff", instead saying that party officials had offered him a "bribe" in December 2013 in return for dropping out. He refused to say who made the offer, claiming to have been under a gag order, though no such order existed.[121][122] He said that he only asked for $1 million during the negotiations because he had been asked for a figure and it was the sum that he claimed the party had offered to him. He further denied the claim that he had offered to withdraw in exchange for the money, saying that he wanted a place on the ballot, for the State Committee to release the "tally sheets" which he claims show that he rightfully won a place on the ballot, and to be reimbursed $100,000 in damages: for the cost of legal fees and of collecting signatures to make the ballot by petition.[123]

On May 9, 2014, a week into the case, Judge Douglas Wilkins accepted the State Committee's offer to certify Fisher on the primary ballot and put off the expedited June 16 trial date.[124][125] The State Committee had not at that point turned over the "tally sheets" and the judge did not order them to do so, instead inviting Fisher's attorneys to submit an amended complaint.[125] The State Committee also asked that the trial, discovery and deliberation over damages be postponed until after the election. The judge did not rule on that request,[126] but he did rule that the other portions of Fisher's complaint would proceed at a later date, with no need for an expedited trial before the primary.[127]

A debate was held between Baker and Fisher on August 21. They clashed on jobs, gun control and higher education. Baker called for "constructive friction" in electing him governor to counterbalance the Democratic-controlled General Court and said that he would "clean up the regulatory morass, control spending [and] reduce taxes." Fisher criticised the rise in food stamps, rising cost of entitlement programmes and illegal immigration.[128] In the primary election on September 9, Baker defeated Fisher 116,004 votes (74.1%) to 40,240 (25.7%). In February 2015, Fisher settled with the State Party for $240,000. Executive Director Brian Wynne said that despite the settlement, the Party denied his accusations and said that the settlement was forced on them because of mounting legal costs.[129]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Charlie
Baker 		Mark
Fisher 		Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC[130] August 24–31, 2014 340 ± 5.3% 59% 7% <1% 33%
Suffolk University[131] August 21–24, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 70.25% 11.25% — 17.75%
Suffolk University[132] June 4–7, 2014 202 ± 6.9% 63.37% 4.95% — 30.20%
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 162 ± 4% 63.58% 10.49% — 25.31%

Results

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Municipal results of the Republican primary for the Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2014
Republican primary results[97]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Charlie Baker 116,004 74.1
Republican Mark Fisher 40,240 25.7
Republican All Others 336 0.2
Republican Blank Votes 30,327
Total votes 159,936 100

Lieutenant governor

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Candidates

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Independents and third parties

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Participants at the MassEquality/WGBH 2014 Gubernatorial Forum on LBGTQ equality in Boston, March 25, 2014. From left to right: Joe Avellone, Don Berwick, Martha Coakley, Evan Falchuk, Steve Grossman, Juliette Kayyem, Scott Lively, Jeff McCormick.

Candidates

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Declared

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  • Running mate: Angus Jennings, professional planner/consultant[135]
  • Running mate: Shelly Saunders[137]

General election

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Debates

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2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic United Independent Independent Independent
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Charlie Baker Martha Coakley Evan Falchuk Scott Lively Jeff McCormick
1 October 7, 2014 WBZ-TV Jon Keller [140] P P P P P
2 October 21, 2014 WGBH-TV Jim Braude
Margery Eagan 		[141] P P N N N
3 October 27, 2014 New England Cable News
Telegram & Gazette 		Latoyia Edwards [142] P P N N N

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[143] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[144] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[145] Tilt R (flip) November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[146] Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Martha
Coakley (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Evan
Falchuk (UIP) 		Scott
Lively (I) 		Jeff
McCormick (I) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[147] October 30–November 2, 2014 887 ± 3.3% 42% 46% 3% 3% 1% — 6%
47% 48% — — — — 5%
WNEU[148] October 21–30, 2014 430 LV ± 5% 41% 46% 3% 1% 1% — 8%
522 RV ± 4% 40% 41% 4% 2% 1% — 12%
Suffolk University[149] October 27–29, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 43% 46% 3% 1% 2% — 6%
Boston Globe[150] October 26–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 37% 44% 4% 2% 1% — 11%
Emerson College[151] October 26–29, 2014 627 ± 3.85% 42% 48% 4% — — 6%
Umass Amherst[152] October 20–27, 2014 591 LV ± 4.4% 47% 44% 3% 2% 2% <1% 3%
800 RV ± 3.8% 47% 41% 3% 2% 3% <1% 3%
WBUR/MassINC[153] October 22–25, 2014 494 ± 4.4% 42% 43% 4% 2% 1% 1% 8%
UMass Lowell[154] October 21–25, 2014 601 LV ± 4.5% 41% 45% 3% 1% 2% 8%
1,001 RV ± 3.6% 42% 38% 2% 1% 2% 15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[155] October 16–23, 2014 2,218 ± 3% 45% 41% — — — 1% 13%
GreenbergQuinlanRosner[156] October 20–22, 2014 611 ± 4% 45% 44% — — — 5% 5%
Boston Globe[157] October 19–22, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 36% 45% 3% 2% 2% — 11%
WBUR/MassINC[158] October 15–18, 2014 501 ± 4.4% 42% 43% 1% 1% 2% <1% 10%
Rasmussen Reports[159] October 13–14, 2014 980 ± 3% 46% 48% — — — 2% 5%
Boston Globe[160] October 12–14, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 41% 41% 3% 3% 2% — 10%
WBUR/MassINC[161] October 8–11, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 42% 39% 2% 1% 2% 0% 14%
Emerson College[162] October 7, 2014 500 ± 4.3% 39% 45% — — — 16%
Boston Globe[163] October 5–7, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 39% 34% 3% 2% 2% — 20%
WBUR/MassINC[164] October 1–4, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 41% 39% 2% 2% 1% 1% 14%
Umass Amherst[165] September 26–October 2, 2014 414 LV ± 5.5% 48% 44% 2% 2% 2% 0% 2%
600 RV ± 4.6% 48% 41% 2% 3% 3% <1% 3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[166] September 20–October 1, 2014 2,389 ± 2% 47% 41% — — — 1% 11%
Boston Globe[167] September 28–30, 2014 401 ± 4.89% 36% 39% 2% 1% 1% — 21%
Suffolk University[168] September 25–28, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 44% 43% 2% 0% 2% — 9%
WNEU[169] September 20–28, 2014 416 LV ± 5% 43% 44% 2% 1% 2% — 8%
536 RV ± 4% 40% 41% 2% 2% 3% — 12%
WBUR/MassINC[170] September 24–27, 2014 503 ± 4.4% 44% 41% 1% 1% 2% >1% 11%
Boston Globe[171] September 21–23, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 38% 40% 2% 1% 2% — 18%
Umass Amherst[172] September 19–23, 2014 440 LV ± ? 45% 46% 2% 2% 2% <1% 2%
600 RV ± 4.4% 47% 42% 2% 3% 3% <1% 3%
WBUR/MassINC[173] September 16–21, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 46% 36% 2% 1% 1% 1% 13%
Rasmussen Reports[159] September 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 42% 42% — — — 5% 10%
Boston Globe[174] September 14–16, 2014 407 ± 4.85% 39% 36% 2% 3% 1% — 19%
WBUR/MassINC[175] September 11–14, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 44% 35% <1% 1% 2% 1% 16%
WBUR/MassINC[176] September 2–7, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 39% 34% 1% 1% 1% 2% 21%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[177] August 18–September 2, 2014 3,361 ± 2% 43% 35% — — — 6% 16%
WBUR/MassINC[178] August 24–31, 2014 700 ± 3.7% 40% 31% 1% 1% 2% 2% 22%
UMass Lowell[72] August 25–31, 2014 1,624 ± 2.94% 41% 32% 1% — 7% — 20%
Boston Globe[74] August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 605 ± 4% 37% 38% 2% — 5% — 18%
Boston Globe[76] August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 605 ± 4% 41% 34% 2% — 6% — 18%
Boston Globe[77] August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014 606 ± 4% 40% 32% 1% — 6% — 21%
Boston Globe[78] July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014 605 ± 4% 42% 31% 2% — 5% — 21%
MassINC[179] July 28–August 3, 2014 388 ± ? 44% 41% — — — — 15%
Boston Globe[79] July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014 601 ± 4% 42% 32% 2% — 5% — 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[180] July 5–24, 2014 1,899 ± 4.9% 51% 36% — — — 4% 8%
Boston Globe[80] July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014 625 ± 3.9% 38% 33% 1% — 8% — 19%
Boston Globe[181] July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014 605 ± 4% 39% 36% 1% — 7% — 16%
Boston Globe[82] June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014 604 ± 4% 40% 35% 2% — 6% — 18%
Boston Globe[83] June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014 601 ± 4% 40% 31% 2% — 6% — 22%
WBUR/MassINC[182] June 27–29, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 41% 28% 2% 1% 2% 2% 22%
Boston Globe[84] June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014 604 ± 3.9% 41% 30% 1% — 7% — 21%
Boston Globe[85] June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014 630 ± 3.9% 43% 30% 0% — 6% — 20%
Boston Globe[86] June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 697 ± 3.7% 42% 31% 1% — 6% — 20%
Suffolk University[183] June 4–7, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 36% 29% 1% 1% 2% — 32%
Boston Globe[184] May 29–June 3, 2014 602 ± 4% 37% 32% 2% — 7% — 22%
WBUR/MassINC[185] May 16–18, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 39% 30% 1% — 3% 1% 25%
WNEU[186] March 31–April 7, 2014 477 ± 5% 54% 25% 3% — 3% — 15%
UMass Amherst[187] March 31–April 6, 2014 500 ± 5.9% 45% 34% — — — — 21%
WBUR/MassINC[90] March 14–16, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41% 26% 1% — 1% 3% 27%
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 44% 31% 1% 1% 2% — 21%
Purple Strategies[188] January 21–23, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 46% 36% — — — — 18%
WBUR/MassINC[185] January 16–19, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 39% 29% 1% — 3% 2% 26%
WNEU[189] October 1–7, 2013 431 ± ?% 54% 34% — — — — 12%
Public Policy Polling[92] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 51% 38% — — — — 11%
Public Policy Polling[190] June 22–24, 2012 902 ± 3.3% 47% 34% — — — — 19%
Public Policy Polling[191] March 16–18, 2012 936 ± 3.2% 49% 29% — — — — 22%
Hypothetical polling

With Avellone

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joseph
Avellone (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
Boston Globe[86] June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 697 ± 3.7% 19% 36% 9%[192] 37%
Suffolk University[193] June 4–7, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 17% 30% 5%[194] 49%
Boston Globe[184] May 29–June 3, 2014 602 ± 4% 17% 36% 11%[195] 36%
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 19% 38% 5%[194] 39%
WBUR/MassINC[185] January 16–19, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 13% 36% 12%[196] 39%
Public Policy Polling[92] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 30% 40% — 30%
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 24% 33% — 43%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joseph
Avellone (D) 		Scott
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 29% 46% — 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joseph
Avellone (D) 		Mark
Fisher (R) 		Other Undecided
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 21.83% 19.33% 7.17%[197] 51.66%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joseph
Avellone (D) 		Richard
Tisei (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 29% 25% — 46%

With Berwick

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Donald
Berwick (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC[176] September 2–7, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 18% 39% 10%[198] 33%
WBUR/MassINC[178] August 24–31, 2014 700 ± 3.7% 19% 37% 10%[199] 33%
Boston Globe[74] August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 605 ± 4% 19% 44% 8%[200] 29%
Boston Globe[76] August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 605 ± 4% 22% 40% 8%[200] 30%
Boston Globe[77] August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014 606 ± 4% 22% 37% 7%[201] 33%
Boston Globe[78] July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014 605 ± 4% 23% 36% 7%[201] 34%
Boston Globe[79] July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014 601 ± 4% 24% 37% 8%[202] 30%
Boston Globe[80] July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014 625 ± 3.9% 20% 41% 11%[203] 28%
Boston Globe[181] July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014 605 ± 4% 18% 42% 12%[204] 29%
Boston Globe[82] June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014 604 ± 4% 17% 40% 11%[205] 32%
Boston Globe[83] June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014 601 ± 4% 17% 37% 11%[195] 35%
WBUR/MassINC[182] June 27–29, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 19% 31% 14%[206] 38%
Boston Globe[84] June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014 604 ± 3.9% 19% 37% 10%[207] 35%
Boston Globe[85] June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014 630 ± 3.9% 20% 36% 7%[201] 36%
Boston Globe[86] June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 697 ± 3.7% 20% 36% 8%[202] 36%
Suffolk University[208] June 4–7, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 18.63% 29.63% 4.76%[209] 47.01%
Boston Globe[184] May 29–June 3, 2014 602 ± 4% 18% 37% 11%[195] 35%
WBUR/MassINC[185] May 16–18, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 16% 35% 11%[210] 39%
UMass Amherst[187] March 31–April 6, 2014 500 ± 5.9% 29% 32% — 39%
WBUR/MassINC[90] March 14–16, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 17% 36% 7%[211] 40%
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 18.5% 38.33% 5.33%[212] 37.84%
WBUR/MassINC[185] January 16–19, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 13% 36% 12%[196] 40%
Public Policy Polling[92] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 31% 38% — 31%
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 25% 35% — 41%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Donald
Berwick (D) 		Scott
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[213] January 29–30, 2013 763 ± 3.6% 32% 49% — 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Donald
Berwick (D) 		Mark
Fisher (R) 		Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC[182] June 27–29, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 21% 14% 18%[214] 48%
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 21.17% 19.17% 7.5%[215] 47.33%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Donald
Berwick (D) 		Richard
Tisei (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 28% 24% — 48%

With Capuano

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Capuano (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[92] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 42% 37% — 21%
UMass Amherst[216] May 30–June 4, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 36% 24% — 40%
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 35% 33% — 32%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Capuano (D) 		Scott
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
UMass Amherst[216] May 30–June 4, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 33% 45% — 22%
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 38% 45% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Capuano (D) 		Richard
Tisei (R) 		Other Undecided
UMass Amherst[216] May 30–June 4, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 40% 20% — 40%
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 38% 24% — 39%

With Coakley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Martha
Coakley (D) 		Mark
Fisher (R) 		Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC[182] June 27–29, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 43% 13% 14%[217] 30%
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 48.67% 16.33% 5%[218] 30%
Purple Strategies[219] January 21–23, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 50% 30% — 20%

With Cowan

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mo
Cowan (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 26% 33% — 41%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mo
Cowan (D) 		Scott
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 31% 48% — 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mo
Cowan (D) 		Richard
Tisei (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 30% 25% — 45%

With Galvin

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		William F.
Galvin (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 37% 31% — 33%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		William F.
Galvin (D) 		Scott
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 39% 43% — 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		William F.
Galvin (D) 		Richard
Tisei (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 39% 24% — 27%

With Grossman

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Steven
Grossman (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC[176] September 2–7, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 28% 34% 7%[220] 30%
UMass Lowell[72] August 25–31, 2014 1,624 ± 2.94% 31% 33% 10%[207] 27%
WBUR/MassINC[178] August 24–31, 2014 700 ± 3.7% 29% 34% 6%[221] 31%
Boston Globe[74] August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 605 ± 4% 33% 37% 7%[222] 22%
Boston Globe[76] August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 605 ± 4% 32% 34% 7%[222] 26%
Boston Globe[77] August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014 606 ± 4% 29% 32% 8%[200] 31%
Boston Globe[78] July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014 605 ± 4% 30% 31% 8%[200] 31%
MassINC[179] July 28–August 3, 2014 388 ± ? 39% 35% — 25%
Boston Globe[79] July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014 601 ± 4% 29% 34% 9%[223] 28%
Boston Globe[80] July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014 625 ± 3.9% 27% 37% 10%[224] 26%
Boston Globe[181] July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014 605 ± 4% 19% 37% 9%[192] 25%
Boston Globe[82] June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014 604 ± 4% 27% 36% 9%[223] 29%
Boston Globe[83] June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014 601 ± 4% 26% 34% 9%[223] 31%
WBUR/MassINC[182] June 27–29, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 28% 30% 11%[225] 30%
Boston Globe[84] June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014 604 ± 3.9% 28% 31% 9%[223] 32%
Boston Globe[85] June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014 630 ± 3.9% 27% 30% 8%[202] 35%
Boston Globe[86] June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 697 ± 3.7% 28% 31% 8%[202] 33%
Suffolk University[226] June 4–7, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 24.25% 26.5% 4.01%[227] 45.25%
Boston Globe[184] May 29–June 3, 2014 602 ± 4% 26% 32% 10%[207] 31%
WBUR/MassINC[185] May 16–18, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 25% 33% 8%[228] 34%
WNEU[186] March 31–April 7, 2014 477 ± 5% 38% 29% 13%[229] 20%
UMass Amherst[187] March 31–April 6, 2014 500 ± 5.9% 35% 29% — 36%
WBUR/MassINC[90] March 14–16, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 24% 32% 8%[228] 36%
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 28.33% 33.33% 6%[230] 32.33%
Purple Strategies[231] January 21–23, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 34% 35% — 31%
WBUR/MassINC[185] January 16–19, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 23% 33% 8%[232] 36%
WNEU[189] October 1–7, 2013 431 ± ?% 43% 30% — 27%
Public Policy Polling[92] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 38% 37% — 25%
UMass Amherst[216] May 30–June 4, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 27% 26% — 47%
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 32% 31% — 37%
Public Policy Polling[190] June 22–24, 2012 902 ± 3.3% 36% 34% — 27%
Public Policy Polling[191] March 16–18, 2012 936 ± 3.2% 37% 30% — 33%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Steven
Grossman (D) 		Scott
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
UMass Amherst[216] May 30–June 4, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 26% 55% — 19%
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 34% 46% — 19%
Public Policy Polling[213] January 29–30, 2013 763 ± 3.6% 37% 48% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Steven
Grossman (D) 		Mark
Fisher (R) 		Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC[182] June 27–29, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 31% 15% 17%[233] 38%
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 35.33% 17.17% 6%[234] 41.5%
Purple Strategies[235] January 21–23, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 35% 26% — 38%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Steven
Grossman (D) 		Richard
Tisei (R) 		Other Undecided
UMass Amherst[216] May 30–June 4, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 27% 26% — 47%
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 34% 25% — 41%
Public Policy Polling[213] January 29–30, 2013 763 ± 3.6% 37% 48% — 15%

With Kayyem

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Juliette
Kayyem (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
Boston Globe[86] June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 697 ± 3.7% 20% 36% 8%[202] 36%
Suffolk University[236] June 4–7, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 20% 28% 4.51%[237] 47.5%
Boston Globe[184] May 29–June 3, 2014 602 ± 4% 20% 36% 9%[223] 36%
WBUR/MassINC[185] May 16–18, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 17% 36% 9%[238] 38%
UMass Amherst[187] March 31–April 6, 2014 500 ± 5.9% 32% 32% — 36%
WBUR/MassINC[90] March 14–16, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 19% 34% 8%[228] 39%
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 19% 36.83% 5.67%[230] 38.5%
WBUR/MassINC[185] January 16–19, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 15% 37% 10%[239] 38%
Public Policy Polling[92] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 31% 38% — 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Juliette
Kayyem (D) 		Mark
Fisher (R) 		Other Undecided
Suffolk University[91] January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 24.33% 19.17% 6.83%[240] 49.66%

With Kennedy

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joseph P.
Kennedy II (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
UMass Amherst[216] May 30–June 4, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 48% 25% — 27%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joseph P.
Kennedy II (D) 		Scott
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
UMass Amherst[216] May 30–June 4, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 41% 42% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joseph P.
Kennedy II (D) 		Richard
Tisei (R) 		Other Undecided
UMass Amherst[216] May 30–June 4, 2013 500 ± 5.4% 40% 33% — 27%

With Murray

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tim
Murray (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[190] June 22–24, 2012 902 ± 3.3% 36% 37% — 27%
Public Policy Polling[191] March 16–18, 2012 936 ± 3.2% 37% 32% — 31%

With Ortiz

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Carmen
Ortiz (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 27% 35% — 38%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Carmen
Ortiz (D) 		Scott
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 31% 49% — 20%
Public Policy Polling[191] January 29–30, 2012 763 ± 3.6% 32% 49% — 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Carmen
Ortiz (D) 		Richard
Tisei (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[93] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 ± 2.5% 29% 27% — 44%

With Wolf

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dan
Wolf (D) 		Charlie
Baker (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[92] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 31% 37% — 31%

Results

edit
Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2014[241]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Charlie Baker 1,044,573 48.40% +6.40%
Democratic Martha Coakley 1,004,408 46.54% −1.88%
United Independent Evan Falchuk 71,814 3.33% N/A
Independent Scott Lively 19,378 0.90% N/A
Independent Jeff McCormick 16,295 0.75% N/A
Write-in 1,858 0.09% -0.02%
Total votes 2,158,326 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

edit
2014 United States gubernatorial election in Massachusetts (by county) [242]
County Baker % Baker # Coakley % Coakley # Others % Others # Total #
Barnstable 53.0% 52,251 42.1% 41,525 4.8% 4,779 98,555
Berkshire 27.9% 11,201 65.2% 26,207 7.0% 2,808 40,216
Bristol 48.8% 72,641 44.4% 66,045 6.8% 10,186 148,872
Dukes 33.8% 2,493 60.6% 4,477 5.6% 416 7,386
Essex 52.3% 135,365 42.4% 109,776 5.3% 13,818 258,959
Franklin 32.8% 8,826 56.1% 15,077 11.1% 2,983 26,886
Hampden 47.0% 64,850 39.7% 54,751 13.3% 18,315 137,916
Hampshire 34.2% 19,103 55.5% 30,982 10.3% 5,741 55,826
Middlesex 44.9% 238,750 49.7% 264,319 5.4% 28,610 531,679
Nantucket 46.1% 1,717 48.8% 1,817 5.1% 190 3,724
Norfolk 52.4% 133,328 42.4% 107,891 5.1% 13,008 254,227
Plymouth 56.6% 102,551 37.6% 68,141 5.7% 10,374 181,066
Suffolk 31.3% 57,754 63.2% 116,610 5.5% 10,109 184,473
Worcester 55.9% 143,743 37.7% 96,790 6.4% 16,471 257,004

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

edit

Baker won 6 of 9 congressional districts, which all elected Democrats.

District Baker Coakley Representative
1st 45% 46% Richard Neal
2nd 51% 43% Jim McGovern
3rd 52% 43% Niki Tsongas
4th 52% 43% Joe Kennedy III
5th 43% 53% Katherine Clark
6th 55% 41% John Tierney
Seth Moulton
7th 25% 71% Mike Capuano
8th 52% 44% Stephen Lynch
9th 53% 42% Bill Keating

See also

edit

References

edit
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  192. ^ a b Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 8%
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  194. ^ a b Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 3%
  195. ^ a b c Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 9%
  196. ^ a b Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 8%, Other 2%
  197. ^ Evan Falchuk 1.5%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 4.67%
  198. ^ Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 3%, Jeff McCormick 2%, Other 4%
  199. ^ Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 2%, Jeff McCormick 2%, Other 4%
  200. ^ a b c d Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 6%
  201. ^ a b c Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 6%
  202. ^ a b c d e Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 7%
  203. ^ Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 10%
  204. ^ Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 10%
  205. ^ Evan Falchuk 3%, Jeff McCormick 8%
  206. ^ Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 3%, Jeff McCormick 5%, Other 4%
  207. ^ a b c Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 8%
  208. ^ Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback Machine
  209. ^ Evan Falchuk 1.63%, Scott Lively 0.88%, Jeff McCormick 2.25%
  210. ^ Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 4%, Other 5%
  211. ^ Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 2%, Other 3%
  212. ^ Evan Falchuk 1.33%, Scott Lively 0.67%, Jeff McCormick 3.33%
  213. ^ a b c Public Policy Polling
  214. ^ Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 4%, Jeff McCormick 9%, Other 3%
  215. ^ Evan Falchuk 1.5%, Scott Lively 1.5%, Jeff McCormick 4.5%
  216. ^ a b c d e f g h i UMass Amherst
  217. ^ Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 2%, Jeff McCormick 6%, Other 4%
  218. ^ Evan Falchuk 1.33%, Scott Lively 0.67%, Jeff McCormick 3%
  219. ^ Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback Machine
  220. ^ Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 1%, Other 4%
  221. ^ Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 1%, Other 3%
  222. ^ a b Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 5%
  223. ^ a b c d e Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 7%
  224. ^ Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 9%
  225. ^ Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 2%, Jeff McCormick 5%, Other 2%
  226. ^ Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback Machine
  227. ^ Evan Falchuk 0.63%, Scott Lively 1.63%, Jeff McCormick 1.75%
  228. ^ a b c Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 3%, Other 3%
  229. ^ Evan Falchuk 4%, Jeff McCormick 9%
  230. ^ a b Evan Falchuk 1.17%, Scott Lively 1.33%, Jeff McCormick 3.17%
  231. ^ Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback Machine
  232. ^ Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 5%, Other 2%
  233. ^ Evan Falchuk 3%, Scott Lively 3%, Jeff McCormick 8%, Other 3%
  234. ^ Evan Falchuk 1.5%, Scott Lively 1.17%, Jeff McCormick 3.33%
  235. ^ Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback Machine
  236. ^ Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback Machine
  237. ^ Evan Falchuk 1.38%, Scott Lively 1.38%, Jeff McCormick 1.75%
  238. ^ Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 4%, Other 4%
  239. ^ Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 7%, Other 1%
  240. ^ Evan Falchuk 1.17%, Scott Lively 1.83%, Jeff McCormick 3.83%
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  242. ^ "PD43+ » Search Elections".
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Official campaign websites (Archived)

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