The 2016 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Tennessee as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
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67 Democratic National Convention delegates | |||||||||||||||||||
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On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Tennessee primary.
Opinion polling
edit| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary results[1] | March 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 66.1% |
Bernie Sanders 32.5% |
Others / Uncommitted 1.5% | |
| SurveyMonkey[2]
Margin of error: ?
|
February 22–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 54% |
Bernie Sanders 37% |
Others / Undecided 9% | |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist[3]
Margin of error: ± 3.8
|
February 22–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 60% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Other 6% | |
| Public Policy Polling[4]
Margin of error: ± 4.4
|
February 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 32% |
||
| Vanderbilt/PSRA[5]
Margin of error: 6.7%
|
November 11–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 48% |
Bernie Sanders 28% |
Martin O'Malley 3% |
Undecided 10%, Other 5%, Wouldn't Vote 4% |
| MTSU[6]
Margin of error: ± 4%
|
October 25–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 44% |
Bernie Sanders 16% | Don't know 25% |
Results
editPrimary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 75
| Tennessee Democratic primary, March 1, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 245,930 | 66.07% | 44 | 7 | 51 |
| Bernie Sanders | 120,800 | 32.45% | 23 | 0 | 23 |
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 2,025 | 0.54% | |||
| Uncommitted | 3,467 | 0.93% | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 372,222 | 100% | 67 | 8 | 75 |
| Source: [7] | |||||
Results by county
edit| County[8] | Clinton | Votes | Sanders | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | 54.7% | 2,328 | 43.4% | 1,845 |
| Bedford | 67.8% | 1,208 | 29.3% | 523 |
| Benton | 63.5% | 560 | 32.5% | 287 |
| Bledsoe | 60.7% | 398 | 32.8% | 215 |
| Blount | 53.1% | 2,736 | 45.8% | 2,362 |
| Bradley | 55.2% | 1,644 | 43.7% | 1,302 |
| Campbell | 66.7% | 656 | 30.7% | 302 |
| Cannon | 64.5% | 439 | 32.0% | 218 |
| Carroll | 67.6% | 721 | 28.8% | 307 |
| Carter | 47.6% | 774 | 51.0% | 828 |
| Cheatham | 56.2% | 1,065 | 42.2% | 801 |
| Chester | 69.0% | 342 | 28.8% | 143 |
| Claiborne | 61.7% | 544 | 35.4% | 312 |
| Clay | 70.9% | 270 | 27.0% | 103 |
| Cocke | 55.6% | 436 | 43.3% | 361 |
| Coffee | 62.5% | 1,503 | 34.6% | 831 |
| Crockett | 78.5% | 424 | 19.1% | 103 |
| Cumberland | 57.8% | 1,312 | 39.1% | 888 |
| Davidson | 65.3% | 43,691 | 33.8% | 22,620 |
| Decatur | 67.5% | 330 | 26.8% | 131 |
| DeKalb | 69.1% | 641 | 30.9% | 286 |
| Dickson | 67.1% | 1,497 | 31.2% | 696 |
| Dyer | 71.5% | 822 | 26.5% | 304 |
| Fayette | 84.1% | 2,003 | 15.2% | 362 |
| Fentress | 63.2% | 352 | 34.3% | 191 |
| Franklin | 64.8% | 1,590 | 33.0% | 809 |
| Gibson | 76.8% | 1,549 | 21.2% | 427 |
| Giles | 73.2% | 915 | 25.2% | 315 |
| Grainger | 61.1% | 283 | 25.2% | 164 |
| Greene | 53.4% | 1,079 | 44.2% | 892 |
| Grundy | 64.8% | 445 | 29.7% | 204 |
| Hamblen | 56.5% | 951 | 40.5% | 682 |
| Hamilton | 64.4% | 15,598 | 34.7% | 8,411 |
| Hancock | 53.7% | 80 | 44.3% | 66 |
| Hardeman | 87.7% | 1,721 | 11.5% | 225 |
| Hardin | 70.7% | 591 | 27.4% | 229 |
| Hawkins | 58.7% | 906 | 38.0% | 587 |
| Haywood | 88.6% | 1,197 | 10.6% | 143 |
| Henderson | 68.9% | 443 | 29.7% | 191 |
| Henry | 66.2% | 957 | 30.0% | 434 |
| Hickman | 60.9% | 543 | 36.2% | 323 |
| Houston | 67.1% | 320 | 29.6% | 141 |
| Humphreys | 67.7% | 737 | 30.5% | 332 |
| Jackson | 65.3% | 407 | 31.5% | 196 |
| Jefferson | 54.2% | 735 | 43.6% | 592 |
| Johnson | 51.6% | 245 | 46.9% | 223 |
| Knox | 51.0% | 13,137 | 47.9% | 12,334 |
| Lake | 77.8% | 186 | 19.7% | 47 |
| Lauderdale | 82.9% | 1,035 | 15.5% | 194 |
| Lawrence | 53.6% | 1,332 | 35.9% | 893 |
| Lewis | 49.2% | 232 | 48.3% | 228 |
| Lincoln | 67.3% | 728 | 30.3% | 328 |
| Loudon | 60.5% | 1,026 | 37.6% | 638 |
| Macon | 65.2% | 343 | 32.1% | 169 |
| Madison | 80.7% | 4,351 | 18.5% | 999 |
| Marion | 62.0% | 1,046 | 33.0% | 559 |
| Marshall | 67.4% | 838 | 30.9% | 384 |
| Maury | 63.6% | 2,366 | 35.1% | 1,305 |
| McMinn | 60.8% | 1,027 | 36.6% | 619 |
| McNairy | 74.5% | 719 | 23.7% | 229 |
| Meigs | 66.3% | 354 | 30.3% | 162 |
| Monroe | 63.6% | 1,232 | 30.8% | 596 |
| Montgomery | 65.2% | 5,555 | 33.2% | 2,833 |
| Moore | 65.1% | 209 | 29.0% | 93 |
| Morgan | 58.7% | 356 | 37.1% | 225 |
| Obion | 65.3% | 760 | 29.7% | 345 |
| Overton | 59.1% | 885 | 31.9% | 477 |
| Perry | 65.0% | 215 | 32.6% | 108 |
| Pickett | 75.6% | 214 | 22.6% | 64 |
| Polk | 47.9% | 757 | 35.2% | 557 |
| Putnam | 51.9% | 1,916 | 45.9% | 1,692 |
| Rhea | 57.6% | 503 | 37.9% | 331 |
| Roane | 60.1% | 1,454 | 37.9% | 916 |
| Robertson | 68.5% | 1,918 | 29.5% | 827 |
| Rutherford | 57.2% | 8,243 | 41.7% | 6,016 |
| Scott | 58.3% | 273 | 38.5% | 180 |
| Sequatchie | 56.1% | 273 | 42.3% | 206 |
| Sevier | 49.4% | 1,259 | 48.6% | 1,241 |
| Shelby | 80.1% | 66,465 | 19.3% | 15,985 |
| Smith | 70.6% | 654 | 27.3% | 253 |
| Stewart | 66.0% | 527 | 30.6% | 244 |
| Sullivan | 54.1% | 2,653 | 43.9% | 2,153 |
| Sumner | 64.3% | 4,225 | 34.4% | 2,262 |
| Tipton | 71.1% | 1,454 | 28.1% | 574 |
| Trousdale | 72.5% | 321 | 25.5% | 113 |
| Unicoi | 46.0% | 244 | 51.3% | 272 |
| Union | 60.1% | 316 | 37.3% | 196 |
| Van Buren | 67.6% | 242 | 26.8% | 96 |
| Warren | 64.3% | 1,318 | 32.7% | 671 |
| Washington | 45.8% | 2,444 | 53.1% | 2,833 |
| Wayne | 63.0% | 208 | 34.2% | 113 |
| Weakley | 63.2% | 860 | 33.2% | 452 |
| White | 60.6% | 688 | 35.3% | 401 |
| Williamson | 60.3% | 6,055 | 39.0% | 3,911 |
| Wilson | 64.1% | 3,873 | 34.8% | 2,102 |
| Total | 66.1% | 245,304 | 32.4% | 120,333 |
Analysis
editClinton swept Tennessee, winning the primary in a 34-point-routing over Bernie Sanders. The intensity of her victory in the primary was delivered by African American voters, who comprised 32% of the electorate and backed Clinton over Sanders by a margin of 89-10. Clinton also won the white vote 57-42. Clinton swept all income levels and educational attainment levels in Tennessee. And though Sanders won the youth vote, Clinton won among voters over the age of 45 by a margin of 78-21.
Her strong support among African American voters handed Clinton an 82-18 showing in the Memphis area. She also won in Nashville 66-33, in Central Tennessee 66-35, and in Eastern Tennessee which is whiter and considered to be an extension of Appalachia by a margin of 58-42.[9]
See also
editReferences
edit- ^ Primary results
- ^ "Trump's Lead Looks Steady in Run-Up to Super Tuesday". Retrieved March 1, 2016.
- ^ "Polls: Trump, Clinton Ahead in Super Tuesday States".
- ^ "Subject: Clinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries; Benefits From Overwhelming Black Support" (PDF).
- ^ Vanderbilt/PSRA
- ^ "Carson leads the presidential field in Tennessee, but many still unsure, and more oppose than favor other top candidates". mtsupoll.org.
- ^ The Green Papers
- ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
- ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved October 18, 2016.