The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Anambra State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
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| Registered | 2,536,156 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 24.79% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
editAnambra State is a small, Igbo-majority southeastern state; although it is one of the most developed states in the nation, Anambra has faced challenges in security as both the nationwide kidnapping epidemic and separatist violence have heavily affected the region. Originally launched ostensibly to defend ethnic Igbos from herdsmen and government attacks, the separatist organization Indigenous People of Biafra's Eastern Security Network began violently enforcing economically destructive weekly lockdowns in 2021 and swiftly were criticized for committing human rights abuses against civilians it was meant to protect.[2][3] These atrocities coupled with law enforcement brutality and herder–farmer clashes worsened the security situation prior to the election.[4]
Politically, the 2019 elections were categorized by competitive contests between the state PDP and APGA. Statewise, the majority of House of Assembly seats were won by APGA. The parties split the eleven House of Representatives seats with the PDP winning 6 seats and APGA winning 5 seats while two senate seats went to the PDP and one seat was gained by the YPP. For the presidency, Anambra was easily won by PDP nominee Atiku Abubakar by an 81% margin of victory.[citation needed]
Polling
edit| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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|
Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 0% | 76% | 0% | 0% | – | 6% | 2% | 15% |
| Nextier (Anambra crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | – | 96.6% | – | 2.2% | – | 1.1% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Anambra crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 2% | 85% | – | 1% | – | 11% | – | – |
Projections
edit| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[a][5] | Safe Obi | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[b][6] | |||
| Tinubu: | 20.06% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 67.10% | ||
| Abubakar: | 6.53% | ||
| Others: | 6.32% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][7] |
Obi | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[d][8] | Obi | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[e][9] | |||
| Tinubu: | 5% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 70% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | – | ||
| Abubakar: | 10% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 15% | ||
| The Nation[f][10][11] | Obi | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
editResults
edit| Candidate | Running mate | Party | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Obi | Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed | LP | 584,621 | 95.24 | |
| Atiku Abubakar | Ifeanyi Okowa | PDP | 9,036 | 1.47 | |
| Peter Umeadi | Abdullahi Muhammed Koli | APGA | 7,388 | 1.20 | |
| Bola Tinubu | Kashim Shettima | APC | 5,111 | 0.83 | |
| Malik Ado-Ibrahim | Kasarachi Enyinna | YPP | 1,997 | 0.33 | |
| Rabiu Kwankwaso | Isaac Idahosa | NNPP | 1,967 | 0.32 | |
| Dan Nwanyanwu | Ramalan Abubakar | ZLP | 1,420 | 0.23 | |
| Sunday Adenuga | Mustapha Usman Turaki | BP | 514 | 0.08 | |
| Christopher Imumolen | Bello Bala Maru | A | 343 | 0.06 | |
| Princess Chichi Ojei | Ibrahim Mohammed | APM | 325 | 0.05 | |
| Yabagi Sani | Udo Okey-Okoro | ADP | 299 | 0.05 | |
| Dumebi Kachikwu | Ahmed Buhari | ADC | 208 | 0.03 | |
| Osita Nnadi | Isa Hamisu | APP | 148 | 0.02 | |
| Felix Johnson Osakwe | Yahaya Muhammad Kyabo | NRM | 118 | 0.02 | |
| Omoyele Sowore | Haruna Garba Magashi | AAC | 112 | 0.02 | |
| Hamza al-Mustapha | Chukwuka Johnson | AA | 108 | 0.02 | |
| Adewole Adebayo | Yusuf Buhari | SDP | 84 | 0.01 | |
| Kola Abiola | Haro Haruna Zego | PRP | 62 | 0.01 | |
| Total | 613,861 | 100.00 | |||
| Valid votes | 613,861 | 98.28 | |||
| Invalid/blank votes | 10,751 | 1.72 | |||
| Total votes | 628,590 | – | |||
| Registered voters/turnout | 2,536,156 | 24.79 | |||
| Source: [12][13][14] | |||||
By senatorial district
editThe results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Anambra Central Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Anambra North Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Anambra South Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
editThe results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Aguata Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Anambra East/Anambra West Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Awka North/Awka South Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Idemili North/Idemili South Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ihiala Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Njikoka/Dunukofia/Anaocha Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Nnewi North/Nnewi South/Ekwusigo Federal Constituency[p] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ogbaru Federal Constituency[q] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Onitsha North/Onitsha South Federal Constituency[r] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Orumba North/Orumba South Federal Constituency[s] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Oyi/Ayamelum Federal Constituency[t] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
editThe results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Aguata | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Anambra East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Anambra West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Anaocha | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Awka North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Awka South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ayamelum | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Dunukofia | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ekwusigo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Idemili North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Idemili South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ihiala | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Njikoka | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Nnewi North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Nnewi South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ogbaru | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Onitsha North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Onitsha South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Orumba North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Orumba South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Oyi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Anaocha, Awka North, Awka South, Dunukofia, Idemili North, Idemili South, and Njikoka.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ayamelum, Anambra East, Anambra West, Ogbaru, Onitsha North, Onitsha South, and Oyi.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Aguata, Ekwusigo, Ihiala, Nnewi North, Nnewi South, Orumba North, and Orumba South.
- ^ Comprising the local government area of Aguata.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Anambra East and Anambra West.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Awka North and Awka South.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Idemili North and Idemili South.
- ^ Comprising the local government area of Ihiala.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Anaocha, Dunukofia, and Njikoka.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ekwusigo, Nnewi North, and Nnewi South.
- ^ Comprising the local government area of Ogbaru.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Onitsha North and Onitsha South.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Orumba North and Orumba South.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ayamelum and Oyi.
References
edit- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Ayitogo, Nasir. "ANALYSIS: Despite Nnamdi Kanu's incarceration, IPOB-linked killings, attacks continue in South-east". Premium Times. Retrieved 13 March 2022.
- ^ Okoli, Anayo; Nkwopara, Chidi; Agbo, Dennis; Nwaiwu, Chimaobi; Alaribe, Ugochukwu; Okonkwo, Nwabueze; Adonu, Chinedu; Alozie, Chinonso; Odu, Ikechukwu; Oko, Steve; Ali, Uchenna. "How Monday sit-at-home is affecting South-East economy". Vanguard. Retrieved 13 March 2022.
- ^ "Nigeria: At least 115 people killed by security forces in four months in country's Southeast". Amnesty International. 5 August 2021. Retrieved 13 March 2022.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Eleke, David-Chyddy. "INEC Declares Obi Winner of Presidential Election in Anambra". ThisDay. Retrieved 28 February 2023.
- ^ Onuegbu, Okechukwu. "2023 presidential election: INEC announced final result in Anambra". Blueprint.ng. Retrieved 22 April 2024.
- ^ Obianeri, Ikenna (28 February 2023). "#NigeriaElections2023: INEC declares Obi winner of presidential election in Anambra". The Punch. Retrieved 22 April 2024.