2024 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

The 2024 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota were held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of South Dakota from its at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House, elections to the United States Senate, and various other state and local elections. The primary elections were held on June 4, 2024.

2024 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota's at-large district

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →
 
Nominee Dusty Johnson Sheryl Johnson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 303,630 117,818
Percentage 72.04% 27.96%

County results
D. Johnson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90-100%
S. Johnson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Dusty Johnson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

TBD

Incumbent Republican representative Dusty Johnson was re-elected with 77.4% of the vote in 2022 against Collin Duprel, a Libertarian Party candidate.

This congressional house race will be the first in the state since 2018 to have a Democrat on the ballot, as 2020 and 2022 only had a Libertarian candidate opposing Dusty Johnson.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Dusty Johnson

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dusty Johnson (R) $2,969,253 $776,781 $4,514,686
Source: Federal Election Commission[5]

Results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dusty Johnson (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Sheryl Johnson, retired education assistant[6]

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sheryl Johnson (D) $52,830 $22,213 $30,617
Source: Federal Election Commission[5]

Results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sheryl Johnson Unopposed
Total votes 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[8] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[10] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[11] Solid R November 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ[12] Solid R June 1, 2024

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dusty
Johnson (R)
Sheryl
Johnson (D)
Undecided
Emerson College[A] October 19–22, 2024 825 (LV) ± 3.3% 64% 28% 9%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[B] October 12–16, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.5% 61% 24% 15%

Results

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2024 South Dakota's at-large congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Dusty Johnson (incumbent)
Democratic Sheryl Johnson N/A
Total votes

Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill and KELO-TV
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch and University of South Dakota

References

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  1. ^ Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  2. ^ "2024 Primary Election Candidate List". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved February 28, 2024.
  3. ^ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  4. ^ "South Dakota Endorsements". www.nrlvictoryfund.org. National Right to Life Victory Fund. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
  5. ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - South Dakota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  6. ^ Staff report (March 6, 2024). "Democrats back a former Republican for South Dakota's US House seat". South Dakota Searchlight. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  7. ^ "2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
  8. ^ "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  9. ^ "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.
  10. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  11. ^ "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  12. ^ "2024 House Forecast". May 28, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
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Official campaign websites