Wikipedia

2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Nevada voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

2024 United States presidential election in Nevada
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



A Mountain West state with a distinct libertarian streak, Nevada is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024, although no Republican presidential nominee has won Nevada since George W. Bush's narrow victory in 2004. Except in 2008, the wins were always in single digits for Democrats; Obama won by less than 7% in 2012 and Trump lost by less than 2.5% in both 2016 and 2020.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden initially ran for reelection to a second term,[2] but withdrew from the election on July 21, 2024.[3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in March.[5]

Despite Donald Trump—the Republican nominee—not carrying Nevada in either of his two presidential campaigns, polling in the state showed Trump in a strong position to win the state against Biden, with Trump leading Biden in all major polls on Nevada's voting intention from October 2023 until Biden's withdrawal in July 2024. However, Kamala Harris, from neighboring California, has polled somewhat better since becoming the Democratic nominee. The state is rated as a tossup by nearly all major news organizations.[6]

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced on August 23, 2024, that he was suspending his campaign in swing states, including Nevada. [7]

Voting law changes

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By 2022, every voter now gets a mail-in ballot unless they opt-out and eligible voters are now automatically registered after common transactions at the DMV.[8]

Primary elections

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Democratic primary

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Main article: 2024 Nevada Democratic presidential primary

The Nevada Democratic primary was held on February 6, 2024.

Nevada Democratic primary, February 6, 2024[9]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 119,758 89.3% 36 36
None of These Candidates 7,448 5.6%
Marianne Williamson 4,101 3.1%
Gabriel Cornejo 811 0.6%
Jason Palmer 530 0.4%
Frankie Lozada 315 0.2%
Armando Perez-Serrato 264 0.2%
John Haywood 241 0.2%
Stephen Lyons 147 0.1%
Superpayaseria Crystalroc 133 0.1%
Donald Picard 124 0.1%
Brent Foutz 93 0.1%
Stephen Alan Leon 89 0.1%
Mark R. Prascak 33 <0.1%
Total: 134,087 100% 36 13 49

Republican nominating contests

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Main article: 2024 Nevada Republican presidential nominating contests

Although the Nevada state government established a primary system in 2021, the state Republican Party chose to boycott the primary, scheduled for February 6, in favor of a party-organized caucus, scheduled for February 8. Votes from the primary were not included in determining delegate allocation.

Nevada Republican primary, February 6, 2024[10]
Candidate Votes Percentage
None of These Candidates[11] 50,763 63.26%
Nikki Haley 24,583 30.63%
Mike Pence (withdrawn) 3,091 3.85%
Tim Scott (withdrawn) 1,081 1.35%
John Anthony Castro 270 0.34%
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn) 200 0.25%
Donald Kjornes 166 0.21%
Heath V. Fulkerson 95 0.12%
Total: 80,249 100.00%
Nevada Republican caucus, February 8, 2024[12]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 59,982 99.11% 25 1[a] 26
Ryan Binkley 540 0.89% 0 0 0
Total 60,522 100.00% 25 1 26

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Tossup August 27, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Tossup August 20, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[15] Tossup September 26, 2024
CNN[16] Tossup August 27, 2024
The Economist[17] Tossup August 27, 2024
538[18] Tossup September 19, 2024
CNalysis[19] Tossup August 27, 2024
Inside Elections[20] Tossup August 29, 2024
RCP[21] Tossup August 27, 2024

Polling

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Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Undecided
[b] 		Margin
RealClearPolitics August 29 – September 25, 2024 September 25, 2024 48.6% 47.3% 4.1% Harris +1.3%
270ToWin September 19 – 26, 2024 September 26, 2024 48.8% 46.7% 4.5% Harris +2.1%
RacetotheWH through September 25, 2024 September 29, 2024 49.8% 46.9% 3.3% Harris +2.9%
The Hill/DDHQ through September 25, 2024 September 28, 2024 49.1% 46.9% 4.0% Harris +2.2%
Silver Bulletin through September 25, 2024 September 29, 2024 48.9% 47.1% 4.0% Harris +1.8%
538 through September 25, 2024 September 29, 2024 48.0% 46.5% 5.5% Harris +1.5%
Average 48.9% 46.9% 4.2% Harris +2.0%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[22] September 29–30, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 1%[d]
TIPP Insights[23][A] September 23−25, 2024 1,044 (RV) ± 3.7% 48% 44% 8%
736 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[24][B] September 23−25, 2024 628 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%[e]
AtlasIntel[25] September 20–25, 2024 858 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 48% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[26] September 19–25, 2024 574 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
516 (LV) 52% 45% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[27][C] September 19−22, 2024 738 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Remington Research Group (R)[28][D] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%
Emerson College[29] September 15–18, 2024 895 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 48% 4%[f]
49%[g] 49% 2%[f]
Morning Consult[30] September 9−18, 2024 474 (LV) ± 5.0% 51% 47% 2%
Noble Predictive Insights[31] September 9−16, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 45% 7%
692 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 47% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[32] September 11–13, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 44% 11%[h]
Morning Consult[30] August 30 – September 8, 2024 516 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Patriot Polling[33] September 1–3, 2024 788 (RV) – 47% 47% 6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[34] August 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 5%[i]
Emerson College[35] August 25–28, 2024 1,168 (LV) ± 2.8% 49% 48% 3%[j]
49%[g] 49% 1%[k]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[36] August 23–26, 2024 416 (LV) ± 5.0% 50% 46% 4%
450 (RV) 49% 45% 6%
Fox News[37] August 23–26, 2024 1,026 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%[d]
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[38][E] August 13–18, 2024 980 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%
Focaldata[39] August 6–16, 2024 678 (LV) ± 3.8% 54% 46% –
New York Times/Siena College[40] August 12–15, 2024 677 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 48% 6%
677 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[41] July 26 – August 8, 2024 403 (LV) – 45% 48% 7%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[42][F] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 46% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] July 24–28, 2024 454 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 45% 7%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 18, 2024 Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R)[44] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 50% 10%
July 15, 2024 Republican National Convention begins
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[45] May 7–13, 2024 459 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College[46] February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 48% 13%
New York Times/Siena College[47] October 22–November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 48% 10%
611 (LV) 42% 50% 8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Others/
Undecided
[l] 		Margin
Race to the WH through September 25, 2024 September 29, 2024 49.0% 47.1% — — 1.2% 2.7% Harris +1.9%
270toWin September 5 – 26, 2024 September 26, 2024 48.0% 46.0% 0.6% 0.0% 1.3% 4.1% Harris +2.0%
Average 48.5% 46.6% 0.6% 0.0% 1.3% 3.0% Harris +1.9%


Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
TIPP Insights[23][A] September 23−25, 2024 1,044 (RV) ± 3.7% 48% 43% 1% 0% − 9%
736 (LV) 50% 49% 0% 0% − 1%
AtlasIntel[25] September 20–25, 2024 858 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 48% – 1% – –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[26] September 19–25, 2024 574 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 44% – 3% 4% 3%
516 (LV) 50% 44% – 2% 2% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[48] September 16–19, 2024 652 (LV) – 45% 45% – 0% 1% 9%
Noble Predictive Insights[31] September 9−16, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% – 0% 1% 10%[m]
692 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 47% – 0% 1% 5%[n]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[49] September 6–9, 2024 698 (LV) – 45% 46% – 1% 1% 7%
YouGov[50][G] August 23 – September 3, 2024 800 (RV) ± 4.7% 49% 46% 0% 1% – 4%[d]
CNN/SSRS[51] August 23–29, 2024 976 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 47% – 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[52] August 25–28, 2024 490 (LV) – 47% 47% – 1% 0% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[53] August 23–26, 2024 416 (LV) ± 5.0% 48% 46% – 2% 3% 1%
450 (RV) 48% 45% – 2% 4% 1%
Fox News[37] August 23–26, 2024 1,026 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 2% 1% 1% 2%[d]
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Rasmussen Reports (R)[54][E] August 13–18, 2024 980 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 46% 5% 0% 0% 1% 4%
Focaldata[55] August 6–16, 2024 678 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 42% 7% – 0% 1% 2%
678 (RV) 49% 39% 9% – 0% 1% 2%
678 (A) 49% 39% 9% – 0% 1% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[56] August 12–15, 2024 536 (LV) – 42% 43% 6% – 1% 1% 7%
New York Times/Siena College[57] August 12–15, 2024 677 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 45% 6% 0% 1% 1% 6%
677 (LV) 44% 46% 4% 0% 1% 1% 4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[58] July 26 – August 8, 2024 403 (LV) – 42% 47% 5% 0% 1% – 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[59] July 31 – August 3, 2024 470 (LV) – 40% 40% 5% – 1% 0% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] July 24–28, 2024 454 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 43% 7% – 1% 3% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[60] July 22–24, 2024 435 (LV) – 43% 45% 5% – 1% 0% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Strategies 360[61] August 7–14, 2024 350 (RV) ± 5.2% 48% 42% 5% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[62] August 6–8, 2024 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 48% 3% 4%[o]
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

 

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[44] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 49% 9%
Emerson College[63][H] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 46% 13%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[64][I] July 5–12, 2024 761 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 50% 5%
Echelon Insights[65][J] July 1–8, 2024 402 (LV) ± 6.6% 41% 50% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66] July 1–5, 2024 452 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 48% 9%
Emerson College[67][H] June 30 – July 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 47% 12%
Remington Research Group (R)[68] June 29 – July 1, 2024 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 47% 13%
National Public Affairs[69] June 28 – July 1, 2024 817 (LV) ± 3.4% 39% 49% 12%[p]
Emerson College[70] June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 11%
50%[g] 50% –
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[71][K] June 12–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 48% 7%
Fox News[72] June 1–4, 2024 1,069 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 50% 5%
The Tyson Group[73][L] May 22–25, 2024 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[74] May 19–21, 2024 522 (RV) ± 4.3% 42% 50% 8%
494 (LV) 43% 51% 6%
Prime Group[75][M] May 9–16, 2024 468 (RV) – 50% 50% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[45] May 7–13, 2024 459 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 47% 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[76] May 6–13, 2024 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 40% 49% 11%
New York Times/Siena College[77] April 28 – May 9, 2024 614 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 50% 12%
614 (LV) 38% 51% 11%
Emerson College[78] April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 45% 11%
49%[g] 51% –
John Zogby Strategies[79][N] April 13–21, 2024 517 (LV) – 44% 50% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[80] April 8–15, 2024 450 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 51% 6%
Wall Street Journal[81] March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 48% 8%
Echelon Insights[82][O] March 12–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.8% 44% 51% 5%
Emerson College[83] March 12–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 44% 15%
49%[g] 51% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[84] March 8–15, 2024 447 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 46% 10%
Noble Predictive Insights[85] February 27 – March 5, 2024 829 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 45% 15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[86] February 12–20, 2024 445 (RV) ± 5.0% 42% 48% 10%
Emerson College[46] February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 46% 14%
Focaldata[87] January 17–23, 2024 704 (A) – 40% 43% 17%[q]
– (LV) 42% 44% 14%[r]
– (LV) 49%[g] 51% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[88] January 16–21, 2024 457 (RV) ± 5.0% 40% 48% 12%
Emerson College[89] January 5–8, 2024 1,294 (RV) ± 2.6% 45% 47% 8%
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[90] December 3–7, 2023 (RVs) – 40% 44% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[91] November 27 – December 6, 2023 451 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 47% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[92] October 30 – November 7, 2023 437 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 46% 11%
Emerson College[93] October 30 – November 4, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 46% 14%
New York Times/Siena College[47] October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 41% 52% 7%
611 (LV) 41% 52% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[94] October 5–10, 2023 503 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 43% 11%
CNN[95] September 29 – October 3, 2023 1,251 (RV) ± 4.6% 46% 45% 9%
Vote TXT[96] May 15–19, 2023 412 (RV) – 41% 48% 11%
Prime Group[97][M] June 14–28, 2023 500 (RV) – 51% 49% –
39% 39% 22%[s]
Noble Predictive Insights[98] April 18–26, 2023 613 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 40% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[99] April 17–20, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 45% 9%
OH Predictive Insights[100] January 30 – February 6, 2023 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 42% 18%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[101][E] November 8–9, 2022 679 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 45% 14%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[102][P] October 24–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 48% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[103][Q] October 13–17, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 49% 14%
Emerson College[104] September 8–10, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 43% 17%
Emerson College[105] July 7–10, 2022 2,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 40% 43% 17%
Blueprint Polling (D)[106] March 21–24, 2022 671 (LV) ± 3.8% 34% 44% 22%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[107] July 16–18, 2024 412 (LV) – 41% 44% 7% – 1% 7%[p]
Emerson College[63][H] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 43% 7% 1% 1% 8%[t]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[64][I] July 5–12, 2024 761 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 47% 8% 2% 1% 3%
YouGov[108][G] July 4–12, 2024 800 (RV) ± 4.7% 42% 46% 3% 0% 1% 8%
Echelon Insights[65][J] July 1–8, 2024 402 (LV) ± 6.6% 35% 45% 9% 2% 2% 7%[t]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66] July 1–5, 2024 452 (RV) ± 5.0% 39% 45% 6% 2% 0% 8%[t]
National Public Affairs[69] June 28 – July 1, 2024 817 (LV) ± 3.4% 33% 42% 12% 3% 2% 8%
Emerson College[70] June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 42% 7% 2% 2% 8%
Fox News[72] June 1–4, 2024 1,069 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 45% 7% 2% 2% 4%
The Tyson Group[73][R] May 22–25, 2024 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 40% 9% 1% 2% 11%
Prime Group[75][M] May 9–16, 2024 468 (RV) – 43% 44% 10% 3% 0% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[45] May 7–13, 2024 459 (RV) ± 5.0% 39% 44% 7% 2% 1% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[76] May 6–13, 2024 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 35% 43% 10% 2% 3% 7%
New York Times/Siena College[77] April 28 – May 9, 2024 614 (RV) ± 4.0% 27% 41% 12% 0% 2% 18%[u]
614 (LV) 30% 44% 11% 0% 1% 14%[u]
Emerson College[78] April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 42% 8% 2% 1% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[80] April 8–15, 2024 450 (RV) ± 5.0% 34% 48% 7% 2% 3% 6%
Wall Street Journal[81] March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 33% 37% 15% 2% 2% 11%[u]
Emerson College[83] March 12–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 41% 9% 1% 2% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[84] March 8–15, 2024 447 (RV) ± 5.0% 36% 42% 11% 1% 1% 11%
Noble Predictive Insights[85] February 27 – March 5, 2024 829 (RV) ± 3.4% 33% 40% 11% 4% 2% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[86] February 12–20, 2024 445 (RV) ± 5.0% 37% 44% 9% 1% 0% 9%
Emerson College[46] February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 34% 44% 6% 1% 1% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[88] January 16–21, 2024 457 (RV) ± 5.0% 31% 43% 12% 1% 2% 11%
Emerson College[89] January 5–8, 2024 1,294 (RV) ± 2.6% 39% 42% 5% 1% 1% 12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[109] November 27 – December 6, 2023 451 (RV) ± 5.0% 37% 42% 11% 2% 1% 7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
P2 Insights[110][S] June 11–20, 2024 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 37% 40% 8% 15%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[71][K] June 12–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 44% 10% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[74] May 19–21, 2024 522 (RV) ± 4.3% 40% 44% 9% 7%
494 (LV) 40% 46% 8% 6%
Iron Light Intelligence[111][T] May 17–21, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 34% 37% 15% 14%
P2 Insights[112][S] May 13−21, 2024 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 40% 41% 9% 10%
New York Times/Siena College[113] October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 31% 38% 23% 8%
611 (LV) 34% 40% 19% 7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[114] October 30 – November 7, 2023 437 (RV) ± 5.0% 35% 39% 11% 1% 14%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[79][N] April 13–21, 2024 517 (LV) – 39% 51% 10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[79][N] April 13–21, 2024 517 (LV) – 40% 46% 14%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[115] October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 38% 44% 18%
611 (LV) 37% 46% 17%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[115] October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 43% 15%
611 (LV) 41% 45% 14%
Vote TXT[96] May 15–19, 2023 412 (RV) – 36% 46% 17%
Noble Predictive Insights[98] April 18–26, 2023 613 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 42% 15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[99] April 17–20, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 41% 44% 10%
OH Predictive Insights[100] January 30 – February 6, 2023 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 36% 42% 22%
Emerson College[105] July 7–10, 2022 2,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 38% 43% 19%

Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research[102][P] October 24–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 42% 46% 12%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[46] February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 32% 49% 19%

Results

edit
2024 United States presidential election in Nevada[116]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
Republican
Libertarian
Independent American
Total votes

See also

edit

Notes

edit
  1. ^ If a candidate wins all of Nevada's delegates, the NRP chair is automatically unbound. He has pledged his support to Trump.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ a b c d "Other" with 1%
  5. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
  6. ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%
  7. ^ a b c d e f With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  8. ^ "Other" with 8%
  9. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; None of these candidates with 1%
  12. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  13. ^ None of these candidates with 3%
  14. ^ None of these candidates with 1%
  15. ^ "Others" with 2%
  16. ^ a b Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  17. ^ "Another candidate" with 10%
  18. ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
  19. ^ No Labels candidate
  20. ^ a b c Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  21. ^ a b c Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
  22. ^ Randall Terry was nominated by the national Constitution Party, though the state party nominated Joel Skousen.

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
  5. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  6. ^ Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  7. ^ a b Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  8. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
  9. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  10. ^ a b Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  11. ^ a b Poll commissioned by AARP
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
  13. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
  14. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  15. ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  16. ^ a b Poll sponsored by BUSR
  17. ^ Poll sponsored by Capitol Resource Institute
  18. ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
  19. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
  20. ^ Poll commissioned by League of American Workers

References

edit
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