Canadian federal election results in Brampton, Mississauga and Oakville

Seats obtained by party

Liberal Conservative Progressive Conservative (defunct)

Regional Profile

This suburban area had leaned Progressive Conservative from 1979 until 1993 when it swung hard to the Liberals primarily due to the rapid growth of the Greater Toronto Area and high immigrant populations, just like the suburbs to the north of Toronto. After winning just one seat (Mississauga East) in 1988, the Liberals swept every seat in this region from 1993 to 2006. The new Conservative Party (replacing the Progressive Conservatives) won their first seats in the area in 2008, picking up Oakville and Mississauga—Erindale before sweeping the region when they formed a majority government in 2011. However, the Liberals swept the region in 2015, and again in 2019. In the 2021 Canadian federal election, the Liberals swept the region again, winning all seats with significant margins - allowing them a strong 160 seat minority.

In 2004, the Liberals won a majority of the vote in every Mississauga and Oakville-based seat, while winning just under 50% in each of the three Brampton-based seats. Their strongest riding was Mississauga East—Cooksville (57%), while their weakest seat was Brampton West (45%). In 2006, the Liberals won a majority of the votes in just three seats, with their strongest seat this time being Mississauga—Brampton South (54%) with their weakest seat being Oakville (43%), which they won by fewer than 800 votes. In 2008, the strongest Liberal seat was again Mississauga East—Cooksville, the only seat in the region where they won a majority of the vote (50%). In 2011 they were shut out of the region, but nearly won Mississauga East—Cooksville, losing it by fewer than 700 votes. In 2015, 2019 and 2021 Canadian federal elections, the Liberals won all ridings in Mississauga, Brampton, and Oakville.

The Conservatives came within 5 points of winning Brampton West, their best seat in 2004, thanks to star candidate Tony Clement. In 2006, their strongest seat was Oakville, which they nearly won. Oakville remained the Conservatives' best seat in 2008 and 2011. When they swept the region in 2011, Oakville was the only riding where they won a majority of the vote (54%). Thanks to a three-way vote split, the Conservatives still won Bramalea—Gore—Malton with just 34% of the vote.

The NDP has traditionally been very weak in the region. Thanks to a strong candidacy of Jagmeet Singh, the NDP placed second in Bramalea—Gore—Malton in 2011, with 33.5% of the vote, losing the riding by fewer than 600 votes.

Votes by party throughout time

Election	Liberal	Conservative	New Democratic	Green	People's	PC	Reform / Alliance	Others
Election
1979	85,030 35.0%	—	39,293 16.2%	—	—	117,225 48.2%	—	1,340 0.6%
1980	95,794 40.7%	—	40,873 17.4%	—	—	97,214 41.3%	—	1,575 0.7%
1984	87,527 29.0%	—	44,927 14.9%	2,561 0.8%	—	165,889 55.0%	—	435 0.1%
1988	118,313 36.1%	—	42,726 13.0%	—	—	159,370 48.6%	—	6,614 2.0%
1993	194,214 51.8%	—	10,214 2.7%	722 0.2%	—	74,984 20.0%	88,722 23.7%	5,644 1.5%
1997	190,798 54.9%	—	18,225 5.2%	—	—	72,276 20.8%	64,975 18.7%	1,429 0.4%
2000	192,872 58.2%	—	12,584 3.8%	3,273 1.0%	—	53,193 16.0%	67,407 20.3%	1,471 0.4%
2004	212,592 51.7%	129,714 31.5%	48,502 11.8%	17,084 4.2%	—	—	—	2,186 0.5%
2006	226,205 47.7%	168,816 35.6%	56,694 12.0%	19,446 4.1%	—	—	—	2,171 0.5%
2008	190,494 43.4%	170,838 38.9%	46,148 10.5%	29,384 6.7%	—	—	—	1,967 0.4%
2011	165,925 33.6%	220,229 44.6%	91,548 18.6%	14,142 2.9%	—	—	—	1,419 0.3%
2015	339,816 51.0%	238,968 35.9%	72,649 10.9%	12,571 1.9%	—	—	—	1,885 0.3%
2019	361,593 50.8%	222,821 31.3%	90,648 12.7%	25,817 3.6%	7,757 1.1%	—	—	1,654 0.2%
2021	312,807 50.1%	207,982 33.3%	75,461 12.1%	6,925 1.1%	19,500 3.1%	—	—	1,863 0.3%

Liberal

Conservative

New Democratic

Green

People's

Progressive Conservative (defunct)

Alliance (defunct)

Reform (defunct)

2015

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Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
Electoral district	Conservative		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other		Incumbent
Brampton Centre		Bal Gosal 13,345 33.67%		Rosemary Keenan 5,993 15.12%		Ramesh Sangha 19,277 48.64%		Saul Marquard T. Bottcher 844 2.13%		Frank Chilelli (M-L) 173 0.44%	New District
Brampton East		Naval Bajaj 10,642 23.54%		Harbaljit Singh Kahlon 10,400 23.01%		Raj Grewal 23,652 52.32%		Kyle Lacroix 512 1.13%				Bal Gosal‡ Bramalea—Gore—Malton
Brampton North		Parm Gill 15,888 32.99%		Martin Singh 7,946 16.50%		Ruby Sahota 23,297 48.37%		Pauline Thornham 915 1.90%		Harinderpal Hundal (Comm.) 120 0.25%		Parm Gill Brampton—Springdale
Brampton South		Kyle Seeback 15,929 35.04%		Amarjit Sangha 4,843 10.65%		Sonia Sidhu 23,681 52.09%		Shaun Hatton 1,011 2.22%			New District
Brampton West		Ninder Thind 13,068 30.11%		Adaoma Patterson 5,400 12.44%		Kamal Khera 24,256 55.89%		Karthika Gobinath 674 1.55%				Kyle Seeback‡
Mississauga Centre		Julius Tiangson 17,431 33.62%		Farheen Khan 4,920 9.49%		Omar Alghabra 28,372 54.72%		Linh Nguyen 1,129 2.18%			New District
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Wladyslaw Lizon 18,353 35.35%		Ali Naqvi 4,481 8.63%		Peter Fonseca 28,154 54.23%		Jaymini Bhikha 766 1.48%		Tim Sullivan (M-L) 163 0.31%		Wladyslaw Lizon
Mississauga—Erin Mills		Bob Dechert 21,716 39.24%		Michelle Bilek 5,206 9.41%		Iqra Khalid 27,520 49.72%		Andrew Roblin 905 1.64%				Bob Dechert Mississauga—Erindale
Mississauga—Lakeshore		Stella Ambler 24,435 41.22%		Eric Guerbilsky 4,735 7.99%		Sven Spengemann 28,279 47.71%		Ariana Burgener 1,397 2.36%		Dagmar Sullivan (M-L) 111 0.19%		Stella Ambler Mississauga South
Mississauga—Lakeshore		Stella Ambler 24,435 41.22%		Eric Guerbilsky 4,735 7.99%		Sven Spengemann 28,279 47.71%		Ariana Burgener 1,397 2.36%		Paul Woodworth (Libert.) 316 0.53%		Stella Ambler Mississauga South
Mississauga—Malton		Jagdish Grewal^[a] 11,701 26.44%		Dianne Douglas 5,450 12.31%		Navdeep Bains 26,165 59.12%		Heather Mercer 737 1.67%		Naresh Tharani (Ind.) 203 0.46%		Eve Adams§ Mississauga—Brampton South
Mississauga—Streetsville		Brad Butt 22,621 40.40%		Fayaz Karim 5,040 9.00%		Gagan Sikand 26,792 47.84%		Chris Hill 1,293 2.31%		Yegor Tarazevich (CHP) 253 0.45%		Brad Butt
Oakville		Terence Young 27,497 42.50%		Che Marville 3,830 5.92%		John Oliver 31,956 49.39%		David Doel 1,420 2.19%				Terence Young
Oakville North—Burlington		Effie Triantafilopoulos 26,342 43.33%		Janice Best 4,405 7.25%		Pam Damoff 28,415 46.74%		Adnan Shahbaz 968 1.59%		David Clement (Libert.) 666 1.10%		Lisa Raitt‡ Halton

2011

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Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
Electoral district	Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other		Incumbent
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		Bal Gosal 19,907 34.44%		Gurbax S. Malhi 16,402 28.38%		Jagmeet Singh 19,368 33.51%		John R.A. Moulton 1,748 3.02%		Frank Chilelli (M-L) 371 0.64%		Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale		Parm Gill 24,618 48.26%		Ruby Dhalla 14,221 27.88%		Manijit Grewal 10,022 19.65%		Mark Hoffberg 1,926 3.78%		Elizabeth Rowley (Comm.) 219 0.43%		Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West		Kyle Seeback 28,320 44.75%		Andrew Kania 22,128 34.97%		Jagtar Shergill 11,225 17.74%		Avtaar Soor 1,224 1.93%		Theodore Koum Njoh (Ind.) 387 0.61%		Andrew Kania
Mississauga— Brampton South		Eve Adams 23,632 44.72%		Navdeep Bains 18,579 35.16%		Jim Glavan 9,465 17.91%		Benjamin Jonathon Ullysses Stone 1,044 1.98%		Tim Sullivan (M-L) 127 0.24%		Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Wladyslaw Lizon 18,796 39.97%		Peter Fonseca 18,120 38.53%		Waseem Ahmed 8,836 18.79%		Jaymini Bhikha 1,032 2.19%		Pierre Chénier (M-L) 241 0.51%		Albina Guarnieri†
Mississauga—Erindale		Robert Dechert 29,793 46.95%		Omar Alghabra 21,541 33.95%		Michelle Bilek 10,327 16.27%		John Fraser 1,694 2.67%		Dagmar Sullivan (M-L) 99 0.16%		Bob Dechert
Mississauga South		Stella Ambler 22,991 46.48%		Paul Szabo 18,393 37.18%		Farah Kalbouneh 6,354 12.85%		Paul Simas 1,532 3.10%		Richard Barrett (Ind.) 194 0.39%		Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville		Brad Butt 22,104 43.86%		Bonnie Crombie 18,651 37.01%		Aijaz Naqvi 7,834 15.55%		Chris Hill 1,802 3.58%				Bonnie Crombie
Oakville		Terence Young 30,068 51.65%		Max Khan 17,890 30.73%		James Ede 8,117 13.94%		Andrew Chlobowski 2,140 3.68%				Terence Young

2008

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Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
Electoral district	Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other		Incumbent
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		Stella Ambler 18,353 37.13%		Gurbax S. Malhi 22,272 45.06%		Jash Puniya 5,945 12.03%		Mark Pajot 2,551 5.16%		Frank Chilelli (M-L) 309 0.63%		Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale		Parm Gill 17,804 39.33%		Ruby Dhalla 18,577 41.04%		Mani Singh 5,238 11.57%		Dave Finlay 3,516 7.77%		Dimitrios Kabitsis (Comm.) 135 0.30%		Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West		Kyle Seeback 21,515 39.90%		Andrew Kania 21,746 40.33%		Jagtar Shergill 7,334 13.60%		Patti Chmelyk 3,329 6.17%				Colleen Beaumier†
Mississauga— Brampton South		Salma Ataullahjan 14,664 32.96%		Navdeep Bains 21,220 47.69%		Karan Pandher 5,268 11.84%		Grace Yogaretnam 2,947 6.62%		Tim Sullivan (M-L) 395 0.89%		Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Melissa Bhagat 13,277 32.56%		Albina Guarnieri 20,457 50.16%		Satish Balasunderam 4,632 11.36%		Jaymini Bhikha 2,138 5.24%		Pierre Chénier (M-L) 277 0.68%		Albina Guarnieri
Mississauga—Erindale		Bob Dechert 23,863 42.71%		Omar Alghabra 23,466 42.00%		Mustafa Rizvi 4,774 8.55%		Richard Pietro 3,636 6.51%		Dagmar Sullivan (M-L) 129 0.23%		Omar Alghabra
Mississauga South		Hugh Arrison 18,366 39.59%		Paul Szabo 20,518 44.22%		Matt Turner 4,104 8.85%		Richard Laushway 3,407 7.34%				Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville		Wajid Khan 16,985 35.80%		Bonnie Crombie 21,710 45.76%		Keith Pinto 4,710 9.93%		Otto Casanova 3,179 6.70%		Ralph Bunag (Ind.) 426 0.90%		Wajid Khan
Mississauga—Streetsville		Wajid Khan 16,985 35.80%		Bonnie Crombie 21,710 45.76%		Keith Pinto 4,710 9.93%		Otto Casanova 3,179 6.70%		Viktor Spanovic (Ind.) 431 0.91%		Wajid Khan
Oakville		Terence Young 26,011 46.98%		M.A. Bonnie Brown 20,528 37.08%		Michelle Bilek 4,143 7.48%		Blake Poland 4,681 8.46%				Bonnie Brown

2006

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Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
Electoral district	Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		Other		Incumbent
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		Gurbax S. Malhi 25,348 50.68%		John Sprovieri 16,367 32.73%		Cesar Martello 6,343 12.68%		Ernst Braendli 1,721 3.44%		Frank Chilelli (M-L) 233 0.47%		Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale		Ruby Dhalla 22,294 47.34%		Sam Hundal 14,492 30.77%		Anna Mather 8,345 17.72%		Ian Raymond Chiocchio 1,853 3.93%		Upali Jinadasa Wannaku Rallage (Comm.) 110 0.23%		Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West		Colleen Beaumier 27,988 49.12%		Bal Gosal 20,345 35.70%		Jagtar Singh Shergill 6,310 11.07%		Jaipaul Massey-Singh 2,340 4.11%				Colleen Beaumier
Mississauga—Brampton South		Navdeep Bains 27,370 53.94%		Arnjeet Sangha 15,605 30.75%		Nirvan Balkissoon 5,521 10.88%		Grace Yogaretnam 1,927 3.80%		Tim Sullivan (M-L) 319 0.63%		Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Albina Guarnieri 23,530 51.65%		Carl DeFaria 14,326 31.45%		Jim Gill 5,180 11.37%		Rich Pietro 1,393 3.06%		Pierre Chénier (M-L) 164 0.36%		Albina Guarnieri
										Mohamed Elrofaie (Ind.) 496 1.09%
										Sally Wong (CHP) 467 1.03%
Mississauga—Erindale		Omar Alghabra 26,852 44.81%		Bob Dechert 23,524 39.26%		Rupinder Brar 6,644 11.09%		Adam Hunter 2,613 4.36%		Ronnie Amyotte (Ind.) 289 0.48%		Carolyn Parrish^[b]
Mississauga South		Paul Szabo 23,018 44.17%		Phil Green 20,888 40.09%		Mark de Pelham 5,607 10.76%		Brendan Tarry 2,393 4.59%		Paul D.J. McMurray (CAP) 129 0.25%		Paul Szabo
Mississauga South		Paul Szabo 23,018 44.17%		Phil Green 20,888 40.09%		Mark de Pelham 5,607 10.76%		Brendan Tarry 2,393 4.59%		Dagmar Sullivan (M-L) 74 0.14%		Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville		Wajid Khan 23,913 45.95%		Raminder Gill 18,121 34.82%		James Caron 6,929 13.31%		Otto Casanova 2,334 4.48%		Peter Creighton (PC) 747 1.44%		Wajid Khan
Oakville		M. A. Bonnie Brown 25,892 43.35%		Terence Young 25,148 42.10%		Tina Agrell 5,815 9.74%		Laura Domsy 2,872 4.81%				Bonnie Brown

2004

	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Liberal	9	0	0	0
Conservative	0	9	0	0
New Democratic	0	0	9	0
Green	0	0	0	9

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Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
Electoral district	Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		Other		Incumbent
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		Gurbax S. Malhi 20,394 49.54%		Raminder Gill 12,594 30.59%		Fernando Miranda 6,113 14.85%		Sharleen McDowall 1,832 4.45%		Frank Chilelli (M-L) 237 0.58%		Gurbax S. Malhi Bramalea—Gore—Malton—Springdale
Brampton—Springdale		Ruby Dhalla^@ 19,385 47.73%		Sam Hundal¹ 11,182 27.53%		Kathy Pounder 8,038 19.79%		Nick Hudson 1,927 4.74%		Gurdev Singh Mattu (Comm.) 86 0.21%		Sarkis Assadourian† Brampton Centre
Brampton West		Colleen Beaumier 21,254 45.30%		Tony Clement 18,768 40.00%		Chris Moise 4,920 10.49%		Sanjeev Goel 1,603 3.42%		Tom Bose (Ind.) 371 0.79%		Colleen Beaumier Brampton West—Mississauga
Mississauga—Brampton South		Navdeep Bains 24,753 57.16%		Parvinder Sandhu 10,433 24.09%		Larry Taylor 6,411 14.80%		Paul Simas 1,525 3.52%		David Gershuny (M-L) 185 0.43%	New district
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Albina Guarnieri 22,435 56.70%		Riina DeFaria 10,299 26.03%		Jim Gill 4,619 11.67%		Jason Robert Hinchliffe 1,167 2.95%		Pierre Chénier (M-L) 154 0.39%		Albina Guarnieri Mississauga East
										Andrew Seitz (Ind.) 114 0.29%
										Sally Wong (CHP) 778 1.97%
Mississauga—Erindale		Carolyn Parrish 28,246 54.37%		Bob Dechert 16,600 31.95%		Simon Black 5,104 9.82%		Jeff Brownridge 1,855 3.57%		David Greig (M-L) 145 0.28%		Carolyn Parrish Mississauga Centre
											merged district
												Steve Mahoney§ Mississauga West
Mississauga South		Paul John Mark Szabo 24,628 51.67%		Phil Green 16,027 33.62%		Michael James Culkin 5,004 10.50%		Neeraj Jain 1,899 3.98%		Dagmar Sullivan (M-L) 107 0.22%		Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville		Wajid Khan 22,768 50.56%		Nina Tangri 14,287 31.73%		Manjinder Rai 4,266 9.47%		Otto Casanova 2,415 5.36%		Peter Gibson Creighton (PC) 1,293 2.87%	New district
Oakville		M.A. Bonnie Brown 28,729 52.01%		Rick Byers 19,524 35.35%		Alison Myrden 4,027 7.29%		Tania Orton 2,861 5.18%		Zeshan Shahbaz (CAP) 95 0.17%		Bonnie Brown

Maps

Conservative Party of Canada
Green Party of Canada
Liberal Party of Canada
New Democratic Party

2000

Party rankings

	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Liberal	8	0	0	0
Alliance	0	7	1	0
Progressive Conservative	0	1	7	0
New Democratic	0	0	0	8

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Electoral district	Candidates									Incumbent
Electoral district	Liberal		Canadian Alliance		NDP		PC		Other	Incumbent
Bramalea—Gore—Malton—Springdale		Gurbax Singh Malhi 21,917		Gurdish Mangat 7,214		Vishnu Roche 1,864		Danny Varaich 6,019	1,402		Gurbax Singh Malhi Bramalea—Gore—Malton
Brampton Centre		Sarkis Assadourian 18,365		Prabhat Kapur 6,247		Sue Slean 1,795		Beryl Ford 9,229	628		Sarkis Assadourian
Brampton West—Mississauga		Colleen Beaumier 31,041		Hardial Sangha 7,666		Matt Harsant 1,567		W. Glenn Harewood 5,957	529		Colleen Beaumier
Mississauga Centre		Carolyn Parrish 24,381		Harry Dhaliwal 6,643		Gail Mccabe 1,404		Nina Tangri 5,077	514		Carolyn Parrish
Mississauga East		Albina Guarnieri 22,158		Jainstien Dookie 5,372		Henry Beer 1,451		Riina Defaria 5,144	227		Albina Guarnieri
Mississauga South		Paul Szabo 20,676		Brad Butt 10,139		Ken Cole 1,636		David Brown 6,903	583		Paul Szabo
Mississauga West		Steve Mahoney 31,260		Philip Leong 10,582		Cynthia Kazadi 1,532		Gul Nawaz 5,275	810		Steve Mahoney
Oakville		Bonnie Brown 23,074		Dan Ferrone 13,544		Willie Lambert 1,335		Rick Byers 9,589	790		Bonnie Brown

1997

Party rankings

	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Liberal	8	0	0	0
Progressive Conservative	0	6	2	0
Reform	0	2	6	0
New Democratic	0	0	0	8

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Electoral district	Candidates									Incumbent
Electoral district	Liberal		Reform		NDP		PC		Other	Incumbent
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		Gurbax Singh Malhi 18,933		Darlene Florence 8,685		Abdul Majeed 2,281		Beryl Ford 10,655	279		Gurbax Singh Malhi
Brampton Centre		Sarkis Assadourian 18,615		Don Crawford 10,817		Paul Ferreira 2,923		Sam S. Hundal 5,621	127	New district
Brampton West—Mississauga		Colleen Beaumier 27,297		Ernie Mcdonald 7,569		Nirmal Dhinsa 2,192		Kirk Robertson 8,447			Colleen Beaumier Brampton
Mississauga Centre		Carolyn Parrish 25,881		Janice Lim 5,770		Vishnu Roche 1,900		Ahmad Solomah 6,049	192	New district
Mississauga East		Albina Guarnieri 23,780		Peter Zathey 5,617		Terry Gorman 2,156		Michael Wojnarowicz 7,852	262		Albina Guarnieri
Mississauga South		Paul Szabo 21,207		Joe Peschisolido 8,307		Jessica Lott 2,302		Dick Barr 10,077	569		Paul Szabo
Mississauga West		Steve Mahoney 30,598		George Brant 9,160		Timothy Dean Speck 2,128		Rami Gill 8,102			Carolyn Parrish^[c]
Oakville		Bonnie Brown 24,487		Wayne Gray 9,050		Willie Lambert 2,343		Stephen Sparling 15,473			Bonnie Brown Oakville—Milton

Notes and References

Notes

^ Jagdish Grewal was expelled by the Conservative Party on 6 October; because no changes could be made to the list of confirmed candidates after 28 September, he was still listed as the Conservative candidate on the ballot.^[1]
^ Elected as a Liberal in the 2004 Election, Carolyn Parrish was excluded from the Liberal caucus in November 2004.
^ Ran again in the newly created district of Mississauga Centre.

References

^ Thibedeau, Hannah (7 October 2015). "Expelled Conservative Jagdish Grewal says he's not homophobic". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 8 October 2015.

Notes

[2] Jagdish Grewal was expelled by the Conservative Party on 6 October; because no changes could be made to the list of confirmed candidates after 28 September, he was still listed as the Conservative candidate on the ballot.^[1]

[3] Elected as a Liberal in the 2004 Election, Carolyn Parrish was excluded from the Liberal caucus in November 2004.

[4] Ran again in the newly created district of Mississauga Centre.

[1] Thibedeau, Hannah (7 October 2015). "Expelled Conservative Jagdish Grewal says he's not homophobic". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 8 October 2015.

[a]

[b]

[c]

[1]