Wikipedia

Economy of Namibia


The economy of Namibia has a modern market sector, which produces most of the country's wealth, and a traditional subsistence sector. Although the majority of the population engages in subsistence agriculture and herding, Namibia has more than 200,000 skilled workers and a considerable number of well-trained professionals and managerials.[9]

Economy of Namibia
Currency
1 NAD = 1 ZAR
1 April – 31 March
Trade organisations
AU, AfCFTA, WTO, SADC, SACU
Country group
Statistics
PopulationIncrease 3,022,401 (2023)[3]
GDP
  • Increase N$227,8 billion, +10.8% (nominal, 2023)[4]
  • Increase N$151,4 billion, +4.2% (real [constant 2015 prices], 2023)[4]
GDP per capita
  • Increase N$75,381 (nominal, 2023)[4]
GDP by sector
5.9% (2023 Average Annual Inflation Rate)[4]
59.1 high (2015, World Bank)[5]
Labour force
  • Increase 1.09 million (2018)[8]*
UnemploymentPositive decrease 33.4% (2018)[4]
Main industries
meatpacking, fish processing, dairy products, pasta, beverages; mining (diamonds, lead, zinc, tin, silver, tungsten, uranium, copper)
External
ExportsIncrease N$97.4 billion (2022)[4]
Export goods
diamonds, copper, gold, zinc, lead, uranium; cattle, white fish and mollusks
Main export partners
Sep 2023 Exports
ImportsIncrease N$129.0 billion (2022)[4]
Import goods
petroleum oils; chemicals, vehicles, civil engineering & contractors equipment
Main import partners
Sep 2023 Imports

 South Africa 40.2%[4]

 United Arab Emirates 12.3% [4]

 China 7.8% [4]

 India 7.6% [4]

 United States 4.1% [4]
FDI stock
  • Increase N$147,520 billion inflow stock as at Jun 2023[4]
Increase −N$2.498 billion (Jun 2023)[4]
Public finances
Positive decrease 62.5% of GDP (2023/24)[4]
RevenuesIncrease N$81.069 billion (2023/24)[4]
ExpensesNegative increase N$76.960 billion (2022/23)[4]
Increase N$53.752 billion (30 September 2023)[4]
All values, unless otherwise stated, are in US dollars.

Overview

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Namibia is a higher-middle-income country with an annual GDP per capita of N$79,431 in 2022, but has extreme inequalities in income distribution and standard of living.[10] It has the second-highest Gini coefficient out of all nations, with a coefficient of 59.1 as of 2015.[11] Only South Africa has a higher Gini coefficient.[12] However, this statistic may be misleading, as many Namibians in rural areas such as the northern regions do not live on the monetary system are self-sustainable with agriculture and farming.

Since independence, the Namibian Government has pursued free-market economic principles designed to promote commercial development and job creation to bring disadvantaged Namibians into the economic mainstream. To facilitate this goal, the government has actively courted donor assistance and foreign investment. The liberal Foreign Investment Act of 1990 provides guarantees against nationalisation, freedom to remit capital and profits, currency convertibility, and a process for settling disputes equitably. Namibia also is addressing the sensitive issue of agrarian land reform in a pragmatic manner. However, the government runs and owns a number of companies such as TransNamib and NamPost, most of which need frequent financial assistance to stay afloat.[13][14]

The country's sophisticated formal economy is based on capital-intensive industry and farming. However, Namibia's economy is heavily dependent on the earnings generated from primary commodity exports in a few vital sectors, including minerals, especially diamonds, livestock, and fish. Furthermore, the Namibian economy remains integrated with the economy of South Africa, as 47% of Namibia's imports originate from there.[11]

In 1993, Namibia became a signatory of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), and the Minister of Trade and Industry represented Namibia at the Marrakech signing of the Uruguay Round Agreement in April 1994. Namibia also is a member of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

In January 2021, President Hage Geingob formed the Namibia Investment Promotion and Development Board (NIPDB) led by Nangula Nelulu Uaandja. The NIPDB commenced operations as an autonomous entity in the Namibian Presidency and was established to reform the country's economic sector.

Regional integration

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The trans-African automobile route - the Tripoli-Cape Town Highway and the Trans-Kalahari Corridor pass through Namibia. Given its small domestic market but favourable location and a superb transport and communications base, Namibia is a leading advocate of regional economic integration. In addition to its membership in the Southern African Development Community (SADC), Namibia presently belongs to the Southern African Customs Union (SACU) with South Africa, Botswana, Lesotho, and Eswatini. Within SACU, there is no customs on goods produced in, and being transported amidst, its members.[9][15] Namibia is a net receiver of SACU revenues; they are estimated to contribute 13.9 billion NAD in 2012.[16]

The Namibian economy is closely linked to South Africa with the Namibian dollar pegged to the South African rand. Privatisation of several enterprises in coming years may stimulate long-run foreign investment, although with the trade union movement opposed, so far most politicians have been reluctant to advance the issue. In September 1993, Namibia introduced its own currency, the Namibia Dollar (N$), which is linked to the South African Rand at a fixed exchange rate of 1:1. There has been widespread acceptance of the Namibia Dollar throughout the country and, while Namibia remains a part of the Common Monetary Area, it now enjoys slightly more flexibility in monetary policy although interest rates have so far always moved very closely in line with the South African rates.[citation needed]

Namibia imports almost all of its goods from South Africa. Many exports likewise go to the South African market, or transit that country.[9] Namibia's exports consist mainly of diamonds and other minerals, fish products, beef and meat products, karakul sheep pelts, and light manufactures. In recent years, Namibia has accounted for about 5% of total SACU exports, and a slightly higher percentage of imports.[17]

Namibia is seeking to diversify its trading relationships away from its heavy dependence on South African goods and services. Europe has become a leading market for Namibian fish and meat, while mining concerns in Namibia have purchased heavy equipment and machinery from Germany, the United Kingdom, the United States, and Canada. The Government of Namibia is making efforts to take advantage of the American-led African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), which will provide preferential access to American markets for a long list of products. In the short term, Namibia is likely to see growth in the apparel manufacturing industry as a result of AGOA.[18]

Selected Macroeconomic Indicators

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Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Nominal GDP at Market Prices (N$ billion) 83,795 91,421 106,864 117,423 134,836 146,019 157,708 171,570 181,067 181,211 174,243 183,940 209,035
Real GDP at Market Prices (N$ billion, 2015 Prices) 112,645 118,380 124,372 132,004 140,047 146,019 146,068 144,568 146,100 144,874 133,137 137,830 146,711
Real GDP Growth 6.04% 5.09% 5.06% 6.14% 6.09% 4.26% 0.03% -1.03% 1.06% -0.84% -8.10% 3.52% 6.44%
Average Annual Inflation Rate 4.92% 5.00% 6.72% 5.61% 5.35% 3.40% 6.72% 6.16% 4.29% 3.73% 2.21% 3.61% 6.07%

Sectors

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Namibia is heavily dependent on the extraction and processing of minerals for export. Taxes and royalties from mining account for 25% of its revenue.[19] The bulk of the revenue is created by diamond mining, which made up 7.2% of the 9.5% that mining contributes to Namibia's GDP in 2011.[20] Rich alluvial diamond deposits make Namibia a primary source for gem-quality diamonds. Namibia is a large exporter of uranium and over the years the mining industry has seen a decline in the international commodity prices such as uranium, which has led to the reason behind several uranium projects being abandoned. Experts say that the prices are expected to rise in the next 3 years because of an increase in nuclear activities from both Japan and China.

Mining and energy

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Main article: Mining in Namibia
See also: List of power stations in Namibia
 
Rössing uranium mine, an open-pit mine located near Arandis, Erongo Region

Mining and quarrying have been at the forefront of Namibia’s consistent growth over the last 40 years. Despite economic diversification in other sectors, the mining sector has maintained strong contributions to annual GDP figures. Average contribution since 1980 stands at 11%.[21]

Diamond mining has been Namibia’s prized mineral over the last 40+ years, and contributed over 60% of the real GDP generated from mining over the period. Diamond production increased over 45% in 2022 thanks to Debmarine Namibia, who produced a record 1.725 million carats, with the Benguela Gem producing 480,000 carats.[21]

Diamond production totalled 2.2 million carats in 2022, generating over N$14 billion in export earnings. Other important mineral resources are uranium, gold, metal ores, copper, and zinc. The country also extracts silver, tin, vanadium, semiprecious gemstones, tantalite, phosphate, sulphur, and mines salt.[9]

Uranium

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Main article: Uranium mining in Namibia

Namibia is the fourth-largest exporter of nonfuel minerals in Africa, the world's fourth-largest producer of uranium, and the producer of large quantities of lead, zinc, tin, silver, and tungsten. The country produced 11% of uranium worldwide in 2020, making it the second largest producer of Uranium after Kazakhstan.[22]

Namibia is home to two uranium mines (Langer Heinrich and Rössing) believed to be capable of providing 10% of the global mining output. Langer Heinrich began operation in 1976, with Rossing opening in 2006.[23]

The mining sector employs only about 3% of the population while about half of the population depends on subsistence agriculture for its livelihood. Namibia normally imports about 50% of its cereal requirements; in drought years food shortages are a major problem in rural areas.[24]

Crude oil

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During the pre-independence period, large areas of Namibia, including off-shore, were leased for oil prospecting. Some natural gas was discovered in 1974 in the Kudu Field off the mouth of the Orange River, but the extent of this find is only now being determined.[25] It is only in 2022 with the Graff discovery[26] of Shell and the Venus discovery[27] of TotalEnergies that Namibia became a true exploration frontier.

In response to the discovery of an estimated 11 billion barrels of crude oil off its coast in 2022, discovered by international oil giants TotalEnergies SE and Shell Plc, Namibia is preparing for a pivotal moment in its economic development. A final investment decision regarding the commercial viability of this discovery is expected by the end of 2024. To manage potential oil revenues effectively, the Namibian government has proposed the creation of a sovereign wealth fund. This fund is intended to secure long-term economic stability and allocate benefits across generations.[28]

Legislation to outline the management, investment strategies, and withdrawal protocols of the fund is currently under development. This approach reflects Namibia's strategic planning to harness its oil resources responsibly while aiming for sustainable economic growth and ensuring that the benefits are widely distributed among its population.[28]

Agriculture

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Main article: Agriculture in Namibia
 
Grazing camp for livestock in the Central Thornveld of Namibia
 
Chipped woody biomass in Namibia for thermal energy applications
 
Packaging of export charcoal produced from encroacher bush

About half of the population depends on agriculture (largely subsistence agriculture) for its livelihood, but Namibia must still import some of its food. Although per capita GDP is five times the per capita GDP of Africa's poorest countries, the majority of Namibia's people live in rural areas and exist on a subsistence way of life. Namibia has one of the highest rates of income inequality in the world, due in part to the fact that there is an urban economy and a more rural cash-less economy. The inequality figures thus take into account people who do not actually rely on the formal economy for their survival. Although arable land accounts for only 1% of Namibia, nearly half of the population is employed in agriculture.[29]

About 4,000, mostly white, commercial farmers own almost half of Namibia's arable land.[30] Agreement has been reached on the privatisation of several more enterprises in coming years, with hopes that this will stimulate much needed foreign investment. However, reinvestment of environmentally derived capital has hobbled Namibian per capita income.[31]

One of the fastest growing areas of economic development in Namibia is the growth of wildlife conservancies. These conservancies are particularly important to the rural generally unemployed population.[32]

Agriculture is increasingly under pressure, due to factors such as frequent and prolonged droughts as well as woody plant encroachment. These render conventional agriculture unsustainable for a growing number of land owners, with many diverting their economic activities to alternative of additional sources of income.[33]

In recent years, the utilisation of residual biomass that results from the control of woody plant encroachment has gained traction.[34] In 2022, Namibia was the seventh largest exporter of charcoal globally, with total export volumes of over 280,000 tonnes and revenues of USD 75 million.[35] Other products from local encroacher biomass include bush-based animal fodder,[36][37] wood-plastic composite materials,[38] thermal energy in a cement factory[39] and a brewery[40] and biochar.[citation needed] In 2019 it was estimated that 10,000 workers were employed in the growing sub-sector of biomass utilisation, rendering it one of the biggest sub-sectors in terms of employment.[41][42]

Fishing

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Workers on a governmental marine research vessel in Namibia

The clean, cold South Atlantic waters off the coast of Namibia are home to some of the richest fishing grounds in the world, with the potential for sustainable yields of 1.5 million tonnes per year. Commercial fishing and fish processing is the fastest-growing sector of the Namibian economy in terms of employment, export earnings, and contribution to GDP.[43]

The main species found in abundance off Namibia are pilchards (sardines), anchovy, hake, and horse mackerel. There also are smaller but significant quantities of sole, squid, deep-sea crab, rock lobster, and tuna.[44] At the time of independence, fish stocks had fallen to dangerously low levels, due to the lack of protection and conservation of the fisheries and the over-exploitation of these resources. This trend appears to have been halted and reversed since independence, as the Namibian Government is now pursuing a conservative resource management policy along with an aggressive fisheries enforcement campaign. The government seeks to develop fish-farming as an alternative and has prioritised it as part of Vision 2030 and NDP2.[45]

On 12 November 2019, WikiLeaks published thousands of documents and email communication by Samherji's employees, called the Fishrot Files, that indicated hundreds of millions ISK had been paid to high ranking politicians and officials in Namibia with the objective of acquiring the country's coveted fishing quota.[46]

Manufacturing and infrastructure

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In 2000, Namibia's manufacturing sector contributed about 20% of GDP. Namibian manufacturing is inhibited by a small domestic market, dependence on imported goods, limited supply of local capital, widely dispersed population, small skilled labour force and high relative wage rates, and subsidised competition from South Africa.

Walvis Bay is a well-developed, deepwater port, and Namibia's fishing infrastructure is most heavily concentrated there. The Namibian Government expects Walvis Bay to become an important commercial gateway to the Southern African region.

Namibia also boasts world-class civil aviation facilities and an extensive, well-maintained land transportation network. Construction is underway on two new arteries—the Trans-Caprivi Highway and Trans-Kalahari Highway—which will open up the region's access to Walvis Bay.

The Walvis Bay Export Processing Zone operates in the key port of Walvis Bay.

Tourism

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An example of Namibian wildlife, the Plains Zebra, one focus of tourism
Main article: Tourism in Namibia
 
Elephant in the Etosha National Park

Tourism is a major contributor (14.5%) to Namibia's GDP, creating tens of thousands of jobs (18.2% of all employment) directly or indirectly and servicing over a million tourists per annum.[47] The country is among the prime destinations in Africa and is known for ecotourism which features Namibia's extensive wildlife.[48]

There are many lodges and reserves to accommodate eco-tourists. Sport Hunting is also a large, and growing component of the Namibian economy, accounting for 14% of total tourism in the year 2000, or $19.6 million US dollars, with Namibia boasting numerous species sought after by international sport hunters.[49] In addition, extreme sports such as sandboarding, skydiving and 4x4ing have become popular, and many cities have companies that provide tours. The most visited places include the Caprivi Strip, Fish River Canyon, Sossusvlei, the Skeleton Coast Park, Sesriem, Etosha Pan and the coastal towns of Swakopmund, Walvis Bay and Lüderitz.[50]

In 2020, it would be estimated that tourism would bring is $26 million Namibian dollars however due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Namibia saw a reduction of almost 90% in tourism. In the third quarter of 2021, there was an increase in tourism, however, it is estimated that it will be until 2023 when tourism returns to some kind of normality.

Labour

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While many Namibians are economically active in one form or another, the bulk of this activity is in the informal sector, primarily subsistence agriculture. A large number of Namibians seeking jobs in the formal sector are held back due to a lack of necessary skills or training. The government is aggressively pursuing education reform to overcome this problem.

The country's unemployment rate was 33.4% in 2018, with a labour force of 1,090,153. However, Namibia has a high percentage of skilled labour relative to SADC countries and have relatively low unemployment rates for skilled workers. To fight high unemployment, particularly amongst the youth, the government approved the introduction of an Internship Tax Incentive Programme aimed at incentivising employers to enroll more interns by providing an additional corporate tax deduction. The total financial implication for the Government is estimated at N$126 million.

The 2018 Namibia Labour Force Survey indicates that 99,536 people within the working age population had tertiary education of any level (6.6% of the working age population), while 21,922 (1.5% of the working age population) of these had postgraduate education.

Age group No education Primary Junior secondary Senior secondary Technical/vocational certificate or diploma Currently in year 1, 2 or 3 of tertiary education University certificate, diploma or degree Postgraduate certificate, diploma or degree
15-19 10,695 89,696 112,104 23,588 508 1,558 299 44
20-24 19,090 37,177 99,661 58,909 6,185 9,498 6,019 212
25-29 13,757 31,278 81,909 53,019 7,263 9,035 16,294 3,840
30-34 13,753 25,656 73,216 39,969 4,886 3,161 15,520 2,764
35-39 13,030 24,926 55,816 30,999 3,497 2,582 10,831 3,290
40-44 16,042 24,602 38,462 26,786 3,508 1,605 7,284 2,603
45-49 12,509 24,743 27,780 18,883 1,180 896 6,752 2,663
50-54 12,594 22,360 20,641 10,810 891 582 5,529 2,522
55-59 12,754 19,927 13,654 5,487 825 848 4,064 1,712
60-64 13,832 14,578 8,006 2,764 584 459 2,135 1,570
65+ 49,043 31,213 10,033 3,415 775 389 2,886 702
Total 187,100 346,157 541,281 274,628 30,101 30,612 77,615 21,922

The table below shows the 2018 Namibia Labour Force Survey employment statistics by education. Employment rates in Namibia generally increase with education status. A high school education typically ensures greater employment rates than those with no education or those with primary or junior secondary education as their highest achievement.

Those currently in their first, second or third year of higher education have the lowest employment rates, although it is not as common for students to actively pursue work given their attention on education. Namibians with a university certificate, diploma or degree have a significantly higher employment rate at 76.4%, while postgraduate education holders are most likely to be employed with an employment rate of 83.8% in 2018.

No education Primary Junior secondary Senior secondary Technical/vocational certificate or diploma Currently in year 1, 2 or 3 of tertiary education University certificate, diploma or degree Postgraduate certificate, diploma or degree
Total 187,100 346,157 541,281 274,628 30,101 30,612 77,615 21,922
Employed 85,352 146,089 229,259 146,874 16,292 12,595 59,328 18,378
% Employed 45.6% 42.2% 42.4% 53.5% 54.1% 41.1% 76.4% 83.8%

Namibians in the informal sector as well as in low-paid jobs like homemakers, gardeners or factory workers are unlikely to be covered by medical aid or a pension fund. All in all only a quarter or the working population have medical aid, and about half have a pension fund.[51]

Namibia's largest trade union federation, the National Union of Namibian Workers (NUNW) represents workers organised into seven affiliated trade unions. NUNW maintains a close affiliation with the ruling SWAPO party.

Household wealth and income

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See also: Poverty in Namibia

In the financial year March 2009 – February 2010, every Namibian earned 15,000 N$ (roughly 2,000 US$) on average. Household income was dominated by wages (49.1%) and subsistence farming (23%), with further significant sources of income being business activities (8.1%, farming excluded), old-age pensions from government (9.9%), and cash remittance (2.9%). Commercial farming only contributed 0.6%.[52]

Every Namibian resident had on average 10,800 US$ of wealth accumulated in 2016, putting Namibia on third place in Africa. Individual wealth is, however, distributed very unequally; the country's Gini coefficient of 0.61 is one of the highest in the world. There are 3,300 US$-millionaires in Namibia, 1,400 of which live in the capital Windhoek.[53]

Namibian businesspeople

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See also

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Notes

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References

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  This article incorporates public domain material from The World Factbook. CIA.

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