Electoral results for the Division of Blair

This is a list of electoral results for the Division of Blair in Australian federal elections from the division's creation in 1998 until the present.

Members

Member		Party	Term
	Cameron Thompson	Liberal	1998–2007
	Shayne Neumann	Labor	2007–present

Election results

Elections in the 2020s

2022

2022 Australian federal election: Blair^[1]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	36,494	35.01	+3.75
	Liberal National	Sam Biggins	30,122	28.89	−0.14
	Greens	Danielle Mutton	13,113	12.58	+3.90
	One Nation	Liz Suduk	10,419	9.99	−6.81
	United Australia	Quinton Cunningham	6,353	6.09	+2.69
	Liberal Democrats	Michelle Jaques	3,080	2.95	+2.95
	Animal Justice	Angela Lowery	2,563	2.46	+2.46
	Australian Values	Maria Pitman	2,103	2.02	+2.02
Total formal votes			104,247	94.70	+2.19
Informal votes			5,832	5.30	−2.19
Turnout			110,079	87.11	−4.23
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	57,575	55.23	+4.02
	Liberal National	Sam Biggins	46,672	44.77	−4.02
	Labor hold		Swing	+4.02

Alluvial diagram for preference flows in the seat of Blair in the 2022 federal election.

indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.

Elections in the 2010s

2019

2019 Australian federal election: Blair^[2]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	29,987	31.26	−9.79
	Liberal National	Robert Shearman	27,844	29.03	−0.58
	One Nation	Sharon Bell	16,114	16.80	+1.90
	Greens	Michelle Duncan	8,325	8.68	+1.97
	Independent	Simone Karandrews	3,849	4.01	+4.01
	United Australia	Majella Zimpel	3,261	3.40	+3.40
	Democratic Labour	John Quinn	2,418	2.52	+2.40
	Independent	John Turner	2,118	2.21	+0.06
	Conservative National	Peter Fitzpatrick	2,009	2.09	+2.09
Total formal votes			95,925	92.51	−1.92
Informal votes			7,765	7.49	+1.92
Turnout			103,690	91.34	+0.17
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	49,123	51.21	−6.93
	Liberal National	Robert Shearman	46,802	48.79	+6.93
	Labor hold		Swing	−6.93

2016

2016 Australian federal election: Blair^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	35,691	41.90	+0.35
	Liberal National	Teresa Harding	24,455	28.71	−5.14
	One Nation	Troy Aggett	13,273	15.58	+15.58
	Greens	Pat Walsh	5,266	6.18	+1.93
	Family First	Geoff Darr	2,406	2.82	−0.04
	Independent	Sandy Turner	1,913	2.25	+2.25
	Independent	Patricia Petersen	1,439	1.69	+1.69
	Independent	Jonathan Emms	744	0.87	+0.87
Total formal votes			85,187	94.33	0.00
Informal votes			5,120	5.67	0.00
Turnout			90,307	91.81	−2.63
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	50,158	58.88	+3.62
	Liberal National	Teresa Harding	35,029	41.12	−3.62
	Labor hold		Swing	+3.62

2013

2013 Australian federal election: Blair^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	32,818	41.55	−0.53
	Liberal National	Teresa Harding	26,734	33.85	−3.65
	Palmer United	Anthony Stanton	9,805	12.41	+12.41
	Greens	Clare Rudkin	3,359	4.25	−6.81
	Katter's Australian	Dale Chorley	2,491	3.15	+3.15
	Family First	Elwyn Denman	2,257	2.86	−2.05
	Australian Independents	Shannon Deguara	1,011	1.28	+1.28
	Rise Up Australia	Anthony Mackin	504	0.64	+0.64
Total formal votes			78,979	94.33	+0.21
Informal votes			4,749	5.67	−0.21
Turnout			83,728	94.46	+0.54
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	43,642	55.26	+1.02
	Liberal National	Teresa Harding	35,337	44.74	−1.02
	Labor hold		Swing	+1.02

2010

2010 Australian federal election: Blair^[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	30,890	42.08	−9.23
	Liberal National	Neil Zabel	27,525	37.50	−2.11
	Greens	Patricia Petersen	8,122	11.06	+6.96
	Family First	Joshua Olyslagers	3,605	4.91	+2.86
	Independent	Brad King	3,267	4.45	+4.45
Total formal votes			73,409	94.12	−2.03
Informal votes			4,589	5.88	+2.03
Turnout			77,998	93.89	−1.10
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	39,814	54.24	−2.74
	Liberal National	Neil Zabel	33,595	45.76	+2.74
	Labor hold		Swing	−2.74

Elections in the 2000s

2007

2007 Australian federal election: Blair
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	40,663	48.83	+11.99
	Liberal	Cameron Thompson	35,133	42.19	−5.17
	Greens	Peter Luxton	3,262	3.92	+0.68
	Family First	Bevan Smith	1,718	2.06	−1.56
	Independent	Dale Chorley	1,429	1.72	+1.72
	Democrats	David White	735	0.88	−0.44
	Liberty & Democracy	Doug Swanborough	196	0.24	+0.24
	Citizens Electoral Council	Robert Theis	143	0.17	−0.41
Total formal votes			83,279	96.13	+2.28
Informal votes			3,352	3.87	−2.28
Turnout			86,631	95.22	−0.54
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	45,369	54.48	+10.17
	Liberal	Cameron Thompson	37,910	45.52	−10.17
	Labor gain from Liberal		Swing	+10.17

2004

2004 Australian federal election: Blair
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Cameron Thompson	42,683	52.19	+8.28
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	25,709	31.44	+1.06
	One Nation	David Chidgey	4,330	5.29	−9.69
	Family First	Priscilla Smith	2,982	3.65	+3.65
	Greens	Sarai E O'Reilly-Reis	2,406	2.94	−0.20
	New Country	Alan Price	1,691	2.07	+2.07
	Democrats	Neal McKenzie	1,049	1.28	−2.32
	Great Australians	John Bennett	473	0.58	+0.56
	Citizens Electoral Council	Rodney Stapleton	458	0.56	+0.29
Total formal votes			81,781	94.22	−0.47
Informal votes			5,019	5.78	+0.47
Turnout			86,800	94.83	−1.09
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal	Cameron Thompson	50,057	61.21	+4.59
	Labor	Shayne Neumann	31,724	38.79	−4.59
	Liberal hold		Swing	+4.59

2001

2001 Australian federal election: Blair
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Cameron Thompson	31,933	45.87	+24.17
	Labor	Wayne Wendt	19,397	27.86	+2.57
	One Nation	Gary Turner	10,467	15.03	−20.93
	Democrats	Neal McKenzie	2,284	3.28	−0.35
	Greens	Phil Kyson	2,273	3.26	+1.46
	Independent	Selwyn Johnston	2,131	3.06	+3.06
	Independent	Dan Ryan	921	1.32	+1.32
	Citizens Electoral Council	Lindsay Cosgrove	215	0.31	+0.02
Total formal votes			69,621	94.68	−1.72
Informal votes			3,909	5.32	+1.72
Turnout			73,530	96.19
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal	Cameron Thompson	40,727	58.50	+5.10
	Labor	Wayne Wendt	28,894	41.50	+41.50
	Liberal hold		Swing	+5.10

Elections in the 1990s

1998

1998 Australian federal election: Blair ^[6]^[7]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	One Nation	Pauline Hanson	24,516	35.97	+35.97
	Labor	Virginia Clarke	17,239	25.29	−0.18
	Liberal	Cameron Thompson	14,787	21.69	−24.19
	National	Brett White	6,989	10.25	−6.91
	Democrats	Neal McKenzie	2,478	3.64	−2.13
	Greens	Libby Connors	1,230	1.80	−0.43
	Independent	Lee Roberts	556	0.82	+0.82
	Citizens Electoral Council	Owen Bassingthwaighte	199	0.29	+0.29
	Abolish Child Support	Mark Sloan	170	0.25	+0.25
Total formal votes			68,164	96.41	−0.98
Informal votes			2,541	3.59	+0.98
Turnout			70,705	95.28
Notional two-party-preferred count
	Liberal	Cameron Thompson	39,553	58.03	−10.61
	Labor	Virginia Clarke	28,611	41.97	+10.61
Two-candidate-preferred result
	Liberal	Cameron Thompson	36,398	53.40	−15.30
	One Nation	Pauline Hanson	31,766	46.60	+46.60
	Liberal notional hold		Swing	−15.30

References

^ Blair, QLD, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
^ Blair, QLD, Tally Room 2019, Australian Electoral Commission.
^ Blair, QLD, Virtual Tally Room 2016, Australian Electoral Commission.
^ 2013 results for Blair, AEC.
^ "2010 results for Blair". AEC.
^ "1998 House of Representatives: Queensland". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 16 June 2022.
^ "1998 Two Party Preferred Statistics V1_9.XLS". 1993, 1996 and 1998 election statistics. Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2022.

Australian Electoral Commission. Federal election results
Carr, Adam. Psephos

[1] Blair, QLD, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.

[2] Blair, QLD, Tally Room 2019, Australian Electoral Commission.

[3] Blair, QLD, Virtual Tally Room 2016, Australian Electoral Commission.

[4] 2013 results for Blair, AEC.

[5] "2010 results for Blair". AEC.

[1998_Psephos_Qld-6] "1998 House of Representatives: Queensland". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 16 June 2022.

[1998_AEC-7] "1998 Two Party Preferred Statistics V1_9.XLS". 1993, 1996 and 1998 election statistics. Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2022.

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