Electoral results for the Division of Forde

This is a list of electoral results for the Division of Forde in Australian federal elections from the division's creation in 1984 until the present.

Members

	Party	Term
David Watson	Liberal	1984–1987
Mary Crawford	Labor	1987–1996
Kay Elson	Liberal	1996–2007
Brett Raguse	Labor	2007–2010
Bert van Manen	Liberal National	2010–present

Election results

Elections in the 2020s

2022

2022 Australian federal election: Forde^[1]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal National	Bert van Manen	34,920	36.91	−6.59
	Labor	Rowan Holzberger	26,497	28.01	−1.50
	Greens	Jordan Hall	9,319	9.85	+1.12
	One Nation	Seschelle Matterson	7,578	8.01	−3.80
	United Australia	Roxanne O'Halloran	7,485	7.91	+3.87
	Independent	Christopher Greaves	2,973	3.14	+3.14
	Liberal Democrats	Tobby Sutherland	2,668	2.82	+2.82
	Animal Justice	Linda McCarthy	2,444	2.58	+2.58
	TNL	Samuel Holland	728	0.77	+0.77
Total formal votes			94,612	93.22	−2.14
Informal votes			6,884	6.78	+2.14
Turnout			101,496	85.23	−4.26
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal National	Bert van Manen	51,311	54.23	−4.37
	Labor	Rowan Holzberger	43,301	45.77	+4.37
	Liberal National hold		Swing	−4.37

Alluvial diagram for preference flows in the seat of Forde in the 2022 federal election.

indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.

Elections in the 2010s

2019

2019 Australian federal election: Forde^[2]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal National	Bert van Manen	39,819	43.50	+2.87
	Labor	Des Hardman	27,008	29.51	−8.13
	One Nation	Ian Bowron	10,807	11.81	+11.81
	Greens	Kirsty Petersen	7,987	8.73	+2.30
	United Australia	Paul Creighton	3,696	4.04	+4.04
	Conservative National	Les Innes	2,217	2.42	+2.42
Total formal votes			91,534	95.36	+0.43
Informal votes			4,449	4.64	−0.43
Turnout			95,983	89.49	+0.31
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal National	Bert van Manen	53,635	58.60	+7.97
	Labor	Des Hardman	37,899	41.40	−7.97
	Liberal National hold		Swing	+7.97

2016

2016 Australian federal election: Forde^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal National	Bert van Manen	34,096	40.63	−1.91
	Labor	Des Hardman	31,587	37.64	+3.64
	Greens	Sally Spain	5,393	6.43	+2.26
	Independent	David Wilks	5,242	6.25	+6.25
	Family First	Annelise Hellberg	4,687	5.59	+3.35
	Liberty Alliance	Shaun Spain	2,905	3.46	+3.46
Total formal votes			83,910	94.93	+2.20
Informal votes			4,486	5.07	−2.20
Turnout			88,396	89.28	−3.32
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal National	Bert van Manen	42,486	50.63	−3.75
	Labor	Des Hardman	41,424	49.37	+3.75
	Liberal National hold		Swing	−3.75

2013

2013 Australian federal election: Forde^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal National	Bert van Manen	32,271	42.54	−1.54
	Labor	Peter Beattie	25,794	34.00	−3.39
	Palmer United	Blair Brewster	9,445	12.45	+12.45
	Greens	Sally Spain	3,162	4.17	−8.05
	Family First	Amanda Best	1,701	2.24	−4.08
	Katter's Australian	Paul Hunter	1,652	2.18	+2.18
	Rise Up Australia	Jonathan Jennings	745	0.98	+0.98
	Independent	Joshua Sloss	698	0.92	+0.92
	Australian Voice	Keith Douglas	262	0.35	+0.35
	Citizens Electoral Council	Jan Pukallus	130	0.17	+0.17
Total formal votes			75,860	92.73	−0.14
Informal votes			5,948	7.27	+0.14
Turnout			81,808	92.60	+0.94
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal National	Bert van Manen	41,256	54.38	+2.75
	Labor	Peter Beattie	34,604	45.62	−2.75
	Liberal National hold		Swing	+2.75

2010

2010 Australian federal election: Forde^[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal National	Bert van Manen	30,967	44.08	+0.01
	Labor	Brett Raguse	26,268	37.39	−8.92
	Greens	Petrina Maizey	8,583	12.22	+7.78
	Family First	Melissa Raassina	4,440	6.32	+3.56
Total formal votes			70,258	92.87	−2.42
Informal votes			5,397	7.13	+2.42
Turnout			75,655	91.64	−1.05
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal National	Bert van Manen	36,271	51.63	+4.99
	Labor	Brett Raguse	33,987	48.37	−4.99
	Liberal National gain from Labor		Swing	+4.99

Elections in the 2000s

2007

2007 Australian federal election: Forde
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Brett Raguse	34,721	44.35	+12.15
	Liberal	Wendy Creighton	26,576	33.95	−19.14
	National	Hajnal Ban	9,550	12.20	+12.12
	Greens	Andy Grodecki	3,756	4.80	+0.73
	Family First	Iona Abrahamson	1,756	2.24	−1.84
	One Nation	Rod Evans	671	0.86	−2.87
	Independent	Chris Coyle	623	0.80	+0.80
	Democrats	Maaz Syed	419	0.54	−0.79
	Citizens Electoral Council	Daniel Hope	216	0.28	+0.05
Total formal votes			78,288	95.39	+1.95
Informal votes			3,782	4.61	−1.95
Turnout			82,070	94.14	−0.34
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Brett Raguse	41,419	52.91	+14.43
	Liberal	Wendy Creighton	36,869	47.09	−14.43
	Labor gain from Liberal		Swing	+14.43

2004

2004 Australian federal election: Forde
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Kay Elson	41,335	54.81	+5.60
	Labor	Sean Leader	23,382	31.00	−2.35
	Greens	Daniel Lloyd	3,076	4.08	+1.07
	Family First	Shereen Hinds	2,986	3.96	+3.96
	One Nation	Aaron Heaps	2,935	3.89	−5.87
	Democrats	Anita Martin	1,018	1.35	−3.29
		David Gordon Howse	515	0.68	+0.68
	Citizens Electoral Council	Daniel Hope	171	0.23	+0.23
Total formal votes			75,418	93.62	−0.59
Informal votes			5,143	6.38	+0.59
Turnout			80,561	93.30	+0.50
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal	Kay Elson	47,502	62.98	+6.00
	Labor	Sean Leader	27,916	37.02	−6.00
	Liberal hold		Swing	+6.00

2001

2001 Australian federal election: Forde
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Kay Elson	38,263	49.67	+6.92
	Labor	Val Smith	25,424	33.00	+0.34
	One Nation	Alice Ngahooro	7,372	9.57	−7.53
	Democrats	Alan Dickson	3,620	4.70	+0.20
	Greens	Rose Clyne	2,363	3.07	+0.82
Total formal votes			77,042	94.11	−1.89
Informal votes			4,825	5.89	+1.89
Turnout			81,867	95.13
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal	Kay Elson	44,207	57.38	+2.13
	Labor	Val Smith	32,835	42.62	−2.13
	Liberal hold		Swing	+2.13

Elections in the 1990s

1998

1998 Australian federal election: Forde
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Kay Elson	29,358	42.74	+0.29
	Labor	Peter Keech	22,431	32.66	+0.87
	One Nation	Adrian Dean	11,746	17.10	+17.10
	Democrats	Alan Dickson	3,093	4.50	−3.47
	Greens	Daniel Habermann	1,546	2.25	−0.15
	Family Law Reform	Geoff Daniels	286	0.42	+0.42
	Citizens Electoral Council	Danny Hope	229	0.33	+0.33
Total formal votes			68,689	96.00	−1.33
Informal votes			2,863	4.00	+1.33
Turnout			71,552	93.23	−0.28
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal	Kay Elson	37,948	55.25	−6.76
	Labor	Peter Keech	30,741	44.75	+6.76
	Liberal hold		Swing	−6.76

1996

1996 Australian federal election: Forde
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Kay Elson	28,172	40.82	+3.63
	Labor	Mary Crawford	23,201	33.62	−9.15
	National	Garth Carey	9,833	14.25	+6.06
	Democrats	Xanthe Adams	5,507	7.98	+2.69
	Greens	Aaron Wise	1,683	2.44	−0.42
	Indigenous Peoples	Marshall Bell	612	0.89	+0.84
Total formal votes			69,008	97.26	−0.05
Informal votes			1,943	2.74	+0.05
Turnout			70,951	93.51	−1.07
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal	Kay Elson	41,087	59.70	+9.44
	Labor	Mary Crawford	27,735	40.30	−9.44
	Liberal gain from Labor		Swing	+9.44

1993

1993 Australian federal election: Forde
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Mary Crawford	36,227	51.76	+4.90
	Liberal	Jim Planincic	23,590	33.70	−0.39
	Democrats	Alan Dickson	4,085	5.84	−6.32
	National	Peter Flaws	2,527	3.61	−0.51
	Greens	Barry Stark	2,070	2.96	+1.41
	Confederate Action	Marion Corbley	1,494	2.13	+2.13
Total formal votes			69,993	97.51	+0.16
Informal votes			1,787	2.49	−0.16
Turnout			71,780	94.58
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Mary Crawford	40,969	58.57	+2.22
	Liberal	Jim Planincic	28,979	41.43	−2.22
	Labor hold		Swing	+2.22

1990

1990 Australian federal election: Forde
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Mary Crawford	28,063	43.7	−2.7
	Liberal	Brad Bauman	24,232	37.7	+2.2
	Democrats	Jason Neville	7,138	11.1	+5.0
	Greens	Coral Wynter	2,169	3.4	+3.4
	National	Ross Adams	1,967	3.1	−8.9
	Independent	John Duggan	646	1.0	+1.0
Total formal votes			64,215	97.4
Informal votes			1,717	2.6
Turnout			65,932	94.4
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Mary Crawford	34,910	54.5	+3.5
	Liberal	Brad Bauman	29,161	45.5	−3.5
	Labor hold		Swing	+3.5

Elections in the 1980s

1987

1987 Australian federal election: Forde
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Mary Crawford	27,441	46.4	+1.5
	Liberal	David Watson	20,957	35.5	+3.7
	National	Tony Philbrick	7,107	12.0	−4.5
	Democrats	Sheila Rieff	3,582	6.1	−0.7
Total formal votes			59,087	96.7
Informal votes			2,040	3.3
Turnout			61,127	92.3
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Mary Crawford	30,152	51.0	+1.0
	Liberal	David Watson	28,925	49.0	−1.0
	Labor gain from Liberal		Swing	+1.0

1984

1984 Australian federal election: Forde
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Hamish Linacre	23,573	44.9	−2.7
	Liberal	David Watson	16,707	31.8	−9.9
	National	Francis Gaffy	8,675	16.5	+13.2
	Democrats	Michael Coogan	3,564	6.8	−0.8
Total formal votes			52,519	94.8
Informal votes			2,909	5.2
Turnout			55,428	92.0
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal	David Watson	26,272	50.0	+2.7
	Labor	Hamish Linacre	26,229	50.0	−2.7
	Liberal notional gain from Labor		Swing	+2.7

References

^ Forde, QLD, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
^ Forde, QLD, Tally Room 2019, Australian Electoral Commission.
^ Forde, QLD, Virtual Tally Room 2016, Australian Electoral Commission.
^ 2013 results for Forde, AEC.
^ "2010 results for Forde". AEC.

Australian Electoral Commission. Federal election results
Carr, Adam. Psephos

[1] Forde, QLD, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.

[2] Forde, QLD, Tally Room 2019, Australian Electoral Commission.

[3] Forde, QLD, Virtual Tally Room 2016, Australian Electoral Commission.

[4] 2013 results for Forde, AEC.

[5] "2010 results for Forde". AEC.

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