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Talk:2016 Australian federal election/FullInfobox

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Next Australian federal election
← 2013 On or before 14 January 2017
All 150 seats in the Australian House of Representatives
76 seats needed for a majority
40 (of the 76) seats in the Australian Senate
Opinion polls
  Tony Abbott Bill Shorten Warren Truss
Leader Tony Abbott
Prime Minister 		Bill Shorten
Leader of the Opposition 		Warren Truss
Deputy Prime Minister
Party Liberal
(Coalition member) 		Labor National
(Coalition member)
Leader since 1 December 2009 (2009-12-01) 13 October 2013 (2013-10-13) 3 December 2007 (2007-12-03)
Leader's seat Warringah Maribyrnong Wide Bay
Last election 81 seats
41.26% 		55 seats
33.38% 		9 seats
4.29%
  Christine Milne Clive Palmer Bob Katter
Leader Christine Milne Clive Palmer Bob Katter
Party Greens Palmer United Katter's Australian
Leader since 13 March 2012 (2012-03-13) April 2013 (2013-04) 3 June 2011 (2011-06-03)
Leader's seat Senator for Tasmania Fairfax Kennedy
Last election 1 seat
8.65% 		1 seat
5.49% 		1 seat
1.04%


The next Australian federal election will elect members of the 45th Parliament of Australia. The election will be called following the dissolution or expiry of the 44th Parliament. It must be held on or before 14 January 2017.

Australia has compulsory voting, uses full-preference instant-runoff voting in single member seats for the lower house, the Australian House of Representatives, and single transferable vote group voting tickets in the proportionally represented upper house, the Australian Senate.

Date

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The last federal election was held on 7 September 2013, and the 44th Parliament of Australia opened on 12 November 2013.[1] Although a House-only election can be called at any time during the parliamentary term, writs for a half-Senate election cannot be issued earlier than 1 July 2016. Since election campaigns run for a minimum of 33 days, the earliest date for a normal House and half-Senate election is 6 August 2016.[2]

The last date on which the next election can be held is 14 January 2017,[2] which is calculated under provisions of the Constitution of Australia and the Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918 (CEA), as follows:[3]

  • Section 12 of the Constitution says: "The Governor of any State may cause writs to be issued for the election of Senators for that State"
  • Section 13 of the Constitution provides that the election of Senators shall be held in the period of twelve months before the places become vacant.
  • Section 28 of the Constitution says: "Every House of Representatives shall continue for three years from the first sitting of the House, and no longer, but may be sooner dissolved by the Governor-General."[4] Since the 44th Parliament of Australia opened on 12 November 2013, it will expire on 11 November 2016.[5]
  • Section 32 of the Constitution says: "The writs shall be issued within ten days from the expiry of a House of Representatives or from the proclamation of a dissolution thereof." Ten days after 11 November 2016 is 21 November 2016.
  • Section 156 (1) of the CEA says: "The date fixed for the nomination of the candidates shall not be less than 10 days nor more than 27 days after the date of the writ".[6] Twenty-seven days after 21 November 2016 is 18 December 2016.
  • Section 157 of the CEA says: "The date fixed for the polling shall not be less than 23 days nor more than 31 days after the date of nomination". [7] Thirty-one days after 18 December 2016 is 18 January 2017, a Wednesday.
  • Section 158 of the CEA says: "The day fixed for the polling shall be a Saturday".[8] The Saturday before 18 January 2017 is 14 January 2017. This is therefore the latest possible date for the election. However, it is unlikely that the election would be held this late, as schools would be closed for summer holidays at this time. Governments tend to avoid holding elections during school holidays, since schools are often used as polling places.[9]

The last possible date for a double dissolution is 16 July 2016.[2]

Background

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See also: Mackerras pendulum for the next Australian federal election

The Coalition won the 2013 federal election with 90 of 150 lower house seats on a 17-seat 3.6-point two-party swing, defeating the six-year Labor government. Labor holds 55 seats while crossbenchers hold the remaining five.

The Abbott Government was sworn into office on 18 September 2013.[10]

Kevin Rudd resigned as leader of the Australian Labor Party following the defeat of the party. Chris Bowen was the interim leader of the Labor Party in the lead-up to a leadership election. Two candidates, Anthony Albanese and Bill Shorten, declared their candidacy for the Labor leadership, with Shorten declared the winner on 13 October 2013.

On 22 November 2013 Kevin Rudd resigned from parliament after 15 years, triggering a by-election in the seat of Griffith. Terri Butler retained the seat for Labor.

As a result of lost ballot papers, on 18 February 2014 the High Court of Australia, sitting as the Court of Disputed Returns, ordered a new half-Senate election for Western Australia, which took place on Saturday 5 April 2014.

Senator John Madigan resigned from the DLP and became an independent Senator in September 2014, citing long-term internal party tensions.[11]

On 13 November 2014, the Australian Electoral Commission announced that a redistribution of electoral boundaries in the states of New South Wales and Western Australia would be undertaken before the next election. A determination of the states' membership entitlements under the Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918 means that Western Australia's entitlement will increase from 15 to 16 seats, and New South Wales' will decrease from 48 to 47 seats. A redistribution will also occur in the Australian Capital Territory, as seven years have elapsed since the last time the ACT's boundaries were reviewed.[12]

Retiring MPs and senators

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Members and senators who have chosen not to renominate are as follows:

Labor

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Opinion polls

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Graphical summary

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15-day average trend line of primary vote poll results from September 2013 to February 2015. Red = Labor; Blue = Coalition; Green = Greens; "Other" not shown
 
Two-party-preferred polling summary: 15-day average trend line of poll results from September 2013 to February 2015. Red = Labor; Blue = Coalition

Poll results

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House of Representatives polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
L/NP ALP Green Other L/NP ALP
14 Apr 2015 Essential 41% 39% 10% 11% 48% 52%
10–12 Apr 2015 Newspoll[17] 41% 36% 11% 12% 49% 51%
9–11 Apr 2015 Ipsos[18] 39% 38% 13% 9% 46% 54%
28–29 Mar, 3–6 Apr 2015 Morgan[19] 40.5% 36% 12.5% 11% 47% 53%
29 Mar 2015 ReachTEL[20] 39.6% 40.5% 11.5% 8.5% 46% 54%
20–22 Mar 2015 Newspoll[21] 41% 37% 11% 11% 49% 51%
14–15, 21–22 Mar 2015 Morgan[22] 38% 40% 11% 11% 44% 56%
17 Mar 2015 Essential 40% 39% 9% 11% 48% 52%
10 Mar 2015 Essential[23] 40% 40% 9% 11% 47% 53%
7–8 Mar 2015 Newspoll[24] 38% 39% 12% 11% 45% 55%
28 Feb–1, 7–8 Mar 2015 MorganCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 39% 38% 12.5% 11.5% 46.5% 53.5%
26–28 Feb 2015 Ipsos 42% 36% 12% 10% 49% 51%
20–22 Feb 2015 Essential 40% 41% 9% 10% 47% 53%
20–22 Feb 2015 Newspoll 38% 38% 12% 12% 47% 53%
31 Jan–1, 7–8 Feb 2015 Morgan 35% 41% 12% 12% 42.5% 57.5%
6–8 Feb 2015 Newspoll 35% 41% 12% 12% 43% 57%
5 Feb 2015 ReachTEL 38.4% 41.4% 11.2% 8.9% 45% 55%
4–5 Feb 2015 Galaxy 36% 43% 11% 10% 43% 57%
28–30 Jan 2015 Galaxy 36% 43% 11% 10% 43% 57%
27 Jan 2015 ReachTEL 39.7% 40.2% 11.3% 8.8% 46% 54%
27 Jan 2015 Essential 39% 41% 9% 11% 46% 54%
20 Jan 2015 Essential 40% 40% 10% 11% 47% 53%
13 Jan 2015 Essential 38% 40% 10% 11% 46% 54%
12 Jan 2015 Morgan 38.5% 38.5% 9.5% 13.5% 45.5% 54.5%
23–27 Dec 2014 Morgan 37.5% 39.5% 12% 11% 43.5% 56.5%
16 Dec 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 12% 48% 52%
16 Dec 2014 Crikey 38% 39.5% 11.2% 11.3% 45.8% 54.2%
12–15 Dec 2014 Newspoll 38% 39% 12% 11% 46% 54%
6–7, 13–14 Dec 2014 Morgan 35% 41% 11.5% 12.5% 42.5% 57.5%
4–6 Dec 2014 Ipsos 40% 37% 12% 11% 48% 52%
2–4 Dec 2014 Galaxy 38% 41% 11% 10% 45% 55%
2 Dec 2014 Essential 40% 40% 9% 11% 47% 53%
22–23, 29–30 Nov 2014 Morgan 37% 37.5% 12% 11.5% 46.5% 53.5%
29–30 Nov 2014 Newspoll 37% 37% 13% 13% 46% 54%
25 Nov 2014 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 48% 52%
21 Nov 2014 ReachTEL 40.2% 38.7% 11.1% 9.9% 47% 53%
19 Nov 2014 Crikey 38.8% 38.4% 10.8% 11.9% 46.9% 53.1%
18 Nov 2014 Newspoll 36% 39% 11% 14% 45% 55%
17 Nov 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 12% 48% 52%
17 Nov 2014 Morgan 38% 38.5% 12% 11.5% 44.5% 55.5%
11 Nov 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 13% 48% 52%
4 Nov 2014 Crikey 39.7% 36.4% 11.9% 12.1% 48% 52%
4 Nov 2014 Newspoll 38% 36% 13% 13% 46% 54%
4 Nov 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 12% 48% 52%
25–26 Oct, 1–2 Nov 2014 Morgan 38.5% 37.5% 12.5% 11.5% 45.5% 54.5%
30 Oct–1 Nov 2014 Ipsos 42% 37% 12% 10% 49% 51%
30 Oct 2014 Crikey 40.1% 35.4% 11.9% 12.5% 48.7% 51.3%
28 Oct 2014 Essential 39% 39% 9% 12% 47% 53%
23 Oct 2014 ReachTEL 40.1% 37.5% 11.5% 10.9% 48% 52%
23 Oct 2014 Crikey 40.5% 35.3% 12% 12.1% 48.9% 51.1%
21 Oct 2014 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 47% 53%
21 Oct 2014 Newspoll 38% 34% 14% 14% 47% 53%
20 Oct 2014 Morgan 39.5% 35.5% 12% 13% 48% 52%
14 Oct 2014 Essential 41% 39% 10% 10% 48% 52%
7 Oct 2014 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 48% 52%
4–5 Oct 2014 Morgan 40% 35% 12% 13% 47% 53%
4–5 Oct 2014 Galaxy 42% 36% 12% 10% 49% 51%
23 Sep 2014 Newspoll 41% 34% 11% 14% 49% 51%
13–14, 20–21 Sep 2014 Morgan 38.5% 37.5% 12% 12% 45.5% 54.5%
18 Sep 2014 ReachTEL 41.6% 37.4% 10.5% 10.5% 49% 51%
30–31 Aug, 6–7 Sep 2014 Morgan 38% 37% 10.5% 14.5% 46% 54%
5–7 Sep 2014 Newspoll 39% 35% 14% 12% 48% 52%
22–24 Aug 2014 Newspoll 40% 34% 11% 15% 49% 51%
16–17, 23–24 Aug 2014 Morgan 37.5% 38.5% 10.5% 13.5% 44.5% 55.5%
19 Aug 2014 Essential 40% 38% 9% 13% 48% 52%
9–10 Aug 2014 Morgan 37.5% 38% 11% 13.5% 44% 56%
8–10 Aug 2014 Newspoll 40% 34% 13% 13% 48% 52%
25–27 Jul 2014 Newspoll 36% 36% 12% 16% 46% 54%
11–13 Jul 2014 Newspoll 36% 37% 11% 16% 46% 54%
1 Jul 2014 EssentialCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 40% 38% 9% 13% 48% 52%
30 Jun 2014 MorganCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 35% 36.5% 12% 16.5% 42.5% 57.5%
27–29 Jun 2014 Newspoll 35% 37% 13% 15% 45% 55%
13–15 Jun 2014 Newspoll 37% 36% 10% 17% 47% 53%
30 May–1 Jun 2014 Newspoll 36% 37% 12% 15% 46% 54%
27 May 2014 EssentialCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 40% 39% 9% 12% 48% 52%
20 May 2014 EssentialCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 40% 40% 8% 12% 48% 52%
17–18 May 2014 MorganCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 35% 38.5% 12% 14.5% 42.5% 57.5%
16–18 May 2014 Newspoll 36% 38% 11% 15% 45% 55%
15–17 May 2014 NielsenCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 35% 40% 14% 12% 44% 56%
2–4 May 2014 NewspollCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 38% 34% 14% 14% 47% 53%
4 May 2014 GalaxyCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 39% 37% 11% 13% 48% 52%
30 Apr 2014 EssentialCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 40% 38% 10% 11% 48% 52%
22 Apr 2014 MorganCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 38.5% 34% 13% 14.5% 48% 52%
15 Apr 2014 EssentialCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 42% 37% 10% 11% 50% 50%
13 Apr 2014 Nielsen[25] 40% 34% 17% 9% 48% 52%
8 Apr 2014 EssentialCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 42% 38% 9% 11% 49% 51%
7 Apr 2014 MorganCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 38.5% 34.5% 12% 15% 48.5% 51.5%
4–6 Apr 2014 NewspollCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 43% 34% 11% 12% 51% 49%
25 Mar 2014 MorganCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 38% 38.5% 11% 12.5% 45.5% 54.5%
25 Mar 2014 EssentialCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 44% 37% 9% 11% 51% 49%
21–23 Mar 2014 Newspoll[26] 40% 36% 13% 11% 48% 52%
18 Mar 2014 EssentialCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 43% 36% 9% 12% 51% 49%
13–15 Mar 2014 Nielsen[27] 44% 35% 12% 10% 51% 49%
7–9 Mar 2014 Newspoll 41% 35% 11% 13% 49% 51%
5 Mar 2014 EssentialCite error: The <ref> tag has too many names (see the help page). 44% 38% 8% 10% 51% 49%
21–23 Feb 2014 Newspoll[28] 39% 39% 10% 12% 46% 54%
23 Feb 2014 Morgan[29] 41% 35.5% 10.5% 13% 49.5% 50.5%
15 Feb 2014 Nielsen[30] 44% 33% 12% 11% 52% 48%
7–9 Feb 2014 Newspoll[31] 41% 35% 12% 12% 49% 51%
28 Jan 2014 Morgan[32] 39.5% 37% 11.5% 12% 47% 53%
23 Jan 2014 ReachTEL 39.8% 40.6% 9.1% 9.1% 47% 53%
17–20 Jan 2014 Essential[33] 43% 37% 9% 11% 51% 49%
13 Jan 2014 Morgan[34] 38% 39% 10.5% 12.5% 47.5% 52.5%
16 Dec 2013 Morgan[35] 40.5% 38.5% 10% 11% 47.5% 52.5%
15 Dec 2013 ReachTEL 41.4% 40.4% 8.7% 9.5% 48% 52%
6–8 Dec 2013 Newspoll 40% 38% 11% 11% 48% 52%
28 Nov–2 Dec 2013 Essential[36] 44% 36% 8% 11% 52% 48%
30 Nov–1 Dec 2013 Morgan (multi)[37] 41.5% 38.5% 8.5% 12.5% 48.5% 51.5%
22–24 Nov 2013 Newspoll 43% 35% 10% 12% 52% 48%
21–23 Nov 2013 Nielsen[38] 41% 37% 11% 11% 48% 52%
8–10 Nov 2013 Newspoll 45% 32% 12% 11% 53% 47%
25–27 Oct 2013 Newspoll 47% 31% 10% 12% 56% 44%
2013 election 45.6% 33.4% 8.7% 12.3% 53.5% 46.5%
4–6 Sep 2013 Morgan (multi) 45% 31.5% 9.5% 14% 54.5% 44.5%
5 Sep 2013 ReachTEL[39] 43.5% 33.7% 10.2% 12.6% 53% 47%
3–5 Sep 2013 Newspoll 46% 33% 9% 12% 54% 46%
Preferred Prime Minister and satisfaction polling^
Date Firm Preferred Prime Minister Abbott Shorten
Abbott Shorten Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
27 Apr 2015 Morgan 44% 39% 37% 53% 34% 48%
14 Apr 2015 Essential 33% 35% 33% 58% 33% 42%
10–12 Apr 2015 Newspoll[17] 40% 41% 33% 59% 33% 51%
9–11 Apr 2015 Ipsos[18] 38% 46% 34% 60% 42% 44%
20–22 Mar 2015 Newspoll[21] 36% 41% 29% 61% 36% 47%
7–8 Mar 2015 Newspoll[24] 33% 44% 28% 63% 39% 42%
26–28 Feb 2015 Ipsos 39% 44% 32% 62% 43% 43%
20–22 Feb 2015 Newspoll 35% 43% 25% 68% 35% 49%
6–8 Feb 2015 Newspoll 30% 48% 24% 68% 42% 40%
1 Feb 2015 Galaxy 27% 44%
28–30 Jan 2015 Galaxy 27% 44%
14 Jan 2015 Morgan 41% 43% 37% 52% 37% 40%
13 Jan 2015 Essential 35% 37% 37% 53% 39% 33%
28–30 Nov 2014 Newspoll 37% 44% 33% 58% 37% 43%
4–6 Dec 2014 Ipsos 39% 47%
28–30 Nov 2014 Newspoll 36% 43% 33% 57% 39% 43%
18 Nov 2014 Newspoll 37% 43% 36% 55% 39% 41%
11 Nov 2014 Essential 36% 34% 39% 50% 37% 38%
4 Nov 2014 Newspoll 39% 38% 37% 52% 37% 45%
30 Oct-1 Nov 2014 Ipsos 41% 41% 42% 49% 43% 40%
21 Oct 2014 Newspoll 39% 38% 38% 53% 35% 46%
14 Oct 2014 Essential 38% 32% 40% 48% 35% 36%
23 Sep 2014 Newspoll 41% 37% 41% 52% 38% 43%
5–7 Sep 2014 Newspoll 37% 37% 35% 54% 36% 43%
22–24 Aug 2014 Newspoll 39% 40% 36% 55% 40% 39%
8–10 Aug 2014 Newspoll 41% 37% 36% 54% 36% 44%
25–27 Jul 2014 Newspoll 38% 38% 36% 53% 38% 41%
11–13 Jul 2014 Newspoll 36% 41% 31% 60% 34% 43%
27–29 Jun 2014 Newspoll 34% 44% 31% 62% 34% 41%
13–15 Jun 2014 Newspoll 37% 40% 30% 61% 34% 45%
30 May – 1 Jun 2014 Newspoll 35% 45% 33% 59% 38% 43%
16–18 May 2014 Newspoll 34% 44% 30% 60% 42% 39%
15–17 May 2014 Nielsen 40% 51% 34% 62% 47% 39%
2–4 May 2014 Newspoll 40% 38% 35% 56% 35% 41%
13 Apr 2014 Nielsen 45% 44% 43% 50% 43% 41%
8 Apr 2014 Essential 42% 32% 41% 47% 34% 38%
4–6 Apr 2014 Newspoll 41% 33% 40% 47% 31% 42%
21–23 Mar 2014 Newspoll 43% 36% 40% 50% 36% 43%
13–15 Mar 2014 Nielsen 48% 43% 45% 49% 42% 42%
7–9 Mar 2014 Newspoll 42% 36% 38% 50% 33% 43%
21–23 Feb 2014 Newspoll[28] 38% 37% 36% 52% 35% 39%
15 Feb 2014 Nielsen[28] 49% 39% 45% 47% 40% 40%
7–9 Feb 2014 Newspoll 41% 33% 40% 45% 35% 35%
6–8 Dec 2013 Newspoll 41% 34% 40% 45% 44% 27%
22–24 Nov 2013 Newspoll 44% 33% 42% 42% 39% 27%
21–23 Nov 2013 Nielsen[38] 49% 41% 47% 46% 51% 30%
8–10 Nov 2013 Newspoll 46% 30% 45% 38% 37% 24%
25–27 Oct 2013 Newspoll 47% 28% 47% 34% 32% 24%
2013 election – – – – – –
3–5 Sep 2013 Newspoll 45% 44% 50%
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.

See also

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References

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  1. ^ 2015 Parliamentary Sittings: APH
  2. ^ a b c Green, Antony (12 November 2013). "Timetable for the Next Federal Election". abc.net.au. Retrieved 13 November 2013.
  3. ^ Rob Lundie, Australian elections timetable, Parliament of Australia
  4. ^ Commonwealth Of Australia Constitution Act – Section 28
  5. ^ The reason why it does not expire on 12 November 2016 is because 12 November 2013 was "Day 1" of the current House, not "Day 0". Therefore 12 November 2016 would be "Year 3, Day 1" and if the House sat on this day, it would be serving for longer than its 3-year mandate. Therefore its term would expire on the previous day. See Anthony Green's Election Blog
  6. ^ Commonwealth Electoral Act, s. 156
  7. ^ Commonwealth Electoral Act, s. 157
  8. ^ Commonwealth Electoral Act, s. 158
  9. ^ Possible federal election dates
  10. ^ "Abbott's team to be sworn in next week". theage.com.au. 9 September 2013. Retrieved 13 September 2013.
  11. ^ Senator Madigan cuts ties with Democratic Labour Party, will serve out term as independent: ABC 4 September 2014
  12. ^ "Determination of membership entitlement to the House of Representatives". Australian Electoral Commission. 13 November 2014. Retrieved 14 November 2014.
  13. ^ Willingham, Richard (10 February 2015). "Former minister Alan Griffin to leave politics". The Age. Retrieved 10 February 2015.
  14. ^ ABC News. 14 April 2015 http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-04-14/bernie-ripoll-retirement-opens-door-for-milton-dick/6392358. Retrieved 14 April 2015. {{cite news}}: Missing or empty |title= (help)
  15. ^ "Queensland senator Joe Ludwig to resign at next election". ABC Online. 10 March 2015.
  16. ^ "Queensland Labor senator Jan McLucas loses preselection battle to contest next Federal election". ABC Online. 5 April 2015.
  17. ^ a b "Newspoll: Bill Shorten posts worst ratings as Tony Abbott claws back ground". Newspoll. 12 April 2015. Retrieved 13 April 2015.
  18. ^ a b "Abbott and Hockey lead Coalition poll dive". Ipsos. 12 April 2015. Retrieved 13 April 2015.
  19. ^ "L-NP support jumps following Mike Baird's triumph in NSW Election". Roy Morgan Research. 7 April 2015. Retrieved 8 April 2015.
  20. ^ "7 News - National Poll - 29 March 2015". ReachTEL. 30 March 2015. Retrieved 2 April 2015. {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)
  21. ^ a b Peter Mumble (25 March 2015). "Mumble: Newspoll takes pressure off Tony Abott's leadership". The Australian. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  22. ^ "Federal ALP increases lead as NSW prepares to vote in State Election". Roy Morgan Research. 23 March 2015. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  23. ^ Essential Media (10 March 2015). "Essential: Federal politics – voting intention". Retrieved 12 March 2015.
  24. ^ a b Phillip Hudson (9 March 2015). "Newspoll: Tony Abbott rises but Labor has commanding lead". The Australian. Retrieved 9 March 2015.
  25. ^ "Tony Abbott slumps in polls despite best week yet". Nielsen. 13 Apr 2014. Retrieved 15 Apr 2014.
  26. ^ The Australian. 17 Feb 2014 http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/polling. Retrieved 25 Mar 2014. {{cite web}}: Missing or empty |title= (help)
  27. ^ "PM backed despite job losses". Sydney Morning Herald. 17 Feb 2014. Retrieved 21 Mar 2014.
  28. ^ a b c "Newspoll shows lift for ALP as budget fears rise". The Australian. 24 Feb 2014. Retrieved 25 Feb 2014.
  29. ^ "ALP (50.5%, down 1.5%) lead down again over L-NP (49.5%, up 1.5%) as Western Australia set to face a new half-Senate Election in April". Roy Morgan Research. 24 Feb 2014. Retrieved 24 Feb 2014.
  30. ^ "Tony Abbott bounces back as union woes hit Bill Shorten in latest poll". The Age. 17 Feb 2014. Retrieved 11 Feb 2014.
  31. ^ "Latest Polls". The Australian. 11 Feb 2014. Retrieved 11 Feb 2014.
  32. ^ "ALP (53%, up 0.5%) increases clear lead over L-NP (47%, down 0.5%). Government Confidence lowest since Abbott Government elected". Roy Morgan Research. 28 Jan 2014. Retrieved 28 Jan 2014.
  33. ^ "The Essential Report" (PDF). Essential Research. 21 January 2014. Retrieved 23 January 2014.
  34. ^ "ALP (52.5%) start 2014 with a clear lead over the L-NP (47.5%) in first major public opinion poll of 2014". Roy Morgan Research. 13 January 2014. Retrieved 13 January 2014.
  35. ^ "ALP (52.5%) increases lead over L-NP (47.5%) after Holden decision to cease manufacturing in 2017 and Roy Morgan Government Confidence lowest since Federal Election". Roy Morgan Research. 16 December 2013. Retrieved 13 January 2014.
  36. ^ "The Essential Report" (PDF). Essential Research. 3 December 2013. Retrieved 4 December 2013.
  37. ^ "ALP (51.5%) gain lead over L-NP (48.5%) after Gonski 'backflip'". Roy Morgan Research. 2 December 2013. Retrieved 2 December 2013.
  38. ^ a b "Labor storms ahead". The Age. 25 November 2013. Retrieved 25 November 2013.
  39. ^ "7 News National Poll". ReachTEL. 6 September 2013. Retrieved 6 September 2013.

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