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Latest comment: 10 months ago2 comments2 people in discussion
Per WP:COMMONNAME as most media outlets, save for 538, refer to her as "J. Ann Selzer" rather than "Ann Selzer". Her official Twitter name is also displayed as such and I would assume that "J. Ann Selzer" is what she would like to be known publically. — Tony Patt (talk • contribs) 18:48, 2 February 2020 (UTC)Reply
That's correct. Professionally and on first reference, she prefers J. Ann Selzer. In regular conversation, she goes by Ann. Source: Selzer & Company employee of 18+ years. 136.44.64.66 (talk) 21:28, 14 January 2024 (UTC)Reply
Can you cite a more clear source than the 538 pollster ratings? It isn't obvious how one would verify the cited information from the link you have provided. Elli (talk | contribs) 15:42, 4 November 2024 (UTC)Reply
@Elli: I didn't want to directly cite a csv since in my mind it could be more confusing, but on second thought that's probably the way that makes more sense here – updated above. 24.19.234.175 (talk) 15:55, 4 November 2024 (UTC)Reply
I could make that edit req later, but probably just as additional citations here (Gannett papers have a terrible level of link rot, nothing is really available before 2010). 24.19.234.175 (talk) 16:02, 4 November 2024 (UTC)Reply
Re-activating this request to ask to replace the existing section with the following, which adds redundant references (only where available) as well as sort keys to fix D+/R+ sorting:
== Final pre-election Selzer & Company polls ==
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! Election || Democratic<br/ >candidate || Poll<br />D % || Actual<br />D % || Republican<br/ >candidate || Poll<br />R % || Actual<br />R % || Poll<br />margin{{efn|Calculated after rounding}} || Actual<br />margin{{efn|Calculated after rounding; excludes invalid write-in votes}} || Error || Ref
|-
| [[1996 United States presidential election in Iowa|1996 IA president]] || [[Bill Clinton]] || 46 || 50.3 || [[Bob Dole]] || 35 || 40.0 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="11"| D+11 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="10.4"| D+10.4 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="0.6"| D+0.6 || <ref name="DMR1996">{{cite news |last1=Glover |first1=Mike |title=Voter turnout key as Iowa races tighten |url=https://dailyiowan.lib.uiowa.edu/DI/1996/di1996-11-04.pdf |work=The Daily Iowan |agency=Associated Press |date=November 4, 1996}}</ref>
|-
| [[1996 United States Senate election in Iowa|1996 IA U.S. Senate]] || [[Tom Harkin]] || 46 || 51.8 || [[Jim Ross Lightfoot|Jim Lightfoot]] || 38 || 46.7 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="8"| D+8 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="5.1"| D+5.1 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="2.9"| D+2.9 || <ref name="DMR1996"/>
|-
| [[1998 Iowa gubernatorial election|1998 IA governor]] || [[Tom Vilsack]] || 43 || 52.3 || Jim Lightfoot || 47 || 46.5 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-4"| R+4 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="5.8"| D+5.8 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-9.8"| R+9.8 || <ref name="FTE">{{cite web |title=FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings Raw Polls File |url=https://raw.githubusercontent.com/fivethirtyeight/data/refs/heads/master/pollster-ratings/2023/raw-polls.csv |website=GitHub |publisher=FiveThirtyEight |access-date=November 4, 2024}}</ref>
|-
| [[2000 United States presidential election in Iowa|2000 IA president]] || [[Al Gore]] || 44 || 48.6 || [[George W. Bush]] || 42 || 48.3 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="2"| D+2 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="0.3"| D+0.3 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="1.7"| D+1.7 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2002 United States Senate election in Iowa|2002 IA U.S. Senate]] || Tom Harkin || 50 || 54.2 || [[Greg Ganske]] || 41 || 43.8 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="9"| D+9 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="10.4"| D+10.4 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-1.4"| R+1.4 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2002 Iowa gubernatorial election|2002 IA governor]] || Tom Vilsack || 52 || 52.7 || Doug Gross || 40 || 44.6 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="12"| D+12 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="8.2"| D+8.2 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="3.8"| D+3.8 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2004 United States presidential election in Iowa|2004 IA president]] || [[John Kerry]] || 48 || 49.3 || George W. Bush || 45 || 49.9 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="3"| D+3 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-0.7"| R+0.7 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="3.7"| D+3.7 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref name="pastDMR"/>
|-
| [[2004 United States presidential election in Indiana|2004 IN president]] || John Kerry || 37 || 39.3 || George W. Bush || 57 || 60.0 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-20"| R+20 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-20.7"| R+20.7 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="0.7"| D+0.7 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2004 Indiana gubernatorial election|2004 IN governor]] || [[Joe Kernan (politician)|Joseph Kernan]] || 42 || 45.5 || [[Mitch Daniels]] || 48 || 53.2 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-6"| R+6 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-7.7"| R+7.7 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="1.7"| D+1.7 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2006 Iowa gubernatorial election|2006 IA governor]] || [[Chet Culver]] || 52 || 54.1 || [[Jim Nussle]] || 43 || 44.4 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="9"| D+9 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="9.7"| D+9.7 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-0.7"| R+0.7 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2006 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 1|2006 IA-01 U.S. House]] || [[Bruce Braley]] || 56 || 55.1 || Mike Whalen || 35 || 43.3 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="21"| D+21 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="11.9"| D+11.9 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="9.2"| D+9.2 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2006 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana#District 7|2006 IN-07 U.S. House]] || [[Julia Carson]] || 42 || 53.8 || Eric Dickerson || 45 || 46.2 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-3"| R+3 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="7.5"| D+7.5 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-10.5"| R+10.5 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2006 United States Senate election in Michigan|2006 MI U.S. Senate]] || [[Debbie Stabenow]] || 53 || 56.9 || [[Mike Bouchard]] || 34 || 41.3 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="19"| D+19 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="15.7"| D+15.7 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="3.4"| D+3.4 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2006 Michigan gubernatorial election|2006 MI governor]] || [[Jennifer Granholm]] || 54 || 56.4 || [[Dick DeVos]] || 41 || 42.3 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="13"| D+13 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="14.1"| D+14.1 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-1.1"| R+1.1 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2008 United States presidential election in Iowa|2008 IA president]] || [[Barack Obama]] || 54 || 54.2 || [[John McCain]] || 37 || 44.6 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="17"| D+17 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="9.6"| D+9.6 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="7.4"| D+7.4 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref name="pastDMR"/>
|-
| [[2008 United States Senate election in Iowa|2008 IA U.S. Senate]] || Tom Harkin || 57 || 62.7 || Christopher Reed || 31 || 37.3 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="26"| D+26 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="25.4"| D+25.4 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="0.6"| D+0.6 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2008 United States presidential election in Indiana|2008 IN president]] || Barack Obama || 46 || 50.0 || John McCain || 45 || 48.9 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="1"| D+1 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="1.0"| D+1.0 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-0.0"| R+0.0 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2008 Indiana gubernatorial election|2008 IN governor]] || [[Jill Long Thompson]] || 36 || 40.0 || Mitch Daniels || 54 || 57.8 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-18"| R+18 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-17.8"| R+17.8 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-0.2"| R+0.2 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2008 United States presidential election in Michigan|2008 MI president]] || Barack Obama || 53 || 57.4 || John McCain || 37 || 41.0 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="16"| D+16 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="16.5"| D+16.5 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-0.5"| R+0.5 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |title=Poll: Obama up by 16 points in Michigan |url=https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/2008/11/02/poll-obama-up-by-16-points-in-michigan/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=San Diego Union-Tribune |date=November 2, 2008}}</ref>
|-
| [[2008 United States Senate election in Michigan|2008 MI U.S. Senate]] || [[Carl Levin]] || 53 || 62.7 || [[Jack Hoogendyk]] || 32 || 33.9 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="21"| D+21 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="28.8"| D+28.8 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-7.8"| R+7.8 || <ref name="FTE"/>
|-
| [[2010 United States Senate election in Iowa|2010 IA U.S. Senate]] || [[Roxanne Conlin]] || 30 || 33.3 || [[Chuck Grassley]] || 61 || 64.4 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-31"| R+31 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-31.1"| R+31.1 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="0.1"| D+0.1 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref name="DMR2010"/>
|-
| [[2010 Iowa gubernatorial election|2010 IA governor]] || Chet Culver || 38 || 43.3 || [[Terry Branstad]] || 50 || 52.9 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-12"| R+12 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-9.6"| R+9.6 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-2.4"| R+2.4 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref name="DMR2010">{{cite news |title=Register poll shows voters split over Supreme Court judges |url=https://www.ottumwacourier.com/centerville/register-poll-shows-voters-split-over-supreme-court-judges/article_42d11406-c7d9-50da-af98-f1660d1d9978.html |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Ottumwa Courier |agency=Associated Press |date=November 2, 2010}}</ref>
|-
| [[2012 United States presidential election in Iowa|2012 IA president]] || Barack Obama || 47 || 52.2 || [[Mitt Romney]] || 42 || 46.4 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="5"| D+5 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="5.8"| D+5.8 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-0.8"| R+0.8 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref name="pastDMR">{{cite news |last1=Smith |first1=Brian |title=How do past Iowa Poll results compare with presidential election results in Iowa? |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/how-do-past-iowa-poll-results-compare-to-iowa-election-results/76018755007/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Des Moines Register |date=November 2, 2024}}</ref>
|-
| [[2014 United States Senate election in Iowa|2014 IA U.S. Senate]] || Bruce Braley || 44 || 43.8 || [[Joni Ernst]] || 51 || 52.2 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-7"| R+7 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-8.4"| R+8.4 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="1.4"| D+1.4 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |last1=Jacobs |first1=Jennifer |title=Iowa Poll: Ernst takes 7-point lead |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2014/11/01/iowa-poll-joni-ernst-leads-bruce-braley/18345157/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Des Moines Register |date=November 1, 2014}}</ref>
|-
| [[2014 Iowa gubernatorial election|2014 IA governor]] || [[Jack Hatch]] || 35 || 37.3 || Terry Branstad || 59 || 59.1 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-24"| R+24 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-21.7"| R+21.7 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-2.3"| R+2.3 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |last1=Noble |first1=Jason |title=Iowa Poll: Branstad widens lead over Hatch |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2014/11/01/iowa-poll-big-branstad-lead/18345321/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Des Moines Register |date=November 1, 2014}}</ref>
|-
| [[2016 United States presidential election|2016 U.S. president]] || [[Hillary Clinton]] || 46 || 48.5 || [[Donald Trump]] || 43 || 46.4 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="3"| D+3 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="2.1"| D+2.1 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="0.9"| D+0.9 || <ref>{{cite web |title=Bloomberg Politics National Poll |url=https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rklCDpOEK78Q/v0 |publisher=Bloomberg |access-date=November 4, 2024}}</ref>
|-
| [[2016 United States presidential election in Florida|2016 FL president]] || Hillary Clinton || 45 || 47.8 || Donald Trump || 46 || 49.0 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-1"| R+1 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-1.2"| R+1.2 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="0.2"| D+0.2 || <ref name="BPFL">{{cite web |title=Bloomberg Politics Florida Poll |url=https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rLiMdBxU.ddw/v0 |publisher=Bloomberg |access-date=November 4, 2024}}</ref>
|-
| [[2016 United States Senate election in Florida|2016 FL U.S. Senate]] || [[Patrick Murphy (Florida politician)|Patrick Murphy]] || 41 || 44.3 || [[Marco Rubio]] || 51 || 52.0 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-10"| R+10 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-7.7"| R+7.7 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-2.3"| R+2.3 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref name="BPFL"/>
|-
| [[2016 United States presidential election in Iowa|2016 IA president]] || Hillary Clinton || 39 || 42.2 || Donald Trump || 46 || 51.8 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-7"| R+7 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-9.5"| R+9.5 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="2.5"| D+2.5 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |last1=Noble |first1=Jason |title=Iowa Poll: Trump opens 7-point lead over Clinton |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2016/11/05/iowa-poll-trump-opens-7-point-lead-over-clinton/93347134/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Des Moines Register |date=November 5, 2016}}</ref>
|-
| [[2016 United States Senate election in Iowa|2016 IA U.S. Senate]] || [[Patty Judge]] || 33 || 35.7 || Chuck Grassley || 56 || 60.2 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-23"| R+23 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-24.5"| R+24.5 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="1.5"| D+1.5 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |last1=Petroski |first1=William |title=Iowa Poll: Grassley maintains double-digit lead over Judge |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2016/11/05/chuck-grassley-patty-judge-iowa-poll/93293288/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Des Moines Register |date=November 5, 2016}}</ref>
|-
| [[2018 Iowa gubernatorial election|2018 IA governor]] || [[Fred Hubbell]] || 46 || 47.5 || [[Kim Reynolds]] || 44 || 50.3 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="2"| D+2 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-2.7"| R+2.7 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="4.7"| D+4.7 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |last1=Pfannenstiel |first1=Brianne |title=Just days before election, Iowa Poll shows Fred Hubbell with 2-point lead over Kim Reynolds |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2018/11/03/iowa-poll-governor-race-kim-reynolds-fred-hubbell-jake-porter-selzer-iowa-election-2018-medicaid/1871874002/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Des Moines Register |date=November 3, 2018}}</ref>
|-
| [[2020 United States presidential election in Iowa|2020 IA president]] || [[Joe Biden]] || 41 || 45.0 || Donald Trump || 48 || 53.2 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-7"| R+7 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-8.2"| R+8.2 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="1.2"| D+1.2 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |last1=Pfannenstiel |first1=Brianne |title=Iowa Poll: Donald Trump takes over lead in Iowa as Joe Biden fades |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/election-2020-iowa-poll-president-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden/6061937002/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Des Moines Register |date=October 31, 2020}}</ref>
|-
| [[2020 United States Senate election in Iowa|2020 IA U.S. Senate]] || Theresa Greenfield || 42 || 45.2 || Joni Ernst || 46 || 51.8 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-4"| R+4 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-6.6"| R+6.6 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="2.6"| D+2.6 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |last1=Pfannenstiel |first1=Brianne |title=Iowa Poll: Republican Joni Ernst pulls ahead of Democrat Theresa Greenfield in closing days of U.S. Senate race |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/election-2020-iowa-poll-greenfield-ernst-us-senate-race-voters/6055545002/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Des Moines Register |date=October 31, 2020}}</ref>
|-
| [[2022 United States Senate election in Iowa|2022 IA U.S. Senate]] || [[Michael Franken]] || 41 || 43.9 || Chuck Grassley || 53 || 56.1 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-12"| R+12 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-12.2"| R+12.2 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="0.2"| D+0.2 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |last1=Pfannenstiel |first1=Brianne |last2=Gruber-Miller |first2=Stephen |title=Iowa Poll: Chuck Grassley widens lead over Mike Franken in US Senate race |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2022/11/05/iowa-poll-senate-race-chuck-grassley-leads-mike-franken-election/69616642007/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Des Moines Register |date=November 5, 2022}}</ref>
|-
| [[2022 Iowa gubernatorial election|2022 IA governor]] || [[Deidre DeJear]] || 37 || 39.6 || Kim Reynolds || 54 || 58.1 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-17"| R+17 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-18.5"| R+18.5 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="1.5"| D+1.5 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |last1=Richardson |first1=Ian |title=Iowa Poll: Gov. Kim Reynolds has a 17-point lead over Deidre DeJear in governor’s race |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2022/11/05/iowa-poll-governor-race-kim-reynolds-leads-deidre-dejear-election/69616814007/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=Des Moines Register |date=November 5, 2022}}</ref>
|-
| [[2024 United States presidential election in Iowa|2024 IA president]] || [[Kamala Harris]] || 47 || TBD || Donald Trump || 44 || TBD || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="3"| D+3 || TBD || TBD || <ref>{{cite news |last1=Pfannenstiel |first1=Brianne |title=Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/ |access-date=November 4, 2024 |work=The Des Moines Register |date=November 2, 2024}}</ref>
|}
Latest comment: 20 days ago3 comments3 people in discussion
This edit request has been answered. Set the |answered= or |ans= parameter to no to reactivate your request.
In the section “Polls conducted by Selzer and Company”, the “Result” column has at least one error, which is found in the line for “2020 President.” As it is factually known, the winner of the 2020 elections was Joseph R. Biden with 51.31% of the vote with Donald Trump coming in with 46.85% of the vote, however this section in the article has that information reversed. This needs to be corrected to show that Joseph R. Biden won the 2020 presidential election.Cite error: There are <ref> tags on this page without content in them (see the help page). My source is the “Federal Election 2020” report published by the Federal Election Commission. https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2020.pdfDen041224 (talk) 12:42, 4 November 2024 (UTC)Reply
Latest comment: 19 days ago2 comments2 people in discussion
As Selzer's reputation has been gained by her unusual accuracy, I'm wondering if it would be worth including a column for whether the actual result of each election fell within the poll's margin of error? For example, Selzer's 2018 IA Governor poll was notably a rare miss as the result fell outside the +/-3.5% margin of error, and I think it's notable to show that this is the only "miss" Selzer has had since 2008. BuggyBuggerson (talk) 14:47, 5 November 2024 (UTC)Reply
I don't think it's worth it mostly because the actual calculation is pretty abstruse ("result within the margin of error" isn't "within the margin of error listed for the specific survey" but rather margin_actual < 1.96*sqrt(((p1+p2)-(p1-p2)^2)/n-1) for any given survey, which to me isn't a "routine calculation" under WP:CALC) and they aren't measuring the same populations anyway. I think the "error" column does speak for itself here as it is :) 24.19.234.175 (talk) 19:08, 5 November 2024 (UTC)Reply
Latest comment: 14 days ago2 comments2 people in discussion
This edit request has been answered. Set the |answered= or |ans= parameter to no to reactivate your request.
Please replace the following line in the table:
| [[2004 United States presidential election in Iowa|2004 IA president]] || [[John Kerry]] || 48 || 49.3 || George W. Bush || 45 || 49.9 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="3"| D+3 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-0.7"| R+0.7 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="3.7"| D+3.7 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref name="pastDMR"/>
with
| [[2004 United States presidential election in Iowa|2004 IA president]] || [[John Kerry]] || 48 || 49.3 || George W. Bush || 45 || 49.9 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="3"| D+3 || {{party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="-0.7"| R+0.7 || {{party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="3.7"| D+3.7 || <ref name="FTE"/><ref>{{cite news |title=Iowa (7) Kerry revived his c ... |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/2004/10/31/iowa-7-kerry-revived-his-c/4c3bf4f6-435f-4a82-82c3-e9f9209a20b9/ |access-date=November 5, 2024 |work=The Washington Post |date=October 30, 2004}}</ref>
The DMR article currently cited is incorrect – Kerry led in the 2004 poll by a 48% to 45% margin, not a 48% to 43% margin as has been contemporaneously reported in some sources! 24.19.234.175 (talk) 19:49, 5 November 2024 (UTC)Reply
Latest comment: 18 days ago1 comment1 person in discussion
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Rephrase last sentence of lede/move it ("She had a big miss in 2024 predicting Iowa for Kamala Harris."). While true, this isn't professionally worded in an encyclopedic style. Brownr18 (talk) 18:50, 6 November 2024 (UTC)Reply
Done Elli (talk | contribs) 15:59, 4 November 2024 (UTC)
Not done: That was a poll of Iowa, which was won by Trump. Elli (talk | contribs) 15:40, 4 November 2024 (UTC)
Not done: The page's protection level has changed since this request was placed. You should now be able to edit the page yourself. If you still seem to be unable to, please reopen the request with further details. Shadow311 (talk) 19:01, 10 November 2024 (UTC)