Talk:List of storms in the 2006 Pacific hurricane season/June

June

Week 1

Welcome to the Central Pacific hurricane season as well now! While all the talk is in the Atlantic, someone else starts their season too! CrazyC83 01:56, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

I predict a well above average CP season, with 20 storms, 10 hurricanes, and 5 Majors. One will hit Honilulu directly and cause a Volcano to explode causing a chain earthquake reaction around the world causing the Apocalypse.

Yeah, I'll stop now. Sorry. I couldn't resist. :P

OOH! Shiny red ball! -Winter123 03:19, 1 June 2006 (UTC) 03:19, 1 June 2006 (UTC)03:19, 1 June 2006 (UTC)03:19, 1 June 2006 (UTC)~

LMAO, that is quite a prediction =P (VOFFA 07:00, 1 June 2006 (UTC))

I predict one or two storms from the CPAC this season. -- RattleMan 07:23, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

I think the CPac will get one storm within the basin and two or three EPac crossovers. CrazyC83 15:06, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

We all know there will be 400 storms in the Central Pacific this year, causing devastation throughout the wide open oceans. bob rulz 16:54, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

But they'll all manage to miss Hawaii. —Cuiviénen^T|C|@ on Thursday, 1 June 2006 at 22:13 UTC

Only because they all merge to form a permanent stationary cyclone with Hawaii in its eye.--Nilfanion (talk) 22:18, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

Exactly! bob rulz 02:32, 2 June 2006 (UTC)

I'm rooting for John II! Pobbie Rarr 17:15, 3 June 2006 (UTC)

Wow, and I thought I was weird, lol. ;P -Winter123 01:40, 5 June 2006 (UTC)

02E.NONAME

AoI:06W1A-E: South-southwest of Acapulco

The final Tropical Weather Outlook for May mentioned an area of disturbed weather south-southwest of Acapulco. I've heard this before this season, haven't you? They say that it is drifting northward and can develop. Jake52 Jake52 04:07, 1 June 2006 (EST)

I moved the AoI here and fixed its formatting. -- RattleMan 13:42, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

This thing could definitely develop. I wouldn't be surprised to see Bud come out of this. My estimated chance of development: 50%. CrazyC83 15:04, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

“ 1000 AM PDT THU JUN 1 2006

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED BUT CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

”

Appears quite likely. It's under a large High- the outer periphery of which actually sheared Alletta apart. -Winter123 19:38, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

92E.INVEST

Welcome to another invest. The NHC's TWO is giving it some good grades, too. In another couple of days we could have Bud. —BazookaJoe 20:54, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

I think this will be TD2-E by this time tomorrow. The Eastern Pacific develops and peaks earlier than the Atlantic, so June is like July in the Atlantic. CrazyC83 21:38, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

NOGAPS suggests that two systems could develop from this disturbance. --Coredesat 21:41, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

How is that possible? CrazyC83 21:55, 1 June 2006 (UTC)

It happens occasionally. If two different centers of convection develop, two separate TDs can form. Sometimes, they'll merge, but sometimes they remain separate. —Cuiviénen^T|C|@ on Thursday, 1 June 2006 at 22:12 UTC

So heres what will probably be BUD... all we need now is WEIS and ER! =P (I know. Bad Joke. But I had to. Again.)

This floater has good images of it... there are DEFINITELY two centers, and the one on the left one is moving faster. If it can form before it hits colder water, we definitely COULD have 2 storms on our hands. -Winter123 01:32, 2 June 2006 (UTC)

wow the east pacific storms are coming along quickly if two individual TD form. (VOFFA 02:42, 2 June 2006 (UTC))

Even if only one storm forms, it would still be a pretty quick start. bob rulz 02:48, 2 June 2006 (UTC)

This is really on its way to becoming a tropical depression at least...perhaps at the next advisory? CrazyC83 17:28, 2 June 2006 (UTC)

It appears to be weakening tonight. I think it is moving west over cooler waters. Bud may have to wait. It was actually looking rather impressive earlier, but now convection is dwindling. -Winter123 04:32, 3 June 2006 (UTC)

Well two large convections appeared near 102W and 104W 12N (06:45 UTC) VOFFA 07:29, 3 June 2006 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Two-E

It's now a TD... initial fcst will have it hit Mexico as a TD. —BazookaJoe 14:52, 3 June 2006 (UTC)

Winds are 30, so it does have a bit of ground to make up before becoming Bud. Still, if I were involved, I'd be issuing a Tropical Storm Warning. CrazyC83 15:42, 3 June 2006 (UTC)

Someone should update the timeline. I'd do it, but the last time I attempted I failed :( SargeAbernathy 15:57, 3 June 2006 (UTC)

now a chance to make TS status just before landfall. (VOFFA 21:33, 3 June 2006 (UTC))

Yep, I think it will...barely. CrazyC83 22:01, 3 June 2006 (UTC)

sorry thought the storm looked closer to the land from the radar. (VOFFA 03:05, 4 June 2006 (UTC))

The NHC would release a special advisory if it made landfall, anyway. NSLE _(T+C) at 05:10 UTC (2006-06-04)

It seems Acapulco is really getting a soaking, per the SMN's radar: [1] Titoxd^{(?!? - help us)} 05:39, 4 June 2006 (UTC)

And it's now stalled. Titoxd^{(?!? - help us)} 06:05, 4 June 2006 (UTC)

Interestingly, the public advisory says "THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO REACHING THE COAST OF MEXICO." -- RattleMan 06:06, 4 June 2006 (UTC)

the max winds speed being so close =p (VOFFA 06:49, 4 June 2006 (UTC))

Heh, as I said before, Bud will have to wait. -Winter123 01:37, 5 June 2006 (UTC)

The NHC has now declared it dead, unless it regenerates. Pikachu9000 03:23, 5 June 2006 (UTC)

The NRL's track of Alberto in the Atlantic makes it look as if Two-E and Alberto were the same system (or at least that Two-E dissipated and regenerated as One-L). Can anyone confirm this? —Cuiviénen

doesn't look it on the map. But I guess it's possible part of 2-E was absorbed by the disturbance that would become Alberto. íslenska hurikein #12_(samtal) 21:11, 11 June 2006 (UTC)

Week 2

93E.INVEST

just appeared on NRL page (VOFFA 14:30, 7 June 2006 (UTC))

If I'm not mistaken, I think the GFDL suggests it will retain its circulation and cross over into the Bay of Campeche. But right when it's about to enter, the frames end. So maybe will find out soon. íslenska hurikein #12_(samtal) 19:57, 7 June 2006 (UTC)

To me this looked like a merger of two declared Areas of Interest into one system. Too large and disorganized to develop IMO, but it could still be a big rainmaker and cause major flooding, regardless of status. CrazyC83 22:35, 7 June 2006 (UTC)

It currently looks like just an area of sheared convection at the moment. --Coredesat 22:47, 7 June 2006 (UTC)

The GFDL has it strenghtening to Cat 1 intensity (becoming Bud), and then crossing into the Gulf of Mexico. If it remains tropical, Bud would head towards Texas/Louisiana, (as the model has it regaining hurricane strength on the other side of the Isthmus of Tehuantepec) or it could dissipate and become Alberto. Titoxd^{(?!? - help us)} 01:24, 8 June 2006 (UTC)

very interesting storm if it developes as forecasted. note close to last frame of that model it has Hurricane Alberto near Category Two status (86 kts gusts) (VOFFA 02:16, 8 June 2006 (UTC))

I don't think it will develop anymore. I think it will be absorbed by 90L. íslenska hurikein #12_(samtal) 19:36, 8 June 2006 (UTC)

And it's gone. íslenska hurikein #12_(samtal) 00:45, 9 June 2006 (UTC)

94E.INVEST

AoI:06W1D-E: Near 85W

I've noticed a weak surface low forming near 85W, as part of a surface trof that extends into the carribean. I think it has a chance. -Winter123 19:46, 5 June 2006 (UTC)

It depends on where it goes, but I think it has a fair chance myself. CrazyC83 03:57, 6 June 2006 (UTC)

94E.INVEST

Here's another invest that just appeared minutes ago. [2] -- RattleMan 13:55, 9 June 2006 (UTC)

The 4 a.m. PDT TWO (about three hours ago) didn't mention any suspect areas. Looks okay. NSLE _(T+C) at 13:59 UTC (2006-06-09)

I like the chances on this one. I'd give it a 50% chance of developing in the shadows of the wannabe-Alberto. CrazyC83 14:35, 9 June 2006 (UTC)

It pretty much went poof today! I guess Alberto will get the spotlight. CrazyC83 04:51, 10 June 2006 (UTC)

However, the most recent EPac TWO, while acknowledging the death of this systm, notes: (AN) AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE LOW CENTERED ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. We could be seeing 95E soon. NSLE _(T+C) at 04:54 UTC (2006-06-10)

Gone from NRL. -- RattleMan 01:57, 11 June 2006 (UTC)

And...it's back on NRL again. -- RattleMan 13:46, 11 June 2006 (UTC)

I agree with NHC. It has a small chance, but it will take at least 5 days -Winter123 19:11, 11 June 2006 (UTC)

If it does. I just don't see much from this. CrazyC83 22:50, 11 June 2006 (UTC)

Well, it does look better than Alberto. —Cuiviénen 23:07, 11 June 2006 (UTC)

I think Alberto is looking better than this now that it is almost a hurricane. — Super-Magician (talk • contribs • count) ★ 15:33, 12 June 2006 (UTC)

True. My comment came before Alberto rearranged its circulation. —Cuiviénen 03:29, 13 June 2006 (UTC)

Poof! --Coredesat 06:36, 13 June 2006 (UTC)

Gone from NRL. -- RattleMan 05:55, 14 June 2006 (UTC)

Week 3

95E.INVEST

Just another Invest in the East Pacific! [3] -- WmE 20:44, 15 June 2006 (UTC)

And a lousy one at that. Never declared an AoI for a reason. It has very little chance at development. CrazyC83 22:19, 15 June 2006 (UTC)

Gone from NRL. -- RattleMan 00:44, 19 June 2006 (UTC)

It has returned to the NRL page (VOFFA 13:39, 19 June 2006 (UTC))

Much more organized now. íslenska hurikein #12_(samtal) 14:11, 19 June 2006 (UTC)

It's gone again! -- RattleMan 18:53, 19 June 2006 (UTC)

I can't take it! íslenska hurikein #12_(samtal) 21:58, 19 June 2006 (UTC)

lol, the storm that never stays away. VOFFA 15:46, 20 June 2006 (UTC)

I think it isn't dead yet! A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL APPEAR SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP DURING THE DAY OR SOO AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

The TWD says: LOW PRES 1010 MB 11N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 115W AND 118W. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND AS THE LOW MOVES WWD CONDITIONS ALOFT MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. -- WmE 14:55, 20 June 2006 (UTC)

Now it has a decent chance at becoming a tropical depression... CrazyC83 16:00, 20 June 2006 (UTC)

Oh geez, it's alive again? It's like the "cheating death" invest :) -- RattleMan 17:05, 20 June 2006 (UTC)

It looks fairly organized on satellite imagery. bob rulz 18:27, 20 June 2006 (UTC)

This could very well be Three-E by this time tomorrow. I'd give it a 60% chance of developing. CrazyC83 20:50, 20 June 2006 (UTC)

TCFA issued by NRL. -- Yarrah 23:47, 20 June 2006 (UTC)

Well, now it looks really crappy. I don't think it will develop soon! -- WmE 15:03, 21 June 2006 (UTC)

Looks like the TCFA was cancelled. -- RattleMan 01:16, 22 June 2006 (UTC)

Wow! First it defies death, then it nearly dissipates in the best possible conditions for TC development. This is messed up! íslenska hurikein #12_(samtal) 01:51, 22 June 2006 (UTC)

Removed from NRL possibly for the last time. -- VOFFA 20:40, 22 June 2006 (UTC)

I hope so! No more regenerations please! :) -- RattleMan 20:41, 22 June 2006 (UTC)

Week 4

Quiet times in the eastern Pacific. Barely a blob to be found! CrazyC83 17:07, 23 June 2006 (UTC)

96E.INVEST

AoI:06W4A-E: Near 12°N/94°W

Small wave formed in the area. Could be the remnants of 95E? Anyway, it's far from development. CrazyC83 17:14, 23 June 2006 (UTC)

96E.INVEST

Just up, I guess. I see a little rotation, but not much. I don't expect anything from it. íslenska hurikein #12 _(samtal) 15:45, 29 June 2006 (UTC)

Right now it's just a mess! -- WmE 19:35, 29 June 2006 (UTC)

I'd give it some time, but I could see development way out in the ocean. CrazyC83 01:23, 30 June 2006 (UTC)

Looks better now and the NHC expects a tropical depression later today. Maybe we'll have Bud tomorrow or so. -- WmE 12:53, 30 June 2006 (UTC)

Me too. I like the chances on this one. The EPac is behind normal as expected (often we're up to C or D by this point). CrazyC83 19:38, 30 June 2006 (UTC)

25kt, but the latest TWO still says lacking organisation. I expect 01C.NONAME out of this, rther than 03E.NONAME... at this rate it may get into the RSMC Honolulu warning area before it is advised on. NSLE 16:00, 2 July 2006 (UTC)

Well, the latest TWO all but ended this system. NSLE 16:46, 2 July 2006 (UTC)