2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district, who would represent the state of Wyoming in the 115th United States Congress. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Cynthia Lummis decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Liz Cheney was elected to the seat to succeed Lummis.

2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming's at-large district

← 2014 November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08) 2018 →
 
Nominee Liz Cheney Ryan Greene
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 156,176 75,466
Percentage 62.03% 29.97%

Cheney:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Greene:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%      No data

U.S. Representative before election

Cynthia Lummis
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Liz Cheney
Republican

The filing period for candidates lasted from May 12 to 27, 2016, and the primaries were held on August 16.[1] Republican attorney Liz Cheney, daughter of former Vice President of the United States Dick Cheney, and Democratic energy executive Ryan Greene won their respective primaries.[2]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Withdrew

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Liz Cheney
Leland Christensen
Darin Smith

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Liz
Cheney
Leland
Christensen
Darin
Smith
Tim
Stubson
Other Undecided
Pulse Research[20] July 8–15, 2016 300 ± 5.65% 21% 4% 3% 9% 52%

Results

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Results by county:
  Cheney
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Christensen
  •   30–40%
  •   50–60%
    }
  Stubson
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Liz Cheney 35,043 38.78
Republican Leland Christensen 19,330 21.39
Republican Tim Stubson 15,524 17.18
Republican Darin Smith 13,381 14.81
Republican Mike Konsmo 1,363 1.51
Republican Jason Senteney 976 1.08
Republican Rex Rammell 890 0.98
Republican Paul Paad 886 0.98
Republican Heath Beaudry 534 0.59
Republican Write-ins 155 0.17
Republican Undervote 1,651 1.83
Republican Overvote 625 0.69
Total votes 90,358 100.00

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Withdrew

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  • Richard Grayson, Democratic nominee for this seat in 2014[22][24]

Endorsements

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Ryan Greene

Results

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Results by county:
  Greene
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Hardy
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ryan Greene 10,955 53.17
Democratic Charlie Hardy 7,868 38.18
Democratic Write-ins 113 0.55
Democratic Undervote 1,654 8.03
Democratic Overvote 15 0.07
Total votes 20,605 100.00

Third party and independent primaries

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Libertarian

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Candidates

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Declared
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  • Lawrence Gerard Struempf[26]

Results

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Results by county:
  Struempf—100%
  Struempf—>90%
  Struempf—80–90%
  Struempf—70–80%
Libertarian primary results[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Lawrence Gerard Struempf 276 81.66
Libertarian Write-ins 30 8.88
Libertarian Undervote 32 9.47
Total votes 338 100.00

Constitution

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Candidates

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Declared
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Results

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Results by county:
  Cummings—100%
  Cummings—>90%
  Cummings—80–90%
  Cummings—70–80%
  Write-ins—100%
  No Votes
Constitution primary results[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Constitution Daniel Clyde Cummings 133 82.10
Constitution Write-ins 16 9.88
Constitution Undervote 12 7.41
Constitution Overvote 1 0.62
Total votes 162 100.00

General election

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Fundraising

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Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand
Liz Cheney (R)[29] $1,462,710 $920,180 $542,530
Ryan Greene (D)[30] $98,541 $93,550 $3,126
Lawrence Struempf (L)[29] $0 $0 $0
Daniel Clyde Cummings (C)[31] $0 $263 $867

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Safe R August 10, 2016
Daily Kos[33] Safe R August 17, 2016
Roll Call[34] Safe R August 17, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe R August 17, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[36] Safe R July 14, 2016

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Liz
Cheney (R)
Ryan
Greene (D)
Other Undecided
University of Wyoming[37] October 5–11, 2016 722 ± 3.6% 53% 37%
DFM Research[38] September 6–11, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 46% 30% 9% 16%

Endorsements

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Liz Cheney

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Governors

Statewide Officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Ryan Greene

Individuals

Organizations

Results

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Wyoming's at-large congressional district, 2016[39]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Liz Cheney 156,176 62.03% −6.44%
Democratic Ryan Greene 75,466 29.97% +7.07%
Constitution Daniel Clyde Cummings 10,362 4.12% +0.03%
Libertarian Lawrence Gerard Struempf 9,033 3.59% −0.72%
n/a Write-ins 739 0.29% +0.05%
Total votes 251,776 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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See also

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References

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  1. ^ "2016 Wyoming Election Calendar" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Wyoming Secretary of State’s Office. Retrieved April 27, 2016.
  2. ^ "Wyoming House Races Results". Politico. Associated Press. August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 16, 2016.
  3. ^ "Evanston resident Heath Beaudry enters race for Congress". Casper Star Tribune. May 31, 2016. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  4. ^ "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Elections Commission. January 29, 2016. Retrieved January 30, 2016.
  5. ^ Brown, Trevor (January 20, 2016). "State Senator Christensen seeks U.S. House nod". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  6. ^ Naber, Matt (January 14, 2016). "NWC professor Mike Konsmo announces candidacy for U.S. House". Powell Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  7. ^ Brown, Trevor (February 1, 2016). "Casper resident Paul Paad seeks U.S. House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  8. ^ Brown, Trevor (May 1, 2015). "Yoder resident Jason Senteney announces bid for 2016 U.S. House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved October 11, 2015.[permanent dead link]
  9. ^ Mayer, Kellie (June 1, 2016). "Cheyenne Resident Darin Smith Announces Congressional Campaign". KGWN Cheyenne CBS. Archived from the original on April 5, 2016. Retrieved June 1, 2016.
  10. ^ Fram, Alan (November 12, 2015). "Wyoming GOP congresswoman retiring, Liz Cheney considers run". Yahoo!. Retrieved November 12, 2015.
  11. ^ a b Brown, Trevor (January 16, 2016). "Former Idaho candidate runs for Wyoming House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  12. ^ "Darek Farmer for Senate District 2 - Platte and Converse County Wyoming". Facebook. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  13. ^ Hancock, Laura (November 16, 2015). "Charlie T runs for Congress". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  14. ^ Star-Tribune, Laura Hancock, Casper. "Rammell drops out of U.S. House race". Wyoming Tribune Eagle.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  15. ^ a b c Yokley, Eli (November 13, 2015). "Liz Cheney Would Have to Overcome Hard Feelings for 2016 Run". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 15, 2015. Retrieved November 16, 2015.
  16. ^ a b c Hancock, Laura (November 14, 2015). "With an open U.S. House seat, 2016 will be a lively election season in Wyo". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved November 16, 2015.
  17. ^ Fram, Alan (November 12, 2015). "Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummis will not seek reelection". Casper Star-Tribune. Associated Press. Retrieved November 12, 2015.
  18. ^ a b "Liz Cheney Endorsed by Al Simpson". Cheney for Wyoming. February 21, 2016. Archived from the original on August 28, 2016. Retrieved August 10, 2016.
  19. ^ "Rand Paul endorses Christensen in U.S. House race". Casper Star-Tribune. August 14, 2016.
  20. ^ Pulse Research
  21. ^ a b "2016 Official Primary Election Results". Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 14, 2016.
  22. ^ a b Hancock, Laura (February 4, 2016). "Wyoming Dems have one of their own running for US House". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  23. ^ Hancock, Laura (May 22, 2016). "Charlie Hardy to run for Congress". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  24. ^ Hancock, Laura (November 17, 2015). "First Democrat enters U.S. House race -- but doesn't expect to advance his name on the ballot". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  25. ^ a b c d "Former Gov. Freudenthal endorses Greene for Congress". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. August 10, 2016.
  26. ^ "Candidates start filing for Wyoming political races". Casper Star Tribune. May 12, 2016. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  27. ^ a b "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Election - August 16, 2016" (PDF). soswy.state.wy.us.
  28. ^ "Daniel Clyde Cummings". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  29. ^ a b "Wyoming District 01 Race". OpenSecrets.org. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  30. ^ "Greene, Ryan — Candidate for House". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  31. ^ "Cummings, Daniel Clyde — Candidate for House". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  32. ^ "2016 House Race Ratings for August 10, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  33. ^ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  34. ^ "Roll Call's 2016 Election Guide". Roll Call. Retrieved August 17, 2016.[permanent dead link]
  35. ^ "2016 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  36. ^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  37. ^ University of Wyoming
  38. ^ DFM Research
  39. ^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 8, 2016" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2016.
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Official campaign websites