2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming
(Redirected from United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming, 2016)
The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district, who would represent the state of Wyoming in the 115th United States Congress. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Cynthia Lummis decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Liz Cheney was elected to the seat to succeed Lummis.
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  Cheney: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Greene: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The filing period for candidates lasted from May 12 to 27, 2016, and the primaries were held on August 16.[1] Republican attorney Liz Cheney, daughter of former Vice President of the United States Dick Cheney, and Democratic energy executive Ryan Greene won their respective primaries.[2]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Heath Beaudry, banker[3]
- Liz Cheney, attorney, daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[4]
- Leland Christensen, State Senator, former Teton County Commissioner[5]
- Mike Konsmo, professor at Northwest College[6]
- Paul Paad, trucking executive[7]
- Jason Senteney, corrections officer at the Wyoming Medium Correctional Institution and candidate for this seat in 2014[8]
- Darin Smith, attorney and Christian Broadcasting Network executive[9]
- Tim Stubson, Speaker pro tempore of the Wyoming House of Representatives[10]
Withdrew
edit- Darek Farmer (running for State Senate)[11][12]
- Charlie Tyrrel, restaurant owner[13]
- Rex Rammell, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate from Idaho in 2008, candidate for Governor of Idaho in 2010 and candidate for the Idaho House of Representatives in 2012 (endorsed Darin Smith)[11][14]
Declined
edit- Rosie Berger, Majority Leader of the Wyoming House of Representatives[15]
- Mark Gordon, state treasurer[16]
- Taylor Haynes, physician, write-in candidate for governor in 2010 and candidate for governor in 2014[15]
- Cynthia Lummis, incumbent U.S. Representative[17]
- Matt Mead, Governor of Wyoming[16]
- Rita Meyer, former state auditor and candidate for governor in 2010[15]
- Ed Murray, Secretary of State of Wyoming[16]
Endorsements
editLiz Cheney
- Alan K. Simpson, former U.S. Senator from Wyoming[18]
- Susan B. Anthony List
Leland Christensen
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky and 2016 Republican Presidential candidate[19]
Darin Smith
- Rex Rammell, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate from Idaho in 2008, candidate for Governor of Idaho in 2010, candidate for the Idaho House of Representatives in 2012 and former candidate for the 2016 U.S. House election in Wyoming.
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney |
Leland Christensen |
Darin Smith |
Tim Stubson |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pulse Research[20] | July 8–15, 2016 | 300 | ± 5.65% | 21% | 4% | 3% | 9% | – | 52% |
Results
edit
Cheney
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Christensen
- 30–40%
- 50–60%}
Stubson
- 30–40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Liz Cheney | 35,043 | 38.78 | |
| Republican | Leland Christensen | 19,330 | 21.39 | |
| Republican | Tim Stubson | 15,524 | 17.18 | |
| Republican | Darin Smith | 13,381 | 14.81 | |
| Republican | Mike Konsmo | 1,363 | 1.51 | |
| Republican | Jason Senteney | 976 | 1.08 | |
| Republican | Rex Rammell | 890 | 0.98 | |
| Republican | Paul Paad | 886 | 0.98 | |
| Republican | Heath Beaudry | 534 | 0.59 | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 155 | 0.17 | |
| Republican | Undervote | 1,651 | 1.83 | |
| Republican | Overvote | 625 | 0.69 | |
| Total votes | 90,358 | 100.00 | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Ryan Greene, energy executive[22]
- Charlie Hardy, Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014[23]
Withdrew
editEndorsements
editRyan Greene
- Dave Freudenthal, former Governor of Wyoming[25]
- Kathy Karpan, former Secretary of State of Wyoming[25]
Results
edit
Greene
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Hardy
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ryan Greene | 10,955 | 53.17 | |
| Democratic | Charlie Hardy | 7,868 | 38.18 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 113 | 0.55 | |
| Democratic | Undervote | 1,654 | 8.03 | |
| Democratic | Overvote | 15 | 0.07 | |
| Total votes | 20,605 | 100.00 | ||
Third party and independent primaries
editLibertarian
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Lawrence Gerard Struempf[26]
Results
edit
Struempf—100%
Struempf—>90%
Struempf—80–90%
Struempf—70–80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Lawrence Gerard Struempf | 276 | 81.66 | |
| Libertarian | Write-ins | 30 | 8.88 | |
| Libertarian | Undervote | 32 | 9.47 | |
| Total votes | 338 | 100.00 | ||
Constitution
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Daniel Clyde Cummings, nominee for the U.S. House in 2012 and 2014[28]
Results
edit
Cummings—100%
Cummings—>90%
Cummings—80–90%
Cummings—70–80%
Write-ins—100%
No Votes
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constitution | Daniel Clyde Cummings | 133 | 82.10 | |
| Constitution | Write-ins | 16 | 9.88 | |
| Constitution | Undervote | 12 | 7.41 | |
| Constitution | Overvote | 1 | 0.62 | |
| Total votes | 162 | 100.00 | ||
General election
editFundraising
edit| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Cheney (R)[29] | $1,462,710 | $920,180 | $542,530 |
| Ryan Greene (D)[30] | $98,541 | $93,550 | $3,126 |
| Lawrence Struempf (L)[29] | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Daniel Clyde Cummings (C)[31] | $0 | $263 | $867 |
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[32] | Safe R | August 10, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[33] | Safe R | August 17, 2016 |
| Roll Call[34] | Safe R | August 17, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] | Safe R | August 17, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[36] | Safe R | July 14, 2016 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney (R) |
Ryan Greene (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Wyoming[37] | October 5–11, 2016 | 722 | ± 3.6% | 53% | 37% | — | — |
| DFM Research[38] | September 6–11, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 30% | 9% | 16% |
Endorsements
editLiz Cheney
U.S. Senators
- John Barrasso, Wyoming
- Mike Enzi, Wyoming
U.S. Representatives
- Cynthia Lummis, Wyoming
Governors
- Matt Mead, Wyoming
Statewide Officials
- Jillian Balow, Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction
- Cynthia Cloud, Wyoming State Auditor
- Mark Gordon, Wyoming State Treasurer
Individuals
- Jim Geringer, former Governor of Wyoming
- Randall Luthi, former Speaker of the Wyoming House of Representatives
- Max Maxfield, former Wyoming Secretary of State
- Rita Meyer, former Wyoming State Auditor
- Alan K. Simpson, former U.S. Senator from Wyoming[18]
Organizations
- National Federation of Independent Business
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- Petroleum Association of Wyoming
- Right Now Women PAC
- Susan B. Anthony List
- Wyoming Mining Association
- Wyoming Stock Growers Association
Newspapers
Ryan Greene
Individuals
- Dave Freudenthal, former Governor of Wyoming[25]
- Kathy Karpan, former Wyoming Secretary of State[25]
- Mike Sullivan, former Governor of Wyoming
- Charlie Tyrrel, former Republican candidate for the U.S. House election in Wyoming in 2016
Organizations
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Liz Cheney | 156,176 | 62.03% | −6.44% | |
| Democratic | Ryan Greene | 75,466 | 29.97% | +7.07% | |
| Constitution | Daniel Clyde Cummings | 10,362 | 4.12% | +0.03% | |
| Libertarian | Lawrence Gerard Struempf | 9,033 | 3.59% | −0.72% | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 739 | 0.29% | +0.05% | |
| Total votes | 251,776 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
editSee also
edit
References
edit- ^ "2016 Wyoming Election Calendar" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Wyoming Secretary of State’s Office. Retrieved April 27, 2016.
- ^ "Wyoming House Races Results". Politico. Associated Press. August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 16, 2016.
- ^ "Evanston resident Heath Beaudry enters race for Congress". Casper Star Tribune. May 31, 2016. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
- ^ "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Elections Commission. January 29, 2016. Retrieved January 30, 2016.
- ^ Brown, Trevor (January 20, 2016). "State Senator Christensen seeks U.S. House nod". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
- ^ Naber, Matt (January 14, 2016). "NWC professor Mike Konsmo announces candidacy for U.S. House". Powell Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
- ^ Brown, Trevor (February 1, 2016). "Casper resident Paul Paad seeks U.S. House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
- ^ Brown, Trevor (May 1, 2015). "Yoder resident Jason Senteney announces bid for 2016 U.S. House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved October 11, 2015.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Mayer, Kellie (June 1, 2016). "Cheyenne Resident Darin Smith Announces Congressional Campaign". KGWN Cheyenne CBS. Archived from the original on April 5, 2016. Retrieved June 1, 2016.
- ^ Fram, Alan (November 12, 2015). "Wyoming GOP congresswoman retiring, Liz Cheney considers run". Yahoo!. Retrieved November 12, 2015.
- ^ a b Brown, Trevor (January 16, 2016). "Former Idaho candidate runs for Wyoming House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
- ^ "Darek Farmer for Senate District 2 - Platte and Converse County Wyoming". Facebook. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
- ^ Hancock, Laura (November 16, 2015). "Charlie T runs for Congress". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
- ^ Star-Tribune, Laura Hancock, Casper. "Rammell drops out of U.S. House race". Wyoming Tribune Eagle.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ a b c Yokley, Eli (November 13, 2015). "Liz Cheney Would Have to Overcome Hard Feelings for 2016 Run". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 15, 2015. Retrieved November 16, 2015.
- ^ a b c Hancock, Laura (November 14, 2015). "With an open U.S. House seat, 2016 will be a lively election season in Wyo". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved November 16, 2015.
- ^ Fram, Alan (November 12, 2015). "Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummis will not seek reelection". Casper Star-Tribune. Associated Press. Retrieved November 12, 2015.
- ^ a b "Liz Cheney Endorsed by Al Simpson". Cheney for Wyoming. February 21, 2016. Archived from the original on August 28, 2016. Retrieved August 10, 2016.
- ^ "Rand Paul endorses Christensen in U.S. House race". Casper Star-Tribune. August 14, 2016.
- ^ Pulse Research
- ^ a b "2016 Official Primary Election Results". Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 14, 2016.
- ^ a b Hancock, Laura (February 4, 2016). "Wyoming Dems have one of their own running for US House". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
- ^ Hancock, Laura (May 22, 2016). "Charlie Hardy to run for Congress". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
- ^ Hancock, Laura (November 17, 2015). "First Democrat enters U.S. House race -- but doesn't expect to advance his name on the ballot". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
- ^ a b c d "Former Gov. Freudenthal endorses Greene for Congress". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. August 10, 2016.
- ^ "Candidates start filing for Wyoming political races". Casper Star Tribune. May 12, 2016. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
- ^ a b "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Election - August 16, 2016" (PDF). soswy.state.wy.us.
- ^ "Daniel Clyde Cummings". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
- ^ a b "Wyoming District 01 Race". OpenSecrets.org. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
- ^ "Greene, Ryan — Candidate for House". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
- ^ "Cummings, Daniel Clyde — Candidate for House". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
- ^ "2016 House Race Ratings for August 10, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
- ^ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
- ^ "Roll Call's 2016 Election Guide". Roll Call. Retrieved August 17, 2016.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "2016 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
- ^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
- ^ University of Wyoming
- ^ DFM Research
- ^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 8, 2016" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2016.
External links
editOfficial campaign websites