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2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee

(Redirected from United States presidential election in Tennessee, 2016)

For related races, see 2016 United States presidential election.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee
← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout61.92% Increase[1] 0.06 pp
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,522,925 870,695
Percentage 60.72% 34.72%
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Tennessee voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Trump won the election in Tennessee with 60.7% of the vote. Clinton received 34.7% of the vote.[2] This is the first time since 1972 that either party has earned over 60% of the vote in Tennessee. Tennessee was one of eleven states won by Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 but lost by Hillary Clinton.

Primary elections

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Democratic primary

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Main article: 2016 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary

Hillary Clinton was challenged by Bernie Sanders, the only other major candidate remaining in the Democratic primaries. Clinton won the state, defeating Sanders by 33.6 points and earning 44 delegates while Sanders earned 23 delegates.

 
Popular vote share by county
  Clinton
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Sanders
  •   50–60%
Tennessee Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 245,930 66.07% 44 7 51
Bernie Sanders 120,800 32.45% 23 0 23
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,025 0.54%
Uncommitted 3,467 0.93% 0 1 1
Total 372,222 100% 67 8 75
Source: [3]

Republican primary

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Main article: 2016 Tennessee Republican presidential primary

Donald Trump won the primary with a plurality, carrying 38.9% of the vote and all but one county, awarding him 33 delegates.[4]

Texas Senator Ted Cruz, came second with 24.7% of the vote and 16 delegates. Florida Senator Marco Rubio came third with 21.2% of the vote and 9 delegates, carrying only the county of Williamson. All other candidates did not receive any delegates.[5]

 
Popular vote share by county
  Trump
  •   20–30%
      30–40%
      40–50%
      50–60%
  Rubio
  •   30–40%
Tennessee Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 333,180 38.94% 33 0 33
Ted Cruz 211,471 24.71% 16 0 16
Marco Rubio 181,274 21.18% 9 0 9
Ben Carson 64,951 7.59% 0 0 0
John Kasich 45,301 5.29% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 9,551 1.12% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 2,415 0.28% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 2,350 0.27% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 1,849 0.22% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,256 0.15% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 715 0.08% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 710 0.08% 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) 267 0.03% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 253 0.03% 0 0 0
George Pataki (withdrawn) 186 0.02% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 855,729 100.00% 58 0 58
Source: The Green Papers

General election

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Polling

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See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Tennessee

Voting History

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Tennessee has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996. In 2012, Republican nominee Mitt Romney won the state by a margin of more than twenty points due to the unpopularity of the Obama administration in the conservative state. Typically Democrats do very well in the urban regions of Memphis and Nashville, while Republicans dominate the rural and suburban areas. Tennessee is considered a safe Republican state. In 2016, it stayed that way, with Trump winning the state with 60.7% of the vote.

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[6] Safe R November 6, 2016
CNN[7] Safe R November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[8] Safe R November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[9] Likely R November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[10] Safe R November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[12] Likely R November 8, 2016
NBC[13] Likely R November 7, 2016

^Highest rating given

Results

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2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 1,522,925 60.72%
Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 870,695 34.72%
Independent Gary Johnson 70,397 2.81%
Independent Jill Stein 15,993 0.64%
Independent Evan McMullin (write-in) 11,991 0.48%
Independent Mike Smith 7,276 0.29%
Independent Rocky De La Fuente 4,075 0.16%
Independent Alyson Kennedy 2,877 0.12%
Write-in 1,798 0.07%
Total votes 2,508,027 100.00%

By county

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County Donald Trump
Republican 		Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Anderson 19,212 64.30% 9,013 30.16% 1,656 5.54% 10,199 34.14% 29,881
Bedford 11,486 74.80% 3,395 22.11% 474 3.09% 8,091 52.69% 15,355
Benton 4,716 74.53% 1,474 23.29% 138 2.18% 3,242 51.24% 6,328
Bledsoe 3,622 77.66% 897 19.23% 145 3.11% 2,725 58.43% 4,664
Blount 37,443 71.72% 12,100 23.18% 2,665 5.10% 25,343 48.54% 52,208
Bradley 29,768 76.99% 7,070 18.28% 1,828 4.73% 22,698 58.71% 38,666
Campbell 9,870 78.76% 2,248 17.94% 414 3.30% 7,622 60.82% 12,532
Cannon 4,007 75.40% 1,127 21.21% 180 3.39% 2,880 54.19% 5,314
Carroll 7,756 74.69% 2,327 22.41% 301 2.90% 5,429 52.28% 10,384
Carter 16,898 80.15% 3,453 16.38% 733 3.47% 13,445 63.77% 21,084
Cheatham 11,297 70.94% 3,878 24.35% 749 4.71% 7,419 46.59% 15,924
Chester 5,081 78.09% 1,243 19.10% 183 2.81% 3,838 58.99% 6,507
Claiborne 8,602 80.09% 1,832 17.06% 306 2.85% 6,770 63.03% 10,740
Clay 2,141 73.32% 707 24.21% 72 2.47% 1,434 49.11% 2,920
Cocke 9,791 80.74% 1,981 16.34% 354 2.92% 7,810 64.40% 12,126
Coffee 14,417 72.19% 4,743 23.75% 811 4.06% 9,674 48.44% 19,971
Crockett 3,982 73.78% 1,303 24.14% 112 2.08% 2,679 49.64% 5,397
Cumberland 20,413 77.44% 5,202 19.73% 745 2.83% 15,211 57.71% 26,360
Davidson 84,550 33.95% 148,864 59.77% 15,654 6.28% -64,314 -25.82% 249,068
Decatur 3,588 78.14% 894 19.47% 110 2.39% 2,694 58.67% 4,592
DeKalb 5,171 74.35% 1,569 22.56% 215 3.09% 3,602 51.79% 6,955
Dickson 13,233 70.77% 4,722 25.25% 744 3.98% 8,511 45.52% 18,699
Dyer 10,180 76.33% 2,816 21.12% 340 2.55% 7,364 55.21% 13,336
Fayette 13,055 67.31% 5,874 30.29% 465 2.40% 7,181 37.02% 19,394
Fentress 6,038 82.34% 1,100 15.00% 195 2.66% 4,938 67.34% 7,333
Franklin 11,532 70.30% 4,374 26.66% 498 3.04% 7,158 43.64% 16,404
Gibson 13,786 70.53% 5,258 26.90% 503 2.57% 8,528 43.63% 19,547
Giles 7,970 71.56% 2,917 26.19% 250 2.25% 5,053 45.37% 11,137
Grainger 6,626 82.74% 1,154 14.41% 228 2.85% 5,472 68.33% 8,008
Greene 18,562 78.71% 4,216 17.88% 805 3.41% 14,346 60.83% 23,583
Grundy 3,636 76.34% 999 20.97% 128 2.69% 2,637 55.37% 4,763
Hamblen 15,857 76.63% 4,075 19.69% 760 3.68% 11,782 56.94% 20,692
Hamilton 78,733 55.29% 55,316 38.84% 8,359 5.87% 23,417 16.45% 142,408
Hancock 1,843 82.61% 322 14.43% 66 2.96% 1,521 68.18% 2,231
Hardeman 4,919 53.05% 4,185 45.13% 169 1.82% 734 7.92% 9,273
Hardin 8,012 80.53% 1,622 16.30% 315 3.17% 6,390 64.23% 9,949
Hawkins 16,648 80.14% 3,507 16.88% 619 2.98% 13,141 63.26% 20,774
Haywood 3,013 44.09% 3,711 54.30% 110 1.61% -698 -10.21% 6,834
Henderson 8,138 79.65% 1,800 17.62% 279 2.73% 6,338 62.03% 10,217
Henry 9,508 73.45% 3,063 23.66% 374 2.89% 6,445 49.79% 12,945
Hickman 5,695 72.89% 1,824 23.35% 294 3.76% 3,871 49.54% 7,813
Houston 2,182 68.88% 866 27.34% 120 3.78% 1,316 41.54% 3,168
Humphreys 4,930 68.92% 1,967 27.50% 256 3.58% 2,963 41.42% 7,153
Jackson 3,236 72.46% 1,129 25.28% 101 2.26% 2,107 47.18% 4,466
Jefferson 14,776 77.47% 3,494 18.32% 802 4.21% 11,282 59.15% 19,072
Johnson 5,410 82.23% 988 15.02% 181 2.75% 4,422 67.21% 6,579
Knox 105,767 58.53% 62,878 34.80% 12,052 6.67% 42,889 23.73% 180,697
Lake 1,357 68.88% 577 29.29% 36 1.83% 780 39.59% 1,970
Lauderdale 4,884 60.39% 3,056 37.79% 147 1.82% 1,828 22.60% 8,087
Lawrence 12,420 79.28% 2,821 18.01% 425 2.71% 9,599 61.27% 15,666
Lewis 3,585 77.56% 890 19.26% 147 3.18% 2,695 58.30% 4,622
Lincoln 10,398 77.90% 2,554 19.13% 396 2.97% 7,844 58.77% 13,348
Loudon 17,610 75.29% 4,919 21.03% 862 3.68% 12,691 54.26% 23,391
Macon 6,263 83.46% 1,072 14.29% 169 2.25% 5,191 69.17% 7,504
Madison 21,335 55.97% 15,448 40.52% 1,337 3.51% 5,887 15.45% 38,120
Marion 7,696 70.85% 2,832 26.07% 334 3.08% 4,864 44.78% 10,862
Marshall 8,184 71.44% 2,852 24.90% 419 3.66% 5,332 46.54% 11,455
Maury 23,799 67.29% 10,038 28.38% 1,532 4.33% 13,761 38.91% 35,369
McMinn 14,691 78.33% 3,510 18.72% 554 2.95% 11,181 59.61% 18,755
McNairy 7,841 78.11% 1,848 18.41% 349 3.48% 5,993 59.70% 10,038
Meigs 3,342 77.36% 856 19.81% 122 2.83% 2,486 57.55% 4,320
Monroe 13,374 78.24% 3,186 18.64% 533 3.12% 10,188 59.60% 17,093
Montgomery 32,341 56.13% 21,699 37.66% 3,580 6.21% 10,642 18.47% 57,620
Moore 2,325 79.46% 496 16.95% 105 3.59% 1,829 62.51% 2,926
Morgan 5,441 81.15% 1,054 15.72% 210 3.13% 4,387 65.43% 6,705
Obion 9,526 77.77% 2,426 19.81% 297 2.42% 7,100 57.96% 12,249
Overton 6,059 73.63% 1,945 23.64% 225 2.73% 4,114 49.99% 8,229
Perry 2,167 75.90% 597 20.91% 91 3.19% 1,570 54.99% 2,855
Pickett 2,021 77.28% 536 20.50% 58 2.22% 1,485 56.78% 2,615
Polk 5,097 78.17% 1,252 19.20% 171 2.63% 3,845 58.97% 6,520
Putnam 19,002 69.83% 6,851 25.18% 1,359 4.99% 12,151 44.65% 27,212
Rhea 8,660 78.29% 1,942 17.56% 460 4.15% 6,718 60.73% 11,062
Roane 15,880 73.28% 4,837 22.32% 952 4.40% 11,043 50.96% 21,669
Robertson 19,410 71.59% 6,637 24.48% 1,066 3.93% 12,773 47.11% 27,113
Rutherford 64,515 60.05% 36,706 34.17% 6,215 5.78% 27,809 25.88% 107,436
Scott 6,044 84.85% 934 13.11% 145 2.04% 5,110 71.74% 7,123
Sequatchie 4,441 77.99% 1,053 18.49% 200 3.52% 3,388 59.50% 5,694
Sevier 28,629 78.84% 6,297 17.34% 1,386 3.82% 22,332 61.50% 36,312
Shelby 116,344 34.48% 208,992 61.95% 12,047 3.57% -92,648 -27.47% 337,383
Smith 5,494 73.88% 1,689 22.71% 253 3.41% 3,805 51.17% 7,436
Stewart 3,864 72.92% 1,222 23.06% 213 4.02% 2,642 49.86% 5,299
Sullivan 46,979 75.43% 12,578 20.20% 2,721 4.37% 34,401 55.23% 62,278
Sumner 50,129 70.11% 18,161 25.40% 3,215 4.49% 31,968 44.71% 71,505
Tipton 16,910 72.02% 5,785 24.64% 786 3.34% 11,125 47.38% 23,481
Trousdale 2,103 66.55% 946 29.94% 111 3.51% 1,157 36.61% 3,160
Unicoi 5,671 78.82% 1,262 17.54% 262 3.64% 4,409 61.28% 7,195
Union 5,053 80.89% 1,012 16.20% 182 2.91% 4,041 64.69% 6,247
Van Buren 1,820 75.24% 539 22.28% 60 2.48% 1,281 52.96% 2,419
Warren 9,540 70.09% 3,535 25.97% 537 3.94% 6,005 44.12% 13,612
Washington 34,252 68.85% 13,024 26.18% 2,474 4.97% 21,228 42.67% 49,750
Wayne 5,036 85.98% 717 12.24% 104 1.78% 4,319 73.74% 5,857
Weakley 9,008 73.93% 2,772 22.75% 404 3.32% 6,236 51.18% 12,184
White 7,671 78.08% 1,845 18.78% 309 3.14% 5,826 59.30% 9,825
Williamson 68,212 64.19% 31,013 29.18% 7,046 6.63% 37,199 35.01% 106,271
Wilson 39,406 69.46% 14,385 25.36% 2,943 5.18% 25,021 44.10% 56,734
Totals 1,522,925 60.72% 870,695 34.72% 114,407 4.56% 652,230 26.00% 2,508,027
 
County Flips:
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

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Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[15]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 76% 20% Phil Roe
2nd 65% 30% Jimmy Duncan
3rd 61% 38% Chuck Fleischmann
4th 68% 27% Scott DesJarlais
5th 38% 56% Jim Cooper
6th 72% 24% Diane Black
7th 67% 28% Marsha Blackburn
8th 66% 31% Stephen Fincher
David Kustoff
9th 20% 77% Steve Cohen

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2016". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2016. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  2. ^ "Tennessee Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". The New York Times. Archived from the original on July 17, 2017. Retrieved July 26, 2017.
  3. ^ The Green Papers
  4. ^ "Tennessee Primary Election Results 2016". The New York Times. September 29, 2016. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved February 12, 2024.
  5. ^ "Tennessee Primary Election Results 2016: President Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates". Election Hub. Retrieved February 12, 2024.
  6. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  7. ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  8. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on February 7, 2019. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  9. ^ "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  10. ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  11. ^ Sabato, Larry (November 7, 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  12. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  13. ^ Todd, Chuck (November 7, 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  14. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on December 15, 2016. Retrieved December 15, 2016.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  15. ^ "Swing State Project: Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008". Archived from the original on October 16, 2015. Retrieved October 16, 2015.
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