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For related races, see 2028 United States elections.

2028 United States presidential election
← 2024 November 7, 2028 2032 →
538 members of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
 
Party Democratic Party Republican Party
2028 electoral map, based on 2020 census
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



The 2028 United States presidential election will be the 61st quadrennial presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 7, 2028.[1] Voters will elect a president and vice president for a term of four years. Republican President-elect Donald Trump’s final term is set to expire at noon on January 20, 2029, which is when the winner of the 2028 election and their new administration will be inaugurated and take over leadership of the country. The candidates for the 2028 election will be decided and finalized at the 2028 Republican National Convention and the 2028 Democratic National Convention. This election will occur at the same time as elections to the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House; several states will also be holding gubernatorial and state legislative elections.

The soon incumbent president, Donald Trump of the Republican Party, launched his campaign to run again for a second term in the 2024 United States presidential election after losing the 2020 United States presidential election and easily became the Republican nominee, picking JD Vance as his running mate. He ran against President Biden until July 2024, when Biden withdrew from the election and endorsed Harris, who easily won the Democratic nomination. Trump won another term in 2024 with more than 300 electoral votes in what was otherwise considered to be a close election. Trump is barred run for re-election in 2028 due to the restrictions imposed by the 22nd Amendment. [2]

This presidential election will take place alongside 3 major elections, the U.S Senate elections will take place for 34 seats, the U.S House of Representatives elections will take place for all 435 seats, and 11 states along with 2 territories will hold gubernatorial elections.

Background

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Procedure

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Article Two of the Constitution of United States states that for a person to serve as president, the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, be at least 35 years of age, and have been a United States resident for at least 14 years. The Twenty-second Amendment forbids any person from being elected president more than twice. Major party candidates seek the nomination through a series of primary elections that select the delegates who choose the candidate at the party's national convention. Each party's national convention chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's ticket. The nominee for president usually picks the running mate, who is then ratified by the delegates at the party's convention. If no candidate wins a majority of their party's delegates' votes, or if like the 2024 election, a party's presumptive nominee drops out of the race between the primaries and the convention, a brokered convention may be held: the delegates are then "released" and are free to switch their allegiance to a different candidate.

The general election in November is an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president.[3] In recent times, election offices are dealing with increased workloads and public scrutiny. Many officials in different states have ought for additional funding to hire more personnel, improve security, and lengthen training.

Electoral Map

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Swing States

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Most states in the U.S are not very electorally competitive, there are political and cultural differences, causing some states to vote for the same party continuously for a long period. Because this is normalized in the Electoral College, major party candidates usually choose to campaign in swing states which are states that "swing" between parties, these states are vital for a presidential candidate to win an election. There are the Rust Belt states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, followed by the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina.

Blue States

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Blue states, Democratic states, or sometimes referred to as the Blue Wall are a group of states that are vital for the Democratic candidate to win the election. Whenever the Blue Wall is shattered, it usually has the election end in Democratic loss as a lot of swing states are apart of the blue wall. President-elect Trump has broken the Blue Wall twice, once in 2016, but the wall was reconstructed when he lost re-election in 2020 United States presidential election against but, but then he broke it one last time in 2024.

Red States

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Red states, Republican states, or sometimes referred to as the Red Wall are a group of states that are vital for the Republican candidate to win the election. The Red Wall is almost never shattered, this is because a lot of the Red Wall states are not swing states, unlike the Blue Wall. The last time the Red Wall was broken was in the 1992 Presidential election.

Candidates

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Democrats who publicly expressed interest

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Democrats who have expressed interest

Potential Democratic candidates

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Potential Democratic candidates

Opinion polling

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Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Margin of error Pete
Buttigieg 		Kamala
Harris 		Gavin
Newsom 		Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights January 16-18, 2024 499 (RV) ± 3.4% 13% 33% 11% 43%[b]

Republican Party

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Publicly expressed interest

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Republicans who have expressed interest

Potential candidates

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Potential Republicans

Declined to be candidates

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Ineligible

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Opinion polling

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Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Tucker
Carlson 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Vivek
Ramaswamy 		JD
Vance 		Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights July 19-21, 2024 982 (RV) ± 3.8% 14% 9% 10% 25% 16%[c]
Echelon Insights January 16-18, 2024 832 (RV) ± 3.4% 6% 27% 19% 18% 1% 29%[d]

References

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  1. ^ "Election Planning Calendar" (PDF). Essex-Virginia.org. Essex County, Virginia. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 7, 2016. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  2. ^ https://www.kgw.com/article/news/verify/no-donald-trump-cannot-run-for-president-again-in-2028/536-e52f5a11-f19a-43df-86b3-8cfd5338a79a
  3. ^ "US Election guide: how does the election work?". The Daily Telegraph. November 6, 2012. Archived from the original on November 10, 2015. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  4. ^ a b Barkan, Ross (July 13, 2022). "Who Comes After Bernie?". Intelligencer.
  5. ^ McCarthy, Mia (February 22, 2024). "Polis won't rule out a 2028 presidential bid". politico. Retrieved July 1, 2024.
  6. ^ Durr, Matt (March 18, 2024). "Gov. Whitmer gives a wink during Washington speech: 'See you in 2029'". mlive.com. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  7. ^ Gans, Jared (November 8, 2023). "Beshear's star rises after Kentucky victory". The Hill.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u Scher, Bill (December 26, 2023). "Which 2028 Presidential Wannabe Had the Best Year?". Politico.
  9. ^ a b c d McCaskill, Nolan D. (October 25, 2022). "Who will lead progressives after Bernie Sanders?". Los Angeles Times.
  10. ^ a b c d e f g h Dovere, Edward-Isaac (December 3, 2023). "These Democrats could be contenders for their party's nomination in 2028. But first, they must boost Biden in 2024". CNN.
  11. ^ Dorman, John L. "James Carville dismisses concerns that Democrats don't have a strong presidential bench for 2028: 'So many people, it's breathtaking'". Business Insider. Retrieved February 18, 2024.
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h Geraghty, Jim (December 27, 2023). "If You Want to Be a Party's 2028 Nominee, Work Hard Now". National Review.
  13. ^ Wong, Scott; Santaliz, Kate (March 2, 2023). "Maryland Gov. Wes Moore generates buzz — and his own selfie line — rallying House Democrats". NBC News.
  14. ^ O'Dowd, Niall (October 13, 2023). "Could Senator Chris Murphy be the next Irish American president after Biden?". Irish Central. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  15. ^ Stanage, Niall (July 29, 2022). "The Memo: No, really — What if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for president?". The Hill.
  16. ^ Wierson, Arick (October 29, 2023). "Opinion: There may be more to Dean Phillips' 'moon shot' presidential bid than meets the eye". CNN.
  17. ^ Chakraborty, Barnini (December 9, 2022). "Raphael Warnock eyed as early contender for 2028 presidential race following runoff win". Washington Examiner.
  18. ^ Yarrow, Grace (November 7, 2023). "Ted Cruz says he expects to run for president again, criticizes Democrats for pro-Palestine rhetoric". The Texas Tribune.
  19. ^ Mitchell, Octavia (December 12, 2023). "One-on-one with Senator Tim Scott". WCBD-TV. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
  20. ^ Anderson, Bruce (September 14, 2023). "Letter: Doug Burgum has a chance to be a leader in 2028. Will he take it?". InForum. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
  21. ^ Stanton, Andrew (August 7, 2023). "Joe Rogan Makes 2028 Tucker Carlson Prediction". Newsweek.
  22. ^ Rudell, B.J. (July 3, 2022). "Liz Cheney has a political future — we just don't know what it will be". The Hill. Retrieved January 8, 2023.
  23. ^ Vakil, Caroline (March 13, 2024). "Cheney fuels speculation about her next move". The Hill. Retrieved July 1, 2024.
  24. ^ Kelly, Mike (January 11, 2024). "Chris Christie would be a strong US Senate candidate for the NJ GOP. Here's why: Kelly". northjersey.com.
  25. ^ MacKinnon, Douglas (June 16, 2023). "Is the Trump circus about to push DeSantis into 2028?". The Hill.
  26. ^ Basu, Zachary (January 29, 2024). "DeSantis boosts public image after dropping out, sparking '28 speculation". Axios.
  27. ^ Sexton, Adam (November 5, 2023), CloseUp: Marjorie Taylor Greene open to future presidential run, retrieved February 18, 2024
  28. ^ Samuels, Alexandra (October 11, 2023). "Will Hurd Was Both Too Late and Too Early to Run as an Anti-Trump Moderate". Texas Monthly. Retrieved January 4, 2023.
  29. ^ Sandweiss, Ethan (November 1, 2023). "Experts weigh in on Pence's loss and future". WFYI. Retrieved January 4, 2024.
  30. ^ Cillizza, Chris (October 5, 2022). "Mike Pence looks like he is running for president. But, why?". CNN. Retrieved January 4, 2024.
  31. ^ Carpenter, Tim (April 19, 2023). "Kansas political analysts: Pompeo wisely steps aside in 2024 presidential election cycle". Kansas Reflector. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
  32. ^ Gift, Thomas (August 31, 2023). "Commentary: Who's Vivek Ramaswamy? The Trump 2.0 candidate making waves in the Republican primaries". University College London. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
  33. ^ Saunders, Forrest (June 15, 2023). "Miami mayor jumps into 2024 presidential race though some think he's eyeing 2028". WPTV. Retrieved January 4, 2024.
  34. ^ TN World Desk (January 17, 2024). "Donald Trump Jr For US President In 2028? Ex-First Son Says 'Never Say Never'". Times Now News. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  35. ^ Cook, Nancy (November 7, 2023). "Glenn Youngkin's Presidential Ambitions Face Test in Virginia State Elections". Bloomberg. Retrieved December 2, 2023.
  36. ^ Solender, Andrew (February 13, 2024). "McCarthy floats future run for office in rare Capitol Hill visit". Axios. Retrieved February 17, 2024.
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