Wikipedia

2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana

For related races, see 2024 United States presidential election.

The 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout66.3% Decrease
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Projected electoral vote 8 0
Popular vote 1,208,505 766,870
Percentage 60.22% 38.21%
Parish results
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

As a Deep Southern state located largely within the Bible Belt, Louisiana has a conservative voting pattern, with the only Democrats to carry the state's electoral votes after Franklin D. Roosevelt being Adlai Stevenson II in his first bid, John F. Kennedy, Jimmy Carter in his first bid, and fellow Southerner Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas. Republicans have won the state in every presidential election since George W. Bush of neighboring Texas did in 2000, and have done so by double-digit margins since Bush in 2004.

The Republican former President Donald Trump ran for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after his defeat in the 2020 election.[2] Trump defeated the Democratic nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, in Louisiana by a margin of 22%. This was the first presidential election in Louisiana since 1984 where a candidate received over 60% of the vote.

Primary elections

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Republican primary

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Main article: 2024 Louisiana Republican presidential primary

The Louisiana Republican primary was held on March 23, 2024.

Louisiana Republican primary, March 22, 2024[3][4]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 172,503 89.77% 47 47
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 13,123 6.83%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 3,022 1.57%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,281 0.67%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 595 0.31%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) 580 0.30%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) 519 0.27%
Rachel Swift 335 0.17%
David Stuckenberg 210 0.11%
Total: 192,168 100.00% 47 47

Democratic primary

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Main article: 2024 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary

The Louisiana Democratic primary was held on March 23, 2024, alongside the primary in Missouri.

Louisiana Democratic primary, March 22, 2024[5]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 143,380 86.1% 48
Marianne Williamson 7,898 4.7%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 4,351 2.6%
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn) 3,770 2.3%
Bob Ely 2,652 1.6%
Frankie Lozada (withdrawn) 2,245 1.4%
Armando Perez-Serrato 1,200 0.7%
Cenk Uygur (withdrawn) 1,114 0.7%
Total: 166,610 100.0% 48 6 52

General election

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Electoral slates

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The voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors, or representatives to the Electoral College, rather than directly for the President and Vice President. Louisiana is allocated eight electors because it has six congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot must submit a list of eight electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the most votes in the state is awarded all eight electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector. There are no laws on the books in Louisiana that prohibit or punish faithless electors.[6]

These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state as of August 1, 2024:[7]

Chase Oliver
Mike ter Maat
Libertarian Party 		Claudia de la Cruz
Karina Garcia
Party for Socialism and Liberation 		Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.
Nicole Shanahan
We the People Party
Michael Dodd
Jonathan Brazzell
Carol Elizabeth Vest
Boyd Wayne Smith
Chantal Saucier
Tyler James Lee Bargenquast
Keith Thompson
Colin Nicol 		Annalise Vidrine
J. Brian Roberts
Cecilia Hammond
Devorah Levy-Pearlman
Clayton Wilkerson
Ian W. Hazleton
Debra Williams
David Jewel Isaacs 		Connie Sampognaro
Joseph Wayne Price, Jr.
Daniel David Bristol
Erica Geldersma
Caleb Clotiaux
Shirlee Ann Owen
Taylor Cabler
"Bobby" Smith

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[8] Solid R December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] Safe R December 14, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R December 30, 2023
CNN[13] Solid R January 14, 2024
The Economist[14] Safe R June 12, 2024
538[15] Solid R August 26, 2024
RCP[16] Solid R June 26, 2024
NBC News[17] Safe R October 6, 2024

Polling

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Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Faucheux Strategies[18][A] April 22–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 52% 38% 10%
John Zogby Strategies[19][B] April 13–21, 2024 501 (LV) – 54% 39% 7%
Echelon Insights[20][C] August 31 – September 7, 2022 506 (LV) ± 6.5% 51% 36% 13%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Faucheux Strategies[18][A] April 22–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 33% 10% 2% 1% 6%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[19][B] April 13–21, 2024 501 (LV) – 51% 36% 13%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[19][B] April 13–21, 2024 501 (LV) – 51% 35% 14%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[20][C] August 31 – September 7, 2022 506 (LV) ± 6.5% 46% 33% 21%

Results

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Statewide results

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2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana[21]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
1,208,505 60.22% +1.76%
Democratic
766,870 38.21% −1.64%
Green
7,138 0.36% N/A
Libertarian
6,835 0.34% −0.67%
We the People
6,641 0.33% N/A
Godliness, Truth, Justice
  • Mattie Preston
  • Shannel Conner
 2,857 0.14% N/A
Justice For All
2,623 0.13% N/A
American Solidarity
2,240 0.11% −0.01%
Socialism and Liberation
1,481 0.07% +0.02%
Constitution
1,424 0.07% −0.03%
Socialist Workers
361 0.02% −0.00%
Total votes 2,006,975 100%

By parish

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Parish Donald Trump
Republican 		Kamala Harris
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Acadia 21,783 81.52% 4,695 17.57% 242 0.91% 17,088 63.95% 26,720
Allen 7,003 80.03% 1,661 18.98% 87 0.99% 5,342 61.04% 8,751
Ascension 41,319 66.14% 20,113 32.19% 1,041 1.67% 21,206 33.94% 62,473
Assumption 6,963 67.17% 3,273 31.57% 131 1.26% 3,690 35.59% 10,367
Avoyelles 11,379 70.95% 4,460 27.81% 198 1.23% 6,919 43.14% 16,037
Beauregard 13,504 85.07% 2,192 13.81% 178 1.12% 11,312 71.26% 15,874
Bienville 3,660 58.50% 2,531 40.46% 65 1.04% 1,129 18.05% 6,256
Bossier 37,105 71.04% 14,467 27.70% 660 1.26% 22,638 43.34% 52,232
Caddo 44,471 46.96% 48,864 51.60% 1,364 1.44% -4,393 -4.64% 94,699
Calcasieu 56,064 69.04% 23,918 29.46% 1,219 1.50% 32,146 39.59% 81,201
Caldwell 3,724 85.93% 580 13.38% 30 0.69% 3,144 72.54% 4,334
Cameron 3,120 92.80% 219 6.51% 23 0.68% 2,901 86.29% 3,362
Catahoula 3,258 74.93% 1,060 24.38% 30 0.69% 2,198 50.55% 4,348
Claiborne 3,522 60.56% 2,239 38.50% 55 0.95% 1,283 22.06% 5,816
Concordia 4,974 64.14% 2,698 34.79% 83 1.07% 2,276 29.35% 7,755
DeSoto 9,359 67.27% 4,426 31.81% 128 0.92% 4,933 35.46% 13,913
East Baton Rouge 82,720 43.39% 103,820 54.46% 4,103 2.15% -21,100 -11.07% 190,643
East Carroll 931 40.37% 1,338 58.02% 37 1.60% -407 -17.65% 2,306
East Feliciana 6,020 60.52% 3,809 38.29% 118 1.19% 2,211 22.23% 9,947
Evangeline 10,483 73.95% 3,526 24.87% 167 1.18% 6,957 49.08% 14,176
Franklin 6,524 74.15% 2,196 24.96% 78 0.89% 4,328 49.19% 8,798
Grant 7,925 87.88% 996 11.04% 97 1.08% 6,929 76.84% 9,018
Iberia 19,511 66.52% 9,504 32.40% 316 1.08% 10,007 34.12% 29,331
Iberville 7,616 49.60% 7,503 48.87% 235 1.53% 113 0.74% 15,354
Jackson 5,291 73.22% 1,852 25.63% 83 1.15% 3,439 47.59% 7,226
Jefferson 98,810 55.45% 75,731 42.50% 3,664 2.06% 23,079 12.95% 178,205
Jefferson Davis 11,478 79.94% 2,699 18.80% 181 1.26% 8,779 61.14% 14,358
Lafayette 72,007 64.82% 37,170 33.46% 1,909 1.72% 34,837 31.36% 111,086
Lafourche 34,461 80.43% 7,864 18.35% 520 1.21% 26,597 62.08% 42,845
LaSalle 6,032 90.98% 546 8.25% 51 0.77% 5,477 82.73% 6,620
Lincoln 11,248 61.95% 6,627 36.50% 282 1.55% 4,621 25.45% 18,157
Livingston 55,101 83.61% 9,965 15.12% 840 1.27% 45,136 68.49% 65,906
Madison 1,846 46.24% 2,094 52.45% 52 1.30% -248 -6.21% 3,992
Morehouse 5,961 59.04% 4,008 39.69% 128 1.27% 1,953 19.34% 10,097
Natchitoches 9,100 60.51% 5,740 38.16% 200 1.33% 3,360 22.34% 15,040
Orleans 24,119 15.16% 130,749 82.16% 4,262 2.68% -106,630 -67.01% 159,130
Ouachita 40,808 63.33% 22,845 35.45% 783 1.22% 17,963 27.88% 64,436
Plaquemines 6,803 68.41% 3,023 30.40% 119 1.20% 3,780 38.01% 9,945
Pointe Coupee 7,319 63.26% 4,132 35.71% 119 1.03% 3,187 27.55% 11,570
Rapides 36,171 67.74% 16,537 30.97% 687 1.29% 19,634 36.77% 53,395
Red River 2,337 62.74% 1,321 35.46% 67 1.80% 1,016 27.28% 3,725
Richland 6,354 69.12% 2,732 29.72% 107 1.16% 3,622 39.40% 9,193
Sabine 8,613 84.69% 1,488 14.63% 69 0.68% 7,125 70.06% 10,170
St. Bernard 11,033 63.80% 5,967 34.51% 292 1.69% 5,066 29.30% 17,292
St. Charles 17,443 65.37% 8,812 33.02% 430 1.61% 8,631 32.34% 26,685
St. Helena 2,804 48.81% 2,848 49.57% 93 1.62% -44 -0.77% 5,745
St. James 5,902 50.06% 5,792 49.13% 95 0.81% 110 0.93% 11,789
St. John the Baptist 6,557 34.83% 12,043 63.97% 227 1.21% -5,486 -29.14% 18,827
St. Landry 21,812 58.88% 14,833 40.04% 398 1.07% 6,979 18.84% 37,043
St. Martin 17,466 69.85% 7,284 29.13% 256 1.02% 10,182 40.72% 25,006
St. Mary 13,671 65.42% 7,011 33.55% 215 1.03% 6,660 31.87% 20,897
St. Tammany 98,377 71.09% 37,777 27.30% 2,230 1.61% 60,600 43.79% 138,384
Tangipahoa 37,500 68.05% 16,886 30.64% 718 1.30% 20,614 37.41% 55,104
Tensas 1,093 51.36% 1,002 47.09% 33 1.55% 91 4.28% 2,128
Terrebonne 31,115 75.29% 9,702 23.48% 510 1.23% 21,413 51.81% 41,327
Union 8,176 78.05% 2,206 21.06% 93 0.89% 5,970 56.99% 10,475
Vermilion 21,510 81.39% 4,637 17.55% 282 1.07% 16,873 63.84% 26,429
Vernon 13,474 83.44% 2,513 15.56% 162 1.00% 10,961 67.87% 16,149
Washington 12,846 69.61% 5,411 29.32% 198 1.07% 7,435 40.29% 18,455
Webster 10,965 67.66% 5,053 31.18% 187 1.15% 5,912 36.48% 16,205
West Baton Rouge 7,627 55.12% 6,008 43.42% 201 1.45% 1,619 11.70% 13,836
West Carroll 3,986 86.60% 578 12.56% 39 0.85% 3,408 74.04% 4,603
West Feliciana 3,923 65.30% 2,004 33.36% 81 1.35% 1,919 31.94% 6,008
Winn 4,437 76.75% 1,292 22.35% 52 0.90% 3,145 54.40% 5,781
Totals 1,208,505 60.22% 766,870 38.21% 31,600 1.57% 441,635 22.01% 2,006,975

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Replacement for Butch Ware, Stein's vice presidential nominee.

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b Poll commissioned by The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate
  2. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by NetChoice

References

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  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ Orr, Gabby (November 16, 2022). "Former President Donald Trump announces a White House bid for 2024". CNN.com. Retrieved October 8, 2023.
  3. ^ "Louisiana Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
  4. ^ "Louisiana Republican Presidential Nominating Process". voterportal.sos.la.gov. March 23, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2024.
  5. ^ "Louisiana Presidential Primary". The AP. April 16, 2024. Retrieved May 3, 2024.
  6. ^ "Faithless Elector State Laws". FairVote. August 1, 2024. Retrieved August 1, 2024.
  7. ^ "Candidate Inquiry". LA SOS Voter Portal. Retrieved August 1, 2024.
  8. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  11. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  12. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  13. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  14. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  15. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (August 27, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
  16. ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  17. ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  18. ^ a b "LA statewide poll report April 2024 - Faucheux Strategies" (PDF). Faucheux Strategies. May 10, 2024.
  19. ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  20. ^ a b Chavez, Krista (September 13, 2022). "New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech". NetChoice.
  21. ^ "Search for Candidates". Louisiana Secretary of State. September 23, 2024. Retrieved September 23, 2024.
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