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Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

(Redirected from Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016)

For earlier polls, see January–August 2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election and Pre-2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.

2016 United States presidential election polling
← 2012 November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08) 2020 →
Leading presidential 2016 candidate by electoral vote count.
States in gray have no polling data.
Polls from lightly shaded states are older than September 1, 2016.
This map only represents the most recent statewide polling data;
it is not a prediction for the 2016 election.
    Hillary Clinton216
    Donald Trump184*
  Margin of error between Clinton and Trump
134*
  No data
4

*No margin of error recorded for Nebraska's congressional districts. Maine and Nebraska both award 1 electoral vote per congressional district and 2 statewide electoral votes. Trump leads in Nebraska's 1st and 3rd congressional districts, while Clinton leads in Maine's 1st congressional district. Nebraska's 2nd congressional district could possibly be within the margin of error and Maine's 2nd congressional district is within the margin of error.

(270 electoral votes needed to win)
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Most recent polling

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Immediately before the election, Hillary Clinton had a vote lead among states recently polled. State polls with results outside the margin of error showed 213 potential electoral votes for Clinton and 162 potential electoral votes for Donald Trump. In 14 states and two congressional districts (150 electoral votes), results for Clinton and Trump were within the margin of error. For the two states and one district without recent polling, one state (6 electoral votes) voted for Mitt Romney in the 2012 election, while one state and district (7 electoral votes) voted for Barack Obama. Third-party candidates, such as Jill Stein and Gary Johnson, were also included in many statewide polls. They have not received support in statewide polling that surpasses the two main party nominees. Independent candidate Evan McMullin was tied with Donald Trump in the state of Utah, but he has only been included on a very limited number of statewide polls.

State Date Hillary
Clinton 		Donald
Trump 		Gary
Johnson 		Jill
Stein 		Evan
McMullin 		Margin of
error 		Lead Clinton
potential EVs 		Trump
potential EVs 		Tied
potential EVs 		Result
Nationwide[a] National polling 213 178 134
Alabama September 27, 2016 32% 48% 2.0% 16 9 25.8
Alaska October 21–26, 2016 47% 43% 7% 3% 4.9% 4 3 14.7
Arizona November 4–6, 2016 45% 47% 5% 2% 4.9% 2 11 3.5
Arkansas October 18–25, 2016 36% 59% 4.1% 23 6 26.9
California November 4–6, 2016 58% 35% 3% 2% 4.9% 28 55 30.1
Colorado November 3–4, 2016 48% 43% 4% 2% 1% 3.7% 5 9 4.9
Connecticut September 2–5, 2016 50% 35% 9% 4% 3.0% 15 7 13.6
Delaware September 16–28, 2016 51% 30% 7% 2% 4.1% 21 3 11.4
Florida November 6, 2016 46% 50% 2% 1% 3.3% 4 29 1.2
Georgia November 6, 2016 45% 52% 2% 2.8% 7 16 5.1
Idaho October 23–24, 2016 29% 48% 6% 10% 4.0% 19 4 31.8
Illinois October 27–30, 2016 53% 41% 2% 0% 4.3% 12 20 17.1
Indiana November 1–3, 2016 37% 48% 9% 4.0% 11 11 18.9
Iowa November 1–4, 2016 39% 46% 6% 1% 3.5% 7 6 9.4
Kansas November 1–3, 2016 34% 58% 5.5% 24 6 20.6
Kentucky October 25–30, 2016 37% 54% 1% 1% 1% 4.0% 17 8 29.8
Louisiana October 19–21, 2016 35% 50% 5% 4.4% 15 8 19.6
Maine October 28–30, 2016 46% 42% 12% 2% 3.5% 4 1 3 3
Maryland September 27–30, 2016 63% 27% 4% 2% 4.0% 36 10 26.4
Massachusetts October 23 – November 2, 2016 56% 26% 8% 3% 5.0% 30 11 27.2
Michigan November 6, 2016 47% 49% 3% 1% 2.8% 2 16 0.2
Minnesota October 22–26, 2016 49% 39% 5% 2% 1% 3.9% 10 10 1.5
Missouri November 4–5, 2016 41% 47% 7% 2% 3.5% 6 10 18.6
Montana October 10–12, 2016 36% 46% 11% 3.2% 10 3 20.4
Nebraska September 25–27, 2016 29% 56% 7% 1% 3.6% 27 4 1 25
Nevada November 4–6, 2016 46% 46% 5% 1% 4.9% Tied 6 2.4
New Hampshire November 3–6, 2016 49% 38% 6% 1% 3.7% 11 4 0.4
New Jersey October 27 – November 2, 2016 51% 40% 3% 1% 3.8% 11 14 14.2
New Mexico November 6, 2016 46% 44% 6% 1% 1.8% 2 5 8.2
New York November 3–4, 2016 51% 34% 5% 2% 4.5% 17 29 22.5
North Carolina November 4–6, 2016 44% 44% 3% 3.5% Tied 15 3.6
North Dakota September 12–17, 2016 32% 43% 8% 1% 4.9% 11 3 35.7
Ohio October 27 – November 5, 2016 39% 46% 7% 3% 3.2% 7 18 8.1
Oklahoma October 18–20, 2016 30% 60% 5% 4.3% 30 7 36.4
Oregon October 24–29, 2016 41% 34% 4% 2% 4.4% 7 7 11
Pennsylvania November 3–6, 2016 46% 40% 7% 2% 2.8% 6 20 0.7
Rhode Island October 2–4, 2016 52% 32% 5% 5% 3.4% 20 4 18.5
South Carolina October 30–31, 2016 36% 47% 3% 1% 4.4% 11 9 14.7
South Dakota October 24–26, 2016 35% 49% 7% 4.0% 14 3 29.8
Tennessee October 14–17, 2016 34% 44% 7% 2% 4.4% 10 11 26
Texas October 31 – November 1, 2016 35% 49% 5% 4% 3.6% 14 38 9
Utah November 3–5, 2016 30% 40% 4% 25% 2.7% 10 6 18.1
Vermont October 24–26, 2016 52% 26% 5% 2% 3.0% 26 3 26.4
Virginia November 1–6, 2016 48% 42% 3% 1% 2% 3.6% 6 13 5.3
Washington November 4–6, 2016 55% 39% 4.9% 16 12 16.2
West Virginia September 13–17, 2016 28% 60% 5.0% 32 5 42.2
Wisconsin November 1–2, 2016 49% 41% 3% 1.9% 8 10 0.8
Wyoming October 5–11, 2016 20% 58% 9% 2% 3.6% 38 3 46.3
No recent polling 13

Alabama

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9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 62%–34%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
News-5/Strategy Research[1] September 27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 48% 16 3,000 ± 2.0%

Alaska

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 51%–37%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Alaska Survey Research[2] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% 4 660 ± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Carciun Research[3] October 21–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 4 400 ± 4.9%
Lake Research Partners[4] October 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 3% 1 500 ± 4.4%
Moore Information[5] October 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 3 500 ± 4%
Alaska Survey Research[2] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 18% Jill Stein 6% 5 660 ± 3.8%

Arizona

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11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 48%–45%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% 5 719 ± 3.7%
CNN/ORC[7] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 51% 769 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[8] October 6–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% 7 1,538 ± 2.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% 1 649 ± 3.8%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Data Orbital[10] October 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% 1 550 ± 4.12%
Data Orbital[11] September 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% 2 550 ± 4.12%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Insights West[12] November 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 392 ± 4.9%
Data Orbital[13] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 8 550 ± 4.12%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 5 719 ± 3.7%
CNN/ORC[7] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 769 ± 3.5%
Saguaro Strategies[14] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1 2,229 ± 3%
Emerson College[15] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 2% 4 700 ± 3.6%
Data Orbital[16] October 29–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 550 ± 4.12%
CBS News/YouGov[17] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2 994 ± 4.3%
Data Orbital[18] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 550 ± 4.12%
Saguaro Strategies[19] October 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 1% 2 2,385 ± 3%
Monmouth University[20] October 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1 401 ± 4.9%
Data Orbital[21] October 17–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% Tied 550 ± 4.12%
Ipsos/Reuters[8] October 6–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 5 1,538 ± 2.8%
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News[22] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 1% 5 713 ± 3.8%
Highground[23] October 14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 2 400 ±4.88%
Emerson College[24] October 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% 600 ±3.90%
OH Predictive Insights[25] September 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein Tied 718 ±3.66%
Insights West[26] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 5 484 ± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 3% 2 649 ± 3.8%

Arkansas

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 61%–34%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
University of Arkansas[27] October 18–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 59% 23 800 ± 4.1%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Talk Business/Hendrix College[28] October 21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 56% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 23 463 ± 4.6%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[29] September 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 55% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 21 831 ± 3.4%
Emerson College[30] September 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 57% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 28 600 ± 3.9%

California

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55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 62%–32%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[31] October 22–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 32% 26 1,365 ± 2.3%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[32] September 1–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 33% 25 4,212 ± 2.0%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Insights West[12] November 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 23 401 ± 4.9%
KABC/SurveyUSA[33] October 28–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 21 747 ± 3.6%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[31] October 22–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 26 1,365 ± 2.3%
Field Research[34] October 25–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 20 1,498 ±%
Public Policy Institute of California[35] October 14–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 5% 26 1,704 ± 3.4%
KABC/SurveyUSA[36] October 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 725 ± 3.7%
Hoover Institution/YouGov[37] October 4–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 3% 24 1,250 ± 3.28%
Sacramento State University[38] October 7–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 36 622 ± 7.0%
KABC/SurveyUSA[39] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 26 732 ± 3.6%
Public Policy Institute of California[40] September 9–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 5% 16 1,055 ± 4.5%
Insights West[26] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 62% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 28 515 ± 4.3%
Field Research[41] September 7–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 6% 17 1,426 ±%
SurveyUSA[42] September 8–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 25 678 ± 3.8%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[32] September 1–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 6% 20 4,212 ± 2.0%

Colorado

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9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%–43%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 45% 5 704 ± 3.7%
University of Denver[44] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 550 ± 4.2%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 40% 11 685 ± 3.7%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 44% 7 694 ± 3.7%
CNN/ORC[47] September 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 47% 2 784 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 47% Tied 644 ± 3.9%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS[49] September 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9 540 ± 5.3%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[50] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% 1 1,863 ± 2.27%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[51] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% 952 ± 3.17%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[52] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% 2 1,581 ± 2.46%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[53] October 31 – November 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 1 1,150 ± 3.20%
Magellan Strategies[54] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 500 ± 4.38%
University of Denver[44] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% Tied 550 ± 4.2%
Emerson College[15] October 28–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3 750 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 8 685 ± 3.7%
Monmouth University[55] September 29 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 11 400 ± 4.9%
Keating Research[56] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 602 ± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 694 ± 3.7%
CNN/ORC[47] September 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 3% 1 784 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[57] September 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 1 991 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2 644 ± 3.9%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS[49] September 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 3% 7 540 ± 5.3%
Emerson College[30] September 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 2% 4 600 ± 3.9%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 1% 5 704 ± 3.7%
Keating Research[58] November 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 605 ± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov[59] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson Jill Stein Evan McMullin 3 997 ± 4.1%

Connecticut

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7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 55%–41%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[60] September 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 15 1,000 ± 3.0%

Delaware

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3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 53%-42%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
University of Delaware[61] September 16–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 21 762 ± 4.1%

District of Columbia

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3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 91%–4%

No polling was conducted post August 1, 2016

Florida

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Further information: Opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 49%–48%

Georgia

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16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 51%–46%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 47% 1 707 ±3.7%
Quinnipiac University[62] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Tied 707 ± 3.7%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 50% 6 638 ± 3.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% 3 625 ± 3.9%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[63] November 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 3% 3 1,200 ± 2.8%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[64] November 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 4% 2 1,000 ± 3.1%
Opinion Survey/Fox 5 Atlanta[65] November 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 6% 4 538 ± 4.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 8% 1 707 ±3.7%
WXIA-TV/SurveyUSA[66] October 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 3% 7 593 ± 4.2%
Quinnipiac University[62] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 1 707 ± 3.7%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[67] October 20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 5% 4 600 ± 4.0%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[68] October 20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 3% 4 570 ± 4.1%
Atlantic Journal Constitution[69] October 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 9% 2 839 ± 4.3%
Clout Research[70] October 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 2% 3 627 ± 3.9%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[71] October 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 4% 6 1,400 ± 2.7%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[72] September 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 6% 4 600 ± 4.0%
JMC Analytics[73] September 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% 6 600 ± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 9% 7 638 ± 4.9%
Monmouth University[74] September 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 8% 3 401 ± 4.9%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[75] September 14, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 10% 4 568 ± 4.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 2 625 ± 3.9%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[76] November 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 52% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 0% 7 1,250 ± 2.76%
Emerson College[15] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 51% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 3% 9 650 ± 3.8%
Emerson College[30] September 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 6 600 ± 3.9%

Hawaii

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4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
(Democratic in 2012) 71%–28%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 62%–30%

No polling was conducted in 2016

Idaho

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4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 59%–28%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Other % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Heat Street/Rasmussen Reports[77] October 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 6% Evan McMullin 10% 19 750 ± 4.0%
Emerson College[78] October 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 23% Donald Trump 52% Gary Johnson 4% Evan McMullin 29 1,023 ± 3.0%
Dan Jones & Associates[79] September 28 – October 9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 10 608 ± 3.97%

Illinois

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20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 56%–39%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Loras College[80] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% 11 600 ± 4.0%
Loras College[81] September 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 33% 14 600 ± 4.0%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[82] October 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 0% 12 500 ± 4.3%
Loras College[80] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 11 600 ± 4.0%
Victory Research[83] October 16–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 15 1,200 ± 2.83%
Illinois Public Opinion Strategies[84] October 13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 1% 18 664 ± 3.5%
Southern Illinois University[85] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 25 865 ± 3.3%
Victory Research[86] September 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 14 1,200 ± 2.83%
Emerson College[87] September 19–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 6 700 ± 3.6%
Loras College[81] September 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 13 600 ± 4.0%
We Ask America[88] September 12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 18 955 ± 3.17%

Indiana

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11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 57%–38%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[89] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 9% 11 600 ± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing[90] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% 10 399 ± 4.9%
Monmouth University[91] October 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 4% 11 402 ± 4.9%
Gravis Marketing[92] October 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% 596 ± 2.3%
WISH-TV/Ball State University[93] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 9% 6 544 ± 4.8%
Monmouth University[94] October 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4 402 ± 4.9%
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[95] October 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 11% 5 600 ± 4%
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[96] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 7 600 ± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Lucid/The Times-Picayune[97] October 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 8 1,313 ± %

Iowa

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6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 51%–42%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Simpson College/RABA Research[98] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% 2 1,076 ± 3.0%
Quinnipiac University[62] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 47% 1 791 ± 3.5%
Loras College[99] September 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Tied 491 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 50% 6 612 ± 4%
Simpson College/RABA Research[100] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 43% 1 1,054 ± 3.0%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[101] November 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 7 800 ± 3.5%
Emerson College[102] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 3 700 ± 3.6%
Loras College[103] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 3% 1 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[62] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Tied 791 ± 3.5%
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[104] October 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 4 800 ± 3.5%
Loras College[99] September 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% Tied 491 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 7 612 ± 4%
Monmouth University[105] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 8 404 ± 4.9%
Simpson College/RABA Research[100] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 1 1,054 ± 3.0%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Simpson College/RABA Research[98] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 2% 3 1,076 ± 3.0%

Kansas

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 57%–36%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fort Hays State University[106] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 58% 24 313 ± 5.5%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSN News[107] October 26–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 11 624 ± 4.0%
SurveyUSA/KSN News[108] October 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 2% 581 ± 4.1%
SurveyUSA/KSN News[109] September 6–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 12 595 ± 4.1%

Kentucky

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8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 63%–33%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
RunSwitch PR[110] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 56% 24 811 ± 3.44%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Western Kentucky University[111] October 25–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 54% Gary Johnson 1% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 1% 17 602 ± 4.0%

Louisiana

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8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 58%–38%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Southern Media & Opinion Research[112] October 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 5% 15 500 ± 4.4%
Southern Media & Opinion Research[113] September 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 8% 16 500 ± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
University of New Orleans[114] October 15–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 14 603 ± 4.0%
Mason-Dixon[115] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 54% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 20 625 ± 4.0%
JMC Analytics[116] October 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 7 800 ± 3.5%
JMC Analytics[117] September 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 10 905 ± 3.3%

Maine

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4 electoral votes (statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center[118] November 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 855 ± 3.4%
Maine People's Resource Center[119] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 812 ± 3.4%
Maine People's Resource Center[120] October 14–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 890 ± 3.3%
Maine People's Resource Center[121] October 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 40% 9 892 ± 3.3%
Maine People's Resource Center[122] September 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 5 835 ± 3.4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center[118] November 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 4% 6 855 ± 3.4%
Emerson College[82] October 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 2% 4 750 ± 3.5%
Maine People's Resource Center[119] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 5 812 ± 3.4%
University of New Hampshire[123] October 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 11 670 ± 3.8%
Maine People's Resource Center[120] October 14–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 6 890 ± 3.3%
Maine People's Resource Center[121] October 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein 3% 8 892 ± 3.3%
University of New Hampshire[124] September 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 4 513 ± 4.3%
Maine People's Resource Center[122] September 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 5% Tied 835 ± 3.4%
Colby College/Boston Globe[125] September 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 5% 3 779 ± 3.6%
Emerson College[60] September 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 2% 9 800 ± 3.4%

Maryland

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10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 60%–34%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Washington Post/University of Maryland[126] September 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 63% Donald Trump 27% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 36 706 ± 4.0%
Goucher Poll[127] September 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 33 514 ± 4.3%

Massachusetts

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11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 60%–33%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Western New England University[128] September 24 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 65% Donald Trump 30% 35 403 ± 5.0%
WBUR/MassINC[129] September 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 60% Donald Trump 31% 29 506 ± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Western New England University[130] October 23 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 30 417 ± 5.0%
Suffolk University[131] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 32 500 ±4.4%
WBUR/MassINC[132] October 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 26 502 ±4.4%
Western New England University[128] September 24 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 4% 32 403 ± 5.0%
UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll[133] September 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 13 700 ± 4.3%
WBUR/MassINC[129] September 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 4% 26 500 ± 4.3%
Emerson College[60] September 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 2% 17 500 ± 4.3%

Michigan

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16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 48%–47%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 957 ± 3.2%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[134] November 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 45% 5 1,007 ± 3.1%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[135] November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 46% 1,150 ± 2.89%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[136] November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 44% 887 ± 3.29%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[137] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 45% 6 737 ± 3.61%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[138] October 30, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 42% 9 953 ± 3.17%
Michigan State University[139] September 1 – October 30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 32% 20 746 ± 3.6%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[140] October 25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 1,030 ± 2.78%
EPIC-MRA[141] October 22–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 37% 8 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[142] October 23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 43% 1,241 ± 2.78%
MRG[143] October 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 38% 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[144] October 18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 41% 12 1,102 ± 2.59%
Ipsos/Reuters[145] October 6–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 36% 4 1,370 ± 3.0%
Detroit News[146] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 33% 14 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[147] September 27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 44% 5 1,956 ± 2.2%
EPIC-MRA[148] September 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% 4 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[149] September 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 940 ± 3.2%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Target Insyght[150] September 18–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% 5 600 ± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[151] November 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 2 1,200 ± 2.77%
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 5 957 ± 3.2%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[134] November 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 1,007 ± 3.1%
EPIC-MRA[152] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 4 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[135] November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 3 1,150 ± 2.89%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[136] November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein 887 ± 3.29%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[137] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 1% 7 737 ± 3.61%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[138] October 30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 953 ± 3.17%
Michigan State University[139] September 1 – October 30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 4% 19 746 ± 3.6%
Emerson College[153] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 3% 7 500 ± 4.3%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[140] October 25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 6 1,030 ± 2.78%
EPIC-MRA[141] October 22–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 7 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[142] October 23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 8 1,241 ± 2.78%
MRG[143] October 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 5 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[144] October 18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 13 1,102 ± 2.95%
Ipsos/Reuters[145] October 6–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 4 1,370 ± 3.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[154] October 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 4% 10 1,429 ± 2.59%
Detroit News[146] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 5% 11 600 ± 4.0%
EPIC-MRA[155] October 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 3% 600 ± 4.0%
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[156] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 7 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[147] September 27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 5 1,956 ± 2.2%
EPIC-MRA[148] September 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 3 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[149] September 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 6 940 ± 3.2%

Minnesota

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10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 46%–45%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[157] October 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 42% 11 656 ± 3.9%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[158] September 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 43% 6 625 ± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[157] October 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 10 656 ± 3.9%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[158] September 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 7 625 ± 4%
Star Tribune[159] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 6 625 ± 4%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[160] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 1% 8 625 ± 4.0%

Mississippi

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 58%–40%

No polling conducted post September 1, 2016

Missouri

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10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 57%–38%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[161] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 52% 11 1,083 ± 3.0%
MO Scout/BK Strategies[162] October 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 53% 14 1,698 ± 2.38%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[163] September 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% 10 1,279 ± 3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[164] November 4–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 750 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[165] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 13 871 ± 3.3%
Remington Research Group[166] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 51% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 1% 12 1,722 ± 2.36%
DHM Research[167] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 9 508 ± 4.4%
Emerson College[15] October 28–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 52% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 15 650 ± 3.8%
Monmouth University[168] October 28–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 14 405 ± 4.9%
Mason-Dixon[169] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 5 625 ± 4%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[170] October 23–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 11 2,559 ± 1.94%
Emerson College[171] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 8 600 ± 3.9%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[172] October 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 5 2,171 ± 2.1%
Monmouth University[173] October 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 406 ± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov[174] September 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein 9 1,087 ± 3.9%
Emerson College[30] September 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 13 600 ± 3.9%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[175] September 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 9 1,275 ± 3%

Montana

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 56%–36%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Mason-Dixon[176] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 11% 10 1,003 ± 3.2%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Montana State University Billings[177] October 3–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 27% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 16 590 ± 4.0%

Nebraska

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5 electoral votes (statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st, 2nd, and 3rd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 59%–34%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[178] September 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 56% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 27 700 ± 3.6%

Nevada

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6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%–46%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[161] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 688 ± 3.7%
CNN/ORC[179] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 51% 6 790 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[180] October 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied 707 ±3.7%
CNN/ORC[181] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 46% 4 698 ± 3.5%
Clarity Campaign Labs[182] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Tied 1,010 ± 3.1%
Public Policy Polling[183] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 986 ± 3.1%
Fox News[184] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% 4 704 ± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[185] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 46% 3 400 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1 627 ± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling[186] September 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 815 ± 3.4%

Three-way

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[187] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 3% 1 1,793 ± 2.31%
JMC Analytics/8 News NOW[188] October 28 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
CNN/ORC[179] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% 6 790 ± 3.5%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[189] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 4% 4 787 ± 3.49%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[180] October 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 10% Tied 707 ±3.7%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Bendixen & Amandi International[190] October 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% 7 800 ± 3.5%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[191] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 4% 3 1,332 ± 2.68%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[192] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% 4 826 ± 3.5%
Monmouth University[193] October 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% 7 413 ± 4.8%
CNN/ORC[181] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 2 698 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[194] October 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 4% 6 996 ± 4.5%
JMC Analytics/8 News NOW[195] October 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% 2 600 ± 4.0%
Public Opinion Strategies[196] October 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% 6 600 ± 4%
UNLV/Hart Research[197] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% 3 700 ± 3.8%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Bendixen & Amandi International[198] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% 1 800 ± 3.5%
Fox News[184] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% 3 704 ± 3.5%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[199] September 16–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 11% 800 ± 4%
Insights West[26] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 6% 398 ± 4.9%
Monmouth University[200] September 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 2 406 ± 4.9%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Insights West[12] November 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Tied 387 ± 4.9%
Gravis Marketing[201] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 2 1,158 ± 2.9%
Emerson College[164] November 4–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 1% 1 600 ± 3.9%
Trafalgar Group[202] November 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 5 1,100 ± 3.02%
Emerson College[203] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 0% 2 550 ± 4.1%
Emerson College[24] October 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% Tied 700 ± 3.6%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[185] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% Tied 400 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1 627 ± 3.9%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % IAPN % Unaffiliated % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Suffolk University[204] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Darrell Castle 1% Rocky De La Fuente 1% 6 500 ± 4.4%

New Hampshire

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4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%–47%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
UMass Lowell/7News[205] October 28 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 45% 1 695 ± 4.28%
Public Policy Polling[161] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 781 ± 3.5%
MassInc/WBUR[206] October 29 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2 500 ± 4.4%
NH Journal October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 47% 1 408 ± 5.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[180] October 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% 8 768 ±3.5%
MassInc/WBUR[207] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 501 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[208] October 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% 11 600 ± 4%
MassInc/WBUR[209] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 502 ± 4.4%
GBA Strategies[210] September 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 737 ± 3.6%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
University of New Hampshire[211] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 11 701 ± 3.7%
Emerson College[164] November 4–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
American Research Group[212] October 31 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 5 600 ± 4.0%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[213] October 31 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% Tied 500 ± 4.4%
UMass Lowell/7News[205] October 28 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 695 ± 4.28%
MassInc/WBUR[206] October 29 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 1 500 ± 4.4%
University of New Hampshire/WMUR[214] October 26–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 7 641 ± 3.9%
Emerson College[153] October 23–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3 600 ± 3.9%
Monmouth University[215] October 22–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 4 401 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[180] October 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 9 768 ± 3.5%
UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll[216] October 17–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 5 772 ± 4.5%
Emerson College[171] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 6% 8 900 ± 3.2%
University of New Hampshire[217] October 11–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 15 770 ± 3.5%
MassInc/WBUR[207] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 3 501 ± 4.4%
UMass Lowell/7News[218] October 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 6 517 ± 4.9%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[219] October 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 2 500 ± 4.4%
MassInc/WBUR[209] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 4% 7 502 ± 4.4%
GBA Strategies[210] September 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 600 ± 4.0%
American Research Group[220] September 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 4 522 ± 4.2%
Monmouth University[221] September 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 9 400 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 15% Jill Stein 3% 2 737 ± 3.6%
Emerson College[60] September 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein 4% 5 600 ± 3.9%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
InsideSources/NH Journal[222] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 1% 2 408 ± 5.1%

New Jersey

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14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 55%–41%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[223] October 12–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 40% 11 579 ± 4.3%
Stockton College[224] September 22–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 638 ± 3.9%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Stockton University[225] October 27 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 11 678 ± 3.75%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[223] October 12–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 14 293 ± 5.7%
Rutgers-Eagleton[226] September 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 21 735 ± 3.8%
Emerson College[60] September 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 4 800 ± 3.4%

New Mexico

edit

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%–40%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Zia Poll[227] November 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 2 8,439 ± 1.8%
Research & Polling Inc[228] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 5 504 ± 4.4%
Zia Poll[229] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 3 1,102 ± 3.0%
Zia Poll[230] October 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 5 1,899 ± 2.25%
Zia Poll[231] October 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 10 1,536 ± 2.5%
SurveyUSA[232] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein 13 594 ± 4.1%
Research & Polling Inc[233] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 24% Jill Stein 4 501 ± 4.4%

New York

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29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 59%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist[234] September 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 33% 24 676 ± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian
Independence 		% Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College[235] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 17 617 ± 4.5%
Siena College[236] October 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 24 611 ± 4.6%
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist[234] September 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 5% 21 676 ± 3.8%
Siena College[237] September 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 600 ± 5.0%

North Carolina

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15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 50%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[238] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 870 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[161] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 47% 2 1,169 ± 2.9%
Quinnipiac University[239] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 46% 602 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[240] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 780 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[62] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 702 ± 3.7%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[241] October 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 41% 8 792 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[242] October 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 46% 3 875 ± 3.3%
Ipsos/Reuters[243] October 6–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2 1,233 ± 3.2%
Time Warner Cable News/SurveyUSA[244] October 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 46% 651 ± 3.9%
CNN/ORC[245] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 48% 788 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[246] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 743 ± 3.6%
Bloomberg/Selzer[247] September 29 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 805 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[248] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 46% 3 507 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 45% 4 861 ± 3.3%
Fox News[249] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% 5 734 ± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling[250] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 47% Tied 1,024 ± 3.1%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[185] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 400 ± 4.9%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[251] November 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 3% Tied 800 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[238] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 2 870 ± 3.3%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[252] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 3 2,596 ± 1.92%
Quinnipiac University[239] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 3 602 ± 4.0%
WRAL-TV News/SurveyUSA[253] October 28–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 51% Gary Johnson 7 659 ±3.9%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[254] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 2% 2 1,176 ± 2.85%
Emerson College[203] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% 3 650 ± 3.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[240] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% 6 780 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[62] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% 4 702 ± 3.7%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[241] October 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% 7 792 ± 3.5%
Monmouth University[255] October 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% 1 402 ± 4.9%
Public Policy Polling[242] October 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 3 875 ± 3.3%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[256] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% 3 1,746 ± 2.33%
Civitas[257] October 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% 2 600 ± 4.0%
Time Warner Cable News/SurveyUSA[244] October 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% 651 ± 3.9%
CNN/ORC[245] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 4% 1 788 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[246] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 9% 4 743 ± 3.6%
Suffolk University[258] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% 2 500 ± 4.4%
High Point University[259] October 1–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% 1 479 ± 4.5%
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA[260] September 29 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% 2 656 ± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University[248] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% 3 507 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 2 861 ± 3.3%
Meredith College[261] September 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 6% 3 487 ± 4.43%
High Point University[262] September 17–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 10% 1 404 ± 4.9%
Fox News[249] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% 5 734 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[250] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% 2 1,024 ± 3.1%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[263] September 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 11% Tied 782 ± 3.6%
Civitas[264] September 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% 600 ± 4%
Suffolk University[265] September 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% 3 500 ± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[266] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 0% 5 1,154 ± 2.88%
CBS News/YouGov[267] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 3 992 ± 4.1%
Elon University[268] October 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 1 710 ± 3.7%
Ipsos/Reuters[243] October 6–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2 1,233 ± 3.2%
Emerson College[269] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 3% 4 600 ± 3.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer[247] September 29 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 1 805 ± 3.5%
Elon University[270] September 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 0% 6 660 ± 3.81%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[185] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 3% 4 400 ± 4.9%
Elon University[271] September 12–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 0% 1 644 ± 3.86%

North Dakota

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–39%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 63%–27%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
DFM Research[272] September 12–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 11 400 4.9%

Ohio

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18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 52%–44%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Columbus Dispatch[273] October 27 – November 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,151 ±2.9%
Quinnipiac University[239] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% 3 589 ± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 48% 1 624 ± 3.9%
CNN/ORC[274] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 50% 3 774 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[246] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied 724 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters[275] October 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3 1,200 ±3.2%
Baldwin Wallace University[276] October 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% 10 1,152 ± 3%
Public Policy Polling[277] October 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 47% 1 872 ± 3.5%
TargetSmart/William and Mary[278] October 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 812 ± %
Anzalone Liszt Grove[279] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 44% 2 800 ± 3.46%
Quinnipiac University[248] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 49% 3 497 ± 4.4%
Target Smart/William & Mary[280] September 15–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 40% 3 652 ± %
Fox News[281] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5 737 ± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[185] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Tied 400 ± 4.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer[282] September 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 48% 5 802 ± 3.5%
CNN/ORC[283] September 7–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 50% 4 769 ± 3.5%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[284] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% 1 2,557 ± 1.94%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[285] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 3% 5 1,187 ± 2.84%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[286] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% 4 1,971 ± 2.2%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[164] November 4–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 7 900 ± 3.2%
CBS News/YouGov[287] November 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 1 1,189 ± 4.1%
TargetSmart/William and Mary[288] October 31 – November 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 3 844 ± %
Quinnipiac University[239] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 5 589 ± 4.0%
Emerson College[203] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% Tied 800 ± 3.4%
Trafalgar Group[289] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 5 1150 ± 2.89%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein Tied 624 ± 3.9%
CNN/ORC[274] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 4 774 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[246] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 1 724 ± 3.6%
Emerson College[269] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 2 600 ± 3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters[275] October 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 4 1,200 ± 3.2%
Baldwin Wallace University[276] October 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 9 1,152 ± 3%
CBS News/YouGov[290] October 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 4 997 ± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling[277] October 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1 872 ± 3.5%
TargetSmart/William and Mary[278] October 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 2 812 ± %
Monmouth University[291] October 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 405 ± 4.9%
Anzalone Liszt Grove[279] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 800 ± 3.46%
Quinnipiac University[248] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 5 497 ± 4.4%
Target Smart/William & Mary[280] September 15–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 3 652 ± %
Fox News[281] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 5 737 ± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[185] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 4% 2 400 ± 4.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer[282] September 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 5 802 ± 3.5%
CNN/ORC[283] September 7–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 769 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[292] September 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 7 994 ± 3.9%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Suffolk University[293] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% Richard Duncan 1% Tied 500 ± 4.4%
Suffolk University[294] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein Richard Duncan 3 500 ± 4.4%

Oklahoma

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7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 65%–29%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SoonerPoll[295] October 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 60% Gary Johnson 5% 30 530 ± 4.26%
SoonerPoll[296] September 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 51% Gary Johnson 6% 15 515 ± 4.32%

Oregon

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7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 50%–39%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fox 12/Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall, Inc.[297] October 24–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 7 504 ± 4.4%
Riley Research/KGW[298] October 4–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 5% 10 608 ± 3.97%
DHM Research[299] October 6–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 7 600 ± 4.0%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA[300] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 10 654 ± 3.9%
Hoffman Research[301] September 29 – October 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 12 605 ± 4%
iCitizen[302] September 2–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 15 610 ± 4.0%
DHM Research[303] September 1–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 13 517 ± 4.3%

Pennsylvania

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20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 48%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[304] October 30 – November 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6 420 ± 5.5%
Public Policy Polling[161] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 44% 4 1,050 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC[305] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 46% 5 799 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[239] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 612 ± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[306] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 49% 2 2,606 ± 1.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[307] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 420 ± 5.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[308] October 6–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 1,467 ±2.9%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 45% 660 ± 3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer[309] October 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 42% 9 806 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[310] October 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 39% 12 709 ± 3.7%
Quinnipiac University[248] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 535 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 44% 886 ± 3.3%
CNN/ORC[311] September 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 47% 3 771 ± 3.5%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[312] September 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 486 ± 5.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[185] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 42% 9 400 ± 4.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[313] September 12–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 405 ± 5.5%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[314] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% 1 2,683 ± 1.89%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[315] October 30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% 2 1,249 ± 2.77%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[316] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% 3 1,997 ± 2.19%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing[317] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 1,220 ± 2.8%
Trafalgar Group[318] November 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 1 1,300 ± 2.68%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[304] October 30 – November 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 4 405 ± 5.5%
Harper Polling[319] November 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% Tied 504 ± 4.4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc[320] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 2% 2 681 ± 3.76%
Monmouth University[321] October 29 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 4 403 ± 4.9%
CNN/ORC[305] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 799 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[239] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 5 612 ± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[306] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 2% 1 2,606 ± 1.9%
Franklin & Marshall College[322] October 26–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 11 652 ± 5.1%
CBS News/YouGov[323] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 8 1,091 ± 3.7%
Emerson College[153] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 0% 5 550 ± 4.1%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[307] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 6 420 ± 5.5%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[324] October 23–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 7 824 ± 3.4%
Emerson College[171] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 4% 4 800 ± 3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters[308] October 6–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 7 1,467 ± 2.9%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 1% 6 660 ± 3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer[309] October 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 4% 9 806 ± 3.5%
Lucid/The Times-Picayune[325] October 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein 2% 7 1,747 ± %
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc[326] October 4–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 4 764 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[290] October 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 8 997 ± 4.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[310] October 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 12 709 ± 3.7%
Monmouth University[327] September 30 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 10 402 ± 4.9%
Franklin & Marshall College[328] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 0% 9 496 ± 6.1%
Quinnipiac University[248] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 2% 4 535 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 6 886 ± 3.3%
CNN/ORC[311] September 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 3% 1 771 ± 3.5%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[312] September 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2 486 ± 5.0%
Mercyhurst University[329] September 12–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1 420 ± 4.8%
Harper Polling[330] September 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 2 500 ± 4.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[185] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 8 400 ± 4.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[313] September 12–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein 5% 405 ± 5.5%

Rhode Island

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4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 54%–39%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[24] October 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 5% 20 600 ± 3.9%
Emerson College[60] September 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 4% 3 800 ± 3.4%

South Carolina

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9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 55%–41%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Starboard Communications[331] September 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 7% 13 600 ± 4.8%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Starboard Communications[332] October 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% Evan McMullin 1% 11 600 ± 4.4%
Winthrop University[333] September 18–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 4 475 ± 4.5%
Trafalgar Group[334] September 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 53% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 15 1,247 ± 2.77%

South Dakota

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–40%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 62%–32%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Mason-Dixon[335] October 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% 7 400 5.0%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Other candidate % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Nielson Brothers Polling[336] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 7% Darrell Castle 1% 14 600 4%
Remington Research Group[337] October 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 6% Darrell Castle 2% 11 1,115 2.93%

Tennessee

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11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 61%–35%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
MTSU[338] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 50% 10 472 ± 5.0%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
iCitizen[339] October 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 10 508 ± 4.4%
MTSU[338] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 12 472 ± 5.0%
Vanderbilt University[340] September 19 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 11 1000 ± 3.4%

Texas

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38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 52%–43%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 49% 8 679 ± 3.8%
Texas Lyceum[341] September 1–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 42% 6 502 ± 4.37%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Austin American-Statesman/Crosswind[342] October 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 7% 7 800 ± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[343] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 14 700 ± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 9 679 ± 3.8%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[344] October 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 52% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 0% 13 980 ± 3.13%
Texas Tribune/University of Texas[345] October 14–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 3 959 ± 3.16%
CBS News/YouGov[346] October 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 1,031 ± 4.4%
University of Houston[347] October 7–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1,000 ± 3.0%
SurveyUSA/TEGNA[348] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 4 638 ± 4.0%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[349] September 29 – October 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 7 780 ± 3.5%
Texas Lyceum[341] September 1–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 502 ± 4.37%
Emerson College[350] September 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 6% 6 700 ± 3.6%

Utah

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 46%–28%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[351] November 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 4% Evan McMullin 25% 10 1,352 ± 2.67%
Rasmussen Reports[352] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 3% Evan McMullin 21% 11 750 ± 4.0%
Rasmussen Reports[353] October 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 4% Evan McMullin 29% 3 750 ± 4.0%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Y2 Analytics[354] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% Evan McMullin 28% 5 500 ± 4.38%
Emerson College[343] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 20% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 28% 12 1,000 ± 3.0%
Monmouth University[355] October 30 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 24% 6 402 ± 4.9%
Gravis Marketing[356] October 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 24% 1,424 ± 2.6%
Dan Jones & Associates[357] October 20–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 30% 2 823 ± 3.42%
Emerson College[171] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 27% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 0% Evan McMullin 31% 4 700 ± 3.6%
Rasmussen Reports[358] October 15–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 29% 1 750 ± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov[359] October 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 20% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 20% 17 951 ± 5.7%
Monmouth University[360] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 20% 6 403 ± 4.9%
Y2 Analytics[361][362] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 26% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 22% Tied 500 ± 4.4%
Dan Jones & Associates[363] September 12–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 12% 9 820 ± 3.4%

Six-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Constitution % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[364] October 12–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Darrell Castle 1% Evan McMullin 29% 1 818 ± 3.97%
Dan Jones & Associates[365] September 1–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 0% Darrell Castle 2% Evan McMullin 9% 15 605 ± 3.98%

Vermont

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3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 56%–30%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
RRH Elections[366] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 26 1,052 ± 3.0%
WCAX[367] October 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 22% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 5% 28 603 ± 3.99%
Castleton University/Vermont Public Radio[368] September 29 – October 14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 17% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 650 ± 3.9%
Emerson College[60] September 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 7% 21 600 ± 3.9%

Virginia

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13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 50%–44%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 45% 6 1,238 ± 2.8%
Roanoke College[369] October 29 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 40% 9 654 ± 3.8%
Washington Post/Schar School[370] October 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 45% 6 1,024 ± 3.5%
Hampton University[371] October 26–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% 3 802 ± 4.57%
Winthrop University[372] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 43% 6 712 ± 3.6%
Quinnipiac University[62] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 40% 13 749 ± 3.6%
Hampton University[373] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 34% 12 800 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 43% 6 811 ± 3.4%
Christopher Newport University[374] September 15–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% 10 1,003 ± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% 7 659 ± 3.8%
Roanoke College[375] September 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 40% 11 841 ± 3.4%
University of Mary Washington[376] September 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 685 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[377] September 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 42% 8 878 ± 3.3%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[378] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% 2 3,076 ± 1.77%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[379] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% 5 1,106 ± 2.94%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[380] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson 1,787 ± 2.31%
Emerson College[269] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 6% 3 600 ± 3.9%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[82] October 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 4 800 ± 3.4%
Washington Post/Schar School[370] October 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 1,024 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[62] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 12 749 ± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 6 811 ± 3.4%
CBS News/YouGov[381] September 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 8 1,237 ± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 6 659 ± 3.8%
Roanoke College[375] September 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 7 841 ± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling[377] September 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 878 ± 3.3%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Christopher Newport University[382] November 1–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein <1% Evan McMullin 2% 6 1,193 ± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 1% 5 1,238 ± 2.8%
Roanoke College[369] October 29 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 1% 7 654 ± 3.8%
Winthrop University[372] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 2% 5 712 ± 3.6%
Christopher Newport University[383] October 23–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 1% 7 814 ± 4.2%
Christopher Newport University[384] October 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 3% 12 834 ± 3.9%
Tarrance Group[385] October 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 2% 9 500 ± 4.1%
Christopher Newport University[386] October 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 3% 15 809 ± 3.6%
Roanoke College[387] October 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 1% 9 814 ± 3.4%
Christopher Newport University[388] September 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein Evan McMullin 2% 7 892 ± 3.7%
Christopher Newport University[374] September 15–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 15% Jill Stein 3% Evan McMullin 3% 6 1,003 ± 3.9%
University of Mary Washington[376] September 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 3 685 ± 4.4%

Washington

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12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 54%–38%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Insights West[12] November 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 39% 16 402 ± 4.9%
KCTS 9/YouGov[389] October 6–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 14 750 ± 4.4%
Strategies 360[390] September 29 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 33% 17 500 ± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA[391] October 31 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 12 681 ± 3.8%
Elway Poll[392] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 1% Jill Stein 1% 17 502 ± 4.5%
Strategies 360[390] September 29 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 16 500 ± 4.4%
Emerson College[178] September 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 5% 6 700 ± 3.6%
Insights West[26] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 6% 12 505 ± 4.4%

West Virginia

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5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 69%–26%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Garin-Hart-Yang[393] September 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 60% 32 500 ± 5.0%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Just Win Strategies[394] September 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 57% Gary Johnson 4% 27 600 ± 4%

Wisconsin

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10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 47%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[161] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 891 ± 3.3%
Loras College[395] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 500 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[396] October 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 38% 12 804 ± 3.9%
Marquette University[397] October 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 878 ± 3.9%
Marquette University[398] September 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 2 677 ± 4.8%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[399] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 3% 8 2,720 ± 1.88%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[400] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% 4 1,172 ± 2.86%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[401] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% 5 1,795 ± 2.31%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Loras College[395] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 500 ± 4.4%
Marquette University[402] October 26–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 1,190 ± 3.5%
Emerson College[203] October 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% 5 400 ± 4.9%
McLaughlin & Associates[403] October 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 600 ± 4.0%
Monmouth University[404] October 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 7 403 ± 4.9%
St Norbert College[405] October 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 1% Jill Stein 3% 8 664 ± 3.8%
Marquette University[397] October 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 7 878 ± 3.9%
Loras College[406] October 5–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 8 500 ± 4.4%
CBS News/YouGov[290] October 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 4 993 ± 4.3%
Emerson College[87] September 19–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 2% 7 700 ± 3.6%
Marquette University[398] September 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein 3 677 ± 4.8%

Wyoming

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 67%–22%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Wyoming Survey and Analysis Center[407] October 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 20% Donald Trump 58% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 38 722 ± 3.6%
DFM Research[408] September 6–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 19% Donald Trump 54% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 35 402 ± 4.9%

See also

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General election polling

Democratic primary polling

Republican primary polling

Older polling

Notes

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  1. ^ These results reflect only polls done on or after September 1, 2016.

References

edit
  1. ^ "Trump Support Slipping Slightly in Alabama". Strategy Research. News-5 WKRG. September 29, 2016. Retrieved October 14, 2016.
  2. ^ a b "New poll shows Trump leading in the presidential race in Alaska, but not by much". Alaska Survey Research. Alaska Dispatch News. October 9, 2016. Retrieved October 9, 2016.
  3. ^ "New Poll Shows Clinton Leads Trump by 4 Points in Alaska" (PDF). Carciun Research. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 30, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  4. ^ Reynolds, Casey. "MIDNIGHT SUN EXCLUSIVE: New Poll Shows Trump-Clinton Tied In Alaska". The Midnight Sun. Lake Research Partners. Retrieved October 17, 2016.
  5. ^ "Murkowski Polling Data Shows Clinton Down Only 3 Points In Alaska". Moore Information. The Midnight Sun. October 7, 2016. Retrieved October 8, 2016.
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  13. ^ "Arizona Statewide Poll Results" (PDF). Data Orbital. November 4, 2016.
  14. ^ "Arizona Survey of 2,229 registered likely voters conducted October 29–31". Saguaro Strategies. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
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  28. ^ "Trump, Boozman maintain big leads in Arkansas". Hendrix College. October 24, 2016. Retrieved October 24, 2016.
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  37. ^ "Hoover Institution Golden State Poll" (PDF). YouGov. Hoover Institution. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016.
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  39. ^ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23178" (PDF). SurveyUSA. KABC. September 29, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 14, 2016. Retrieved September 30, 2016.
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  42. ^ "In California, Immediately Prior to Pneumonia Reveal, Clinton Far Ahead of Trump; Harris Atop Sanchez in Fight for Boxer's Open Senate Seat; Death Penalty Likely to Survive, But Ballot Measures on Recreational Marijuana, Background Checks & New Cigarette Tax Ahead At This Hour". SurveyUSA. September 12, 2016. Retrieved September 12, 2016.
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