2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana

The 2014 congressional election in Montana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. Between 1993 and 2023, Montana had one at-large seat in the House.

2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana

← 2012 November 4, 2014 2016 →
 
Nominee Ryan Zinke John Lewis
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 203,871 148,690
Percentage 55.4% 40.4%

County results
Zinke:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Lewis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve Daines
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ryan Zinke
Republican

Montana's at-large congressional district

Incumbent Republican Congressman Steve Daines was first elected in 2012. Instead of running for re-election, he successfully ran for the U.S. Senate election in 2014.[1] Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected will serve in the 114th United States Congress from January 3, 2015, until January 3, 2017.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Withdrew

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Declined

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brad
Johnson
Matthew
Rosendale
Corey
Stapleton
Ryan
Zinke
Other Undecided
PPP[12] November 15–17, 2013 469 ±4.5% 20% 9% 32% 9% 31%

Primary results

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Republican primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ryan Zinke 43,766 33.25
Republican Corey Stapleton 38,591 29.32
Republican Matt Rosendale 37,965 28.84
Republican Elsie Arntzen 9,011 6.85
Republican Drew Turiano 2,290 1.74
Total votes 131,623 100

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Withdrew

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  • Melinda Gopher, writer and candidate for the seat in 2010[16]

Declined

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Endorsements

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John Lewis

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Lewis 42,588 59.84
Democratic John Driscoll 28,580 40.16
Total votes 71,168 100

Libertarian nomination

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Candidates

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Declared

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Independents

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Candidates

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Withdrawn

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General election

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ryan
Zinke (R)
John
Lewis (D)
Mike
Fellows (L)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[31] October 23–24, 2014 604 ± 4% 53% 41% 6%
The MSU-Billings Poll[32] October 6–11, 2014 410 ± 5% 40% 33% 2% 25%
Gravis Marketing[33] September 29–30, 2014 535 ± 4% 51% 41% 8%
Vox Populi Polling[34] August 3–4, 2014 798 ± 3.5% 44% 37% 19%
Gravis Marketing[35] July 20–22, 2014 741 ± 4% 47% 35% 6% 11%
Public Policy Polling[36] November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 37% 32% 30%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brad
Johnson (R)
John
Lewis (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[36] November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 43% 32% 26%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matthew
Rosendale (R)
John
Lewis (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[36] November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 37% 32% 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Corey
Stapleton (R)
John
Lewis (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[36] November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 44% 31% 25%

Results

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Montana's at-large congressional district, 2014[37]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ryan Zinke 203,871 55.41% +2.16%
Democratic John Lewis 148,690 40.41% −2.13%
Libertarian Mike Fellows 15,402 4.18% +0.15%
Total votes 367,963 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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See also

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References

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  1. ^ Raju, Manu (November 5, 2013). "Steve Daines to announce Senate bid". POLITICO. Retrieved November 5, 2013.
  2. ^ "Conservative state senator to run for U.S. House". Great Falls Tribune. January 25, 2014. Retrieved February 5, 2014.
  3. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (October 15, 2013). "Rosendale launches House race". Independent Record. Retrieved October 21, 2013.
  4. ^ Trygstad, Kyle (September 3, 2013). "Montana Senate Field Now Cleared for Daines #MTSEN". Roll Call. Retrieved October 21, 2013.
  5. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (November 22, 2013). "Helena man becomes 5th Republican in U.S. House". Missoulian. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  6. ^ Lutey, Tom (October 21, 2013). "Whitefish's Zinke announces GOP candidacy for U.S. House". Missoulian. Retrieved October 21, 2013.
  7. ^ "Former GOP Secretary of State Brad Johnson to run for PSC". Helenair. January 30, 2014.
  8. ^ "Steve Daines Announces 2014 Senate Run". Huffington Post. November 6, 2013.
  9. ^ Catlett, Ron (December 4, 2013). "Champ Edmunds Will Challenge Daines in Montana GOP Senate Primary". Mediatrackers. Archived from the original on March 26, 2014. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  10. ^ "Rehberg will not run in 2014". MTN News. January 13, 2014. Archived from the original on January 15, 2014. Retrieved January 14, 2014.
  11. ^ a b "Formerly 'all in' House candidate now won't run". Billings Gazette. October 3, 2013.
  12. ^ PPP
  13. ^ a b "2014 Statewide Montana Primary Election Canvas" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 28, 2014. Retrieved July 23, 2014.
  14. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (March 7, 2014). "Former Democratic lawmaker John Driscoll to run for U.S. House". Billings Gazette. Retrieved March 9, 2014.
  15. ^ "Democrat John Lewis files to run for state's U.S. House seat". The Missoulian. August 26, 2013.
  16. ^ "Pat Williams challenges trio of Senate candidates". KAJ18.com. December 18, 2013. Archived from the original on December 19, 2013. Retrieved December 19, 2013.
  17. ^ a b c "Speculation: Democrats For U.S. House". Montana Street Fighter. May 26, 2013. Retrieved August 7, 2013.
  18. ^ "U.S. House race hinges on Daines' decision". Ravalli Republic. October 5, 2013. Retrieved October 5, 2013.
  19. ^ "Missoula Mayor Engen ready for next term". KPAX.com. November 6, 2013. Retrieved November 8, 2013.[permanent dead link]
  20. ^ "Race For U.S. House In MT Could Be Worth Watching". Montana Street Fighter. July 22, 2013. Retrieved August 7, 2013.
  21. ^ Rulon Herman, Malia (December 4, 2013). "Former Montana legislator Gillan named HHS regional head". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  22. ^ "Juneau latest Montana Dem to reject US Senate run". Missoulian. August 5, 2013. Retrieved August 7, 2013.
  23. ^ "Democrat Lindeen says no to run for U.S. Senate seat". The Missoulian. July 16, 2013.
  24. ^ "Growing number of Montana Democrats consider U.S. Senate run". missoulian.com. July 15, 2013.
  25. ^ "Montana Lt. Gov. John Walsh (D) to run for Senate". The Washington Post. October 3, 2013.
  26. ^ a b c Trygstad, Kyle (August 13, 2013). "Ex-Congressman Says No to Montana Senate Bid". Roll Call.
  27. ^ "After spending the past several weeks speaking..." Facebook. September 9, 2013.
  28. ^ a b c "Top Montana Democrats endorse Lewis for U.S. House". Great Falls Tribune. December 4, 2013. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  29. ^ Johnson, Charles S. (March 10, 2014). "Missoula's Edmunds, Cundiff file for U.S. Senate race; Fellows runs for House". Missoulian. Retrieved March 11, 2014.
  30. ^ "White Wolf dropping out of House race". Montana Wacko Birds. January 10, 2014. Retrieved January 13, 2014.
  31. ^ Gravis Marketing
  32. ^ The MSU-Billings Poll
  33. ^ Gravis Marketing
  34. ^ Vox Populi Polling
  35. ^ Gravis Marketing
  36. ^ a b c d Public Policy Polling
  37. ^ "2014 STATEWIDE GENERAL ELECTION CANVASS" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. November 4, 2014. Retrieved January 3, 2018.
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Official campaign websites