User:HuntClubJoe/Ottawa South draught 1

HuntClubJoe/Ottawa South draught 1

Ontario electoral district
Ottawa South in relation to other electoral districts in Ottawa
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	David McGuinty Liberal
District created	1987
First contested	1988
Last contested	2008
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2006)	117,581
Electors (2006)	86,188
Area (km²)	76
Pop. density (per km²)	1,547.1
Census division(s)	Ottawa
Census subdivision(s)	Ottawa

For the Ontario provincial electoral district, see Ottawa South (provincial electoral district).

For the neighbourhood in Ottawa, see Old Ottawa South.

Ottawa South (French: Ottawa-Sud) is an Ottawa electoral district in the Canadian province of Ontario. It is represented in the Canadian House of Commons by David McGuinty, brother of Ontario Premier and Ottawa South MPP Dalton McGuinty. The riding was created in 1987 from parts of Ottawa—Vanier, Ottawa Centre and the former Ottawa—Carleton electoral districts. It has been held continuously by Liberal candidates since it was first contested in 1988. Ottawa South is a suburban, generally middle class riding. As of 2006, it had the highest Arab population of any Ontario constituency.

2008 election popular vote map by polling division

Geography

The riding is located within the city of Ottawa. The riding is presently bounded north and east by Highway 417, on the west by the Rideau River, and on the south by a line beginning at the Rideau River and the former Ottawa city limits, then east to Limebank Road, south to Leitrim Road, east to the CP Rail line, north to Lester Road, then east along Lester and Davidson Road to Conroy Road, north to Hunt Club Road and east along Hunt Club and its prolongation to Highway 417. Neighbouring districts include Ottawa—Vanier to the north, Ottawa—Orleans to the east, Nepean—Carleton to the south and Ottawa West—Nepean and Ottawa Centre to the west.

Ottawa South comprises the neighbourhoods of Riverview, Eastway Gardens, Alta Vista, Riverside Park, Mooney's Bay, Hunt Club Woods, Hunt Club Estate, Hunt Club Chase, South Keys, Ellwood, Heron Gate, Sheffield Glen, Airport-Uplands, Elizabeth Park, Windsor Park Village, and Blossom Park in the city of Ottawa. The total area is 76 km². There are 233 polling divisions.

Demographics

Total average income, 2005: $39,192

Ethnic origins: British Isles: 43,360 (37.2%), Other North American: 27,650 (23.7%), French: 20,570 (17.6%), Arab: 13,600 (11.7%), Western European: 11,075 (9.5%), Southern European: 10,380 (8.9%), Eastern European: 9,205 (7.9%), East and Southeast Asian: 7,945 (6.8%), African: 7,175 (6.2%), South Asian: 4,725 (4.1%), Caribbean: 3,845 (3.3%), Aboriginal: 3,745 (3.2%), West Asian: 2,420 (2.1%), Latin, Central & South American: 2,380 (2.0%), Northern European: 2,090 (1.8%), Other European: 2,025 (1.7%), Oceania: 145 (0.1%)

Mother tongue*, number of speakers (percentage): English 64,050 (56.5%), French 14,710 (13.0%), Arabic 9,555 (8.4%), Chinese (All)** 3,640 (3.2%), Spanish 2,140 (1.9%), Somali 2,010 (1.8%), Italian 1,760 (1.6%), Persian (Farsi) 1,270 (1.1%), Polish 1,005 (0.9%), German 790 (0.7%), Tagalog (Filipino) 720 (0.6%), Russian 695 (0.6%), Vietnamese 680 (0.6%), Portuguese 640 (0.6%), Urdu 600 (0.5%), Greek 575 (0.5%), Panjabi (Punjabi) 550 (0.5%), Tamil 465 (0.4%), Korean 450 (0.4%), Creoles 450 (0.4%), Other languages 6,640 (5.9%)

"Mother tongue" is defined as the first language learned at home, and still understood at the time of the census.
"Chinese (All)" is the sum of people who identified their mother tongue as Chinese n.o.s. (not otherwise specified), Cantonese, Mandarin and Taiwanese.

Education, 25-64 year olds:
No certificate, diploma or degree: 6,130 (9.8%)
High school certificate or equivalent: 13,785 (22.1%)
Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma: 3,595 (5.8%)
College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma: 11,685 (18.8%)
University certificate, diploma or degree: 27,105 (43.5%)

Members of Parliament

The riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years	Member		Party
Ottawa—Carleton, Ottawa Centre, and Ottawa—Vanier prior to 1987
34th	1988–1993		John Manley	Liberal
35th	1993–1997
36th	1997–2000
37th	2000–2004
38th	2004–2006		David McGuinty	Liberal
39th	2006–2008
40th	2008–present

Federal electoral district history

The district was created in 1987. 65.7% of the new riding's area was added from Ottawa—Carleton, 20.1% from Ottawa Centre and 14.2% from Ottawa—Vanier.

Ottawa South in 1987 showing the districts it was carved from

1988

Barry Turner was the incumbent going into the 1988 race, as the MP for the defunct Ottawa—Carleton riding. Turner had a reputation as a hard working MP, but would be defeated by tax lawyer John Manley. This was on the heels of a nationwide phone and mail campaign by the Public Service Alliance of Canada to defeat Progressive Conservative candidates, in protest of the Mulroney government's cuts to the civil service.

1988 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes
	Liberal	John Manley	27,740	50.9	+14.2	$60,329
	Progressive Conservative	Barry Turner	19,134	35.1	-10.0	$43,380
	New Democratic	John Fryer	7,392	13.6	-3.2	$42,207
	Libertarian	Marc A. Shindler	146	0.3
	PCC	Jack C. Chambers	90	0.2
	Independent	Charles Boylan	54	0.1
Difference			8,606	15.8
Valid votes			54,502
	Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative		Swing	+12.1

^ Change based on redistributed results.

1993

Manley was re-elected in the midst of a landslide victory for the opposition Liberals, and was named Minister of Industry by Prime Minister Jean Chrétien. Doug Walkinshaw, a consulting engineer, was the Reform Party candidate. Joe Anton, an auditor for Revenue Canada, defeated the mayor of Kanata for the Progressive Conservative nomination. Economist Ursule Critoph was the NDP candidate.

1993 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes
	Liberal	John Manley	35,705	66.3	+15.4	$116,684
	Reform	Doug Walkinshaw	7,749	14.4	n/a	$46,281
	Progressive Conservative	Joe Anton	6,580	12.2	-22.9	$18,730
	New Democratic	Ursule Critoph	2,116	3.9	-9.7	$39,876
	National	George Shirreff	1,024	1.9	n/a"
	Green	Joe Palmer	391	0.7	n/a
	Natural Law	Ronald J.D. Parker	243	0.5	n/a
	Marxist–Leninist	Louise Waldman	140	0.1	n/a
Difference			27,956	51.9
Valid votes			53,875
	Liberal hold		Swing	+19.1	+7.0

1997

Before the 1997 election, the riding changed its boundaries slightly. The old 1987 version encompassed 95% of the new 1994 version, with the remaining 5% coming from nearby Carleton-Gloucester. John Manley was re-elected with another majority, garnering more than three times the votes of his closest adversary, the Reform Party's Carla Marie Dancey. Progressive Conservative Keith Beardsley, a staffer to MP Gerry Weiner, placed third. Marcella Munro of the NDP placed fourth.

1997 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes
	Liberal	John Manley	31,725	59.0	-7.3	$50,315
	Reform	Carla Marie Dancey	8,522	15.9	+1.5	$24,092
	Progressive Conservative	Keith Beardsley	8,115	15.1	+2.9	$23,773
	New Democratic	Marcella Munro	4,374	8.2	+4.3	$23,462
	Green	Maria Von Fickenstein	440	0.8	+0.1	$0
	Canadian Action	Paula Williams	281	0.5	n/a	$1,364
	Natural Law	Richard Michael Wolfson	167	0.3	-0.2	$0
	Marxist–Leninist	Anna di Carlo	140	0.3	+0.2	$0
Difference			23,203	43.2	-8.7
Rejected Ballots			382	0.7
Turnout			54,146	72.3
	Liberal hold		Swing	-4.4	-23.5

2000

In 2000, Manley defeated investment counselor Brad Darbyson, the Canadian Alliance candidate. Finishing in third was engineer Kevin Lister, the Progressive Conservative candidate and native Albertan. The NDP's Jeannie Page placed fourth.

2000 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes
	Liberal	John Manley	26,585	51.3	-7.7	$51,901
	Canadian Alliance	Brad Darbyson	12,677	24.5	+8.6	$40,183
	Progressive Conservative	Kevin Lister	8,096	15.6	+0.4	$23,923
	New Democratic	Jeannie Page	3,463	6.7	-1.5	$11,522
	Marijuana	Ron Whalen	679	1.3	n/a
	Natural Law	James Hea]141	0.3	0.0
	Marxist–Leninist	Marsha Fine	80	0.2	-0.1
	Communist	Mick Panesar	69	0.1	n/a	$246
Difference			13,908	26.9	-16.3
Rejected Ballots			231	0.4	-0.3
Turnout			52,021	62.0	-10.3
	Liberal hold		Swing	-8.2	-3.8

^ Canadian Alliance change compares to the vote total for the Reform Party candidate in 1997.

2004

Map of the results by poll in 2004.

The riding's boundaries had very little change. 99.7% of the riding remained intact, taking 0.3% from Ottawa-Vanier. John Manley retired prior to the 2004 election. He was one of several Liberal MPs to retire who were loyal to Jean Chrétien. David McGuinty, a lawyer and brother of Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty, won the Liberal nomination. The newly-formed Conservative Party nominated Alan Riddell, also a lawyer, who received bad press when it was reported he had been driving with a suspended license. The Conservatives would benefit from the combined votes of the former PC and Canadian Alliance parties, but would still fall short by over five thousand votes. Monia Mazigh, the wife of Maher Arar, was the NDP candidate. While considered a strong candidate due to her high profile in the media, as well being a Muslim in a riding with a considerable Muslim minority, she placed third. The Green Party's John Ford placed fourth, garnering almost 6% of the popular vote in the party's first run in Ottawa South.

2004 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes
	Liberal	David McGuinty	25,956	43.8	-7.5	$74,148
	Conservative	Alan Riddell	20,622	34.8	-5.3	$57,520
	New Democratic	Monia Mazigh	8,080	13.6	+6.9	$73,230
	Green	John Ford	3,398	5.7	n/a	$2,205
	Marijuana	John Akpata	495	0.8	-0.5
	Progressive Canadian	Brad Thomson	375	0.6	n/a	$2,743
	Independent	Raymond Aubin	225	0.4	n/a	$988
	Marxist–Leninist	Saroj Bains	79	0.1	-0.1
Difference			5,334	9.0	-17.9
Rejected Ballots			361	0.6	+0.2
Turnout			59,591	69.7	+7.7
	Liberal hold		Swing	-1.1	+7.1

^Change from 2000 is not based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals from the 2000 election. Poll-by-poll results

2004 Party Nomination Contests

Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate	Residence	March 6, 2004
Camille Awada	Ottawa
Diane Deans	Ottawa
John Samuel	Ottawa
David McGuinty	Ottawa	X

Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate	Residence	March 8, 2004
Brad Darbyson	Ottawa
Terry Kilrea	Nepean
Alan Riddell	Ottawa	X

New Democratic Party
Candidate	Residence	April 14, 2004
Jeannie Page	Ottawa
Monia Mazigh	Nepean	X

2006

2006 election popular vote map by polling division

David McGuinty was re-elected after two years as a Liberal back-bencher. The race was closer than 2004, as McGuinty faced a tough challenge from Conservative Allan Cutler, the man who blew the whistle on the Liberal Sponsorship Scandal. The margin of victory was closer than in 2004, with McGuinty coming out on top. Cutler's nomination was not without controversy though, as 2004 Conservative candidate Alan Riddell was pressured by Stephen Harper and Conservative Party Council president Don Plett not to seek nomination in exchange for $50,000 to cover his expenses. Running for the NDP was the Lebanese-born economist Henri Sader, who maintained Monia Mazigh's strong polling despite lower campaign spending. Running again for Greens again was John Ford, and running for the Progressive Canadian Party again was Brad Thomson who had all but dropped out, endorsing McGuinty. The Marijuana Party planned on running Tim Meehan, but he did not gain ballot access.

2006 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes
	Liberal	David McGuinty	27,158	44.15	+0.33	$78,559
	Conservative	Allan Cutler	23,028	37.43	+2.62	$74,021
	New Democratic	Henri Sader	8,138	13.23	-0.41	$30,456
	Green	John Ford	2,913	4.74	-1.00	$2,095
	Progressive Canadian	Brad Thomson	273	0.44	-0.2	$2,743
Difference			4,124	6.71	-2.29
Rejected Ballots			298	0.5	-0.1
Turnout			61,808	71.71	+2.00
	Liberal hold		Swing	-1.48	+0.1

2006 Party Nomination Contests

Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate	Residence	May 9, 2005
David McGuinty	Ottawa	X

Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate	Residence	May 17, 2005
Barry Turner	Nepean	X

Federal popular vote graph

Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate	Residence	November 25, 2005
Allan S. Cutler	Nepean	X

New Democratic Party
Candidate	Residence	November 10, 2005
Sandra Griffith-Bonaparte	Ottawa
Henri Sader	Ottawa	X

Green Party of Canada
Candidate	Residence	August 29, 2005
John Ford	Ottawa	X

2008

In opposition, McGuinty served as the Liberal Party's environment critic. He faced nominal opposition from three lesser-known candidates. The Conservative candidate was Lebanese-born Elie Salibi, the director of international sales with Corel. The NDP candidate was Hijal De Sarkar, a Carleton University political science student of Bengali descent. The Green candidate was Qais Ghanem, a Yemeni-born doctor. Former Libertarian Party leader Jean-Serge Brisson also ran, with Al Gullon running under the Progressive Canadian banner. McGuinty was able to increase his 2006 vote total, and lead over his closest opponent, to be re-elected.

2008 Ontario general election
Party	Candidate	Votes
	Liberal	David McGuinty	29,035	49.9%	+5.7%	$82,793
	Conservative	Elie Salibi	19,417	33.4%	-4.0%	$89,808
	New Democratic	Hijal De Sarkar	4,920	8.5%	-4.7%	$5,110
	Green	Qais Ghanem	3,939	6.8%	+2.1%	$20,330
	Libertarian	Jean-Serge Brisson	244	0.4%	+0.4%
	Progressive Canadian	Al Gullon	620	1.1%	+0.7%	$92
Total valid votes/Expense limit			58,175	100%		$89,843
Total rejected ballots			346
Turnout			58,521	%
	Liberal hold		Swing	+4.83

Nomination contests for the 2008 federal election

Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate	Residence	?
David McGuinty	Ottawa	X

Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate	Residence	February 23, 2007
Elie Salibi	Ottawa	X
George M. Brown	Ottawa

New Democratic Party
Candidate	Residence	September 11, 2008
Hijal De Sarkar	Ottawa	X

Green Party of Canada
Candidate	Residence	June 16, 2007
Qais Ghanem	Ottawa	X
Peter Tretter	Ottawa

See also

• List of Ontario federal electoral districts
• List of Canadian federal electoral districts
• Ottawa South (provincial electoral district)

External links

• Source of article campaign expense data
• Ottawa South Federal Liberal Association website
• Ottawa South Conservative Association website
• Ottawa South New Democratic Party website
• Ottawa South Green Party website